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02-453-001 March, 2001 LogiTech: “Closing Transportation Gaps” 1 Introduction It was a sunny and beautiful day in Buenos Aires and Mr. Ben Camelo enjoyed a good cup of coffee while watching the Avenida 9 de Julio from his office’s window. Mr. Camelo, a very successful young entrepreneur, was puzzled wondering whether or not to pursue a new investment opportunity. The investment (Logitech) involved the development a new and innovative system in the Transportation and Logistics industry (T&L) that would help companies and governments in Brazil and Argentina to keep a better record of their assets, therefore, reducing costs and increasing net income. The challenge for Mr. Camelo was to assess the correct value of this project, an assessment that is not easy, especially in Emerging Markets. Mr. Camelo had to evaluate very carefully the risks not only involved in the project, but also the risks involved in investing in these two countries. Background The Opportunity More than a decade ago South America started down the path of privatization, globalization and deregulation process after half a century of state-monopolized industries. Accompanying this change process, a higher quality service offering is becoming a regular requirement. On the one hand, clients are beginning to understand their role as customers, having the opportunity to rationally choose products and services on their value-added and price-performance, as well as becoming more and more demanding. On the other hand, South American companies are realizing that they need to develop innovative practices to sustain the life of the businesses and protect against competitive threats. In addition, today’s highly segmented marketplace proposes no dominant force to help companies overcome this trend. Mr. Camelo believes that the T&L industry represents about US$ 85 billions in yearly revenues in Brazil and Argentina, the two countries that this opportunity would initially targets. Moreover, several economic trends have favored its growth in the past, but the coincidence of three contextual factors is reshaping today’s needs of the T&L players in South America. 1 The students Federico Canepa, Gabriel Michalup, Julio Cubillan, and Ricardo Fischmann have prepared this case and analysis as the final project for the Emerging Markets class at the Fuqua School of Business at Duke University. This case was prepared as the basis for class discussion and analysis rather than to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of a business situation. Page 1 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” First, the pervasiveness of globalization, privatization and especially the explosive growth of South America have accelerated the need for profound productivity increases across the supply chain. It is estimated that from 20% to 40% of the T&L costs are due to inefficiencies, friction and filtration (in the U.S. the upper limit is below 20%). Second, transportation companies have to address high crime rates and unethical practices across the supply chain. These factors are critical in South American countries where loss attributed to stolen vehicles and cargo is proportionally important. Through workshops and interviews conducted by Mr. Camelo’s analysts, several companies have the need of a reliable security service to reduce the incidence of lost resources and control the behavior of its drivers. Furthermore, insurance firms also need a tool to reduce the rate of stolen vehicles and cargo that is economically viable. Finally, the new economy represents a shakeout in the industry’s traditional operating paradigm. While growth of e-Commerce is exponential, the logistical difficulties in handling physical goods pose a major threat to its development and growth. As trading evolves, the most dramatic and immediate impact of eCommerce will be felt on the distribution side of the supply chain as companies seek to differentiate through innovative services. The new economy means increased transportation complexity and it will drive a structural change in supply chains. Higher complexity translates into higher control difficulties, higher coordination problems, and increased less than truckload shipments. In this regard, there is a need for knowledge and information tool capable of handling that increased complexity. Consequently, there is an opportunity to create value by providing the needed information, intelligence, and knowledge services to tackle all inefficiencies, filtrations, and losses across the entire Supply Chain. Mr. Camelo believes that his proposal would perfectly fulfill market needs. Brazil2 Economy Brazil is the 5th largest country in the world and the most populous country (160 million) in South America. Brazil is also the 9th largest economy in the world, possessing large and well-developed agricultural, mining, manufacturing, and service sectors. However, since the early 1980s, and after more than two decades of continued growth and development, the economy has experienced substantial difficulties, including high inflation, economic stagnation, and influence of radical politicians (Exhibit 2). President Cardoso, first elected in 1994, masterminded the stabilization program known as the Real Plan, sought to break inflationary expectations by pegging the real to the US dollar. Inflation was brought down to single digit annual figures, but not fast enough to avoid substantial real exchange rate appreciation. In January 1999, an intense pressure on the Brazilian currency forced the Central Bank to float the Real according to market forces. Against widespread skepticism, the economy withstood the shock of the maxi-devaluation much better than might have been expected. The economic recovery has been remarkable. With interest rates continuing to fall and confidence rising, the economy seems set to achieve the government's 4% growth target for 2000. Inflation remains contained while fiscal discipline has become the norm. Some sectors of the government were even expecting that some relaxation of monetary and fiscal policies and sharper decreases in interest rates could further boost economic development. 