Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
ESTIMATION OF THE SURFACE TEMPERATURE OF FLAT AREAS ON THE MOON Xiongyao Lia, Yongchun Zhengb,#, Qingxia Lic, Dan Zhangc, Yi Liaoc, Shijie Wanga, Liang Langc, Shaohong Fua Email address: [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] a The State Key Laboratory of Environmental Geochemistry, Institute of Geochemistry, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guiyang 550002; b The National Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100012 Corresponding author: [email protected] c Department of Electronics and Information Engineering, Huazhong University of Science &Technology, Wuhan, 430074 China ABSTRACT Lunar surface temperature (LST) is affected by the solar irradiance, earthshine and heat flow for the flat areas on the moon. We present an improved transient temperature model to calculate temperatures of lunar flat surfaces. The model consists of one-dimensional thermal diffusion equation and two boundary conditions. The boundary condition at the lunar surface is significantly improved by exactly deducing the time-dependent effective solar irradiance (ESI) and earthshine. The error of the ESI varies from 0 to 3.89 W·m-2 and the theoretical erroneous percentage of this ESI model is estimated to be less than 0.28% during 100 years from 1950 to 2050. The simulated surface temperatures suggest consistency with the measured temperatures from the thermocouples of Apollo 15 and 17 heat flow experiments. From LST simulated with the improved model, it is found the annual-seasonal variations present obvious latitude characters, with highest surface temperature occurring in late October, November and December separately at high (>~72 degree) latitudes, middle latitudes and low (<~20 degree) latitudes; the lowest surface temperatures occur in late July. Moreover, the maximum and minimum lunar surface temperatures become lower with the increasing latitude as well as the differences of the maximum and minimum temperatures. A 1322.5 w/m2 change of the ESI would lead to 179.4K change in surface daytime temperature; A 0.12 and 0.02w/m2 change of the earthshine and heat flow would lead to 0.5K and 0.09K in surface nighttime temperature, respectively. Key words: Moon; lunar surface temperature (LST); effective solar irradiance (ESI); 1 heat diffusion equation; model. 2 1. Introduction Lunar surface temperature (LST) is a quantity of special interest for interpreting the thermal character of the regolith from the data of the lunar passive microwave remote sensing and thermal infrared remote sensing. The thermal radiation energy is usually expressed as the brightness temperature which is directly related to the LST and effective emissivity about the surface layers of the moon. Hence, the LST is essential for extracting physical information of the lunar regolith from brightness temperature. Meanwhile, the LST is regarded as a basic boundary condition for the thermal evolution model of the lunar interior [Hapke, 1996]. LST could be obtained by two categories of techniques: one is the experiment related techniques; the other is the estimation based on physical models. Direct measurements of the LST have been derived from in-situ Measurement, estimating by the temperature of landing cabin and the thermophysical properties of lunar samples, ground-based observations and spacecraft-based observations. The in-situ measurement (Apollo 15 and 17 sites) were successfully done. The results deduced from the thermocouple temperatures show the maximum temperature is 384K with a minimum of 102K at Apollo 17 site, and about 10K higher than the Apollo 15 surface temperatures through most of the night. Lucas et al. inferred the LSTs from the temperatures of landing cabins of SurveyorⅠ, Ⅲ, Ⅴ, Ⅵ, Ⅶ and the thermophysical properties of lunar samples collected in Apollo 11, 12 and 17 missions. Lawsow et al discussed the relationship between the temperature and thermophysical properties, such as the emissivity, reflectivity, and thermal conductivity via the infrared 1 exploration data obtained in Clementine and Lunar Prospector missions. Nevertheless, Hagermann et al. analyzed the temperature changing with the heat flow and latitude. Measurements of LST by ground-based observations mainly utilize the remote sensing with infrared and microwave, which were concentrated in the lunar equator. The maximum temperature was related to the center of lunar disk with the minimum to the rim. In order to recognize the LST distribution, Diviner Lunar Radiometer Experiment (DLRE) has been executed in NASA’s Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter mission in 2008. The DLRE will chart the temperature of the entire lunar surface at approximately 500 meter horizontal scales to identify cold-traps and potential ice deposits. The experiment related techniques are inadequate. The in-situ measurement is very expensive, and it can only measure the temperature at a few lunar sites in