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Chapter 25 Economic Growth
QUESTIONS
1. How is economic growth measured? Why is economic growth important? Why
could
the difference between a 2.5 percent and a 3 percent annual growth rate be of
great
significance over several decades? LO1
Answer: Economists define and measure economic growth as either: An increase
in real GDP occurring over some time period, or an increase in real GDP per
capita occurring over some time period.
With either definition, economic growth is calculated as a percentage rate of
growth per quarter (3-month period) or per year.
Economic growth means a higher standard of living, provided population does
not
grow even faster. And if it does, then economic growth is even more important
to
maintain the current standard of living. Economic growth allows the lessening
of
poverty even without an outright redistribution of wealth.
If population is growing at 2.5 percent a year—and it is in some of the
poorest
nations—then a 2.5 percent growth rate of real GDP means no change in living
standards. A 3.0 percent growth rate means a gradual rise in living
standards. For
a wealthy nation, such as the United States, with a GDP in the neighborhood
of
$10 trillion, the 0.5 percentage point difference between 2.5 and 3.0 percent
amounts to $50 billion a year, or more than $150 per person per year.
Using the “Rule of 70,” it would take 28 years for output to double with a
2.5
percent growth rate, and just over 23 years with 3.0 percent growth.
2. When and where did modern economic growth first happen? What are the major
institutional factors that form the foundation for modern economic growth?
What do they
have in common? LO2
Answer: Economic historians informally date the start of the Industrial
Revolution to the year 1776, when Scottish inventor James Watt perfected a
powerful and efficient steam engine.
The institutions are: Strong property rights, patents and copyrights,
efficient
financial institutions, literacy and widespread education, free trade, and a
competitive market system.
25-1
3. Why are some countries today much poorer than other countries? Are today’s
poor
countries destined to always be poorer than today’s rich countries? If so,
explain why. If
not, explain how today’s poor countries can catch or even pass today’s rich
countries.
LO2
Answer: The reason we see such stark differences in income per capita is
because
of modern economic growth. The countries that began the modern economic
growth process sooner, the ‘leader’ countries, have moved away from the
countries that started the process later (or still have not started the
process). The
reason why some countries started the growth process sooner is still debated,
but
some common institutions tend to be the primary catalyst (property rights,
education, efficient financial institutions, and free trade).
The poorer countries are not destined to always be poor. It is thought that
if these
countries can develop the appropriate institutions, which may be country
specific,
they can take advantage of the pre-existing technologies and catch-up with
the
wealthier countries of the world. An example of this is South Korea.
4. What are the four supply factors of economic growth? What is the demand
factor?
What is the efficiency factor? Illustrate these factors in terms of the
production
possibilities curve. LO3
Answer: The four supply factors are the quantity and quality of natural
resources;
the quantity and quality of human resources; the stock of capital goods; and
the
level of technology. The demand factor is the level of purchases needed to
maintain full employment. The efficiency factor refers to both productive and
allocative efficiency. Figure 25.2 illustrates these growth factors by
showing
movement from curve AB to curve CD.
5. Suppose that Alpha and Omega have identically sized working-age
populations but
that total annual hours of work are much greater in Alpha than in Omega.
Provide two
possible reasons for the difference. LO3
Answer: One explanation might be that Omega’s labor force is underemployed,
producing at a point inside the production possibilities curve. Another
explanation could be that the two populations have different attitudes and
preferences about work and leisure with Omega workers placing a higher value
on
leisure than those in Alpha.
25-2
6. What is growth accounting? To what extent have increases in U.S. real GDP
resulted
from more labor inputs? From greater labor productivity? Rearrange the
following
contributors to the growth of productivity in order of their quantitative
importance:
economies of scale, quantity of capital, improved resource allocation,
education and
training, technological advance. LO4
Answer: Growth accounting is a procedure that decomposes the supply-side
elements into its different components. Primarily increases in work hours and
increases in labor productivity (these components me decrease as well).
The U.S. labor force grew by an average of about 1.7 million workers per year
for
the past 52 years, and this explains some of the growth in real GDP. The
remainder, and the majority since at least 1995, is from productivity growth.
Refer to Table 25.3. Other factors have also been important (contributing
through
productivity improvements). Factor importance in descending order: (1)
Technological advance—the discovery of new knowledge that results in the
combining of resources in more productive ways. (2) The quantity of capital.
(3)
Education and training. (4) Economies of scale and (5) improved resource
allocation.
7. True or false? If false, explain why. LO4
a. Technological advance, which to date has played a relatively small role in
U.S.
economic growth, is destined to play a more important role in the future.
b. Many public capital goods are complementary to private capital goods.
c. Immigration has slowed economic growth in the United States.
Answer:
(a) The first part is false because technology has played the most important
role
in U.S. economic growth of any growth factor. However, the second part of
the statement is probably true.