2 Sources: EIU – Economist Intelligence Unit; www.latin-focus.com Page 2 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Reforms The growth and development experienced this last decade and the unexpected withstanding to the maxidevaluation in 1999 are a result of several reforms that Brazil has been undertaking to become a more open, efficient, and competitive economy. Several economic and financial reforms were passed in Congress, and the public-sector deficit was already substantially reduced. There are still some serious issues to be addressed. Police forces are inefficient, corrupted, and disorganized. The judiciary system is extremely slow, bureaucrat, and inefficient. Impunity keeps criminal behavior (ranging from tax evasion and copyright violations to robbery and corruption) in levels significantly higher than eventually desired. For Brazil to continue a successful trajectory, there are still some important reforms to be made. Although Cardoso clearly holds an overwhelming majority of congressional seats, it's often been difficult for him to win sufficient congressional support for his initiatives. Argentina3 Economy Argentina is the 2nd largest country in Latin America and benefits from rich natural resources, a highly literate population, an export-oriented agricultural sector, and a diversified industrial base. Until the 1970s when Brazil had attained extraordinary growth, Argentina was the strongest economy in South America. In 1983 after nine years of military rule, Argentina restored democracy. However, the economic situation was critical mainly because of huge external debts, hyperinflation, and decreasing output. After decades of chronic high inflation and flat growth, Argentina began a remarkable economic restructuring program under the Presidency of Carlos Menem (1991-99). The Convertibility Law, passed in 1991, pegged the peso to the US dollar. As a result, inflation plummeted, the country's finances quickly stabilized, and growth surged in the early 1990s, helped by reforms that privatized most state companies and freed trade and investment. Despite the 1995 Mexican peso crisis that produced capital flight, the loss of banking system deposits, and a severe, but short-lived, recession, real GDP growth recovered strongly, reaching 8% in 1997. Recent problems In 1999, however, international financial turmoil caused by Russia's problems and increasing investor anxiety over Brazil currency issues produced the highest domestic interest rates in more than three years, sharply slowing economic growth. President Fernando De La Rúa, who took office in December 1999, sponsored tax increases and spending cuts to reduce the deficit. Growth in 2000 remained a disappointing 0.8%, as both domestic and foreign investors remained skeptical of the government's ability to pay debts and maintain its fixed exchange rate with the US dollar. In addition, Brazilian devaluation has affected Argentinean attractiveness for further investments (please refer to Exhibit 1 for country macroeconomic information) The government ability to boost the economy after a deep recession in 1999 will be key for its success in the near future. The Convertibility Plan of 1991 remains central to policy, backed by the money supply 3 Sources: EIU – Economist Intelligence Unit; www.latin-focus.com Page 3 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” with foreign exchange reserves. However, the peg has its weaknesses and is subject of much criticism, for the country is vulnerable to external shocks, and is unable to use interest rate adjustments as a tool for managing the economy. Another major concern is whether De La Rúa will be able to lead a major restructuring needed in the country’s government entities. Current administration opposition is weak, although that can easily change if the economic situation does not improve, for new presidential elections are planned for 2001. So far, economic prospects for Argentina are good, since several important reforms are expected to take place and increase the country’s ability to overcome three years of minimal growth. Transportation and Logistics Industry Industry Background The T&L is essential to the development of South American economies for its profound relation with other sectors of the economy. Since the transportation industry can be conceived as an extension of the production chain, moving manufactured products, raw materials, and people from one place to another, its impact in the economy as a whole is dramatic. Productive processes or distribution models in the “Just in Time” model, quality of service rendered, and Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI), are examples of activities that push suppliers and buyers to enhance their transportation processes and collaboration. Trade agreements currently held in South America, such as Mercosur, add more complexity to the supply chain network, and force companies to open their markets beyond country boundaries and, through multi-mode transportation services, to the world. Under the ever-increasing integration of the various components of the supply chain, the ability to gather and react to real-time information about the status of the fleet and cargo represents higher value due to growing competitive pressures. Timely information about the status of the supply chain and the products is therefore becoming as valuable as the commercial assets. “As customers’ expectations rise, shippers are requiring carriers to supply up-to-date information via the Net. Even companies that ship locally or overnight – and don’t normally worry about tracking – plan to take advantage of the Internet to reduce customer service calls, monitor carriers, announce delays, and verify delivery for swifter payment.”4 The value of such information-based tools is easily derived from the tangible impact in market share lost, increased service revenues, or broken supply chains. This financial value already exists and is available to be shared with the solution provider. Industry overall profitability in the region is lower than 5%. Increased costs (such as privatized roads, increased taxes) and reduced prices due to stronger competition (lower barriers to entry for international carriers) decreased the overall profitability of the trucking industry. However, the industry has a vast potential for enhancement. A consultant firm’s industry survey indicates that average use of a fleet is 66% and back haul potential improvement is 43% (taken from average percentage of empty return trips). Technology could dramatically improve efficiency and investment return of T&L industry. The advent of open protocols for wireless communications will soon allow most vehicles of using several carriers to either receive or transmit voice and data, such as vehicle location and alarms, upon request or when selftriggered by an event. Practical applications to support this need will be key for the South American transportation industry to using real time information about the operations to optimize resource 4 Bell, Steven. Logistics On-Line. Forrester Research, April 1998. Page 4. Page 4 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” utilization, reduce uncertainty, and thus become more efficient to compete and surpass world-class requirements. However, South American T&L industry