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The Technological Running head: THE TECHNOLOGICAL INDUSTRY The Technological Industry Student’s Name School’s Name April 5, 2008 1 The Technological 2 The Technological Industry Technology plays a major role in our lives. Technology is one of the major determinants of supply as a technological advancement would lead to lower costs and hence increase supply. Not only that, but technology can also affect the Production Possibility Curve and advancement in technology could help an economy to reach a point that was unattainable before. Technology thus is an extremely powerful factor that can affect the economy, now we have to examine how the economy affects the success of the technological industry. The Technological 3 The Technological Industry Technology plays a major role in our lives. Technology is one of the major determinants of supply as a technological advancement would lead to lower costs and hence increase supply. Not only that, but technology can also affect the Production Possibility Curve and advancement in technology could help an economy to reach a point that was unattainable before. Technology thus is an extremely powerful factor that can affect the economy, now we have to examine how the economy affects the success of the technological industry. Supply and Demand First, I examined how current or past events in the industry has caused shifts with the price elasticity of supply and demand, in this I examined how Microsoft sales and sales forecasts have been dropping as a result of the drop in PC Sales. Here we must remember that software and PC are complements, hence a decrease in the demand for one good, would result in a decrease for the demand of its complement. A decrease in demand in general would cause prices to fall. If prices fall, then the supply will decrease because suppliers such as Microsoft would not cut down prices. Although the articles do not specifically tackle the issues of the elasticity of supply and demand, we can easily deduct that such a drop in demand probably did not cause shifts in the elasticity. This is because the second article suggests that Microsoft would not lower its prices. The demand for software is probably inelastic since there are no close substitutes, taking Microsoft Office software as an example, if someone uses MS word, The Technological 4 then another person would not be able to view and edit the document unless he has MS Word as well. It is true that there are many other software that does the same job as MS Word such as Corell’s WordPerfect, but still it cannot be considered a close substitute. I believe that software is becoming a necessity, most consumers use software in their day to day lives, nobody is using typing machines any more, or to be more accurate, the demand for typewriters has fallen tremendously over the past 15 years. Although I could not find articles that discuss the price elasticity of demand for software, I am confident that the price elasticity of demand for software is less than -1.0. Externalities Secondly I would examine externalities in the technological industry, their causes and effects. An Externality is defined by Mankiw as “The Uncompensated impact of one person’s actions on the well-being of a bystander”1 One of the most noticeable negative externalities of technology is piracy, whether it is software piracy, copyrights infringements, and so forth. An article by Candace Lombradi discusses software piracy in great detail. Lombradi, in her article has conducted a study that showed that “software piracy resulted in a loss of $34 Billion worldwide in 2005, a $1.6 Billion increase over 2004…”2 The Technological 5 Obviously, such a negative externality is directly affecting a third party; software manufacturers such as Microsoft are suffering a great loss as a direct result of the pirated software transactions. Another indirect externality that is implied in an article by Alfred Hermida is participating in organized crime, “They have also pushed the idea that consumers are supporting organized crime when they buy a game or DVD from someone in the street.”3 In my personal opinion, downloading games, songs, or movies from the internet gets consumer used to stealing because, as the article states, there is no difference between downloading a free game and stealing a DVD or a CD from a store. From those articles, we can confidently say that technology – especially software is a Private Good; a good that is rival and excludable, and is supplied by private firms in the marketplace. This is because, in essence, only the consumer who pays for a software license is allowed to use it. Pirated software reclassifies the good as a Public Good that is both nonrival and nonexcludable since consumers who use such software share the benefits without sharing the costs. Trade-off Between Efficiency and Equality: Third, I examined the trade-off between efficiency and equality. Just like in any other industry, the trade-off between Efficiency, and Equality would always be present. The Technological Industry might appear to be both efficient and fair at the same time simply because most people who work in this industry have computer knowledge and those are usually offered higher salaries than other industries. Surprisingly, this is not true. If we are discussing the Technological Industry in the United States, we might not The Technological 6 realize the wage inequality, but we are discussing the industry in general not only in the United States. The first article I located indirectly discusses this fact when the writer says “Like many other manufacturers, the world's biggest computer companies face a tough business environment. To cut costs, they outsource production to low-wage countries.4 Reading through the article the writer states “Electronics workers in developing countries are rarely employed directly by the big brand name companies. In Guadalajara, Mexico, workers are hired through agencies that supply workers for contract manufacturers. The agencies often ask personal questions in interviews designed to screen out pregnant women and anyone likely to organize workers for better working conditions, according to CAFOD. Once recruited, workers live in fear of losing their jobs. Many are employed on consecutive short-term contracts lasting three months, making it easy for the agencies to fire them at will.” 5 From that we can see that wage inequality DOES exist even in an industry that requires higher education. Wage Inequality can thus be easily proven if a survey is conducted about interview questions. In the second article I located, the writer states that “Most companies don't want older workers, and the managers make sure these people are not hired," he says. He says companies want young, cheap workers fresh out of college who are willing to work 12-hour days for half the salary expected by more experienced workers.” 