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Disequilibrium unemployment Recap: Equilibrium unemployment: We are already aware that equilibrium unemployment is the unemployment which exists when the _________________ for labour is equal to the ___________________ of labour and vacancies match the number of unemployed. Whilst there may be unemployment equilibrium at the current wage rate, people may still be unemployed. This is because they are unaware of the vacancies, unsuitable for the vacancies or unwilling to take up the vacancies. Disequilibrium unemployment This occurs when there is disequilibrium in the labour market, specifically when aggregate supply exceeds aggregate demand at the current wage rate. This is shown in the figure below. At the wage rate W1 there is disequilibrium unemployment of xy. If the wage rate were to fall to the equilibrium wage rate We, then disequilibrium unemployment would disappear- but for some reason the wage rate W1 is unable to fall….….. Average real wage rate $ ASL There is disequilibrium unemployment of y-x at the given wage rate W1. This wage rate is above the market clearing wage rate of We. W1 We ADL x y Number of workers Causes of disequilibrium unemployment There are a number of reasons why the real wage rate may be higher than market clearing (equilibrium) wage rate: 1. Real wage rate unemployment One possible reason is that the wage rate has been driven up above the equilibrium wage rate either by trade union power or a government-set minimum wage rate. It is argued that unions, by threatening to disrupt production, can force firms to pay higher wages than would be required in a free labour market. Classical economists believed that the severe unemployment of the great depression in the 1920s and 30s was caused by labour unions driving real wages above the market clearing rate. (therefore real-wage rate unemployment is often called classical unemployment). The diagram below shows disequilibrium unemployment within a specific industry (for example, ship building). The ship building labour market was intially in eqilibrium at wage rate We. Trade union pressure forces the wage rate above We to W1 causing disequilibrium unemployment of y-x within this industry. Average real wage rate $ ASL There is disequilibrium unemployment of y-x at the given wage rate W1. This wage rate is above the market clearing wage rate of We. W1 We ADL x y Number of workers 2. Demand Deficient (cyclical) unemployment The most significant cause of disequilibrium unemployment is a fall in aggregate demand for all goods and services and hence for labour (as labour is a derived demand [where demand for one good or service occurs as a result of demand for another]). This theory was first put forward by John Maynard Keynes in the 1930s and contributed to the differences in opinion between classical and Keynesian theory. A fall in the demand for all goods and services (i.e. a fall in aggregate demand) will cause a fall in the demand for labour (usually the most expensive factor of production). This is shown on the diagram below. AD1 shifts inwards to AD2. Keynesians argue that labour markets do not work smoothly and will resist pay cuts. Therefore the wage rate stays at the previous equilibrium level W1. Wages may eventually fall but this is argued to be a slow process and so the labour market does not clear resulting in demand deficient unemployment of ‘Q1-Q2’. Wages are ‘sticky downwards’- they are not very flexible downwards as the existing labour supply resists wage cuts. Such is the nature of labour that wages rise easily but resist falling as workers are not passive commodities. This is the type of unemployment that arises with a recessionary gap. Cyclical unemployment extends across the whole economy, and across all industries. The term ‘cyclical’ refers to fluctuating economic growth that has been exhibited globally over the last century. Fluctuating economic growth over time is known as the business cycle. Use an AD/AS diagram to illustrate a recessionary gap below: Price level (GDP Price Deflator) Output (RGDP)