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ECONOMIC INTEGRATION: WHAT IS IN IT FOR THE PHILIPPINES? A Country Paper Parts: Executive Summary I - Country Profile II - History of Trade Policies in the Philippines III - Participation in Multilateral and Bilateral Fora IV - Challenges V - Gains and Opportunities VI - Recommendation Executive Summary In the experience of the Philippines, adopting a protectionist trade regime has been more economically costly than beneficial. Thus, various trade reforms were implemented and regional/bilateral relations were forged with other countries. Opening up its doors to ASEAN and other countries has been met with difficulties but the numerous benefits achieved cannot be underestimated. Today, the Philippines strongly pursues the adoption of an outward economic outlook believing in the principles of competitiveness and cooperation as vehicles to growth. The country, however, can still do more to make the most out of the potentials economic integration can bring. I. Country Profile Statistics Population (2007) Population Growth Rate (2000-2007) GDP Growth (2007): GNP Growth (2007) Poverty Incidence of families (2006) Poverty Incidence of Population (2006) Headline inflation rate (June 2008) Unemployment Rate (June 2008) Underemployment Rate (June 2008) Average Annual Family Income (2006) Balance of Trade (April 2008) Exports (April 2008) Imports (April 2008) Number of Regions Number of Provinces Number of cities Seasons Data 88.57 million 2.04% 7.2% 7.8% 26.9% 32.9% 11.4 8.0% 19.8% P173,000 ($3,760) $US -531 M $US 4.325 B $US 4.856 17 81 136 Dry and wet II. History of Trade Policies in the Philippines A. Protectionism in the 40’s to 60’s When Philippines gained political independence in 1946, it embarked upon industrialization as a priority thrust. Import substitution was adopted as the major strategy. The peso exchange rate was fixed and overvalued to reduce the cost of imports on raw materials and capital equipment. This protection encouraged the establishment of a few heavy industries in the country that produced import-substituting goods. However, due to the inability of import substituting industries to compete with imports, government put up high tariff rates and import restrictions. This led to a widely dispersed tariff structure in the economy. The exports sector was heavily penalized. Since at that time the major exports sector was agricultural and the country was then predominantly agricultural, the largest sector of the economy was the one penalized. Hence, balance of payments problem prevailed despite the higher revenues from import duties. The most disappointing things was that the import substituting industries depended on the protection given to them and failed to attain efficiency. Smuggling became rampant. The industrial manufacturing sector stagnated and failed to generate the needed jobs. Employment share of manufacturing hovered around 10% to 12% for quite some time. B. National Policies Toward Economic Integration (80’s to present) Learning from the lessons of the early decades, policy makers started thinking about instituting trade reforms to lower tariffs and work toward achieving a uniform tariff rate among the sectors of the economy. Transparency in the policies was also desired. Major reforms were evident in the following programs and issuances: a) b) c) d) e) f) g) Tariff Reform Program (1981-1985) Import Liberalization Program (80’s to 90’s) Tax Reforms (1986) EO 470 (1991) EO 8 (1992) Foreign Exchange Liberalization (1992) Medium Term Philippine Development Plans (80's to present) Tariff Reform Program (TRP) The Tariff Reform Program (TRP) was implemented starting 1981 and ended in 1985. It consisted of various reforms in the Philippine tariff system. Specifically, it attempted to make the levels of protection uniform across and within sectors by reducing or phasing out tariff protection which were deemed excessive, obsolete, or which the burden of protection outweighed the returns. Toward this end, attempts were made to narrow the range of tariffs from a peak of 100 percent down to 50 percent and a minimum of 10%. 2 Tariffs were reduced gradually particularly on fourteen sectors i.e., food processing, textiles and garments, leather and leather products, pulp and paper, cement, iron and steel, automotive, wood and wood products, motorcycles and bicycles, glass and ceramics, furniture, domestic appliances, machineries and other capital equipment and electrical and electronic industries. As a result of the TRP, the average nominal protection rate (NPR) was reduced from 34.6 percent in 1981 to 27.9 percent in 1985. TRP also reduced the dispersal of rates among sectors. However, studies indicated that the structure of protection remained biased against the exports and the agriculture sector. Import Liberalization Program 80’s and 90’s The Import Liberalization Program (ILP) complemented the TRP. The ILP was seen as a tool to hasten economic recovery. It gained implementation momentum starting 1986. The first phase of the ILP, January 1981 to 1988, lifted quantitative restrictions (QRs) on a total of 2,329 PSCC lines. However, the greatest gains were made between 1986 and 1988. Many factors favored the ILP during this period, to wit: a) initial strong political will of the new government; b) consumption-led recovery between 1986 and 1988; c) drop in crude oil prices dropped and recovery of coconut world prices in 1987; and d) very low inflation rate during this period (0.75 percent in 1986, 3.79 percent in 1987 and 8.76 percent in 1988). ILP implementation slowed down in 1990. During this year, the QR of only one commodity was lifted, i.e., for power generating machinery. In 1991, QRs on a total of 16 commodities were lifted, mostly telecommunications equipment. In 1992, the ILP gained momentum once more as QRs on 173 commodities were lifted such as those of processed food products (65 lines); motor vehicles (17 lines); medicinal and pharmaceutical products (21 lines). As of December 1992, QR.s remained for 275 commodities. By June 1993, however, most of the gains in 1992 were practically reversed because QRs on 81 items were reimposed by M.O. 95. QRs on 356 commodities remained as of June 1993. These include cars, trucks and diesel engine, motorcycles, chemicals, fertilizers, coffee, used tires, potatoes, onions and cabbage. Tax Reforms 1983 to 1986 On top of tariffs, indirect taxes had an additional protective effect in 1983 and 1985 because sales taxes on imports were paid in advance and the tax base included a mark-up rate ranging from 25 to 100 percent. By 1985, the mark-up rate was reduced to a uniform of 25 percent on semi-essential and essential goods. 