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Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 Page 1 Chapter 5 Discrete Distributions LEARNING OBJECTIVES The overall learning objective of Chapter 5 is to help you understand a category of probability distributions that produces only discrete outcomes, thereby enabling you to: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Define a random variable in order to differentiate between a discrete distribution and a continuous distribution. Determine the mean, variance, and standard deviation of a discrete distribution. Solve problems involving the binomial distribution using the binomial formula and the binomial table. Solve problems involving the Poisson distribution using the Poisson formula and the Poisson table. Solve problems involving the hypergeometric distribution using the hypergeometric formula. CHAPTER OUTLINE 5.1 Discrete Versus Continuous Distributions 5.2 Describing a Discrete Distribution Mean, Variance, and Standard Deviation of Discrete Distributions Mean or Expected Value Variance and Standard Deviation of a Discrete Distribution 5.3 Binomial Distribution Solving a Binomial Problem Using the Binomial Table Using the Computer to Produce a Binomial Distribution Mean and Standard Deviation of the Binomial Distribution Graphing Binomial Distributions 5.4 Poisson Distribution Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 Page 2 Working Poisson Problems by Formula Using the Poisson Tables Mean and Standard Deviation of a Poisson Distribution Graphing Poisson Distributions Using the Computer to Generate Poisson Distributions Approximating Binomial Problems by the Poisson Distribution 5.5 Hypergeometric Distribution Using the Computer to Solve for Hypergeometric Distribution Probabilities KEY TERMS Binomial Distribution Continuous Distribution Continuous Random Variable Discrete Distribution Discrete Random Variables Hypergeometric Distribution Lambda () Mean, or Expected Value Poisson Distribution Random Variable STUDY QUESTIONS 1. Variables that take on values at every point over a given interval are called _______________ _______________ variables. 2. If the set of all possible values of a variable is at most finite or a countably infinite number of possible values, then the variable is called a _______________ _______________ variable. 3. An experiment in which a die is rolled six times will likely produce values of a _______________ random variable. 4. An experiment in which a researcher counts the number of customers arriving at a grocery store checkout counter every two minutes produces values of a _______________ random variable. 5. An experiment in which the time it takes to assemble a product is measured is likely to produce values of a _______________ random variable. 6. A binomial distribution is an example of a _______________ distribution. 7. The normal distribution is an example of a _______________ distribution. Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 Page 3 8. The long-run average of a discrete distribution is called the __________________ or ______________________________________. Use the following discrete distribution to answer 9 and 10 x P(x) 1 2 3 4 .435 .241 .216 .108 9. The mean of the discrete distribution above is ____________. 10. The variance of the discrete distribution above is _______________. 11. On any one trial of a binomial experiment, there can be only _______________ possible outcomes. 12. Suppose the probability that a given part is defective is .10. If four such parts are randomly drawn from a large population, the probability that exactly two parts are defective is ________. 13. Suppose the probability that a given part is defective is .04. If thirteen such parts are randomly drawn from a large population, the expected value or mean of the binomial distribution that describes this experiment is ________. 