a short period. The estimation by the temperatures of landing cabins and the thermophysical properties of lunar samples could only offer a few data of LST because the raw data was insufficient. Except the temperatures obtained in Apollo 15 and 17 missions, most of the data came from the remote sensing, including spacecraft- and ground-based observations. The spacecraft exploration with higher spatial resolution can detect the more accurate temperature, but the high cost limits the exploration which need pay a long time. The low spatial resolution and the influence of Earth atmosphere in ground-based observations lead to errors which could only reflect the mean temperature of a large area, and only the lunar nearside could be measured because of the movement property of the Moon. Therefore, in order to recognize the LST distribution and variation of the entire Moon, the physical models were developed. 2 Over the years, several models have been developed by different researchers to model the heat conduction of lunar regolith. Wesselink [1948] first applied the well known heat conduction equation to an infinitesimal element of volume at the lunar surface. As the time goes by, the conditions that the heat conduction equation applied to are more complex. Our model is improved based on Mitchell’s model by accurately deduced the solar irradiance and earthshine. In this paper, an improved transient temperature model including the time-dependent solar irradiance is proposed. Diurnal temperature variation in the surface layers are determined by considering the balance between the solar radiation, earthshine, heat flow and the radiation energy from lunar subsurface. One-dimensional thermal diffusion equation and two boundary conditions are applied to estimate the temperature. The prominent part of our study is the boundary condition which incorporates rigorous derivation of the effective solar irradiance and earthshine. To verify the proposed model in this paper, the surface temperature measured at Apollo 15 and 17 sites are used to compare with the calculated temperature. The two most conspicuous and important topographic features near the Apollo 15 heat-flowexperiment site are Hadley Rille and Apennine Front. Apollo 15 landing site can be approximately regarded as the flat area because the topographic effect of Hadley Rille is approximately canceled by the effect of the Apennine Front [Langseth et al., 1972]. At Apollo 17 site, the heat flow experiment site is on a local topographic high, perhaps an intercrater ridge between two wide but shallow depressions north and southeast of the site. The two probes are implanted near the rim of the shallow northern depression 3 [Langseth et al., 1973]. Accordingly, we model the LST of Apollo 15 and 17 sites with negligible topography. 2. Improved Transient Temperature Model We model the LST by considering the basic theory of thermal conduction for the semi-infinite solid and thermophysical properties of lunar regolith, namely solar albedo, infrared emissivity, bulk density, thermal conductivity, and heat capacity. The thermophysical properties change abruptly near the surface, as evidenced by rapid cooling of the uppermost layer just after sunset followed by slow cooling of the surface during the night [Vasavada et al., 1999]. A model of the lunar regolith has been constructed which solves the one-dimensional thermal diffusion equation ( x , t ) c ( x, T ) T T [ K ( x, T ) ] Qt ( x, t ) , t x x (1) using a finite difference method described by Carslaw and Jaeger [1959]. ρ is the bulk density as a function of depth; c is the heat capacity as a function of temperature; K is the thermal conductivity as a function of depth and temperature; Qt is the thermal radiation generated by translucent media; t is the time. The sizes and packing of grains likely account for the different modes of conduction [Ledlow et al., 1992]. The lunar regolith, especially the surface layer, is an extremely good insulator. The model consists of a 2 cm thick top layer that is highly insulating and a lower layer that is more conductive, which differ in thermal conductivity [Vasavada et al., 1999]. We write the thermal conductivity in the form K K c [1 ( T 3 , ) ] T350 4 (2) At the top 2cm, K c 9.2 104Wm 1 K 1 , 1.48 . While at the bottom layer, K c 9.3 10 3Wm 1 K 1 , 0.073 . Heat capacity is a function of only temperature, taken from Jones et al.[1975]. They derived an expression based on lunar Apollo 11 sample measurements. Following Jones et al. (1992), we represent the heat capacity by C 0.05277 0.15899 10 2 0.03366 10 4 0.03142 10 7 (3) Although this equation is based upon Apollo 11 fines, there is essentially no difference between the specific heat capacity values for the fines and the measured values for samples of solid materials from the various Apollo sites. The equation expresses the heat capacity in units of W h kg-1 K-1. For our application to model calculation we are only concerned with the first few meters of the subsurface. We assume that the surface material is inhomogeneous down through the depth to which the diurnal heating wave penetrates. Carrier et al. [1973] used a hyperbolic function to describe the increase of density with depth. We follow Carrier and adopt the expression: 1.92 x 12.2 , x 18 (4) where x is the depth under the surface in cm and is in g/cm3. To solve the thermal diffusion equation, two boundary conditions are applied. 