Download 4-Solar connection(1)

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"Will Alexander" <[email protected]>
"Climate List 1" <[email protected]>
2/20/2009 8:07 AM
Solar connection
2982 Journal of Civ Eng - Vol 49 No 2.pdf; Memo 1309 The solar connection.d
oc
Email 13/09.
Thursday 19 February 2009
Dear all, (especially my climatological colleagues).
THE SOLAR CONNECTION
The attached memo is of international interest, but I address this email specifically to my climatological colleagues.
How many times have I pleaded that we get together on this climate change issue?
How many times have I insisted that a multi-disciplinary approach is necessary to address this climate change
problem?
My pleas have been ignored. Now your profession is about to suffer the consequences.
The critical issue in climate change science is the claim that human activities are the direct cause of undesirable
changes, and that radical measures will have to be taken to control the consequences.
In the attached memo, as well as in my recent memos, it is shown that the postulated consequences of human
activity are not only undetectable, but also that the dominant cause of climate variability is synchronous variations in
received solar energy.
Our paper that forms the basis of the memo meets all the requirements of scientific proof from basic theory all the
way through to solid, statistically significant verification.
Climatologists in particular should study this memo together with our attached paper and the report of the IPCC's
Working Group II.
Based on the study that is described in the attached paper, for the past two years I have predicted that severe
droughts can be expected during the period 2009 to 2016. If you study Figure 1 in our paper, you will notice that the
climate reversals are sudden. There will be no slow development of drought conditions. In other words, no time to
start developing counter-measures.
As you are aware, I requested that my predictions be evaluated by others. There was no response.
In this and my previous memos I refer to the indisputable causal linkage between solar activity and the
hydro-climatological responses. I also demonstrated that there is neither scientifically believable evidence nor
theory, to support the human causality claims in the IPCC documents.
Within the next two weeks, the South African authorities will announce measures that will be taken to control
greenhouse gas emissions. This will be an exercise in futility.
There will be a public outcry when it becomes known that the South African climatologists including those in
university departments as well as in the civil service, were aware of the basic shortcomings in their
recommendations to the South African authorities as well as to the public. There are many examples of falsely based
alarmism, Engelbrecht's paper of being the most recent.
Even the NGOs have become actively involved. The longer you take to correct your mistakes, the greater the outcry
when the errors are exposed.
It is not for me to suggest what you should do. All that I can do is to warn you yet again with all the seriousness at
my disposal, that the climatological community in particular, and the scientific profession as a whole, are about to
experience the wrath of society. If I have any influence at all, I suggest that you advise the authorities that there are
doubts, and that they should appoint an independent, multi-disciplinary commission of enquiry before any
irreversible decisions are made.
I urge you to copy this e-mail and the attachments to your SASAS colleagues. It is very important that your whole
profession be informed of the situation.
I have received many messages of encouragement. This is a recent example received from an unknown person in
Australia.
Keep up the good fight. You have more support than you'll ever know.
I am not prepared to remain silent.
What happens next is not in my hands.
I dedicate this memo to Zoltan Kovacs, my friend and professional colleague for many years. He pioneered the
concept and application of the Regional Maximum Flood that superseded the concept of the Probable Maximum
Flood that has no scientific foundation in applied hydrology.
This is an email that I have just received from him.
Regards,
Will
-------Dear Will,
Thank you for sending me since years your interesting and convincing studies and letters against the "global
warming caused by human activity" pseudo-scientific dogma. Future will tell whether you and the minority of sound
thinking scientists can gain against the presently dominant deception. I hope so.
Even as a layman in this field, I can affirm the validity of your views by my 30 years of daily minimum and
maximum temperature and rainfall data. These reveal that the period 1979-1994 was on the average drier and
warmer than the last 15 years.
The reason why I am asking you to remove me from your list is that because of a shoulder operation and arthritis I
have become much weaker and my days are short: I am getting up late and going to bed early (with my wife's help).
Already a time ago I have chosen to gradually abandon technical and scientific reading. Instead, I am using my
shorter days mainly to read literature, ancient history, archaeology and also the holy books of the great world
religions (Hinduism, Islam, Buddhism, Zoroastrism).
I have not entirely abandoned flood hydrology: from time to time I accept smaller jobs and make my comments and
recommendations on technical reports in this field (mainly in connection with projects in tropical Africa).
You have made an immense contribution to hydrological research, development and education in South Africa.
Your book "Flood hydrology for southern Africa" is an indispensable reference. I am using it in almost all of my
jobs. I hope that one day you will return to this field, and perhaps prepare a second edition of this book!
I should like to wish you good health, energy and success to continue your admirable battle against the usurpers of
climatology. And I also should like to thank you once more for the knowledge, stimulation and advice you have
given me during the past decades.
Kind regards
Zoltán