14. Suppose a binomial experiment is conducted by randomly selecting 20 items where p = .30. The standard deviation of the binomial distribution is _______________. 15. Suppose 47 percent of the workers in a large corporation are under 35 years of age. If 15 workers are randomly selected from this corporation, the probability of selecting exactly 10 who are under 35 years of age is _______________. 16. Suppose that 23 percent of all adult Americans fly at least once a year. If 12 adult Americans are randomly selected, the probability that exactly four have flown at least once last year is _______________. 17. Suppose that 60 percent of all voters support the Prime Minister of Canada at this time. If 20 voters are randomly selected, the probability that at least 11 support the Prime Minister is _______________. 18. The Poisson distribution was named after the French mathematician _______________. 19. The Poisson distribution focuses on the number of discrete occurrences per _______________. 20. The Poisson distribution tends to describe _______________ occurrences. 21. The long-run average or mean of a Poisson distribution is _______________. 22. The variance of a Poisson distribution is equal to _______________. Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 Page 4 23. If Lambda is 2.6 occurrences over an interval of 5 minutes, the probability of getting 6 occurrences over one 5 minute interval is _______________. 24. Suppose that in the long-run a company determines that there are 1.2 flaws per every 20 pages of typing paper produced. If 10 pages of typing paper are randomly selected, the probability that more than 2 flaws are found is _______________. 25. If Lambda is 1.8 for a four minute interval, an adjusted new Lambda of _______ would be used to analyze the number of occurrences for a twelve minute interval. 26. Suppose a binomial distribution problem has an n = 200 and a p = .03. If this problem is worked using the Poisson distribution, the value of Lambda is ________. 27. The hypergeometric distribution should be used when a binomial type experiment is being conducted without replacement and the sample size is greater than or equal to ________% of the population. 28. Suppose a population contains sixteen items of which seven are X and nine are Y. If a random sample of five of these population items is selected, the probability that exactly three of the five are X is ________. 29. Suppose a population contains twenty people of which eight are members of the Catholic church. If a sample of four of the population is taken, the probability that at least three of the four are members of the Catholic church is ________. 30. Suppose a lot of fifteen personal computer printers contains two defective printers. If three of the fifteen printers are randomly selected for testing, the probability that no defective printers are selected is _______________. Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 Page 5 ANSWERS TO STUDY QUESTIONS 1. Continuous Random 16. .1712 2. Discrete Random 17. .755 3. Discrete 18. Poisson 4. Discrete 19. Interval 5. Continuous 20. Rare 6. Discrete 21. Lambda 7. Continuous 22. Lambda 8. Mean, Expected Value 23. .0319 9. 1.997 24. .0232 10. 1.083 25. 5.4 11. Two 26. 6.0 12. .0486 27. 5 13. 0.52 28. .2885 14. 