1) The boundary condition across the lunar surface is the surface heat balance equation KS T |s BTS 4 (1 r )[ I (t ) E (t )] Q , x (5) where KsT/x denotes the heat conducted into the subsurface; BTs4 is the radiated 5 energy from the surface, where is the emissivity of lunar regolith, and B is the Stefan–Boltzmann constant (5.67×10-8 W m-2 K-4); r is the reflectivity; I(t) and E(t) are the ESI and earthshine on the lunar surface, respectively. Q is the flux originated from lunar interior. 2) The second boundary condition [Mitchell and pater, 1994] is that at a certain depth within the lunar regolith where the temperature is merely determined by internal heat sources; mathematically this means T Q |d 1 , x Kd (6) where T/x|d and Kd are the temperature gradient and thermal conductivity at the equilibrium depth; Q is neglected at the thermal equilibrium depth. The heat diffusion equation (1) can only be solved by numerical methods because the boundary conditions are too complicated and nonlinear for an analytical solution. A finite difference formulation is used. The explicit finite difference form of the heat diffusion equation is expressed as T ( x x, t t ) K ( x, T )t [T ( x x, t ) 2T ( x, t ) T ( x x, t )] T ( x, t ) , ( x, t )c( x, T )x 2 (7) 3. Parameters for the Improved Transient Temperature Model Parameters in the model are of great importance for the calculation of the surface temperature. To improve the accuracy of the model, the ESI and earthshine are deduced. Other physical parameters such as the heat flow are selected from the analysis of previous studies. 6 3.1. Effective Solar Irradiance Solar irradiance on the lunar surface is the key to understand LST distribution. In this study, we have constructed a lunar surface ESI real-time model in terms of the relationship between the solar irradiance, solar constant, solar incidence angle and the Sun-Moon distance. The moon in the Solar System rotates on its axe, leading to diurnal changes in Sun angle and energy input. The ESI on the lunar surface could be represented by (Fig. 1) Sun Effective solar irradiance irr Sola ad r ian ce reflection i Lunar surface Fig.1 Solar irradiance on the lunar surface I Esm cos( i) , (8) where I and Esm are the ESI and total solar irradiance, respectively. The ESI is the normal part of the solar irradiance, and i is the incidence angle. Under the assumption that the energy decrement, which is produced by the absorbing, scattering of other orbs or cosmic dusts, is neglected, the total solar irradiance absorbed by the surface is therefore [Maxwell, 1998; Owczarek, 1997] Esm S0 Rsm- 2 , (9) where, S0 is the solar constant. Rsm is the dimensionless Sun-Moon distance relative to 1AU. 7 Moon ecliptic Rem jem Rsm Earth jsm Sun Fig.2. Geometric relationship in the Sun-Moon system According to the location relationship among the Sun, the Earth and the Moon (Fig. 2), the Sun-Moon distance could be described by the equation Rsm Rem sinjem sinjsm , (10) where Rem is the dimensionless Earth-Moon distance relative to 1AU, and φem is the geocentric ecliptical latitude. They could be obtained from the lunar orbital semi-analytic theory ELP2000-82 [Bretagnon and Francon, 1988]. φsm is the heliocentric ecliptical latitude. It was given by Meeus [1991], in the form jsm jem Rem Rse , (11) where Rse is the dimensionless Sun-Earth distance relative to 1AU. It could be deduced from the planetary orbital theory VSOP87 [Chapront-Touzé and Chapront, 1983]. Hence, the lunar surface total solar irradiance could be expressed as Esm S0 sin 2 j em Rem Rse 2 Rem sin 2 j em 8 , (12) Measured point i Measure point Rmoon a M Rmoon a i O Lunar equator K Q Subsolar point O O’ N b P b Rsm Subsolar point Moon S Sun Fig.3 Schematic diagram of solar radiation incidence angle on the lunar surface. O is the geometric center of the Moon. Plane KOQ is located on the equatorial plane of the Moon. Plane NO′P is parallel to the equatorial plane of the Moon. K and N are the projections of M on each plane. Q is the projection of P on the equatorial plane of the Moon. ∠ KOQ and ∠ NO′P are the difference between the selenographic longitudes of measured point and subsolar point. ∠ MOK and ∠ POQ are selenographic latitudes of measured point and subsolar point, respectively. In Figure 3, the incidence angle of level plane on the lunar surface could be defined as follows: i a b , (13) a arccoscos jn cos jd cos n d sin jn sin jd , (14) where 1/ 2 2 Rem sin 2 j em Rem Rmoon sin j em cos a 2 b arcsin Rmoon sin a 2 Rmoon ,(15) sin j R R sin j R R em em se em em se Rmoon is the radius of the Moon. ψn and φn are the selenographic longitude and selenographic latitude of the measured point, severally; ψd and φd are those of the subsolar point. 