3 In 1986, mark-up rates were abolished and sales taxes on imports and local substitutes were unified removing the additional protection from the differentiated sales tax rates. From 1986 onwards, the Effective Protection Rate did not have to include the additional protective effect of indirect taxes. The combined effect of the TR.P of 1981 and the indirect tax reform brought down the average EPR for the economy from 50 percent in 1983 to 37 percent in 1986. As for the export sector, strict implementation of duty drawbacks rebated the import levies paid on inputs used to produce exportable goods. However, export taxes continued to penalize the exportable sector by 4 percent in 1983 and 4.5 percent in 1985. The penalty rate increased in 1985 because export taxes on coconut and its by-products were raised by 5 to 7 percent, and on animal feeds by 6 percent. The penalty rate dropped to 1.4 percent in 1986 and 1988 because all export taxes except those on logs were abolished in 1986; the export tax on logs stood at 20 percent. EO 470 in 1991 Executive Order 470 issued on July 20, 1991 forms part of a wide spectrum of tariff reform measures implemented by the country. However, this was by far the second most significant tariff reform initiative in the country, which provided for further tariff changes since the completion of the TRP in 1985. EO 470 moved toward a more neutral tariff policy by a combination of reducing the number of commodity lines with high tariffs and increasing the number of commodity lines with low tariff. Under the 40 percent tariff level, 480 lines in 1991 were to be reduced to 0 by 1995 For commodities with 50 percent rates, 1,177 lines in 1991 were to be trimmed to 208 by 1995. In the 10 percent tariff level, the number of lines will be increased from 1,590 in 1991 to 1,958 by 1995; Distribution of Tariff under EO 470: Tariff Rate 0 3 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 1991 45 277 11 1590 3 972 30 973 480 1,177 1995 43 285 16 1,958 26 1041 19 1,962 208 Source: Tariff and Customs Code 1991 In the 20 percent level, from 972 lines to 1,041 In the 30 percent level, from 973 lines to 1,962. 4 EO 8 Executive Order #8 issued on July 1992 replaced QRs with tariffs. The rationale for this policy were as follows: It makes trade policy more transparent and transfers private rents to government as revenues It links domestic prices with world prices such that changes in the latter can be transmitted to the domestic economy This makes local producers sensitive to and conscious of price competitiveness. Said EO raised the tariff rates of liberalized commodities by 100 percent of their pre-EO 8 levels subject to a five-year phase-down schedule. However, the tariffication of certain sensitive agricultural products did not push through due to the passage of a law regulating the importation of agricultural products. Almost all the commodities received a tariff adjustment equivalent to twice their existing rates in 1992 as provided for by E.O. 470. Below illustrates this situation. Tariff Rates Under EO 8: Commodity Groups Specialized industrial machinery and equipment Electric machinery and apparatus Processed meat products, 31 lines; fish, live or frozen, 28 lines; public transport vehicles and trucks and its parts, 16lines corn, sugar and cereal grains duck meat, washing machines and electrical machinery, and equipment and parts 68 lines including chicken, smoked and dried meat (13 items); dried fish, crustaceans, mollusks (31 items); meat, fish and crustacean preparotions (11 items); and electrical fans, air conditioners, refrigerators, sewing machines and beverage coolers (10 items). Ave tariff rates under EO 8 100 (45% under EO 470) 91 (43% under EO 470) 60% 75% 80% 100% ; 5 E.O. 8 breached the 50 percent ceiling rate under TRP and EO 470 and granted rates from 60 percent to a maximum of 100 percent time-bound for five years starting August 1992. EO 8 in effect continued to confer greater protection to importcompeting rather than export-producing activities. This was so because tariffs and QRs are instruments contrived to protect import-substituting activities. As long as tariffs are greater than zero, the export bias will continue, unless subsidies to exports exist. Despite the above limitation, E.O. 8 had a significant impact toward economic integration as it provided for policy commitment, credibility, and continuity. Its more salient effect is obviously to create a greater dispersal of rates, both implicit tariff and EPRs, among sectors. Liberalization of Foreign Exchange Foreign exchange controls have been used as a policy instrument of industrialization even until the 80’s when various trade reforms were being implemented. It was only in 1992 when exchange control was lifted. No Central Bank permit was needed for banks to sell foreign exchange except when the item to be imported was still restricted. The most significant moves were to allow 100 percent retention and the complete free use of export