2.049 29. .1531 15. .0661 30. .6286 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 Page 6 SOLUTIONS TO PROBLEMS IN CHAPTER 5 P(x) x·P(x) (x – µ)2 (x – µ)2·P(x) .238 .238 2.775556 0.6605823 .290 .580 0.443556 0.1286312 .177 .531 0.111556 0.0197454 .158 .632 1.779556 0.2811698 .137 .685 5.447556 0.7463152 2 2 µ = [x·P(x)] = 2.666 = [(x – µ) ·P(x)] = 1.8364439 = 1.8364439 = 1.355155 5.1 x 1 2 3 4 5 5.3 x P(x) x·P(x) 0 .461 .000 1 .285 .285 2 .129 .258 3 .087 .261 4 .038 .152 Expected number = µ = [x·P(x)]= 0.956 (x – µ)2 0.913936 0.001936 1.089936 4.177936 9.265936 (x – µ)2·P(x) 0.421324 0.000552 0.140602 0.363480 0.352106 2 2 = [(x – µ) ·P(x)] = 1.278064 = 5.5 a) n=4 P(x=3) = b) n=7 1.278064 = 1.1305 p = .10 3 1 4C3(.10) (.90) q = .90 = 4(.001)(.90) = .0036 p = .80 q = .20 P(x=4) = 7C4(.80)4(.20)3 = 35(.4096)(.008) = .1147 c) n = 10 p = .60 q = .40 P(x > 7) = P(x=7) + P(x=8) + P(x=9) + P(x=10) = 7 3 8 2 9 1 10 0 10C7(.60) (.40) + 10C8(.60) (.40) + 10C9(.60) (.40) +10C10(.60) (.40) 120(.0280)(.064) + 45(.0168)(.16) + 10(.0101)(.40) + 1(.0060)(1) = .2150 + .1209 + .0403 + .0060 = .3822 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition = Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 d) n = 12 p = .45 Page 7 q = .55 P(5 < x < 7) = P(x=5) + P(x=6) + P(x=7) = 5 7 6 6 7 5 12C5(.45) (.55) + 12C6(.45) (.55) + 12C7(.45) (.55) = 792(.0185)(.0152) + 924(.0083)(.0277) + 792(.0037)(.0503) = .2225 + .2124 + .1489 = .5838 5.7 a) n = 20 p = .70 q = .30 µ = np = 20(.70) = 14 = b) n p q 20(.70)(.30) 4.2 = 2.05 n = 70 p = .35 q = .65 µ = np = 70(.35) = 24.5 = c) n p q 70(.35)(.65) 15.925 = 3.99 n = 100 p = .50 q = .50 µ = np = 100(.50) = 50 = 5.9 a) n = 20 n p q 100(.50)(.50) 25 = 5 p = .78 x = 14 P(x=14) = 20C14 (.78)14(.22)6 = 38,760(.030855)(.00011338) = .1356 b) n = 20 p = .75 x = 20 P(x=20) = 20C20 (.75)20(.25)0 = (1)(.0031712)(1) = .0032 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 c) n = 20 Page 8 p = .70 x < 12 Use table A.2: P(x<12) = P(x=0) + P(x=1) + . . . + P(x=11)= .000 + .000 + .000 + .000 + .000 + .000 + .000 + .001 + .004 + .012 + .031 + .065 = .113 5.11 n = 25 p = .60 a) x > 15 P(x > 15) = P(x = 15) + P(x = 16) + · · · + P(x = 25) Using Table A.2 x 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 n = 25, p = .60 Prob .161 .151 .120 .080 .044 .020 .007 .002 .585 b) x > 20 P(x > 20) = P(x = 21) + P(x = 22) + P(x = 23) + P(x = 24) + P(x = 25) = Using Table A.2 n = 25, p = .60 .007 + .002 + .000 + .000 + .000 = .009 c) P(x < 10) Using Table A.2 n = 25, p = .60 and x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 x 9 Prob. .009 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 Page 9 8 7 <6 5.13 n = 15 .003 .001 .000 .013 p = .20 a) P(x = 5) = 5 10 15C5(.20) (.80) = 3003(.00032)(.1073742) = .1032 b) P(x > 9): Using Table A.2 P(x = 10) + P(x = 11) + . . . + P(x = 15) = .000 + .000 + . . . + .000 = .000 c) P(x = 0) = 0 15 15C0(.20) (.80) = (1)(1)(.035184) = .0352 d) P(4 < x < 7): Using Table A.2 P(x = 4) + P(x = 5) + P(x = 6) + P(x = 7) = .188 + .103 + .043 + .014 = .348 e) The distribution is skewed to the right. Values of x near 3 have the highest probabilities. For the large values of x the probabilities are very small. 5.14 n = 18 a) b) p =.22 µ = 18(.22) = 3.96 (earn between $100,000 and $149,999) p = .32 µ = 18(.32) = 5.76 (earn $150,000 or more) n = 18 p = .22 P(x > 8) = P(x = 8) + P(x = 9) + ...+P(x = 18) Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 Page 10 P(x = 8) = 8 10 18C8(.22) (.78) P(x = 9) = 9 9 18C9(.22) (.78) = .0200 = .0063 P(x = 10) = 10 8 18C10(.22) (.78) = .0016 P(x = 11) = 11 7 18C11(.22) (.78) = .0003 P(x = 12) = 12 6 18C12(.22) (.78) = .0001 P(x) for x > 13 are negligible. Therefore P(x > 8) = .0200 + .0063 + .0016 + .0003 + .0001 = .0283 c) n = 18 p = .32 P(2 < x < 4) = P(x = 2) + P(x = 3) + P(x = 4) = 2 16 18C2(.32) (.68) + 3 15 18C3(.32) (.68) + 4 14 18C4(.32) (.68) = .0327 + .0822 + .1450 = .2599 d) n = 18 p = .22 x=0 P(none earn between $100,000 and $149,999) = 18C0(.22)0(.78)18 = .01142 n = 18 p = .34 x=0 P(none earn $150,000 or more) = 18C0(.32)0(.68)18 = .00097 Since only 22% (compared to 32%) fall in the $100,000 to $149,999 category, it is more likely that none of the 18 CPFs would fall in this category. Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 5.15 Page 11 a) P(x=5 = 2.3) = 2.35 e 2.3 (64.36343)(.100259) = .0538 5! 