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Transcript
1102 Lecture Notes
© Gina Pieters
Topic 2: Aggregate Demand, Supply and
Equilibrium
Macroeconomics is all about how the economy is a whole functions, to do that we need to think how it
fits together. A useful tool is the circular flow diagram,
Circular Flow Diagram (Ch. 2)
We assume the basic market can be diagrammed in the following flow chart (called the circular flow
diagram)
The Output market ( “Markets for goods and services”) is where the firms sell goods and services, and
the households buy goods.
The Factor market ( “Markets for factors of production”) household sell goods and services – like labor,
and the firms buy.
The arrows show the direction of the flow of DOLLARS.
Within these markets, we have the interaction of supply and demand for an entire economy.
Some important properties:
 Closed economy
 Only need to draw the flow of money
 Only shows the purchases of final goods
In reality, the economy is much more complicated than the flow diagram above. Let’s make the diagram
more realistic.
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1102 Lecture Notes
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© Gina Pieters
1102 Lecture Notes
© Gina Pieters
Now that we have an idea of how the economy is put together, we can consider the most important
elements in the economy: The Demand and Supply.
Aggregate Demand (Ch. 4, Ch. 20)
In microeconomics, you considered an individual. In macroeconomics, we consider the entire economy.
Assumptions about individual consumers
1.
2.
3.
Rational:
Remember, just because someone is rational, doesn't mean they won't make mistakes.
Law of Demand:
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© Gina Pieters
1102 Lecture Notes
Suppose we have the following information about four people’s demand for oranges
Price level
A
B
C
$10
40
40
10
$20
40
25
5
$30
30
25
0
D
10
10
5
In Micro, you could use this information and draw the Demand Line of person C for oranges:
Aggregate Demand is determined by:
1.
2.
3.
4.
Price level
$10
$20
$30
40
40
30
40
25
25
Price level
$10
$20
$30
10
5
0
10
10
5
Aggregate Demand
But really, are we considering only oranges in macroeconomics? NO! We consider all the goods in the
economy.
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1102 Lecture Notes
Aggregate demand line LOOKS similar and has similar behavior, but be careful!
Why is Aggregate Demand Curve downward sloping?
Why don’t the microeconomics reason work?
Substitution Effect:
Income Effect:
AD is downward sloping due to three effects:
1.
2.
3.
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© Gina Pieters
1102 Lecture Notes
Changes in Aggregate Demand/Aggregate Demand Shifters
Any change in aggregate demand will consist of two components:
1.
2.
What can cause a change in the determinants?
1.
a.
b.
c.
d.
2.
a.
b.
3.
4.
a.
b.
c.
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© Gina Pieters
© Gina Pieters
1102 Lecture Notes
Multiplier Effect (Ch. 21)
Multiplier Effect:
To get some intuition for how it works, consider the flow diagram.
Example: Suppose that the government spends $10 in the output market.
(MPC) Marginal Propensity to consume:
MPC =1:
Suppose that consumers have MPC of 0.50.
Change in C (MPC=0.50)
Gov’t Spends $10
First Round
Second Round…
Third Round…
AD Multiplier:
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Total Increase in AD
1102 Lecture Notes
© Gina Pieters
Total AD Increase from a change in Initial Spending:
1. Suppose the government spends $10 in the output market, I and NX are unaffected. What
is the total increase in AD?
2. Suppose the gov’t gives consumers $10 in stimulus. G,I NX are unaffected. What is the
total increase in AD?
Aggregate Supply (Ch. 4, Ch.20)
The “firms” in the economy are just a collection of small firms – we assume perfect competition (i.e. no
monopolies). As with consumers, there are some basic assumptions we make about firms, and that we
will maintain throughout this course.
Assumptions about firms
1.
2.
3.
Examples of Resources:
Law of Supply:
We consider two time horizons when talking about aggregate supply. These time horizons are defined
by the behavior of prices
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© Gina Pieters
1102 Lecture Notes
1.
2.
Long Run Aggregate Supply
Nominal
Output
Price
PI
Quantity
Natural Rate of Output:
Changes in LR Aggregate Supply
1.
2.
3.
4.
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1102 Lecture Notes
Long Run AD-AS Equilibrium
Short Run Aggregate Supply
Nominal
Output
Price
PI
Quantity
Why do prices matter?
1.
2.
3.
Short Run AD-AS Equilibrium
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1102 Lecture Notes
AD-AS Model (Ch. 20)
Equilibrium in the AD-AS model:
AD increases above natural output
AD decreases below natural output
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© Gina Pieters
1102 Lecture Notes
AS decreases below the natural rate of output
Increase in LT-AS
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© Gina Pieters