6 The above is a proof that there is a wage inequality in the technological industry because according to the article, two people – one is a fresh graduate and the other is an older person would be doing the same job with the fresh graduate being paid only half the salary of the older person. The Technological 7 Such wage inequality could be easily seen when comparing salaries of two employees doing the same job where one of them is a fresh graduate and the other is an older person. Effects of Monetary and Fiscal Policies: Finally, I examined the effects that fiscal and monetary policies had over the technological industries. “President Bush and the Republican-led Congress have increased spending substantially since Bush took office in 2001. In those five years, spending has risen faster than at any time since the Vietnam War.”7 The article elaborates by listing the eight ways this has happened and among these comes “Protecting the homeland”, and although the article does not explicitly tackle the effects of this increase in government spending on the technological industry, the effects are quite obvious. Protecting the homeland means that more money is spent on the development of new software and hardware that help meeting the new security measures. The second article confirms this by saying “Companies that specialize in software, hardware and services for the security industry could see stronger growth this year than counterparts in other technology fields, said speakers at this week's RSA Conference 2003 here.”8 As far as monetary policy, the third report states that “The Committee raised its target for the federal funds rate at its January and March meetings as available information pointed to accumulating pressures on inflation and solid economic growth.”9 From the above, we can see that there is an expansionary fiscal policy through increased government spending; such a policy would mean that the unemployment rate The Technological 8 in the technological industry would decrease as more people are needed to create and use the new security software and hardware. This expansionary fiscal policy would increase the demand for new security systems (both in hardware and software), hence create an increase in the growth of the industry. An increase in demand is usually coupled with an increase in price levels, which would have led to inflation, but that is when a concretionary monetary policy came into place. At the beginning of 2007, the Fed has increased the Federal Fund Rate in an attempt to curb inflation, and according the report, the Fed’s attempts were successful. Conclusion From all of the above, it is easy to see that the economy greatly affects the success or failure of an industry. Economic policies can actually “make or break” an industry. In the case of Microsoft, we saw how a decrease in the demand of one good negatively affected the demand for software. To the extent that the demand for software is elastic, software prices dropped. We also can see that economic decisions do not just affect the parties directly involved in the transaction; almost every decision that is made affects people who are “outsiders” to the transaction. The effects could be positive or negative, and the same decision can have both positive and negative externalities at the same time as we have seen throughout the study. Actually, even a negative externality such as software policy generated some positive effects, for example even if you are using a pirated software, The Technological 9 you still can do your work more efficiently, and in some cases your use of a pirated software might lead you to purchase genuine software once you see that you are benefiting from the use of this particular software. We also examined the elasticity of supply and saw that the elasticity of demand and those of supply have an inverse relationship; because the demand for software is inelastic, a small decrease in the demand for software would not cause a noticeable decrease in price, but can cause a big decrease in supply. The example of software has also showed that we cannot clearly divide goods into public and private goods, this is because that although the use of software is supposed to be excludable because when an individual purchases a copy of a program, other family members and work associates can use that program whether they are using it on the same machine or by making a pirated copy. We saw that the “Free-rider problem” remains a problem that economists cannot solve. On the subject of wage inequality, the research shows that there is a trade-off between equality and efficiency which is why economists view the world through the lens of scarcity. Since human and property resources are limited (Scarce), it follows that the goods and services we produce must also be scarce. Scarcity limits our options and necessitates that we make choices. Finally, we saw how monetary and fiscal policies can help in steering the economy and that the “Laissez-Faire” attitude cannot really work because for example, if the government and the Fed do not engage in the expansionary and concretionary policies, periods of recession and inflation can last for a long time. Individuals are not The Technological simply greedy; it is just that scarcity makes them want so many things for a limited amount of resources. Economic decisions that are meant to have a positive effect might have a negative effect; taxes for example are meant to generate funds for the government so that they can build new highways, keep offering welfare payments, and so forth, but those taxes reduces the disposable income of taxpayers and forces them to make choices. In conclusion, it is scarcity not anything else that is the driving force. 10 The Technological References http://news.com.com/Study+Software+piracy+costs+34+billion/2100-1014_3-6075629.html http://www.asyousow.org/human_rights/electronics.shtml http://www.zazona.com/ShameH1B/Library/BrainSavers/Discrimination_Rampant.htm http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2006-04-02-federal-spending-inside_x.htm http://news.com.com/2100-1014-996798.html http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/hh/2007/february/0207mpr_sec1.htm 11