120 b) P(x=2 = 3.9) = 3.9 2 e 3.9 (15.21)(.020242) = .1539 2! 2 c) P(x < 3 = 4.1) = P(x=3) + P(x=2) + P(x=1) + P(x=0) = 4.13 e 4.1 (68.921)(.016573) = .1904 3! 6 4.12 e 4.1 (16.81)(.016573) = .1393 2! 2 4.11 e 4.1 (4.1)(.016573) = .0679 1! 1 4.10 e 4.1 (1)(.016573) = .0166 0! 1 .1904 + .1393 + .0679 + .0166 = .4142 d) P(x=0 = 2.7) = 2.7 0 e 2.7 (1)(.06721) = .0672 0! 1 e) P(x=1 = 5.4)= 5.41 e 5.4 (5.4)(.0045166) = .0244 1! 1 f) P(4 < x < 8 = 4.4): P(x=5 = 4.4) + P(x=6 = 4.4) + P(x=7 = 4.4)= 4.4 5 e 4.4 4.4 6 e 4.4 4.4 7 e 4.4 + + = 6! 7! 5! (1649.1622)(.01227734) (7256.3139)(.01227734) (31,927.781)(.01227734) + + 120 720 5040 = .1687 + .1237 + .0778 = .3702 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 5.17 a) = 6.3 mean = 6.3 Page 12 Standard deviation = x 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Prob .0018 .0116 .0364 .0765 .1205 .1519 .1595 .1435 .1130 .0791 .0498 .0285 .0150 .0073 .0033 .0014 .0005 .0002 .0001 .0000 6.3 = 2.51 Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 b) = 1.3 mean = 1.3 Page 13 standard deviation = x 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Prob .2725 .3543 .2303 .0998 .0324 .0084 .0018 .0003 .0001 .0000 1.3 = 1.14 Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 c) = 8.9 mean = 8.9 Page 14 standard deviation = x 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Prob .0001 .0012 .0054 .0160 .0357 .0635 .0941 .1197 .1332 .1317 .1172 .0948 .0703 .0481 .0306 .0182 .0101 .0053 .0026 .0012 .0005 .0002 .0001 8.9 = 2.98 Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 d) = 0.6 mean = 0.6 x 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Page 15 standard deviation = Prob .5488 .3293 .0988 .0198 .0030 .0004 .0000 0.6 = .775 Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 Page 16 5.19 = x/n = 126/36 = 3.5 Using Table A.3 a) P(x = 0) = .0302 b) P(x > 6) = P(x = 6) + P(x = 7) + . . . = .0771 + .0385 + .0169 + .0066 + .0023 + .0007 + .0002 + .0001 = .1424 c) P(x < 4 10 minutes) Double Lambda to = 7.010 minutes P(x < 4) = P(x = 0) + P(x = 1) + P(x = 2) + P(x = 3) = .0009 + .0064 + .0223 + .0521 = .0817 d) P(3 < x < 6 10 minutes) = 7.0 10 minutes P(3 < x < 6) = P(x = 3) + P(x = 4) + P(x = 5) + P(x = 6) = .0521 + .0912 + .1277 + .1490 = .42 e) P(x = 8 15 minutes) Change Lambda for a 15 minute interval by multiplying the original Lambda by 3. = 10.5 15 minutes P(x = 815 minutes) = 5.21 x e x! = 0.6 trips1 year a) P(x=0 = 0.6): Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition (10.58 )(e 10.5 ) 8! = .1009 Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 Page 17 from Table A.3 = .5488 b) P(x=1 = 0.6): from Table A.3 = .3293 c) P(x > 2 = 0.6): from Table A.3 x 2 3 4 5 6 Prob. .0988 .0198 .0030 .0004 .0000 .1220 d) P(x < 3 3 year period): The interval length has been increased (3 times) New Lambda = = 1.8 trips3 years P(x < 3 = 1.8): from Table A.3 x 0 1 2 3 e) P(x=46 years): The interval has been increased (6 times) New Lambda = = 3.6 trips6 years P(x=4 = 3.6): from Table A.3 = .1912 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Prob. .1653 .2975 .2678 .1607 .8913 Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 5.23 Page 18 = 1.2 penscarton a) P(x=0 = 1.2): from Table A.3 = .3012 b) P(x > 8 = 1.2): from Table A.3 = .0000 c) P(x > 3 = 1.2): from Table A.3 5.25 p = .009 x 4 5 6 7 8 Prob. .0260 .0062 .0012 .0002 .0000 .0336 n = 200 Use the Poisson Distribution: = np = 200(.009) = 1.8 a) P(x > 6) from Table A.3 = P(x = 6) + P(x = 7) + P(x = 8) + P(x = 9) + . . . = .0078 + .0020 + .0005 + .0001 = .0104 b) P(x > 10) = .0000 c) P(x = 0) = .1653 d) P(x < 5) = P(x = 0) + P(x = 1) + P(x = 2) + P( x = 3) + P(x = 4) = .1653 + .2975 + .2678 + .1607 + .0723 = .9636 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 5.27 a) P(x = 3 N = 11, A = 8, n = 4) 8 C3 3 C1 (56)(3) = .5091 C 330 11 4 