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15.4 - 15.5 Events and Probability Worksheet SOLUTIONS 1) Consider the random experiment of drawing 1 card from a standard deck of 52 cards. Find the events a. E1: The card drawn is an Ace {AC, AH, AD, AS} b. E2: The cards drawn does not have a number on it {AC, AH, AD, AS, JC, JH, JD, JS, QC, QH, QD, QS, KC, KH, KD, KS } c. E3: The card drawn is not red or black. IMPOSSIBLE 2) Consider the random experiment of selecting answers to a 4 question true or false test. a. E1: Exactly three False = {FFFT, FFTF, FTFF, TFFF} b. E2: The same number of True and False = {FFTT, TFFT, TTFF, TFTF, FTFT, FTTF} c. E3: Exactly twice as many False as True = IMPOSSIBLE d. E4: At most one False. = {TTTT, FTTT, TFTT, TTFT, TTTF} 3) The sample space S = {σ1, σ2, σ3, σ4, σ5}, and suppose Pr(σ1) = 0.36 and Pr(σ2) = 0. 10. a. If σ3, σ4, and σ5 all have the same probability, find Pr(σ3). Pr(σ1) + Pr(σ2) + Pr(σ3) + Pr(σ4) + Pr(σ5) = 1 and X = Pr(σ3) = Pr(σ4) = Pr(σ5) .36 + .10 + 3X = 1; X = 0.18; Pr(σ3) = 0.18 b. If Pr(σ3) = 0.08 and Pr(σ4) = 0.17, find Pr(σ5). Pr(σ1) + Pr(σ2) + Pr(σ3) + Pr(σ4) + Pr(σ5) = 1 .36 + .10 + .08 + 0.17 + X = 1; X = 0.29 Pr(σ5) = 0.29 c. If Pr(σ3) = Pr(σ4) + Pr(σ5), find Pr(σ3). Pr(σ1) + Pr(σ2) + Pr(σ3) + Pr(σ4) + Pr(σ5) = 1 and X = Pr(σ3) = Pr(σ4) + Pr(σ5) .36 + .10 + 2X = 1; X = 0.27; Pr(σ3) = 0.27 4) Consider the sample space S = {σ1, σ2, σ3, σ4}. Find the probability assignment a. If all outcomes have the same probability. Pr(σ1) + Pr(σ2) + Pr(σ3) + Pr(σ4) = 1 and X = Pr(σ1) = Pr(σ2) = Pr(σ3) = Pr(σ4) 4X = 1; X = 0.25; 0.25 = Pr(σ1) = Pr(σ2) = Pr(σ3) = Pr(σ4) b. If Pr(σ1) = .28 and all other outcomes are equally possible. Pr(σ1) + Pr(σ2) + Pr(σ3) + Pr(σ4) = 1 and X = Pr(σ2) = Pr(σ3) = Pr(σ4) 0.28 + 3X = 1; X = 0.24; Pr(σ1) = 0.28 and Pr(σ2) = Pr(σ3) = Pr(σ4) = 0.24 c. If 2Pr(σ1) = Pr(σ2) = Pr(σ3)= Pr(σ4). Pr(σ1) + Pr(σ2) + Pr(σ3) + Pr(σ4) = 1 and X = Pr(σ1) and 2X = Pr(σ2) = Pr(σ3) = Pr(σ4) 7X = 1; X = 1/7; Pr(σ1) = 1/7 and Pr(σ2) = Pr(σ3) = Pr(σ4) = 2/7 5) Write a verbal statement for the COMPLEMENT “Not Statement” of each event. a. Rolling a die twice. b. 5 flips of a coin. E1: Two of a kind E1: Exactly 3 Heads C E1 : Two different numbers E1C: 0, 1, 2, 4, or 5 Heads E2: Two prime numbers: E2C: Two Composite Numbers or 1 prime and 1 composite E2: At most 2 Heads E2C: At least 3 Heads E3: At least 1 Tails E3C: At most 0 Tails E3: Even and Odd number: E3C: Both even or both odd 6) A couple is planning to have 4 children and is concerned about their gender. a. How many different 4 children c. What is the probability the couple will outcomes for boys and girls? have at least 1 boy? 24 = 16 b. What is the probability the couple will have exactly 2 boys? C2 16 4 4 C1 4 C2 4 C3 4 C4 16 d. What is the probability the couple will have at most 2 girls? C0 4 C1 4 C 2 16 4 7) 12 red marbles, 5 green marbles, and 13 blue marbles are in a bag and each time a marble is chosen it is replaced back in the bag for the next draw. a. Find Pr(Red then Blue) d. Find Pr(Green and Blue) 12 13 30 30 b. Find Pr(Red then Green) 12 5 30 30 c. Find Pr(Blue then Blue) 13 13 30 30 5 13 13 5 13 5 or 2 30 30 30 30 30 30 e. Find Pr(Red then Red) 12 12 30 30 f. Find Pr(Red and Green) 5 12 12 5 12 5 or 2 30 30 30 30 30 30 8) Draw 2 card from a standard deck of 52 without replacement a. How many different ways can two cards be drawn? 52 * 51 = 2652 b. What is the probability to draw 2 of a kind? 52 3 156 13(4 3) or 2652 2652 2652 c. What is the probability to draw 2 different cards by value? 52 48 2496 2652 2652 OR Use Complement same kind: 1 52 3 52 51 d. What is the probability of a queen and king? 84 32 2652 2652 or 44 44 2652 2652 can have either order of queen and king e. What is the probability of an ace then jack? 44 16 2652 2652 9) Draw 2 card from a standard deck of 52 with replacement. a. How many different ways can two cards be drawn? 52 * 52 = 2704 b. What is the probability to draw 2 different cards by value? 52 48 2704 c. What is the probability of 2 different cards by suit? 52 39 2704 d. What is the probability of 2 different cards by color? 52 26 2704