9 According to the analysis above, we can therefore calculate the ESI as I S0 sin 2 jem Rem Rse cos( a b ) 2 Rem sin 2 jem , (16) where α and β could be solved from equations (14) and (15), respectively; ψd, φd, φem, Rem and Rse could be obtained from corresponding astronomical algorithms. Because the geocentric ecliptical latitude of the Moon is quite small (0≤φem≤5.15º)[Duke, 1999; Heiken et al.,1991], the lunar-surface ESI could be simplified as: I lim jem 0 S0 sin 2 jem Rem Rse cos( a b ) R sin jem 2 em 2 S0cos( a b ) , Rse2 (17) Reliable determination of solar constant requires the construction of a composite record utilizing overlapping data for cross calibration of measurements from different radiometers, including HF/Nimbus, ACRIM1/SMM, ERBE/ERBS, ACRIM2/UARS, ACRIM3/ACRIM-Sat, VIRGO/SOHO, and SORCE/TIM [Foukal et al., 2006; Fröhlich and Lean, 1998; Fröhlich, 2002; Willson and Mordvinov, 2003]. The model of PMOD developed by Fröhlich showed the solar constant varies between 1361.8 and 1368.2 W·m-2. The average value of the solar constant is about 1366W·m-2 by satellite observations. The Sun-Earth distance ranges from 0.98AU to 1.02AU [Heiken et al., 1991]. The variation of lunar-surface ESI caused by the variation of Sun-Earth distance is larger than 100 W·m-2. The solar radiation incidence angle ranges from 0 to 90 degree. As a result, the lunar-surface ESI ranges from 0 to 1425.7W·m-2. In the previous thermal heat transfer models, investigators regarded the ESI as a physical quantity which is merely related to the solar constant, the Sun-Moon distance and the elevation angle of the Sun. However, from equation (16), it could be seen that the ESI 10 is inclusive of the information of the longitude and latitude. Hence, the ESI is the embodiment of the location- dependent and seasonal variation characters. Fig 4 shows the ESI variation at different latitude regions from Apr. 6th, 1971 through Apr. 5th, 1972. Effective solar irradiance(W/m2) 1500 89.5N 60.5N 30.5N 0.5N 1000 500 0 0 50 100 150 200 Time(day) 250 300 350 400 Fig.4 The ESI variation at 0.5N, 30.5N, 60.5N and 89.5N from Apr. 6th, 1971 through Apr. 5th 3.1.1. Error Analysis According to equation (8) and (9), the error of the ESI is caused by the solar constant, Sun-Earth distance and solar incidence angle. By means of the error transfer theory, systematic error equals to the modulus sum of each variable error multiplying by its derivative. Therefore, the error is represented by the equation I I I S R i , S0 Rsm i (18) where S, R and i are the errors of the solar constant, Sun-Earth distance and solar incidence angle, severally. The variation is greatly related to the solar activity. Some research indicated that the solar constant shows a tendency of 11-year cycle with 11 strong/weak alternation. Its variation range is from1361.8 to 1369.2W·m-2. We take the average solar constant (that is S0=1365.5±3.7W·m-2) and its error is S 3.7W / m 2 . (19) On the basis of VSOP87 theory, we present the error of the Sun-Earth distance R 9.13Rsm 106 cy 1 . (20) The error of the solar incidence angle mainly comes from a of equation (13) , because the Sun-Moon distance is larger than the lunar radius. It leads b of equation (15) to be very small. The error of the solar incidence angle is therefore i 10 9 cy 1 . (21) When equation (19), (20) and (21)are substituted into equation (18), it is 3.7 cos i 18.26S0 cos i S sin i 10 6 0 2 109 N . 2 2 Rsm Rsm Rsm (22) where N is the number of years relative to 12 o’clock on January 1, 2000. According to the geometric relationship among the Sun, the Earth and the Moon, Rsm reaches the minimum value of 0.980466AU when the Earth is located at perihelion and the Moon is on the line between the Sun and the Earth. The solar radiation incidence angle ranges from 0 to 90 degree. Hence, the error of the ESI varies from 0 to 3.89 W·m-2 and the theoretical erroneous percentage of this model is estimated to be less than 0.28% during 100 years from 1950 to 2050. These indicate that the model can accurately reflect the variation of ESI on the lunar surface. 