b) P(x < 2)N = 15, A = 5, n = 6) P(x = 1) + P (x = 0) = 5 C1 10 C5 + 15 C 6 5 C0 10 C6 (5)( 252) (1)( 210) = 5005 5005 15 C 6 .2517 + .0420 = .2937 c) P(x=0 N = 9, A = 2, n = 3) 2 C0 7 C3 (1)(35) = .4167 84 9 C3 d) P(x > 4 N = 20, A = 5, n = 7) = P(x = 5) = 5 C5 15 C 2 (1)(105) = = .0014 77520 20 C 7 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Page 19 Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 5.29 N = 20 A=4 4 a) P(x = 0) = b) P(x = 4) = 4 N = 10 n=4 C0 16 C4 (1)(1820) = = .3756 4845 20 C 4 C4 16 C0 (1)(1) = = .0002 4845 20 C 4 4 c) P(x = 2) = 5.31 Page 20 C2 16 C 2 (6)(120) = = .1486 4845 C 20 4 n=4 a) A = 4 (British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba) P(x = 2) = 4 x=2 C2 6 C2 (6)(15) = .4286 210 10 C 4 b) A = 4 (Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Newfoundland and Labrador, Prince Edward Island) x = 0 P(x = 0) = 4 C0 6 C 4 (1)(15) = .0714 210 10 C 4 c) A = 4 (Ontario, British Columbia, Alberta, Quebec) P(x = 3) = 4 C3 6 C1 (4)(6) = .1143 210 10 C 4 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition x=3 Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 5.33 N = 18 A = 11 men Page 21 n=5 P(x < 1) = P(1) + P(0) = 11 C1 7 C 4 + 18 C 5 11 C 0 7 C5 (11)(35) (1)( 21) = = .0449 + .0025 = .0474 8568 8568 18 C5 It is fairly unlikely that these results occur by chance. A researcher might want to further investigate this result to determine causes. Were officers selected based on leadership, years of service, dedication, prejudice, or some other reason? 5.35 a) P(x = 14 n = 20 and p = .60) = .124 b) P(x < 5 n = 10 and p =.30) = P(x = 4) + P(x = 3) + P(x = 2) + P(x = 1) + P(x=0) = x 0 1 2 3 4 Prob. .028 .121 .233 .267 .200 .849 c) P(x > 12 n = 15 and p = .60) = P(x = 12) + P(x = 13) + P(x = 14) + P(x = 15) x 12 13 14 15 Prob. .063 .022 .005 .000 .090 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 d) P(x > 20 n = 25 and p = .40) = P(x = 21) + P(x = 22) + P(x = 23) + P(x = 24) + P(x=25) = x 21 22 23 24 25 5.37 Prob. .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 a) P(x = 3 = 1.8) = .1607 b) P(x < 5 = 3.3) = P(x = 4) + P(x = 3) + P(x = 2) + P(x = 1) + P(x = 0) = x 0 1 2 3 4 Prob. .0369 .1217 .2008 .2209 .1823 .7626 c) P(x > 3 = 2.1) = x 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Prob. .1890 .0992 .0417 .0146 .0044 .0011 .0003 .0001 .0000 .3504 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Page 22 Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 Page 23 d) P(2 < x < 5 = 4.2): P(x=3) + P(x=4) + P(x=5) = x 3 4 5 5.39 Prob. .1852 .1944 .1633 .5429 n = 25 p = .20 retired from Table A.2: P(x = 7) = .111 P(x > 10): P(x = 10) + P(x = 11) + . . . + P(x = 25) = .012 + .004 + .001 = .017 Expected number of retired people = µ = np = 25(.20) = 5 n = 20 p = .40 mutual funds from Table A.2: P(x = 8) = .180 P(x < 6) = P(x = 0) + P(x = 1) + . . . + P(x = 5) = .000 + .000 + .003 +.012 + .035 + .075 = .125 P(x = 0) = .000 P(x > 12) = P(x = 12) + P(x = 13) + . . . + P(x = 20) = .035 + .015 + .005 + .001 = .056 The highest probability is .180 for x = 8 . Expected number of people invested in mutual funds = µ = n p = 20(.40) = 8 5.41 N = 32 A = 10 a) P(x = 3) = 10 n = 12 C3 22 C9 (120)( 497,420) = = .2644 225,792,840 32 C12 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 b) P(x = 6) = 10 c) P(x = 0) = 10 Page 24 C6 22 C6 (210)(74,613) = = .0694 225 , 792 , 840 C 32 12 C0 22 C12 (1)(646,646) = = .0029 225,792,840 32 C12 d) A = 22 P(7 < x < 9) = = 22 C7 10 C5 + 32 C12 22 C8 10 C4 + 32 C12 22 C9 10 C3 32 C12 (170,544)( 252) (319,770)( 210) (497,420)(120) 225,792,840 225,792,840 225,792,840 = .1903 + .2974 + .2644 = .7521 5.43 a) n = 20 and p = .176 The expected number = µ = np = (20)(.176) = 3.52 b) P(x < 1 n = 20 and p = .176) = P(x = 1) + P(x = 0) = 1 19 20C1(.176) (.824) + 20C0(.176)0(.824)20 = (20)(.176)(.02527) + (1)(1)(.02082) = .0890 +. 