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Financing ICT for Development World Bank Group 8 October 2009 Investment in ICT has a major impact on economic development and this impact is increasing as ICT technology becomes more widely used. A recent study published by the World Bank1 found that, in developing countries, for every additional 10 percentage points in broadband penetration that a country achieves, GDP growth increases by 1.4 percentage points. Given this key role that ICT plays in countries’ economic development strategies, the financing of investment in the sector is a key issue for policy-makers. Developing countries have undergone an ICT revolution over the last 15 years. Market reforms, institutional development and competition have generated very high levels of investment (mainly private) in developing countries. This investment has translated into rapidly expanding voice network coverage, increased availability of basic ICT services and lower prices. Around US$30 billion was committed to investments in telecommunications networks in lowincome countries between 1997 and 2007 and over 53 percent of the population now live within reach of wireless networks. By 2007 there were over 250 million telephone subscribers (fixed and mobile) in these countries and this number has since continued to grow rapidly as prices fall and networks expand. Despite the success of sector policy reform in stimulating network roll-out, many developing countries lag behind their peers. The reform agenda in the ICT sector is far from complete. Much remains to be done, particularly in the field of stimulating competition and rolling-out networks into rural areas. The agenda is also rapidly evolving, moving beyond access to basic voice services to high-speed internet services. Broadband penetration rates are rising quickly in many countries, providing access to advanced ICT services which are changing the way people do business and live their lives. We are only just beginning to see the impact of broadband on economic and social development. We expect to see the same positive impact in developing countries, as broadband networks grow and penetration rates increase. The major new policy challenge facing developing country governments is therefore how to stimulate investment for the roll-out of broadband networks and the provision of broadband services at affordable prices. Market reform and competition is likely to continue to be a major driver of broadband network growth in developing countries. Operators throughout the developing world are already investing in upgrading their networks to be able to provide broadband services and, in some countries such as China and India, we are beginning to see rapid increases in the number of broadband subscribers. In many developing countries, the primary means of customer access to broadband will be through wireless technologies. The flexibility of wireless networks has been a key driver of 1 Economic Impacts of Broadband, Christine Zhen-Wei Qiang and Caro Rossotto, with Kaoru Kimura; in 2009 Information and Communications for Development; World Bank success in the voice network revolution and the same factors are likely to play a role in broadband roll-out in developing countries. By providing access to radio-spectrum and creating a competitive retail market for broadband services, governments will trigger private investment into broadband networks. There has been, and continues to be, major private investment into submarine fiber-optic cables and competition between them is improving access to low-cost international connectivity. Finally, the emergence of broadband standards such as 3G, WiMax and LTE combined with global competition between network equipment and handset manufacturers will drive down costs, thereby making it more profitable to roll-out broadband networks in developing countries. High-capacity fiber-optic backbone networks are essential for carrying broadband communications traffic, reducing costs and improving the quality of broadband services. In countries where the infrastructure market has been fully liberalized, we are seeing investment into fiber-optic networks and the emergence of competition. However, many countries retain regulatory restrictions on the development of fiber-optic networks and operators find it difficult to obtain access to the necessary regulatory and planning permissions to develop them. Governments can therefore stimulate network investment by removing these regulatory restrictions and by giving operators access to public network infrastructure such as railways, pipelines and electricity transmission lines. Even if these measures are implemented, private investment into broadband networks is still likely to focus on the most profitable routes, usually between major population centres. Smaller towns and rural areas are not attracting enough private investment into networks to provide mass market broadband services to these markets. Consequently, bottlenecks do remain and retail broadband services are either not available or too expensive for mass market lowincome consumers. In this context, governments have a key role to play in supporting the financing of fiber-optic networks in these areas. There are many different models for doing this but the ones that are most likely to succeed are those in which the private sector, in partnership with government, is closely involved in the design, construction and operation of the networks. The World Bank, together with other international partners such as the African Development Bank, is playing a role in expanding networks through financing of strategic public-private partnership investments to support the development of key parts of the infrastructure. International submarine cables, cross-border connectivity and high-capacity domestic backbone networks are all examples of areas in which World Bank investments play a catalytic role, crowding-in private sector investment and improving service delivery. Examples of such programs include the EASSy cable along the East coast of Africa, the Regional Communications Infrastructure Program ($424m) throughout Eastern and Southern Africa and the recently approved Central Africa Backbone project ($215m). In these programs, the World Bank and its partners are supporting governments in overcoming these key infrastructure bottlenecks. Similar programs are under development with World Bank support in West Africa, as well as in the Caribbean and Pacific regions. Approximately US$1 billion of World Bank funds was committed for activities related to information and communications technology in low-income countries around the world between 1997 and 2009.