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HONORS PROGRAM SEMINAR - HON 100-42 Global Climate Change: Is International Agreement Possible? Fall 2009 Friday, 2:00-3:30 p.m. Bradley Hall 270 Dr. Jeanie Bukowski Office: 248C Bradley Hall; x2453 e-mail: [email protected] Office Hours: MWF 11-12 (or by appointment) Objectives of the Course This course will address the current state of international negotiations to reach an agreement within the context of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) to replace the Kyoto Protocol (which expires in 2012). In order to understand the difficulty of reaching agreement on this important issue, we will examine the following: 1) the current scientific evidence on global climate change, particularly as presented by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC); 2) the national interests of states in the international system regarding climate change; 3) how conflicting national interests, as well as the “collective goods problem,” are manifested in international negotiations. We will end the course with a simulation of the current climate change negotiations, with students playing the role of country leaders. Required Course Materials 1) Andrew Dessler and Edward A. Parson, The Science and Politics of Global Climate Change: A Guide to the Debate (Cambridge University Press, 2006). 2) Kirstin Dow and Thomas E. Downing, The Atlas of Climate Change: Mapping the World’s Greatest Challenge (University of California Press, 2007) 2) Course website on Sakai. 3) Readings posted on Sakai or contained in relevant databases, listed under Topics and Reading Assignments, below. Course Requirements Grading will be based on three components. 1) Class participation (20%): Students must attend every class session, having read the assigned materials and being prepared to contribute to class discussion. 2) Simulation paper (40%): Students must complete a 7-10 page preparation paper for the simulation. 3) Simulation participation (40%): Students must actively, and accurately, play their roles during the simulation. **See the Sakai website for the detailed simulation assignment. Topics and Reading Assignments Week 1 (8/28) – Introduction Weeks 2 and 3 (9/4 and 11) – The Science of Climate Change Required: Dessler and Parson, Chapters 1, 2, and 3, pp. 47-76 Dow and Downing, Introduction and Definition of Key Terms (pp. 9-17) Parts 1, 2, and 3 IPCC, Climate Change 2007, Synthesis Report: Introduction; Observed Changes in Climate and their Effects; Causes of Change IPCC Climate Change 2007, WG1, The Physical Science Basis, Chapter 1, FAQ 1.1, “What Factors Determine Earth’s Climate,” pp. 36-37; and FAQ 1.2, “What is the Relationship between Climate Change and Weather?”, pp. 104-105. Recommended: IPCC Climate Change 2007, WG1, The Physical Science Basis, Chapter 1, “Historical Overview of Climate Change Science” Week 4 (9/18) – Impacts: The Potential Environmental, Political, Economic, and Security Effects of Climate Change Required: Dessler and Parson, Chapter 3, pp. 76-89 Dow and Downing, Part 4 IPCC, Climate Change 2007, Synthesis Report: Climate Change and its Impacts in the Near and Long Term Under Different Scenarios Jürgen Scheffran, “Climate Change and Security,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Vol. 64, no. 2. Recommended: A. Barrie Pittock, Climate Change: Turning up the Heat (CSIRO Publishing, 2007), Chapter 6, “Impacts: Why be Concerned?” Week 5 (9/25) – Strategies: Policy Choices for Dealing with Climate Change Required: Dessler and Parson, Chapter 4 IPCC, Climate Change 2007, Synthesis Report: Adaptation and Mitigation Options and Responses…; The Longer-term Perspective; Robust Findings, Key Uncertainties Recommended: Pittock, Chapter 7, “Adaptation: living with climate change,” and 8, “Mitigation: limiting climate change” Week 6 (10/2) – The Collective Goods Problem and the Global Climate Change Regime Required: Dow and Downing, Part 5 Urs Luterbacher and Detlef F. Sprinz, Chapter 1, “Problems of Global Environmental Cooperation,” and Daniel Bodansky, Chapter 2, “The History of the Global Climate Change Regime,” both in Luterbacher and Sprinz, eds., International Relations and Global Climate Change (The MIT Press, 2001). Recommended: Pittock, Chapter 11, “International concern and national interests” IPCC, Climate Change 2007, WG3, Mitigation of Climate Change, Chapter 13, “Policies, Instruments, and Cooperative Arrangements” **Break to complete preparation papers/individual consultations as necessary** Week 7 and 8 (10/16 and 23) – Simulation Week 9 (10/30) – Final Discussion Dessler and Parson, Chapter 5 Dow and Downing, Part 6