3.2. Earthshine The earthshine includes the emitted (infrared) radiation of the Earth and the reflected solar radiation by the Earth (Fig.4). Locked in synchronous rotation, the 12 Moon always hides its farside away from Earth and faces Earth only with its nearside. The earthshine just influences the LST at the lunar nearside and can be described as terrestrial albedo and emissivity. Hence, the energy conservation of a semi-sphere could be written as: 2Rem E ( AS0 Te ) 2Re 2 4 2 (23) where, A is the terrestrial albedo, and Re is the radius of the Earth. Equation (23) can be simplified to the following: E ( AS 0 Te ) 4 Re 2 Rem (24) 2 earth emission reflection S n tio dia a r r ola Lunar thermal radiation earthshine Sun So lar rad iati on Lunar surface Heat flow Fig.4 The solar radiation, heat flow, earthshine, and lunar thermal radiation influence the LST of a horizontal plane on the Moon. As the Sun, the Earth and the Moon are located on different sites, the value of reflected radiation ranges from 0 to 0.11 W·m-2. When the Earth is between the Sun and the Moon, and the Moon is just in the shadow of the Earth, a given site on the nearside of the Moon is blocked from the solar radiation and receives only terrestrial infrared radiation, that is, the reflected radiation is nearly zero. Assumed the average 13 temperature of the earth is 287K. Based on the data from the Big Bear Solar Observatory since December 1998, Goode et al. [2001] suggested the average albedo is 0.297±0.005. With a average radius 6371 km of the Earth, a average Earth-Moon distance of 384402 km, and a solar constant 1366W·m-2, thereby the infrared radiation received by the Moon is 0.099 W·m-2. Under most circumstances, the earthshine that a given site on the nearside of the Moon receives from the Earth is about 0.099~0.201 W·m-2. In this paper, we choose 0.12 as the value of the earthshine. 3.3. Heat Flow The lunar heat flow is important that it provides a basic data for inferring thermal state of the lunar interior and is directly related to the abundance of radiogenic elements. Measurements made at Apollo 15 and 17 sites show the heat flow at these two sites are 0.021±0.003W·m-2 and 0.014±0.002 W·m-2, respectively [Langseth et al., 1976]. A global variation range was estimated to be 0.02W·m-2 to 0.04W·m-2 based on the measurements at Apollo 15 and 17 sites and Earth-based observations of microwave emission [Heiken et al., 1991]. Because the thermal skin depth is small, the solar radiation has a little impact on lunar subsurface temperature. The impact of the heat flux is comparatively elevated, especially during the night. 3.4. Thermophysical Properties of Lunar Regolith Wildey [1977] showed that the reflectivity of the lunar surface layer is about 0.090~0.228 with an average of 0.125. It was estimated to be about 0.090~0.189 at the visible and infrared bands [Zou et al. 2004]. Furthermore, Racca [1995] obtained the reflectivity of the lunar surface by fitting the earth-based observation data, which is 14 equal to 0.127. According to the data published by Wildey [1977], the values of reflectivity at the Apollo 11, 12, 15 and 17 landing sites have been averaged among adjacent regions. They are 0.102, 0.102, 0.116, and 0.120, respectively. The maximal change is smaller than 2.3K in the calculation of LST, when the reflectivity ranges from 0.102 to 0.127 or from 0.127 to 0.228. To simplify the calculations it is necessary to assume a constant value for the surface reflectivity in the given range, and we use the reflectivity published by Racca [1995] to calculate the LST in this study. In the thermal unsteady state, the emissivity isn’t equal to the absorptivity. Li, X et al. [2000] show the material has a stronger emission in thermal unsteady state than in thermal steady state. Therefore, the emissivity of lunar surface layer couldn’t be deduced simply from the reflectivity. Hale et al showed that the characteristics of thermal emission on the lunar surface are approximate to those of a black-body. Its thermal emissivity is about 0.90~1.00 [Hale and Hapke, 2002; Salisbury et al., 1997; Keihm and Langseth, 1973]. To simplify the simulation, it’s also necessary to assume a constant value for the surface emissivity in the given range. The values have been averaged and a constant value ε=0.94 has been considered in the simulation. With those mean values of I(t)=1366W·m-2 for lunar daytime and I(t)=0W·m-2 for lunar nighttime, E(t)=0.12W·m-2, and Q=0.02W·m-2, the LST could be computed by equation (1). 4. Simulation results and Comparison with Experiments To verify the proposed model, the simulated surface temperatures are compared with the measured temperatures at Apollo 15 and 17 sites in this section. Parameters for simulation 15 The constant parameters used in simulation are shown in Table 1. Table 1. Constant Parameters in simulation Parameters r(reflectivity) Value 0.127 (emissivity) 0.94 S0(solar constant) 1366 E(t)(earthshine) 0.12 Q(Apollo 15 heat flow) 0.02 Q(Apollo 17 heat flow) 0.014 Experiment data for comparison Both Apollo 15 and 17 heat flux experiments used the same basic design. Two probes were implemented, and four thermocouples were placed on the probe cables which lie on or just above the lunar surface [Langseth et al, 1972]. Langseth et al. [1973] show the surface temperatures were monitored by thermocouples in cables placed several centimeters above the lunar surface at the Apollo 15 and 17 sites. These thermocouples are in radiative balance with the lunar surface, the solar radiation and space, governed by the flux balance equation. With solving the flux balance equation, at the Apollo 15 site, the maximum temperature is 374K with a minimum of 92K. Temperatures at the Apollo 17 site are about 10K higher at night [Langseth and Keihm, 1977]. 