0208 = .1098 Since the probability is comparatively low, the population of your province may have a lower percentage of chronic heart conditions than those of other provinces. 5.45 n = 12 a.) P(x = 0 long hours): p = .20 0 12 12C0(.20) (.80) = .0687 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 Page 25 b.) P(x > 6 long hours): p = .20 Using Table A.2: P(x = 6) + P(x = 7) + . . . + P(x = 12) = .016 + .003 + .001 = .020 c) P(x = 5 good financing): p = .25, 5 7 12C5(.25) (.75) = .1032 d.) p = .19 (good plan), expected number = µ = n(p) = 12(.19) = 2.28 5.47 P(x < 3 n = 8 and p = .60): From Table A.2: x 0 1 2 3 Prob. .001 .008 .041 .124 .174 17.4% of the time in a sample of eight, three or fewer customers are walk-ins by chance. Other reasons for such a low number of walk-ins might be that she is retaining more old customers than before or perhaps a new competitor is attracting walk-ins away from her. Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 5.49 Page 26 = 0.6 flats2,000 km P(x = 0 = 0.6) = (from Table A.3) .5488 P(x > 3 = 0.6) = (from Table A.3) x 3 4 5 Prob. .0198 .0030 .0004 .0232 Assume one trip is independent of the other. Let F = flat tire and NF = no flat tire P(NF1 NF2) = P(NF1) P(NF2) but P(NF) = .5488 P(NF1 NF2) = (.5488)(.5488) = .3012 5.51 N = 24 n=6 a) P(x = 6) = b) P(x = 0) = 8 A=8 C6 16 C0 (28)(1) = .0002 134,596 24 C 6 8 C0 16 C6 (1)(8008) = .0595 134,596 24 C 6 c) The probability from part b) is greater as only 8 out of 24 commute from Airdrie. d) A = 16 (do not commute from Airdrie) P(x = 3) = 5.53 16 C3 8 C3 (560)(56) = .2330 134,596 24 C 6 = 2.4 calls1 minute a) P(x = 0 = 2.4) = (from Table A.3) .0907 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 b) Can handle x < 5 calls Page 27 Cannot handle x > 5 calls P(x > 5 = 2.4) = (from Table A.3) x 6 7 8 9 10 11 c) P(x = 3 calls2 minutes) The interval has been increased 2 times. New Lambda: = 4.8 calls2 minutes. from Table A.3: .1517 d) P(x < 1 calls15 seconds): The interval has been decreased by ¼. New Lambda = = 0.6 calls15 seconds. P(x < 1 = 0.6) = (from Table A.3) P(x = 1) = .3293 P(x = 0) = .5488 .8781 Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Prob. .0241 .0083 .0025 .0007 .0002 .0000 .0358 Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 5.55 n=8 2 6 8C2(.55) (.45) p = .55 Page 28 x = 2 women = (28)(.3025)(.0083038) = .0703 It is not very likely that a company would randomly hire 8 physicians and only two of them would be female. 5.57 N = 14 n = 4 a) P(x = 4 N = 14, n = 4, A = 10 north side) 10 C 4 4 C0 (210((1) = .2098 C 1001 14 4 b) P(x = 4 N = 14, n = 4, A = 4 west) 4 C4 10 C0 (1)(1) = .0010 1001 14 C 4 c) P(x = 2 N = 14, n = 4, A = 4 west) 4 5.59 C 2 10 C 2 (6)( 45) = .2697 1001 14 C 4 This is a binomial distribution with n = 15 and p = .36. = np = 15(.36) = 5.4 = 15(.36)(.64) = 1.86 The most likely values are near the mean, 5.4. Note from the printout that the most probable values are at x = 5 and x = 6 which are near the mean. Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 5.61 Page 29 This is a binomial distribution with n = 22 and p = .64. The mean is np = 22(.64) = 14.08 and the standard deviation is: = n p q 22(.64)(.36) = 2.25 The x value with the highest peak on the graph is at x = 14 followed by x = 15 and x = 13 which are nearest to the mean. Black, Chakrapani, Castillo: Business Statistics, Second Canadian Edition Student’s Solutions Manual and Study Guide: Chapter 5 Page 30 Legal Notice Copyright Copyright © 2014 by John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. or related companies. All rights reserved. The data contained in these files are protected by copyright. This manual is furnished under licence and may be used only in accordance with the terms of such licence. 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