does not take advantage of technology to improve operations. A recent survey by a consulting firm, showed that only 35% of the industry uses some kind of fleet management system and less than 20% uses Internet as part of their operations. In addition, current services offered to the industry are mainly focused on security, and do not offer an integrated solution that specifically address the broader current and future needs. Moreover, current industry trends reveal the potential of technology to improve the industry. An increased consolidation of the industry in the next years is expected and would give companies the economy of scale to justify their investment in technology. The industry is currently highly segmented with 50% of the vehicles as part of a fleet of two or less vehicles. Moreover, Mercosur would dramatically increase trade between countries, increasing the average mileage of cargo movement, increasing the complexity of the supply chain (multimode transportation), and tending toward consolidating the industry. Target Customers Four clearly different segments compose the industry: truckload industry, service industry, public transportation industry and taxi industry (Exhibit 3). A critical issue for all market segments in Argentina and Brazil is security. Fleet owners suffer severe losses from theft that range from 2% to 4%. In case of truckload industry, cargo is always lost, and many times the vehicle is lost as well. Moreover, the downstream supply chain is halt when a delivery is not fulfilled, generating further intangible costs. Operations optimization is not currently viewed as important as security is. However, once security needs are covered, the next logical step in the service value chain for the industry is the implementation of solutions to optimize their operations due to the high potential for cost improvement. A currently low penetration of technology will demand a need of educating T&L management to use higher value services such as Fleet Management and Transportation Web Portal. The natural service offering would range from low value services such as vehicle location to higher value services such as Internet portals. In addition, customers do not have access to an integrated service offering. Different software vendors provide non-integrated software solutions for fleet maintenance, cargo optimization, fleet optimization, and fleet cost control. An integrated solution is believed to be the key to capture the T&L market. Moreover, fleet owners do not want to invest large sums of money in expensive operation centers equipped with costly hardware and software. Instead, they prefer to subscribe to a monthly service, paying a per vehicle monthly fee. This way, transportation companies and fleet owners will be able to reduce their fixed costs, by replacing them with a variable cost. Competition Dynamics Most companies that concentrate their service offering in South America provide security services. A smaller number of companies offer other services but not in an integrated fashion. Mr. Camelo believes that no company is currently able to offer a service as that of Logitech or is able to deploy it in the short term. Competitor intelligence concluded that: Page 5 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Route Certification and Fleet Management About 20 companies operate in South America, offering services related to route certification and fleet management. Most of the companies provide security services. The services offered range from triggering an alarm with a panic button to turning on lights or cutting the engine, including the recovery of robbed vehicles. The latter is offered by a small number of companies. Several companies offer maintenance services but only one (Qualcomm) provides an integrated fleet maintenance solution. Qualcomm develops products and services for the transportation market (satellite communications, messaging, and fleet maintenance) and has a strong brand in the trucking industry and in satellite communications. However, a limited number of companies operate via Internet, where clients could have easier and faster access to vehicle location and other variables being monitored, or have a messaging system. Transportation Web Portal Internet penetration in Latin America is reminiscent of the U.S. market four or five years ago. There are few specific sites dedicated to the transportation industry, and value-added services over the Web are practically nonexistent. Based on the product definition for the transportation Web Portal, four main competitive segments can be identified, each one depending on cultural and geographic factors that uniquely determine their competitive landscape. Industry-Specific Information Services: Many sites in the U.S. offer diverse information related to legislation, events, directories, and other subjects trying to create an online community for the transportation industry. However, there are a few sites with content in Spanish or Portuguese, most published by industry specific magazines. The competitive analysis did not detect major players in South America, where government-owned sites are still the main reference for transportation information. Building an online transport community to support the market penetration of Logitech business concept would be an advantage. Route-specific Information: This segment basically demands precise geographic coverage and information processing capabilities. Only a very small group of new ventures has actually implemented a complete route specific information service via the Internet in the U.S., and there are some European initiatives primarily still in their development stages. Transportation Exchange: Over the past decade, some companies tried to become an exchange center for cargo transportation. Since telephone was their main method of communication it became very difficult to generate the necessary volume of transactions to take advantage of back hauling opportunities, so their role remained as a mere intermediary for one-way trips. Today, companies like Logisat or Siteweb are trying to take these services onto the Internet. E-Commerce: Very few U.S. sites sell specific products for the trucking industry, and most of those offer just a limited array of products. Although South America forecasts show potential and promising online Web sales of retail products, no transportation site with online sales capabilities focusing the trucking industry in the region was detected. The Company: LogiTech What is LogiTech? The company’s core business is delivery of value to the T&L Industry in Latin America through information analysis, intelligence and knowledge surrounding a given vehicle/fleet, its cargo and its environment. LogiTech will offer an