16 Comparison between simulation and experiment With the above parameters, the lunar surface temperatures at the Apollo 15 and 17 landing sites are calculated with a numerical method. The results are shown in Fig.5. measured data Racca's model our model 350 Temperature(K) 300 250 200 150 100 0 5 10 15 Time(day) 20 25 30 (a) Apollo 15 landing site measured data Racca's model our model 350 Temperature(K) 300 250 200 150 100 0 5 10 15 Time(day) 20 25 30 (b) Apollo 17 landing site Fig.5 Comparison of the LST within experimental observation (Keihm and Langseth, 17 1973), Racca’s (1995) simulation and our simulation at Apollo 15 and 17 sites during a lunation Fig.5 shows the variation of LST from the simulation is consistent with that from measurements during the day and night. The variation of the temperature is rapid during daytime, mainly determined by the solar irradiance because the lunar surface is lack of atmosphere. At night, the variation of temperature is smooth, and mainly controlled by the earthshine and heat flow. The simulation gives surface temperature with a maximum of 372.4K and a minimum of 93.1K which are close to the measured maximum of 374K and minimum of 92K at Apollo 15 site. The simulation also gives surface temperature with a maximum of 376K and a minimum of 102.5K at Apollo 17 site, where the measured maximum surface temperature is 3846K and minimum surface temperature is 1022K. Furthermore, the simulation represents the temperature is increasing a little slower after dawn and decreasing a little slower after sunset than the measured temperature values at Apollo 15 and 17 sites. Compared with Racca’s steady state temperature model, our model is commendably improved the temperature at night. The nighttime temperatures should gradually decline according to the thermal conduction theory. However, the nighttime temperatures deduced by the Racca’s model keep steady. Calculated surface temperatures from our model in fig 6, the surface temperatures vary with the time at different latitudes during an earth year. The annual-seasonal variation can be observed, and the highest surface temperatures occur in late October, November and December separately at high (>~72 degree) latitudes, 18 middle latitudes and low (<~20 degree) latitudes; the lowest surface temperatures occur in late July. It is also showed that the surface temperatures have obvious seasonal variation at high latitudes. Moreover, the LSTs decrease with the increase of the latitude. 400 89.5N 60.5N 30.5N 0.5N 350 Temperature(K) 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 50 100 150 200 Time(day) 250 300 350 400 Fig 6 The surface temperature variation at 0.5。N, 30.5。N, 60.5N and 89.5。N during an earth year 400 350 Temperature(K) 300 250 nearside maximum temperature nearside minimum temperature farside maximum temperature farside minimum temperature the difference of nearside max and min temperature 200 150 100 50 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 Latitude(dgree) 19 40 60 80 100 Fig.7 The surface maximum and minimum temperature variation with the latitude Owing to lack of atmosphere, the lunar surface temperature is mainly determined by the ESI that is closely related to the latitude and solar incidence angle. The maximum and minimum temperatures become lower as the latitude increases in the southern hemisphere and northern hemisphere. The variation trend is consistent with the ESI. The solid line and “*” line show the maximum and minimum temperature at the lunar nearside and farside, separately. The differences of the maximum and minimum temperatures display the same variation. Because the lunar farside is not affected by the earthshine, the night temperature is about 0.5K lower than the lunar nearside. However, in the daytime the maximum temperatures are basically in superposition due to the diurnal temperature determined by the solar irradiation. According to the improved model, the contributions to the change of LST from the ESI, earthshine and heat flow will be evaluated. Near the equator a 1322.5 w/m2 ESI change from 1322.5 to 0 w/m2 would lead to 179.4K change in lunar surface daytime temperature; A 0.12 w/m2earthshine change from 0.12 to 0 w/m2would lead to an about 0.5K change in lunar surface nighttime; A 0.02 w/m2 heat flow change from 0.02 to 0 w/m2 would lead to an about 0.09K change in lunar surface nighttime. In addition, the cooling rate is determined by the thermal diffusivity, k/c. The simulated temperature cooling curve shows a little slower than the measured temperature cooling curve, which is possibly caused by the thermal diffusivity. 