(b) True.
(c) False; immigration has been a source for an expanded labor force and also
for
expansion in aggregate demand.
8. Explain why there is such a close relationship between changes in a
nation’s rate of
productivity growth and changes in its average real hourly wage. LO5
Answer: The average real hourly wage represents the average purchasing power
that each worker receives. Purchasing power refers to the amount of output
that
can be obtained with that wage. If output per worker is not increasing, then
the
amount of output available per capita for workers to buy will not be growing
either. In other words the “real” wage changes only if there is an increase
in
productivity. Nominal wages don’t represent purchasing power.
25-3
9. Relate each of the following to the recent increase in the trend rate of
productivity
growth: LO5
a. Information technology
b. Increasing returns
c. Network effects
d. Global competition
Answer: The rate of productivity growth has grown substantially due to
innovations using microchips, computers, new telecommunications devices and
the Internet. All of these innovations describe features of what we call
information technology, which connects information in all parts of the world
with
information seekers. New information products are often digital in nature and
can
be easily replicated once they have been developed. The start-up cost of new
firms and new technology is high, but expanding production has a very low
marginal cost, which leads to economies of scale – firms’ output grows faster
than
their inputs. Network effects refer to a type of economy of scale whereby
certain
information products become more valuable to each user as the number of
buyers
grows. For example, a fax machine is more useful to you when lots of other
people and firms have one; the same is true for compatible word-processing
programs. Global competition is a feature of the New Economy because both
transportation and communication can be accomplished at much lower cost and
faster speed than previously which expands market possibilities for both
consumers and producers who are not very limited by national boundaries
today.
10. What, if any, are the benefits and costs of economic growth, particularly
as measured
by real GDP per capita? LO6
Answer: Critics of growth say industrialization and growth result in
pollution,
global warming, ozone depletion, and other environmental problems. These
adverse negative externalities occur because inputs in the production process
reenter the environment as some form of waste.
Critics of growth also argue that there is little compelling evidence that
economic
growth has solved sociological problems such as poverty, homelessness, and
discrimination.
The primary defense of growth is that it is the path to the greater material
abundance and higher living standards desired by the vast majority of people.
Growth also enables society to improve the nation’s infrastructure, enhance
the
care of the sick and elderly, provide greater access for the disabled, and
provide
more police and fire protection.
25-4
PROBLEMS
1. Suppose an economy’s real GDP is $30,000 in year 1 and $31,200 in year 2.
What is
the growth rate of its real GDP? Assume population is 100 in year 1 and 102
in year 2.
What is the growth rate of real GDP per capita? LO1
Answer: 4%; 1.96%
Feedback: Consider the following example. Suppose an economy’s real GDP is
$30,000 in year 1 and $31,200 in year 2. What is the growth rate of its real
GDP?
Assume that population is 100 in year 1 and 102 in year 2. What is the growth
rate
of real GDP per capita?
The growth rate of the economy's real GDP equals 4% (=( ($31,200
$30,000)/$30,000) x 100).
To determine the growth rate of real GDP per capita we first need to find
real
GDP per capita for each (= real GDP/population).
real GDP per capita year 1 = $30,000/100 = $300
real GDP per capita year 2 = $31,200/102 = $305.88
Thus, the growth rate of the economy's real GDP per capita equals 1.96% (=(
($305.88 - $300)/$300) x 100).
2. What annual growth rate is needed for a country to double its output in 7
years? In 35
years? In 70 years? In 140 years? LO1
Answers: 10; 2; 1, 0.5.
Feedback: Consider the following examples (values). What annual growth rate
is
needed for a country to double its output in 7 years? In 35 years? In 70
years? In
140 years?
The “Rule of 70,” which is to divide 70 by the rate of growth, gives us the
time it
takes for a country to double its output.
Years to double = (70 / Rate of Growth)
Rearranging this equation
Rate of Growth = (70 / Years to double)
The annual growth rate needed for a country to double its output in 7 years
is 10%
(= 70/7).
The annual growth rate needed for a country to double its output in 35 years
is 2%
(= 70/35).
The annual growth rate needed for a country to double its output in 70 years
is 1%
(= 70/70).
The annual growth rate needed for a country to double its output in 140 years
is
0.5% (= 70/140).
25-5
3. Assume that a “leader country” has real GDP per capita of $40,000, whereas
a
“follower country” has real GDP per capita of $20,000. Next suppose that the
growth of
real GDP per capita falls to zero percent in the leader country and rises to
7 percent in the
follower country. If these rates continue for long periods of time, how many
years will it
take for the follower country to catch up to the living standard of the
leader country? L02
Answer: 10 years.