proceeds. However, while there were no limits to capital inflows, there was to outflows, and there were purchase limits but no selling limits. The Medium Term Philippine Development Plan (MTPDP) The Medium Term Philippine Development Plan (MTPDP) defines the economic framework and direction of the country in the medium term (6 years) to coincide with the term of the President of the Philippines. The MTPDP of 1987-1992 adopted a policy of further trade liberalization to raise industrial competitiveness. The trade reform package included the rationalization of the tariff structure, making it the principal instrument of protection, the elimination of the remaining quantitative restrictions and licensing requirements, and strengthening of safeguard measures against unfair trade practices. A more uniform rate of protection rate across sectors was targeted. The removal of import licensing requirements was resumed in 1986. As of 31 December 1989 some 2,427 items were liberalized. Among the items where import licensing requirements were removed, included fresh fruits, iron and steel products, canned sardines and mackerel, fabrics and textiles, synthetic resins, pulp and paper and cement. Mid-way in the 1990s, the government undertook a comprehensive tariff Review. By mid-1994, a series of major trade reforms were adopted. EO 189 issued in July 1994 provided for a multi-year tariff reduction program from 1994-2000 for capital equipment and machinery. 6 EO 204 in September 1994 reduced duties on textiles, garments, and chemical inputs. EO 264 issued in July 1995 reduced tariffs on industrial products EO 288 in December 1995 lowered tariffs on non-sensitive agricultural products. The restructuring of the tariffs under the latter two EOs aimed at establishing a fourtier tariff schedule: 3%, 10%, 20% and 30%. Import licensing requirements on new motor vehicles were removed in October 1995. Import restrictions on certain sensitive agricultural products were lifted and consequently tariffied. Liberalization and deregulation policies in the areas of investments, foreign exchange and services complemented the tariff reforms. The Agricultural and Fisheries Modernization Act (AFMA) and the Fisheries Code allowed the duty-free importation of capital equipment and raw material inputs for a period of five-years. In line with the Philippine commitment under the Information Technology Agreement, the duties on certain information technology products were reduced to zero. The MTPDP 2001-2004 spelled out government policy on free enterprise and market reliance and ensuring market friendly regulations by simplifying bureaucratic procedures and promoting market-friendly regulations to reduce cost of doing business and protect the interest of the consumers and sectors vulnerable to global integration. In line with this policy, a four-year tariff program was implemented in 2001 with the objective of achieving a 0-5 percent tariffs on industrial and non-sensitive agricultural products by 2004. Despite certain difficulties, the Philippine government in line with her commitment in the ASEAN, reduced duties to zero on 60% of its products in the Inclusion List of the Common Effective Preferential Tariff scheme of the ASEAN Free Trade Area (FTA). The present MTPDP 2004-2010 vows to respond to the following global and regional realities: The United States, China and Japan are the determining influence of East Asia. Philippine foreign policy decisions have to be made in the context of ASEAN. The international Islamic community will become more important to the Philippines The role of multilateral and inter-regional organizations is important in promoting common interests. 7 The country’s economic growth will continue to require direct foreign investment and trade promotion. The Philippines can benefit most quickly from international tourism. Overseas Filipinos will continue to play a critical role in the country’s economic and social stability III. Participation in Multilateral and Bilateral Fora The Philippines currently embraces an outward-oriented trade outlook. The country considers competitiveness and cooperation as important vehicles toward higher productivity and economic growth. Thus, it has been an active participant in multilateral and bilateral fora that advance these principles. Among the country’s motivations in participating in multilateral and bilateral cooperation are the following expectations: Stronger market access for exports Higher productivity and quality of production Greater economic efficiency Lower costs of critical manufacturing and other production inputs Increase in investments Employment opportunities for the people The Philippines is currently a member of several regional economic organizations and continues to forge mutually beneficial agreements with other countries especially with major trading partners. Below are among them: WTO The Philippines is an original member of the World Trade Organization (WTO). It has participated in negotiations in basic telecommunications and financial services, was involved in dispute cases and was a proponent for the elimination of trade distorting trade-distorting subsidies in agriculture and those that contributed to fisheries overcapacity, and advocated special and differential treatment for developing countries in agricultural trade. The Philippines grants MFN treatments to all trading partners. APEC The Philippines is a founding member of the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC). It sees APEC as an important forum for promoting trade in goods and services, investment, and the transfer of technology and professional skills. Philippines has not made a definite commitment to reduce tariffs across-the-board to zero by 2020. However, non-tariff barriers (NTBs) are to be eliminated progressively. The Philippines enhances tariff transparency by participating in the APEC Tariff Database. On competition policy, the MTPDP for 2004-2010 advocates the passage of a competition law. It continues to intensify efforts to liberalize the mobility of business people within APEC, and participates in the APEC Business Travel Card Scheme. 