integrated service to land-based transportation fleets. Brazil and Argentina are the first target markets, although this idea can be easily replicable to other markets Page 6 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” worldwide. LogiTech target is the T&L Industry, which is essential to the development of Latin America’s economy because of its profound relation with other sectors of the economy. LogiTech proposed services are: Route Certification: On-line tracking and tracing of vehicle routes and on-line notification of constraints that have been violated (i.e. speed, boundaries, and temperature). Fleet Management: Providing tools and services over the Internet for fleet planning, execution, analysis and cost control. Transportation Web Portal: On-line logistics marketplace that includes information services, supply chain tools, and related products/services for the transport industry. Future products: envisioned services include warehousing and services exchange, and B2B Freight Payment. The key strength of LogiTech proposal is its capacity to deliver advanced technology with integrated functionality. Another advantage over competitors is the assurance of access to an improved technology with no upfront investment required. Logitech services would be acquired with only a monthly fee, without any additional expense. These competitive advantages differentiate it from other players. Once this venture guarantees strong customer reliability, a rapid market penetration will ensue. Extensive market analysis has lead to the identification of two keys to this venture’s success. First, extremely short time to market is essential. As is common to any industry, being first to market commands a huge premium, but this is increasingly crucial considering the rapid evolution of dot.com offerings and development of fleet efficiency technology. Mr. Camelo believes he is ready to deploy the business, however some hardware and software development are the critical path for the go-alive and, therefore, any delay would impact the project roll out. Logitech’s T&L solution is tailored to different customers’ needs. Industry basic segmentation classifies customers in four categories: truckload industry (further divided in long haul and short haul), service industry (mostly short haul), public transportation industry (further divided in short and long distance) and taxi industry (Exhibit 3). A key driver for the type of service a customer needs and its implied cost is the frequency they need to update data. Logitech expects to address this segmentation with the services Event Driven (ED), Low Frequency (LF), and High Frequency (HF). Even Driven refers to a type of service in which information is trigger from the vehicle only in case of an event (vehicle stolen, vehicle damage or broken). Low Frequency is adequate for fleets that serve mainly long distances, as the dynamic of supply chain is lower (less number of stops). Finally, High Frequency is an almost on-line update of vehicle data, used for highly dynamic supply chains such as deliveries in a city (please see Exhibit 4 for segments needs). Company Structure Logitech will have locations in three different countries. The main office would be located in Miami, Florida, where all the service’s system will be stored. By having this main office, Mr. Camelo would centralize operations forecasting future growth in other Latin American countries and worldwide. Also, due to the crime rate in Latin America, Logitech would mitigate part of its risk by storing all the data and software equipment in a less risky country. Besides the main office, Logitech would have office in each country it plans to have operations, starting with Brazil and afterwards Argentina. These regional offices would be mainly in charge of the sales force and the customer services. Each of these offices would growth depending on it specific needs. Page 7 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Logitech will launch first in Brazil, and six month later open the office in Argentina. The reason behind this decision is the limited resources available after launching the project in Brazil. Mr. Camelo decided to go first into the Brazil market because it has bigger economic size and higher growth potential. If the project were successful in Brazil and Argentina, Logitech would expand its operation to other countries. Mr. Camelo thought to first try in other important Latin-American countries such as Mexico, Chile, Venezuela, Colombia and Peru. After getting reasonable market position and stable revenue income, he will expand to other countries not necessarily restricted to Latin America. Financial Projections After a deep analysis, Mr. Camelo came out with the key variables that affect the pro-forma. They are divided in four big groups: Revenues, Variable Costs, Fixed Costs, and Investments. Besides the main items in the pro-forma, are also worth considering tax expenses, and the variables that may affect some costs. Business Forecast Several issues regarding the business forecast for Logitech concerned Mr. Camelo, as some of the assumptions implied a considerable variability that would pose additional risk to the project. Mr. Camelo’s team considered appropriate to resemble technology penetration to that of the cellular phone when launched in the mid eighties. Deviations from that value implied strong cash flow fluctuations. Others variables such as the growth of the total available market, penetration of higher value services, and target market share also fluctuate the bottom line (Exhibit 5 for price assumptions, Exhibit 6 for other assumptions). Among costs projections, fixed cost were not a concern. They were comparatively too small. Variable costs, however, were source of important fluctuations. The cost of the vehicle location device, communication costs, and installation costs were calculated as precisely as possible for a business that had not yet been rolled out. Please refer to the evolution of these costs in Exhibits 7 and 8. Investment and Amortization Logitech requires strong initial investment in technology. This technology would be basically stored in the Miami’s office. The highest investment costs would be in implementation. More detail about investment in each country can be found in Exhibit 9. Taxes Logitech is facing three different tax structures in each of the country they are investing in. The differences arise in tax rate and type of taxes. Argentina and Brazil companies have to pay both, Value Added tax and Sales tax. The rates for Value Added Tax are 21% and 16% for Argentina and Brazil, and Sale tax of 4% and 5% respectively. The income tax rate is set on average at 35% to all the three countries. Page 8 