5. Conclusion Lunar surface temperatures have complicated relationship with the ESI, 20 earthshine, heat flow, and topography. For the flat areas on the Moon, the influence of topography can be ignored. To simulate the variation of the LST, an improved transient temperature model which consists of one-dimensional thermal diffusion equation and two boundary conditions is proposed in this paper. The boundary condition at the lunar surface was significantly improved by exactly deducing the time-dependent solar radiation, earthshine, heat flow, and other thermophysical properties. The error of the ESI varies from 0 to 3.89 W·m-2 and the theoretical erroneous percentage of this ESI model is estimated to be less than 0.28% during 100 years from 1950 to 2050.The contributions to the change of LST from the ESI, earthshine, and heat flow are evaluated. A 1322.5 w/m2 change of the ESI would lead to 179.4K change in surface daytime temperature; A 0.12 and 0.02w/m2 change of the earthshine and heat flow would lead to 0.5K and 0.09K in surface nighttime temperature, respectively. The time variation of surface temperature is simulated with the improved transient model with typical values of the thermophysical parameters. The simulated surface temperature is close to measured values at Apollo 15 and 17 sites. The simulated surface temperature can reflect the change of LST during the lunar day and night. Once the accurate thermophysical parameters on fixed location of the moon are obtained, the LST would be probably estimated by this model. Although the simulated surface temperatures approach the measured ones, there are still small deviations possibly caused by the ignorance of topography operation in simulation, the selection of thermophysical parameters, the errors of measured data, etc. During lunar day, the surface temperature is determined by the solar radiation. It is 21 obvious that the topography of Apollo 15 and 17 sites is not ideally flat and hence the accuracy of the model is supposed to be affected. At night, the surface temperature is determined by the bulk thermal inertia, (kc)1/2, of the surface layers ( k, and c are the thermal conductivity, bulk density and heat capacity, respectively) which are accompanied with the influence of inner sources (heat flow). The thermal inertia describes the resistance of a medium to temperature change. The bigger the thermal inertia is, the smaller the temperature difference between day and night is. Hence, the simulated surface temperatures at night are influenced by the choice of the thermophysical parameters values. On the moon, most surface area can not be considered as flat. Thus, the topography is suggested to be considered as a factor in the computation of the variation of the surface temperature. 22 Acknowledgements: This work was supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (863 Program) (Grant No. 2010AA122200), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant No.40803019, No. 40873055, and No.40673053), and China’s Lunar Exploration Program TY3Q20110029). 23 (Grant No. References Bretagnon, P., and G. Francon (1988), Planetary theories in rectangular and spherical variables VSOP 87 solutions, Astron. Astrophys. 202, pp. 309–315. Carrier, W. D., J. K. Mitchell, and A. Mahmood (1973), The relative density of lunar soil, Proceedings of the Fourth Lunar Science Conference, Vol.3, pp.2403-2411. Chapront-Touzé, M., and J. Chapront (1983), The lunar ephemeris ELP 2000, Astron. Astrophys, Vol.124, pp.50-62. Cremers, C.J., and R .C . Birkebak (1971), Thermal conductivity of fines from Apollo 12, Proceedings of the Second Lunar Science Conference, Vol, 3, pp.2311-2315, The M. I. T Press. Cremers, C.J., R. C. Birkebak, and J. E. White (1971), Thermal characteristic of the lunar surface layer, International Journal of Heat and Mass Tranfer, Vol. 15, Issue 5, pp.1045-1055. Carslaw, H. S., and J.C. Jaeger (1959), Conduction of heat in solids, Oxford: Clarendon Press, 2nd ed. Duke, M.B. (1999), The lunar environment, In: Eckart, P ed, the lunar base handbook, The McGraw-Hill Companies Inc., New York, pp.105-151. Foukal, P., C. Fröhlich, H. Spruit, and T. M. Wigley (2006), Variations in solar luminosity and their effect on the Earth's climate, Nature, Vol.443, 161. Fröhlich, C. (2002), Total solar irradiance variations since 1978, Advances in Space Research, Vol.29, Issue 10, pp.1409-1416. Fröhlich, C., and J. Lean (1998), The Sun's total irradiance: Cycles, trends and related 24 climate change uncertainties since 1976, Geophysical Research Letters, Vol.25, No.23, pp.4377-4380. Goode, P. R., J. Qiu, V. Yurchyshyn, J. Hickey, M. C. Chu, E. Kolbe, and C. T. Brown, and S. E. Koonin (2001), Earthshine observations of the Earth's reflectance, Letters, Vol.28, No.9, pp.1671-1674. Harrison, E. F., P. Minnis, B. R. Barkstrom, V. Ramanathan, R. D. Cess, and G. G. Gibson(1990), Seasonal variation of cloud radiative forcing derived from the earth radiation budget experiment, Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol.95, No.D11, pp.18687-18703. Hermalyn,B (2006), Radiative non-equilibrium at the lunar surface, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center. Hagermann, A., S.Tanaka, S. Yoshida, A. Fujimura, and