8 ASEAN The Philippines is a founding member of the Association of South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN), established in 1967 The ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) works towards lowering intraASEAN tariff within a 0-5% band by 2008, elimination of non-tariff barriers, developing common certification standards, harmonizing customs procedures and valuation and liberalization of investments within ASEAN by 2020. Under the AFTA, the Philippines spearheaded the formulation of the electronics roadmap, and has committed to fast-track tariff elimination for more than 1,000 electronics and ICT products, such as semiconductors and electronic data processing. The ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services (AFAS), signed in 1995, aims at eliminating restrictions to trade in services and enhance intraASEAN cooperation in services. The Philippines was an active participant in the negotiations with offers on business services, construction, telecommunications, and tourism. The ASEAN Investment Area (AIA), signed in 1998, envisages liberalizing investment within ASEAN by 2020. It covers direct investment in areas such as agriculture, fisheries, forestry, manufacturing, mining and quarrying. Bilateral Relations The Philippines has bilateral ties with its major trading partners such as USA, Japan, China, Singapore, Hongkong, Taiwan, Korea, Malaysia, Netherlands and Thailand. The U.S. – Philippines bilateral Trade and Investment Framework Agreement (TIFA) was signed in 1989 and provides the two sides with a forum to identify, raise and resolve matters that might otherwise hinder the development of bilateral trade and investment ties. In 2004, the Philippines and Japan commenced negotiations on a Japan-Philippines Economic Partnership Agreement (JPEPA), aimed at promoting freer transborder flows of goods, persons, services, and capital. On 14 June 1999, Philippines-Thailand diplomatic relations marked its anniversary. Philippine-Thai relations are among the oldest and most fruitful in Philippine history. For the past half-century, relations have been characterized by cordiality, harmony and dynamism. 50th The Philippines has agreements with People’s Republic of China in the following areas: a) trade, investments and finance; b) agriculture, c) infrastructure, d) scientific and technical; d) maritime; e) political, defense and many other matters of interest. In the area of investments, the Trade Agreement between the Government of the Republic of the Philippines and 9 the Government of the People's Republic of China was signed in Beijing on 09 June 1975 and the Agreement on Long-Term Trade between the Government of the Republic of the Philippines and the Government of the People’s Republic of China was signed in Beijing on 08 July 1979. IV. Challenges As a developing country, the implementation of open trade policies had significant adjustment costs. Business Closure There was much economic difficulty in the initial stages of economic integration. The implementation of GATT-Uruguay Round was a shock to domestic producers of import substituting goods. Small and medium industries were the most affected. This resulted in the closure of several businesses instead of making them competitive. Several jobs were lost. Trade Imbalance Trade balance continued to tip off despite the tariff reduction in developed countries. The Philippines found it difficult to penetrate these countries due to non-tariff measures like health and sanitary and phytosanitary regulations, internal taxes, import restriction, licensing, entry control). Moreover, the Philippines experienced bias against the entry of its processed products whether to Japan, US or EEC. Typically, processed products have higher value added to the domestic economy than raw material inputs exported. Fiscal Problem The removal of import duties caused a major loss in revenue to the Philippines. Due to the country's high debt burden, fiscal problems were experienced. Balancing the budget is still a major challenge up to this day although more manageable now than in the past. Periods of Difficulty for Agriculture The opening of global trade opportunities caused difficulties for agricultural products like rice, corn, sugar, livestock, poultry and vegetables. There was a drop in overall agricultural employment but compensated by new jobs created in the industrial and services sector. This is one reason why the Philippines continue to impose quota restriction on rice imports. Likewise, it adopts minimum access volume (MAV) on the imports of sensitive agricultural products such as pork and poultry, fresh, chilled and frozen beef, Widened Income Inequality Structural shift of the economy toward services and industry created jobs in urban areas. But it was not so in the rural sector. Hence, poverty 10 incidence increased in rural areas while squatting problem was experienced in urban areas as rural folks, not fully equipped with skills to compete in the jobs market, flocked to urban areas to find better opportunities there. The proportion of poor families in year 2000 was estimated at 27.5% of total families. This reduced to 24.4% in 2003 but increased to 26.9% in 2006. From the figures below, it can be seen that poverty was high in predominantly rural regions compared to highly urbanized areas. This means that rural areas have not been competitive in the global scene. . Poverty Incidence in the Philippines 2006 by Region Region Philippines % poor families 26.9 NCR Region I Region II Region III 7.1 26.2 20.5 16.8 Region IV-A Region IV-B Region V Region VI 16.7 43.7 41.8 31.1 Region VII Region VIII Region IX Region X Region XI Region XII CAR ARMM CARAGA Remarks The national capital of the country. Includes Metro Manila, the most progressive city of the country. Near Metro Manila. Near Metro Manila Near Metro Manila Has one of the most progressive export processing zones of the country Includes Cebu, a highly progressive and urbanized city. 30.3 Has big export processing zones. 