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Financing Decisions Mr. Camelo divided his financial decisions in two parts: the financial instruments available to him, and the equity holders of the company. These two options are extremely related, because it is a big trade off on how much control and risk he is willing to take by himself, and how to broad the financial instruments available to him. Initial Financing Needs The first year investment is estimated to be US$22 million followed the next years by US$ 7.9 and US$ 2.4. The pro forma estimates that after the second year, the cash flow generated would be enough to cover the Capital Expenditures of year 2 and so on. The financing could be divided in two terms, the initial for US$ 22 million and a later one for US$ 8 million. Using these two financial rounds would allow them to reduce the risk exposure by letting the debt holders analyze the results of the venture after the first year of operation and at the same time reduce the interest payments. Capital Structure The proposed transaction is set to have as Mr. Camelo, the main developer of the business. Because of not having all the available funds to put in Logitech, he is searching for other sources of Capital. So far, his personal credit rating doesn’t allow financing the entire project with personal loans. Also, because LogiTech is a start up company, the access to financial sources is also somehow restricted. LogiTech is considering different financial alternatives, and here is the list of the current financial options: Venture Capital and Private Equity in Emerging Markets5 The practice of Venture Capital/Private Equity in emerging has grown considerable in the last decade. Latin American countries have had also this flow of funds and was estimated that between 1994 and 1995 the funds raised $1.4 billion. The single biggest investor in this poll has come from the US. The implementation of Private Equity in emerging countries differ some how from the practices used in Developed countries. The main issues that distinguish Venture Capital funds in Latin America are: Fundraising: In the case of Latin America, Venture Capitalist funds have implemented the same fund structure of having a Limited Partner (provider of the funds) and a General Partner (in charge of investing the funds in companies). The general partners in Latin American countries tend to work similar to the US Venture Capital, with the exception of one fund6. In the case of Limited Partners, the funds have being coming, besides the same investors for US Venture Capitals, from Pension Funds, Corporations, Insurance Companies, high net worth individuals, US foreign aid organizations like USAID (U.S. Agency or International Development), quasi-governmental corporations like OPIC (Overseas Private Investment Corporation), and from multilateral financial institutions like IFC (International Finance Corporation). Most of the information of this section is from: Josh Lerner “Venture Capital Private Equity A Case Book” published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2000. 6 Lorenzo Weissman “The Advent of Private Equity in Latin America, “The Columbia Journal of World Business 31” spring 1996. 5 Page 9 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Investing: In this case, Venture Capital funds, as opposite from the US, tends to target established firms in mature industries. Among the most typical investment categories are privatizations, corporate restructurings, strategic alliances, and infrastructure funds. In the sense of identifying potential deals, the Latin America funds follow a similar structure applied by the US funds to determine investing opportunities. The primarily financial vehicle in emerging countries used by Venture Capital is common stocks, but the shareholders agreements tend to be similar to those commonly used in the US. The main difference between US and Latin America funds arise in valuating companies, mainly due to lack of information or higher risk levels. Exiting: Venture Capitals have problems in exiting from ventures, because of the lack of a “hot market” or constant possibility of an Initial Public Offerings (IPO). The most popular exit way is to sell the portfolio of firms to strategic investors. Venture Capital and Private Equity Financing LogiTech has had trouble to be consider by Venture Capital firms in both, Argentina and Brazil, mainly because the project was in early stages and in an untraditional industry. Also, LogiTech had contacted different Investment Banking Venture Funds and received similar answers. He needs the funds to start his business and Venture Capital was his best alternative, otherwise he should go to financial institution and get the funds but at higher financial costs and at the same time carrying higher risk. Another reason Venture Capital funds were reluctant to invest was for the fact of his lack of experience in this specific business. On the other hand, Mr. Camelo liked the idea of having a Venture Capital providing the funds, dismissing the risk of not getting the funds through a financial institution, the collateral he might had to put in, and interest payments since getting the funds. Mr. Camelo knows that to close a deal with any Venture capital, the fund should be able to acquire more than 90% of the company and they will add a new CEO to run operations. Mr. Camelo would lose control of LogiTech, but that was a trade off he was willing to accept in order to go on with his business. Local Currency Mr. Camelo was also considering other financial alternatives with local financial institutions. These alternatives were more costly than Venture Capital because of Logitech risk rating, and the collateral needed to back up any credit. The options considered include short-term and long-term debt, financial leasing, and syndicated loans. Short-term debt: This is one of the most feasible solutions. In general, Latin American banks credit portfolios consists mainly on promissory notes. The interest rates are estimated to be the average lending rate plus 150 bps to 300 bps, depending of the risk. For companies, financing working capital is easier than big projects. Also, for local banks, the risks of promissory notes are lower than other log-term investments, once it is easier to pick up the collateral in case of default. And because is a short loan (on average for 90 days extendable up to 3 years) the risk involved is lower. These local economies tend to have very deep economic cycles (either recessions or growing). One difficultness of this product is the stream of monthly interest payments and quarterly capital amortization. Long-term debt: This is a term structure not very used by local banks due to the commitment of funds for long periods of time. Banks