Feedback: Consider the following example. Assume that a “leader country” has
real GDP per capita of $40,000, whereas a “follower country” has real GDP per
capita of $20,000. Next suppose that the growth of real GDP per capita falls
to
zero percent in the leader country and rises to 7 percent in the follower
country. If
these rates continue for long periods of time, how many years will it take
for the
follower country to catch up to the living standard of the leader country?
The “Rule of 70,” which is to divide 70 by the rate of growth, gives us the
time it
takes for a country to double its output.
Years to double = (70 / Rate of Growth)
Since the rate of growth for real GDP per capita is 7% in the follower
country, the
country's real GDP per capita will double every 10 years. So, in 10 years the
follower country's real GDP per capita will be $40,000 given its current
level of
$20,000.
The rate of growth for real GDP per capita in the leader country is 0% (no
growth). Thus, it will remain at $40,000 real GDP per capita.
Combining the two results above, it will take 10 years for the follower
country to
catch-up with the leader country.
25-6
4. Refer to Figure 25.2 and assume that the values for points a, b, and c are
$10 billion,
$20 billion, and $18 billion respectively. If the economy moves from point a
to point b
over a 10-year period, what must have been its annual rate of economic
growth? If,
instead, the economy was at point c at the end of the 10-year period, by what
percentage
did it fall short of its production capacity? LO3
Answers: 7 percent; 10 percent.
Feedback: Consider the following example. Refer to Figure 25.2 and assume
that
the values for points a, b, and c are $10 billion, $20 billion, and $18
billion
respectively. If the economy moves from point a to point b over a 10-year
period,
what must have been its annual rate of economic growth? If, instead, the
economy
was at point c at the end of the 10-year period, by what percentage did it
fall short
of its production capacity?
The “Rule of 70,” which is to divide 70 by the rate of growth, gives us the
time it
takes for a country to double its output.
Years to double = (70 / Rate of Growth)
Rearranging this equation
Rate of Growth = (70 / Years to double)
Since the economy doubles its output in 10 years the rate of growth over this
period was 7% (= 70/10).
If actual production is at point c, $18 billion, inside the production
possibilities
curve output is falling short of production capacity by 10% (= $2 billion
(amount
short) / $20 billion).
25-7
5. Suppose that work hours in New Zombie are 200 in year 1 and productivity
is $8 per
hour worked. What is New Zombie’s real GDP? If work hours increase to 210 in
year 2
and productivity rises to $10 per hour, what is New Zombie’s rate of economic
growth?
LO4
Answer: Real GDP = $1600; Rate of growth = 31.25%
Feedback: Consider the following example. Suppose that work hours in New
Zombie are 200 in year 1 and productivity is $8 per hour worked. What is New
Zombie’s real GDP? If work hours increase to 210 in year 2 and productivity
rises
to $10 per hour, what is New Zombie’s rate of economic growth?
New Zombie’s real GDP in a given year equals hours worked multiplied by
productivity.
New Zombie’s real GDP in year 1 equals $1600 (= 200 x $8).
New Zombie’s real GDP in year 2 equals $2100 (= 210 x $10).
We now use these values to find the rate of economic growth.
New Zombie's rate of economic growth equals 31.25% ( = (($2100 $1600)/$1600)
x 100)).
25-8
6. The per-unit cost of an item is its average total cost (= total
cost/quantity). Suppose
that a new cell phone application costs $100,000 to develop and only $.50 per
unit to
deliver to each cell phone customer. What will be the per-unit cost of the
application if it
sells 100 units? 1000 units? 1 million units? L05
Answers: $1000.50; $100.50; $.60.
Feedback: Consider the following example. The per-unit cost of an item is its
average total cost (= total cost/quantity). Suppose that a new cell phone
application costs $100,000 to develop and only $.50 per unit to deliver to
each
cell phone customer. What will be the per-unit cost of the application if it
sells
100 units? 1000 units? 1 million units?
What will be the per-unit cost of the application if it sells 100 units?
Total Cost = $100,000 + 100 x $0.50 = $100,050
Per-Unit Cost = ($100,000 + 100 x $0.50)/100 = $100,000/100 + $0.50 = $1000 +
$0.50 = $1000.50.
What will be the per-unit cost of the application if it sells 1000 units?
Total Cost = $100,000 + 1000 x $0.50 = $100,500
Per-Unit Cost = ($100,000 + 1000 x $0.50)/1000 = $100,000/1000 + $0.50 =
$100 + $0.50 = $100.50.
What will be the per-unit cost of the application if it sells 1,000,000
units?
Total Cost = $100,000 + 1,000,000 x $0.50 = $600,000
Per-Unit Cost = ($100,000 + 1,000,000 x $0.50)/1,000,000 =
$100,000/1,0000,000 + $0.50 = $0.10 + $0.50 = $0.60.
25-9
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