40.7 40.2 36.1 30.6 33.8 28.8 55.3 45.5 Includes Davao, another big city of the country 11 V. Gains and Opportunities Despite the difficulties of economic integration, several benefits were gained and new opportunities were opened. These include: Robust Growth in Exports and Imports Volume and value of foreign trade have been growing through the years due to newly opened markets for Philippine products. An increase in the share of trade was experienced with ASEAN and APEC partners. . Philippine Exports and Imports, 2000 - 2007 (In $US Million) Year Exports Imports 2007 50,240.34 55,296.56 2006 47,410.12 51,773.68 2005 41,254.68 47,418.18 2004 39,680.52 44,039.21 2003 36,231.21 40,470.51 2002 35,208.16 39,236.51 2001 32,150.20 33,057.16 2000 38,078.25 34,490.87 Total external trade in goods with ASEAN member-countries for 2007 amounted to $20.907 billion or 19.7 percent of the country's entire trade. Total external trade with APEC member-countries for 2007 amounted to $83.188 billion or 78.5 percent of the entire trade. Exports to ASEAN member-countries were valued at $8.032 billion while imports were worth $12.875 billion. Singapore emerged as the country's top trading partner among the ASEAN member-countries with a total trade accounting for $9.358 billion or 44.8 percent share of the ASEAN total trade. Leading exports for the ASEAN member-countries were Electronic Products, Petroleum Products, Cathodes and Sections of Cathodes of Refined Copper, Metal Components, Fertilizers Manufactured. Top imports from the ASEAN member-countries were Electronic Products, Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and Related Materials, Transport Equipment, Cereals and Cereal Preparations, Industrial Machinery and Equipment. Total external trade with APEC member-countries for 2007 amounted to $83.188 billion or 78.5 percent of the entire trade. Export receipts from APEC countries totaled to $40.366 billion or 80.0 percent of the total exports while import payments summed up to $42.822 billion or a 77.1 percent share of the total imports. Topping the list were USA, Japan, People's Republic of China, and Singapore. Electronic Products were still the major export to APEC member-countries with receipts valued at $24.513 billion or 60.7 percent share of the total APEC exports. Higher Domestic Production Higher overall production was experienced due to substitution and scale effects of tariff reduction. The rise in aggregate agricultural production especially in the livestock and poultry, fruits and nuts sector were 12 experienced. There was also a reallocation of production in favor of non-food manufacturing. The economic structure has therefore shifted from an agricultural to service and industry. Domestic Employment Higher wages, higher return to capital and lower unemployment was experienced in urban areas due to higher production, improvement in technology and entry of foreign investments. Higher Overseas Employment The country's economic ties with various countries of the world opened up doors for employment opportunities abroad. Remittances of Filipino overseas workers make a significant contribution to the Philippine economy. OFW remittances account for 10 percent of the gross domestic product, and their impact is felt in the growth of family income. Remittances are a significant source of capital. Based on 2007 data from the Remittances Fact Book of the World Bank, the Philippines is the fourth- largest recipient of migrant workers’ remittances in the world, with $17 billion entering the country this year. Remittances are also a major source of foreign exchange. Percent Distribution of OFWs by Place of Work, April-September 2006 Source: National Statistics Office Remittances reduce the level of poverty among migrant families and have multiplier effects on the economies of developing countries. As of 2006, the poverty incidence of the Philippines rose to 26.9 percent in 2006 from 24.4 percent in 2003, with an additional base of three million poorer Filipinos. Without OFW remittances, however, the Philippines would have more than 26.5 million poor, rather than the lower figure posted in 2006, 24 million. Regions with significant number of migrants have fewer poor households due to remittances. Improved market access As a member of the WTO, the Philippines has obtained both direct and indirect trade concessions from member nations such as the US, the European Economic Community (EEC), Canada, Finland, Norway. As a 13 result, the country's trade volume has also been growing significantly through the years. Major Trading Partners of the Philippines: 2007 Advent of information technology Imports liberalization and agreements on information technology has resulted in the modernization of telecommunication facilities. The increased competition among providers had marked improvement in Interconnectivity. The Philippines is currently gaining popularity as a provider for business process outsourcing (BPO) services such as call centers, animation and software development. This sector is currently a fast growing sector providing employment to thousands of graduates each year. The only limitation is that the available people with adequate skills are not enough to meet the fast growing need for manpower in this industry. Better Quality of Consumer Goods Due to competition, a wider range and better quality of consumer goods have became available to the public. Domestic producers adopted modern technology to improve quality of products, attain efficiency in production and to reduce consumer prices. 