consider this product riskier than promissory note basically for its Page 10 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” duration. For the clients, the collateral should be higher in proportion and tend to be mortgages or PPE (Property Plant and Equipment). Also, it is very difficult to get long-term finance to star up’s company because the lack of proven track record. The banks’ provisions to the regulatory agencies tend to be higher for financing these types of companies. Usually this product has the option of up to 6 month of grace period of none payments and a spread of up to 150 bps over the average lending interest rate. On the other side banks charge a disbursement fee between 1% and 2.5% of total funds. Financial Leasing: This is a more feasible option. Even tough it represents a long-term investment, the banks tend to have two collateral for this type of loan: the financed asset and any other asset. The reason is that the bank does not control the financed asset, which depreciates over time reducing its market value. Because of a better collateral and because is attached to a specific asset rather to a company, this type of long-term loans are more feasible to companies, and banks can control if the loan is used to purchase the asset rather than diverted to other uses. On the other hand, as in the long-term debt case, there is bank reluctance to finance startup companies. Lending conditions are similar to long-term debt but with the addition of asset insurance, estimated between 2% to 5% of asset value. Syndicated Loan: This is a type of financial instrument used either to finance a big project, or by small banks that want to finance projects like this, but don’t have enough equity to lend all the money by themselves. But this financial instrument is mainly for long-term debt and the risk involved could be greater than other types of debt for two reasons: the involvement of other banks in the operation, and the seniority of debt for each. The cost for the client is similar to long-term debt but with an additional fee at the disbursement between 1% and 2% to the leading bank for structuring the transaction payable. Foreign Currency Long-term debt: Many international banks have branches in foreign countries, including Latin America, and they finance projects mainly in US dollars. Other opportunity to be considered is to get financed from these institutions in foreign currency. The main differences between financing in local and foreign currency are the hedge from dramatic changes in local interest rates, but increasing the risk of local currency fluctuation. This type of financing runs again in the same problem of long-term finance explained before. Interest rates tend to be pegged to the PRIME rate plus a spread ranging from 0 bps to 400 bps, depending on client and country risks. Financial Leasing: This product features are a mix of long-term debt in foreign currency and financial leasing in local currency, by allowing LogiTech to receive finance for machinery in dollar terms. The terms are similar to foreign debt plus asset insurance. Financial Partnership After doing research of the feasibility of financial instruments, Mr. Camelo realizes the need of having a partner with a proven record to provide access to different financial instruments. His main financial goal was to secure Venture Capital resources for Logitech; but in case this alternative doesn’t work, he realized the need of finding a partner to help Logitech have broader options of financial instruments, lower financial risk, and lower loan’s collateral requirement. Page 11 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Looking Forward As the dusk was setting on Buenos Aires, Camelo considered his options. Although his analysis of LogiTech investment opportunity was very thorough, he was still unsure about some risks. What were all political, financial and economic risks of doing business in Brazil and Argentina? Was there another way to mitigate the project-specific risks? Were they any possible alliances to ensure the success of LogiTech? Was the discount rate he was using the appropriate one? Should operations be deployed in one country before another? Are there some real options that would add some value to the base case scenario valuation? With these questions in mind, Mr. Camelo closed his office door. He would have to make a decision by the end of that week. Page 12 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Exhibit 1 Argentina’s economics indicators (% unless otherwise indicated) Real GDP growth Industrial output growth Unemployment rate (% of labor force) Consumer price inflation Average Average Year end Interest rate (av; %) General government balance (% of GDP) Merchandise exports fob ($ bn) Merchandise imports fob ($ bn) Current-account balance ($ bn) % of GDP Total foreign debt (Dec; $ bn) Exchange rates (av) Ps:$ Ps:€ Ps:BrR 1998(a) 3.9 2.9 12.9 1999(b) -3.9 -4.5 14.5 2000(c) 3.5 2.5 13.8 2001(c) 4.1 2.5 12.4 0.9 -1.2(a) 0.7 -1.8(a) 10.6 12.1 -1.4 -2.4 26.4 23.6 29.4 24.2 -14.7 -12.4 -4.9 -4.4 138.9(b) 139.5 0.4 1.8 13.3 -1.3 25.6 26.5 -14.2 -4.8 149.5 1.5 1.8 9.2 -0.9 27.7 28.8 -13.6 -4.4 157.1 1.000 1.03 0.561 1.000 1.12 0.569 1.000 1.12 0.861 (a) Actual. (b) EIU forecasts. (c) EIU estimate. Page 13 of 21 1.000 1.07 0.551 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Exhibit 2 Brazil's economics indicators (% unless otherwise indicated) Real GDP growth Gross industrial output growth Gross agricultural output growth Gross fixed investment growth Unemployment rate (% of labor force) Consumer price inflation Average Average Year end Interest rate/lending (av; %) General government balance (% of GDP) Merchandise exports fob ($ bn) Merchandise imports fob ($ bn) Current-account balance ($ bn) % of GDP Total foreign debt (Dec; $ bn) Exchange rates (av) R:$ R:€ 1998(a) -0.2 -3.7 0.0 2.5 7.6 1999(a) 0.8 -1.3 9.0 -1.0(c) 6.3 2000(b) 3.9 4.5 0.0 7.5 6.8 2001(b) 4.6 3.9 4.0 7.0 6.5 3.2 4.9 1.7 8.9 42.3 33.5 (c) -8.1 -9.5 51.1 48.0 57.7 19.2 -33.8 -24.4 -4.4 -3.7 223.1 216.1 (c) 8.4 7.8 23.4 -3.8 56.9 54.9 -24.3 -3.7 228.8 6.9 6.3 20.7 -3.2 65.4 62.5 -24.1 -3.2 243.1 1.78 1.95 1.76 2.08 1.16 1.30 (a) Actual. (b) EIU forecasts. (c) EIU estimate. Page 14 of 21 1.81 1.94 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Exhibit 3 Segmentation, market size and expected market growth for the next five years Total Market Size (Units) Argentina Total Available Market Trucks Cargo Service Public Transportation (Buses) Taxi Cabs Total Cars Brazil Total Available Market Trucks Cargo Service Public Transportation (Buses) Taxi Cabs Total Cars Annual Growth 3.38% 3.43% 4.40% 1.26% 4.16% 10.96% 7.58% 2,000 2,001 2,002 2,003 2,004 1,591,254 1,500,000 1,320,000 180,000 44,600 