14 IV. Recommendation Economic integration has advantages and disadvantages. Adoption of strategic interventions can make gains out-weight the cost. To achieve this, a developing country like the Philippines may consider the following: Explore Untapped & Niche Markets through Collaboration Foreign trade statistics show that the Philippines has trade deficit with four out of its top ten trading partners. These include Singapore, Taiwan, Korea and Thailand. Philippine Trade Balance with Top Ten Trading Partners: 2007 Country Trade Balance USA Japan China Singapore Hongkong Taiwan Korea Malaysia Netherlands Thailand USA 758.39 462.61 1748.63 (3080.18) 3584.86 (2088.08) (1494.49) 223.49 3665.36 (874.32) 758.39 The Philippines need to study how to penetrate these potential markets. What are their top imports? What are their future needs? What elements are missing that need to be in place in order to supply these needs? What are the potential niche markets? Collaboration with trading partners concerned can help answer these crucial questions. Harness Human Resource There are new job openings in the urban areas whose skills requirements do not match that of the people. New graduates especially from rural areas do not qualify for these jobs. Human capital need to be harnessed. Curricular offerings must be dynamic taking into consideration the needs of industries through time. Decentralization of Testing and Packaging Facilities As mentioned earlier, the Philippines has difficulty penetrating certain markets due to inability of meet the quality requirements such as sanitary and phytochemical tests and attractive packaging. These facilities are usually found in Metro Manila, hence, quite expensive to avail of for rural producers especially the start-ups. These facilities must be available in each region. Develop Rural Infrastructure Productivity in the rural areas is low due to lack of much needed infrastructure like stable and affordable power, farm-to-market roads, irrigation and modern seaports and airports. Protecting the agriculture sector through import restrictions will provide only short-term solutions which are unsustainable. Long-term solutions must be given focus instead. 15 Eastern Visayas Regional Development Report 2012 (Excerpt) Chapter 1. Inclusive Growth and Poverty Reduction Inclusive growth, as defined in the Philippine Development Plan 2011-2016, means “growth that is rapid enough to matter… It is sustained growth that creates jobs, draws the majority into the economic and social mainstream and continuously reduces mass poverty”. This is a national ideal which Region VIII also shares. Based on major economic indicators such as the gross regional domestic product (GRDP), poverty statistics and employment indicators, performance of the region from 2004 to present was short of this ideal. Slow Economic Growth GRDP growth target vs actual 2004-2011 Actual Year RDP Base Base Target Year year 1985 2000 2004 5.56 5.3 2005 5.8 3.1 2006 6.4 4.9 2007 6.7 3.1 2008 5.9 3.4 2009 6.2 1.8 2010 6.8 2.0 2011 * 5.1 1.8 *Based on RDP 2011-2016 For the Plan period 20042010, the region aimed to achieve an economic growth of 5.56% annually or higher. The highest growth rate attained in terms of GRDP was 5.3% in 2004 and this was not sustained in succeeding years. The years 2008 and 2009 were challenging periods for the agriculture sector. In 2008, the palay sector reached its peak production recording over one million tons which pushed self-sufficiency index to 119%. Ironically, in this year, nationwide speculations about a rice crisis turned it into real price increases. Also in 2008, about 2,000 hectares of coconut land was affected by brontispa disease and about 10,000 hectares of abaca farms in Leyte Island were infested with virus. The fuel price hikes that accompanied the global financial crisis had negative effect on commercial fishing operations. In 2009, continuous heavy rains resulted in the flooding of rice fields and compounded with rice black bug and tungro, rice production in 2009 was 7.4% below plan target. From an average annual growth rate of 4.58% from 2004 to 2008, gross value added in agriculture declined by 1.6% in 2009 and this was equivalent to a reduction of P163 million pesos in value added based on 1985 prices. 16 The industry sector, especially the manufacturing sector, did well in 2008 and 2009. In 2008, an Ethanol Plant was established in Ormoc City. The chemicals industry also experienced an enhanced performance. The major roads and bridges constructed/rehabilitated such as Agas-Agas and Samar Island Roads gave a boost to construction. In total, the industry sector grew by 2.2% in 2008 and 4.8% in 2009. The 2009 growth in value added was equivalent to P417 million. The service sector expanded in 2008 (3.0%) and 2009 (2.6%) but at a slower rate compared to growth rates from 2004 to 2007 which averaged 4.6%. In 2009, the services sector expanded by P287 million in gross value added at 1985 prices. For the plan period 2011-2016, economic growth performance for the first year of implementation was below target. The Regional Development Plan 2011-2016 aimed to expand the economy by 5.26% in 2011. The economy, as measured by GRDP, grew by only 1.8% in 2011. GVA for agriculture was targeted to grow by 5.10% in 2011 but actual growth in real terms (constant prices) was only 0.7% due to production set-backs in major crops, livestock, poultry and fishery caused by fuel price hikes and weather-related factors. The industry sector aimed to expand by 5.36% in the said year, but it increased by only 0.4% due to substantial decline in the performance of construction and electricity, gas and water subsectors. The services sector was the best performer among the sectors which grew by 4.1%, close to the plan target of 5.32%. In terms of contribution to the economy, the industry sector dominated the other sectors in 2011 with a contribution of Php 66.7 billion in gross value added at constant prices or 43.9 percent of total GRDP. Among its subsectors, the manufacturing sector remained as the region’s highest contributor at almost Php 40 billion in gross value added with a growth rate of 4.5% in 2011. In fact, more than a quarter (26.3%) of the GRDP comes from this subsector. The entry of three new locators at the LIDE since 2007, in addition to PASAR and PHILPHOS, contributed to the high performance of the manufacturing sub-sector. These are McMAI, an aluminium sulphate plant, Century Huang Guang, a nickel smelting plant, and Clean Way Waste Treatment Plant. The recent establishment of agri-based medium industries also helped boost manufacturing performance. These include coconut oil mills and decorticating plants in various parts of the region, the banana processing plant and abaca pulp processing establishments in Northwest Leyte. Marine-based medium industries processing 17 carrageenan, milk fish, mussels, oysters and squid also generated GVA for the sub-sector. High Undermeployment Table _. Unemployment & Underemployment Rates Location/Indicator 20062011 2010 (ave.) PHILIPPINES Unemployment Rate 7.7 7.0 Underemployment 20.1 19.3 Rate Average unemployment rate in the region has consistently been lower than the national average from 2006 to 2011. For the plan period 2011 to 2016, the national government targeted to reduce average unemployment rate in REGION VIII the country to as low as 6.8% Unemployment Rate 5.0 5.2 by 2016 from the 2010 average Underemployment 27.0 24.1 of 7.3%. Region VIII Rate unemployment has satisfied this requirement Source: NSO with unemployment rate of 5.2% in 2011. However, the rate of underemployment in the region has persistently been higher than the national average. The 2011 underemployment rate eased up a bit in 2011 from an average of 27.0 for the period 2006 to 2010 down to 24.1% in 2011. However, this was far higher than the national average which stood at 19.3% in 2011. High underemployment rate is a big challenge for the region. It matters a lot since it translates into low income, poverty and hunger. High underemployment is primarily due to seasonality of agricultural crop production which happens to be the dominant source of jobs of the region’s work force. Poverty and Hunger 18 SELECTED POVERTY STATISTICS * As can be expected from Indicator 2003 2006 2009 the preceding indicators, the PHILIPPINES poverty situation worsened Poverty incidence 20.0 21.1 20.9 in recent years. The region among families aimed to bring down poverty (%) incidence to 21.6% by 2016. Magnitude of poor 3,293,096 3,670,791 3,855,730 In actual, Region VIII was families (no.) one of the eight regions REGION VIII which exhibited increasing poverty in the past few Poverty incidence 30.2 31.1 33.2 years. As of 2009, one in among families three families could not meet (%) their basic food and nonSubsistence 11.1 13.5 14.4 food needs. In total, there Incidence among were 287,156 families or familes (%) 1,731,61 individuals who Magnitude of poor 27,458 253,347 287,156 were in this situation. The families (no.) share of the region to the Magnitude of 83,573 110,071 124,547 total number of poor families subsistence (no.) in the country has also risen, * Based on Refined Poverty Estimation Methodology from 6.9% in 2003 and 2006 to 7.4% in 2009. Region VIII ranked fourth among the regions with the highest shares to the country’s number of impoverished families, the top being Regions VII and V. Region VIII has a lot of catching up to do if it is to achieve its poverty target. Based on the time-distance measure presented by Secretary General Romulo Virona of the National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB) during the official release of the 2009 Poverty Statistics, the Philippines is eight years behind target on poverty reduction for 2016. Among the regions, only four regions in the country are ahead of their targets. These are NCR, CAR, Regions II and 4A. Region VIII is 14 years behind target. Region IX, Caraga, and ARMM are 27, 21, and 81 years behind the target in 2009. The number of families experiencing hunger has also been increasing through the years. From 83,573 in 2003, this has risen to 124,547 in 2009. This can be expected considering that the increase in average per capita AVERAGE PER CAPITA INCOME & FOOD income was slower PRICES than the increase in Philippines and Region VIII, 2006 and 2009 the prices of food. For Indicator 2006 2009 % the period 2006 to change 2009, the nominal PHILIPPINES average per capita Average per 35788 43,538 21.7 income increased by capita income 32.4% but the prices of (pesos) food increased by CPI for food 130.7 162.4 24.3 33.5% during the (index) same period. A similar REGION VIII trend was experienced in 11 other regions as Average per 25,042 33,157 32.4 well and the country as capita income CPI for food 132 176.2 33.5 Source: NSO Soru 19 a whole. The rice price crisis of 2008 contributed largely to the food prices escalation whereby the price of ordinary rice rose by 44% from 2006 to 2009. Thus, the country aims at low and stable prices of food commodities being the item that directly hits the low income groups. This, of course, is affected by production levels and consumer demands. For the period 2011 to 2016, the goal was to peg it in the range of 3% to 5%. As far as Region VIII is concerned, price increases of food items in 2011 overshoot the national target with inflation rate for food and non-alcoholic beverages group showing 5.9%. This was an offoshoot of the successive fuel price hikes and flooding of farms due