46,653 4,665,329 1,623,541 1,530,000 1,346,400 183,600 46,291 47,250 4,725,045 1,656,500 1,560,600 1,373,328 187,272 48,045 47,855 4,785,526 1,690,146 1,591,812 1,400,795 191,017 49,866 48,468 4,846,781 1,724,492 1,623,648 1,428,810 194,838 51,756 49,088 4,908,819 5,712,847 5,069,651 4,461,293 608,358 430,062 213,134 21,313,351 5,956,963 5,246,226 4,616,679 629,547 481,137 229,600 22,959,957 6,214,567 5,428,952 4,777,478 651,474 538,277 247,338 24,733,775 6,486,692 5,618,042 4,943,877 674,165 602,204 266,446 26,644,632 6,774,471 5,813,718 5,116,071 697,646 673,722 287,031 28,703,117 Exhibit 4: Expected client base at 2000. Client base is assumed to growth at rates given in Exhibit 3. Segment Cargo Trucks Type of Service Long Haul Short Haul Service Trucks Buses Taxi Cabs Cargo Trucks Long Haul Short Haul ED LF HF ED HF ED LF HF Page 15 of 21 Expected client base (%) Argentina Brazil 20.57% 19.37% 53.02% 49.92% 9.36% 8.81% 2.81% 2.64% 8.51% 8.01% 1.91% 5.13% 0.40% 1.08% 0.49% 1.32% Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Exhibit 5 Price assumptions for income forecast (Argentina and Brazil, in country denominated currency) Year 1 1Q Argentina (Ar$) Route Certification Cargo Trucks Service Trucks Buses Taxi Cabs Service Trucks Buses Taxi Cabs Fleet Management Price Reduction Year 2 3Q 4Q Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 ED LF HF ED HF ED LF HF ED HF $108.50 $234.63 $188.50 $88.50 $168.50 $108.50 $234.63 $188.50 $86.00 $166.00 $50.00 $108.50 $234.63 $188.50 $88.50 $168.50 $108.50 $234.63 $188.50 $86.00 $166.00 $50.00 0% $108.50 $234.63 $188.50 $88.50 $168.50 $108.50 $234.63 $188.50 $86.00 $166.00 $50.00 0% $108.50 $234.63 $188.50 $88.50 $168.50 $108.50 $234.63 $188.50 $86.00 $166.00 $50.00 0% $109.30 $238.94 $192.49 $89.30 $172.49 $109.30 $238.94 $192.49 $86.80 $169.99 $50.00 0% $107.70 $230.27 $184.47 $87.70 $164.47 $107.70 $230.27 $184.47 $85.20 $161.97 $50.00 7.5% $109.47 $239.87 $193.35 $89.47 $173.35 $109.47 $239.87 $193.35 $86.97 $170.85 $50.00 10.0% $107.85 $231.12 $185.27 $87.85 $165.27 $107.85 $231.12 $185.27 $85.35 $162.77 $50.00 12.5% ED LF HF ED HF ED LF HF ED HF $90.63 $236.66 $187.17 $90.63 $187.17 $90.63 $236.66 $187.17 $89.13 $185.67 $38.00 $90.63 $236.66 $187.17 $90.63 $187.17 $90.63 $236.66 $187.17 $89.13 $185.67 $38.00 0% $90.63 $236.66 $187.17 $90.63 $187.17 $90.63 $236.66 $187.17 $89.13 $185.67 $38.00 0% $90.63 $236.66 $187.17 $90.63 $187.17 $90.63 $236.66 $187.17 $89.13 $185.67 $38.00 0% $87.79 $221.24 $172.93 $87.79 $172.93 $87.79 $221.24 $172.93 $86.29 $171.43 $38.00 0% $85.94 $211.22 $163.68 $85.94 $163.68 $85.94 $211.22 $163.68 $84.44 $162.18 $38.00 7.5% $82.43 $192.23 $146.15 $82.43 $146.15 $82.43 $192.23 $146.15 $80.93 $144.65 $38.00 10.0% $79.53 $176.55 $131.67 $79.53 $131.67 $79.53 $176.55 $131.67 $78.03 $130.17 $38.00 12.5% Fleet Management Price Reduction Brazil (Br$) Route Certification Cargo Trucks 2Q Note: Prices were set with a margin of 100% over total variable costs for each service in each country. Page 16 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Exhibit 6 Key assumptions probability distribution Variable Pessimistic Market Assumptions Market Share Year 4 Discount Rate Terminal Growth Value (%) Market Size Growth Trucks Public Transportation Cabs Fleet Mgment Penetration Coef.(% base) With Basic Service Without Basic Service B2B Growth in the region (% base) Tech. Penetration Curve Growth Rate Coef. (% base) Variable Cost Assumptions Device Cost Initial Price (% base) Price Evolution (neg. exponential) Device Installation Initial Cost (% base) Cost Evolution Communication Costs Cost Evolution (neg. exponential) Middle Optimistic Pessimistic Middle Optimistic 12.00% 22% 1.00% 15.00% 27% 2.50% 20.00% 35% 5.00% 15.00% 24% 1.00% 20.00% 29% 2.50% 25.00% 37% 5.00% 2.00% 2.00% 1.00% 3.00% 3.79% 1.28% 5.00% 6.50% 1.50% 3.00% 7.00% 6.00% 3.48% 11.88% 7.73% 6.00% 14.00% 9.00% 0.60 0.75 0.65 0.90 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.50 1.20 0.70 0.80 0.65 0.85 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.70 1.20 0.80 1.00 1.30 0.80 1.00 1.40 0.80 0.45 1.00 0.50 1.30 0.61 0.80 0.45 1.00 0.50 1.30 0.61 0.80 0.20 1.00 0.33 1.20 0.40 0.80 0.20 1.00 0.33 1.20 0.40 0.30 0.37 0.50 0.30 0.37 0.50 Other Assumptions: Brazil is expected to maintain its currency fluctuating around 2:1 in year 2000, loosing value up to a mean of 2.7:1 in year 2002 and decreasing down to a mean of 2.2:1 for year 2004. Argentina’s exchange is currently pegged to the dollar and probability of devaluation is currently low of around 5% and growing to 30% in year 2004. In case of a devaluation, currency exchange would move up to a maximum of 2.5 in the first year, decreasing to around 1.8 by year 3 or 4. Page 17 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Exhibit 7 Fixed operating costs by site (in country denominated currency) Year 0 Fixed Operating Costs US (US$) SW Maintenance HW Maintenance HW Leasing Communication (not device, HW) Facilities Maintenance Total Brazil (Br$) SW Maintenance HW Maintenance HW Leasing Communication (not device, HW) Facilities Total Argentine ($Ar) SW Maintenance HW Maintenance HW Leasing Communication (not device, HW) Facilities Total Marketing Costs Other Expenses Total Fixed Operating Costs Year 1 Q4 Q1 $ 58,899 $ 29,121 $122,307 $ 8,400 Q2 Year 2 Q3 Year 3 Year 4 Q4 $ 76,525 $ 80,008 $ 84,407 $ 85,886 $ 36,645 $ 44,506 $ 44,843 $ 44,927 $ 153,910 $ 186,925 $ 188,340 $ 188,694 $ 8,400 $ 8,400 $ 8,400 $ 8,400 $ $ $ $ 377,651 173,617 766,099 33,600 $ $ $ $ 407,465 174,797 771,053 33,600 $ $ $ $ $109,125 $ 111,225 $ 111,525 $ 112,325 $ 112,525 $327,852 $ 386,705 $ 431,364 $ 438,315 $ 440,433 $ 454,000 $ 1,804,967 $ 456,800 $ $ 1,843,714 $ $ 855 $ $ 9,127 $ $ 38,335 $ $ 30,000 $ 4, 486 11,392 47,662 30,000 $ $ $ $ 24,891 51,142 47,846 120,000 $ $ $ $ 34,369 56,525 221,246 120,000 $ 45,875 $ 47,825 $ 48,350 $ 49,100 $ 49,100 $124,192 $ 129,362 $ 136,443 $ 140,352 $ 142,640 $ $ 194,375 438,254 $ $ $ $ $ $ - $ $ $ $ 11,932 25,886 200,495 60,000 $ $ $ $ $ $ - $ $ $ $ 2,736 10,466 38,335 30,000 - $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 3,309 10,826 43,959 30,000 - $ - $ $ - $ $ 500,000 $ 3,960 $ 11,700 $ 15,480 $456,004 $1,027,767 $ 583,287 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 4,436 11,348 45,468 30,000 2,283 10,114 42,477 30,000 $ 46,175 $ 131,048 $ 500,000 $ 21,600 $1,231,315 Year 5 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 2,976 10,655 44,750 30,000 $ 88,925 $ 177,306 $ 24,120 $ 784,499 Page 18 of 21 $ 310,600 $ 608,913 $ 1,000,000 $ 144,720 $ 3,996,854 $ $ $ $ 451,421 175,134 772,468 33,600 $ $ $ $ 495,455 176,819 779,545 33,600 457,600 $ 1,890,222 $ 461,600 1,947,018 49,615 65,697 243,852 120,000 $ $ $ $ 61,357 72,110 282,377 