to heavy rains in the early part of 2011. For the total consumer basket (all items), Region VIII inflation rate stood at 4.5% in 2011. Chapter 2 – Status of the Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Industry The presence of ICT Parks is an important ingredient for any area that wants to be a leader in this industry. It is a come-on to locators due to the benefits provided by the Philippine Economic Zone Authority (PEZA) such as tax holidays. In the Plan period 2004-2010, the region targeted to have an ICT Park. This was realized with the approval by PEZA of the Leyte ICT Park in 2005. A building facility, the Leyte Academic Center, was established afterwards. Attracting locators and ICT enterprises into the 6.8-hectare Leyte ICT Park then became on top of the agenda. In 2006 and 2007, the province of Leyte and other members of the Regional Information Technology and ECommerce Committee (RITECC) conducted selling missions and participated in national ICT events in order to give exposure for the region to potential investors. This paved the way for the entry of APAC Customer Services, Inc. in 2009 which employed about 900 people. The Plan targeted to have two big company locators in the ecozone and this was accomplished with the entry of Accudata, a non-voice business process outsourcing (BPO) company which up to now operates in the said location with about 2,000 employees. For the Plan period 2011-2016, the region targeted the expansion of the Leyte ICT Park and the establishment of an ICT Park in Northern Samar. What has been realized to date was the expansion of the building facility of APAC at the Leyte ICT Park and the establishment of the 22-hectare Uykim Eco-zone which is located just across it. Investment promotion continued to be pursued in recent years. The province of Leyte continued to conduct selling missions to companies in Manila and Cebu and invited potential locators to come to Region VIII during the annual Industry Forum. 20 The Plan 2004-2010 also aimed to have five (5) Information and Technology Enterprises at the Leyte ICT Park. This was partly satisfied with the entry of start-up companies assisted by Leyte Province and the Department of Science and Technology (DOST) through the Technology Business Incubator (TBI) Program for ICT. These include the following: a) the Asian Data Internet Solutions; b) E-Systems Software; c) zurcSoft, Inc. and d) Leyte ICOT-P on IT Laboratories. The AMA University also established itself in the said facility. The three (3) start-up private businesses under the TBI program were not able to take-off after the incubation period while the “Leyte ICOT-P on IT Laboratories” continued to operate up to now and had very promising results which can be considered a best practice in talent development for ICT. The program undertakes training of economically poor, but bright high school students and graduates from the various municipalities to become computer programmers. Some of its graduates are already gainfully employed in Singapore and Manila. Given enough number of skilled programmers, a software company would be interested to locate in the region. The 2011-2016 plan targeted to continue with the TBI program for ICT but with modifications based on past experience. Table 3. Number of Graduates in Matching human resource capability with IT-related diploma in TESDA industry requirements has been a priority Accredited Institutions concern from the previous plan period up to the present. This involves, first, offering the required School Year Region ICT-related courses in private schools and 2007 12,141 universities and second, upgrading the skills of 2008 13, 415 2009 9,351 graduates in the various fields of study to meet Source: TESDA the qualification requirements set by business process outsourcing (BPO) companies. Communication skills, critical thinking skills and softskills are among the skills that need to be harnessed. Over the past few years, several Call Center companies have come to the region and conducted Job Fairs in order to recruit workers with the possibility of putting up a branch in the region. These companies include Teletech, Conversygs and People Support. The graduates performed well in the technical side but were short on the communication side. Due to low hiring rate among local graduates (1% to 3%), potential locators just employed the few recruits in their Manila or Cebu branches. 21 To address the above Table _. Number of Graduates by Field of Study issues, an alliance among Eastern Visayas, SY 2006-2007 & SY 2010-2011 2006 Share 2010 to Share industry and academe Course/Program to % 2011 % stakeholders was forged to 2007 make the academe more Math & Computer Science 7.0 10.5 1,037 1,579 responsive to the demands of Business & related industry. As of 2009, a total of courses 23.2 19.6 3,436 2,946 52 higher education Engineering & Technology 15.4 16.7 2,277 2,504 institutions were reported to Communications 0.4 1.0 61 154 be offering ICT-related Laws & Jurisdiction 0.8 0.8 126 117 courses compared to only 43 Medical 7.5 10.2 1,115 1,529 Others 45.7 41.1 6,780 6,169 in 2005 which explains the TOTAL 14,832 14,998 increase in share of graduates Source: CHED in the Math and Computer Science courses from 7% in SY 2006-2007 to 10.5% in SY 2010-2011. Also, some 75 Technical Education and Skills Authority (TESDA) registered training centers regionwide offered finishing courses not only for call center agents but also for computer programmers, hardware servicing and other ICT niches. The TESDA also provided scholarship programs for short training courses (finishing courses) particularly for call center near-hires and medical transcriptionists. In the present plan, tie-up between schools and ICT companies is encouraged to make the skills of graduates at par with industry standards domestically and globally. 22