120,000 194,375 $ 626,514 $ 194,375 $ 673,539 $ 194,375 730,218 13,331 27,216 206,081 60,000 $ $ $ $ 16,484 29,894 217,327 60,000 $ $ $ $ 18,916 31,994 226,147 60,000 $ 480,400 $ $ 787,028 $ $ 1,500,000 $ $ 169,200 $ $ 4,926,456 $ 652,300 976,004 1,500,000 208,800 5,248,566 $ $ $ $ $ 823,300 1,160,356 1,500,000 243,360 5,580,953 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Exhibit 8 Variable Costs (Operating costs and Payroll and Benefits, in country denominated currency) Year 0 Year 2 Year 1 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Q4 Variable Operating Costs Brazil Safety Communications Device Cost and Installation Leasing Total Argentine Safety Communications Device Cost and Installation Leasing Total Total Variable Operating Costs $ $ $ - $ 6,469 $ 68,671 $ 50,867 $ 21,574 $ 41,015 $ 64,791 $ 229,023 $ 435,394 $ 687,783 $ 167,604 $ 316,120 $1,991,850 $ 700,658 $ 7,418,324 $ 5,867,456 $ 1,991,915 $ 4,478,238 $ 7,560,143 $21,019,301 $ 47,088,803 $ 79,207,856 $16,628,125 $ 37,289,246 $ 62,803,056 $ - $ 126,008 $ 418,201 $ 792,529 $2,744,423 $13,986,437 $39,639,342 $ 88,856,287 $149,571,055 $ $ $ - $ $ $ - $ $ $ - $ 11,171 $ 36,318 - $ 26,241 $ 85,308 - $ 299,611 $ 524,375 $ 618,126 $ 1,451,614 $ 1,133,574 $ 2,010,340 $ 4,703,630 $ 8,567,228 $ 4,720,010 $ 11,040,800 $ 20,104,795 $ 3,685,901 $ 8,621,669 $ 15,699,385 $ - $ - $ - $ 337,023 $ 646,001 $ 3,203,314 $10,416,251 $ 24,366,098 $ 44,371,408 $ - $ 126,008 $ 418,201 $1,129,551 $3,390,424 $17,189,751 $50,055,593 $113,222,385 $193,942,463 $387,000 $183,483 $ - $ 523,800 $ 490,941 $ - $ 541,800 $ 599,400 $ 675,180 $ 560,367 $ 646,323 $ 710,955 $ 314,213 $ 515,309 $ 697,193 $ 4,001,592 $ 5,256,165 $ 4,478,911 $ 4,804,951 $ $ 6,738,318 $ $ 5,194,930 $ $570,483 $1,014,741 $1,416,380 $1,761,032 $2,083,328 $13,736,668 $16,738,199 $ 21,410,175 $ 25,675,272 Payroll and Benefits US Brazil Argentine Total Payroll and Benefits Page 19 of 21 5,419,846 $ 6,415,431 9,572,070 $ 11,562,953 6,418,259 $ 7,696,889 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Exhibit 9 Investment and Amortization for U.S., Brazil, and Argentina (in US$) USA Investment Software Hardware Facilities Recruiting Total Cash Investments Implementation Total Hours Total Investment Brazil Investment Software Hardware Facilities Recruiting Total Cash Investments Implementation Total Hours Total Investment Argentina Investment Software Hardware Facilities Recruiting Total Cash Investments Implementation Total Hours Total Investment Year 0 Year 1 Q4 Q1 Year 2 Q2 Q3 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Q4 $ 694,980 $1,164,827 $ 142,500 $ 211,800 $1,049,280 $ 378,230 $ 300,985 $ 42,000 $ 38,000 $ 458,230 $ 75,589 $ 314,423 $ 6,000 $ 5,000 $ 86,589 $ 104,555 $ 13,480 $ 16,000 $ 16,000 $ 136,555 $ $ $ $ $ 36,975 3,370 4,000 4,000 44,975 $ 298,995 $ 26,960 $ 32,000 $ 37,000 $ 367,995 $ 176,810 $ 11,795 $ 14,000 $ 24,000 $ 214,810 $ $ $ $ $ 260,760 3,370 4,000 8,000 272,760 $ $ $ $ $ 260,000 16,850 20,000 27,000 307,000 $4,098,640 $4,098,640 $5,147,920 $ 461,310 $ 461,310 $ 919,540 $ 232,030 $ 232,030 $ 318,619 $ 16,850 $ 16,850 $ 153,405 $ $ $ 4,590 4,590 49,565 $ 32,530 $ 32,530 $ 400,525 $ 15,470 $ 15,470 $ 230,280 $ $ $ 4,420 4,420 277,180 $ $ $ 18,100 18,100 325,100 $ 17,100 $ 365,095 $ 77,500 $ 61,332 $ 94,600 $ $ $ $ $ 38,810 53,560 39,000 70,680 77,810 $ $ $ $ $ 11,770 14,370 10,500 15,960 22,270 $ $ $ $ $ 24,545 20,900 15,000 19,760 39,545 $ $ $ $ $ 1,000 1,750 1,000 $ 51,420 $ 71,100 $ 51,000 $ 83,600 $ 186,020 $ $ $ $ $ 50,990 53,825 34,500 47,120 85,490 $ $ $ $ $ 81,330 91,725 61,500 106,400 142,830 $ $ $ $ $ 63,510 64,125 40,500 50,920 104,010 $ 281,917 $ 281,917 $ 376,517 $ 137,400 $ 137,400 $ 215,210 $ $ $ 15,150 15,150 37,420 $ $ $ 34,970 34,970 74,515 $ $ $ 1,000 $ 61,140 $ 61,140 $ 247,160 $ 45,830 $ 45,830 $ 131,320 $ $ $ 82,610 82,610 225,440 $ $ $ 53,670 53,670 157,680 $ $ $ $ $ - $ $ $ $ $ - $ $ $ - $ $ $ - $ $ $ $ 112,700 $ $ $ $ - $ 46,250 $ 404,545 $ 83,500 $ 56,000 $ 129,750 $ $ $ $ $ 14,160 21,650 15,000 33,000 29,160 $ 33,970 $ 51,175 $ 37,500 $ 59,000 $ 130,470 $ $ $ $ $ 6,995 13,300 9,000 16,000 15,995 $ $ $ $ $ 15,765 26,775 19,500 42,000 35,265 $ $ $ $ $ 12,160 21,000 15,000 38,000 27,160 $ 386,557 $ 386,557 $ 516,307 $ $ $ 20,780 20,780 49,940 $ 51,610 $ 51,610 $ 182,080 $ $ $ 13,430 13,430 29,425 $ $ $ 28,580 28,580 63,845 $ $ $ 21,780 21,780 48,940 Page 20 of 21 Fuqua School of Business 02-453-001 LogiTech “Closing Transportation Gaps” Exhibit 10 Transportation Web Portal Revenue Projections (currency in US$) Transportation Exchange Subscribers Fee Revenues Total Available Market (TAM) of Cargo Argentina Brazil Advanced Internet Penetration Potential Exchange Market Trans. Exchange Mkt Pen. Total Subscribers Less Fleet Management Subs. Quantity of New Subscribers Monthly Subs. Fee per Truck Total Revenue (Yearly) Commission Revenues in US$ % of Exchange Subs./TAM Estimated TAM Revenues Argentina Brazil Estimated Subscriptions' Revenues Back Hauling Opportunities Reduction in Empty Return Trips Increase in Subscriber Revenues Commission Total Revenue (Yearly) Retail Commissions TAM % with Internet Access Potential Exchange Market % Online Buyers/Internet Users Potential Buyers (In # of Vehicles) Average spending/vehicle Estimated % of Online Commerce Estimated $ Spent on the Internet Commission Total Revenue (Yearly) 2,000 $ $ 2,001 6,569,651 1,500,000 5,069,651 11.75% 771,934 3% 23,158 2,018 21,140 2.00 253,683 $ $ 2,002 6,776,226 1,530,000 5,246,226 17.57% 1,190,607 6% 71,436 11,052 60,384 2.00 $ 724,609 $ 6,989,552 1,560,600 5,428,952 26.27% 1,836,421 9% 165,278 39,912 125,366 2.00 $ 1,504,391 2,003 7,209,854 1,591,812 5,618,042 39.29% 2,832,643 11% 311,591 105,340 206,251 2.00 $ 2,475,007 2,004 $ $ 7,437,366 1,623,648 5,813,718 58.75% 4,369,452 15% 655,418 165,039 490,379 2.00 5,884,549 0.32% $54,857,695,413 $14,225,000,000 $40,632,695,413 173,929,104 24,680,540 20% 4,936,108 5% $ 246,805 0.94% $54,857,695,413 $14,225,000,000 $40,632,695,413 516,962,463 73,356,974 20% 14,671,395 5% $ 733,570 2.10% $54,857,695,413 $14,225,000,000 $40,632,695,413 1,151,910,261 163,456,066 20% 32,691,213 5% $ 1,634,561 3.81% $54,857,695,413 $14,225,000,000 $40,632,695,413 2,090,435,104 296,632,741 20% 59,326,548 5% $ 2,966,327 7.71% $54,857,695,413 $14,225,000,000 $40,632,695,413 4,230,482,141 600,305,416 20% 120,061,083 5% $ 6,003,054 7,304,100 28.40% 2,074,364 12% 248,924 1,527 0.20% 3.05 10% 76,012 7,580,504 35.43% 2,686,072 14% 382,520 1,527 0.53% 8.12 10% 310,708 7,871,067 44.21% 3,479,802 17% 588,092 1,527 1.42% 21.61 10% 1,270,649 8,176,838 55.16% 4,510,322 20% 904,593 1,527 3.76% 57.47 10% 5,198,944 8,498,963 68.82% 5,849,104 24% 1,392,163 1,527 10.01% 152.88 10% 21,283,030 $ $ $ $ Page 21 of 21 $ $ $ $ $ $