H. Mizutani (2001), Regolith thermal property inversion in the LUNAR-A heat-flow experiment, Bulletin of the American Astronomical Society, Vol.33, pp.1147. Hale, A.S., and B. Hapke (2002), A Time-Dependent Model of Radiative and Conductive Thermal Energy Transport in Planetary Regoliths with Applications to the Moon and Mercury, Icarus, Vol.156, Issue 2, pp.318-334. Hapke, B (1996), Applications of an energy transfer model to three problems in planetary regoliths: The solid-state greenhouse, thermal beaming, and emittance spectra, Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol.101, No. E7, pp.16833-16840. Heiken, G., D. Vaniman, and B. M. French (1991), Lunar sourcebook: a user’s guide to the Moon, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. 25 Ingrao, H. C., A. T. Young, J. L. Linsky (1966), The Nature of the Lunar Surface, The Johns Hopkins Press, Baltimore. Jaeger, J. C. (1953), The surface temperature of the moon, Australian Journal of Physics, 6: 10. Jones, W. P., J. R. Watkins, and T. A. Calvert (1975), Temperatures and thermophysical properties of the lunar outermost layer, The Moon 13, 475-494. Keihm, S. J., and M. G. Langseth (1973), Surface brightness temperatures at the Apollo 17 heat flow site: Thermal conductivity of the upper 15 cm of regolith, Proceedings of the 4th Lunar Science Conference, Vol.3, pp.337-351. Langseth, M. G., A. E. Wechsler, E. M. Drake, G. Simmons, Clark, S.P., Jr., and Chute, J. L.(1970), Apollo 13 heat flow experiment, Science 168, pp.211-217. Langseth, M.G., JR., S. J. Keihm., and K. Peters (1976), Revised lunar heat-flow values , 7th Lunar Science Conference, Vol.3, pp.3143-3171. Langseth, M.G., JR., and S. J. Keihm (1977), In-situ measurements of lunar heat flow, The Soviet-American conference on cosmochemistry of the moon and planets, pp.283. Langseth, M.G., JR., S. P. Clark, J. L. Chute, S. J. Keihm., and A. E. Wechsler (1972), Apollo 15 preliminary science report , pp. 11-1 to 11-23. NASA SP-289. Langseth, M. G., JR., S. J. Keihm., and J. L.Chute (1973), Apollo 17 preliminary science report, pp. 9-1 to 9-23. NASA SP-330. Lawson, S. L. (2000), Brightness temperatures of the lunar surface: Calibration and analysis of Clementine long-wave infrared camera images, Thesis (PhD), University of Colorado at Boulder, pp.1990. 26 Lawson, S. L., and B. M. Jakosky (1999), Brightness Temperatures of the Lunar Surface: The Clementine Long-Wave Infrared Global Data Set, 30th Annual Lunar and Planetary Science Conference, Houston, TX, abstract No.1892. Lawson, S. L., B. M. Jakosky, H. S. Park, and M. T. Mellon (2000), Brightness temperatures of the lunar surface: Calibration and global analysis of the Clementine long-wave infrared camera data, Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol.105, No.E2, pp.4273-4290. Lawson, S. L., and B. M. Jakosky (2001), Lunar surface thermophysical properties derived from Clementine LWIR and UVVIS images, Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol.106, No.E11, pp.27911-27932. Li, X.W., J. D. Wang, A. H. Strahler (2000), Scale effects and scaling-up by geometric-optical model, Science in China series E: Technological Sciences, Vol.43, Supplement 1, 17-22. Little, R. C., W. C. Feldman, S. Maurice, I. Genetay, D. J. Lawrence, S. L. Lawson, O. Gasnault, B. L. Barraclough, R. C.Elphic, T. H.Prettyman, and A. B. Binder (2001), Latitude Variation of the Subsurface Lunar Temperature: Lunar Prospector Thermal Neutrons, American Geophysical Union, Spring Meeting, abstract #P22A-01. Low, F.J. (1965), Lunar nighttime temperatures measured at 20 microns, The astrophysical journal, Vol.142, pp.806. Lucas, J. W., J. E. Conel, W. A. Hagemeyer, R. R. Garipay, and J.M. Saari (1967), Lunar Surface Thermal Characteristics from Surveyor 1, Journal of Geophysical 27 Research, Vol.72, No.2, pp. 779-789. Ledlow M. J., J. O. Burns, G. R. Gisler, J. H. Zhao, M. Zeilik, and D. N. Baker (1992), Subsurface emission from mercury : vla radio observations at 2 and 6 centimeters, The Astrophysical Journal, 348: 640-655. Maxwell, E.L. (1998), METSTAT—The solar radiation model used in the production of the National Solar Radiation Data Base (NSRDB), Solar Energy, Vol. 62, Issue.4, pp. 263-279. Meeus, J. (1991), Book, Astronomical algorithms, Willmann-Bell Incorporated. ISBN:0943396352, Virginia, USA. Mitchell, D. L., and Imke De Pater (1994), Microwave imaging of Mercury's thermal emission at wavelengths from 0.3 to 20.5 cm, Icarus 110, 2-32. Murray, B. C., and M. J. Wildey (1964), The surface temperature variations during the lunar nighttime, The Astrophysical Journal, Vol.139, pp.734. Owczarek, S. (1997), Vector model for calculation of solar radiation intensity and sums incident on tilted surfaces: identification for the three sky condition in Warsaw, Renewable Energy, Vol.11, Issue 1, pp.77-96. Pettit, E., and S. B. Nicholson (1930), Lunar radiation and temperatures, The Astrophysical Journal, Vol.71, pp.102. Pugh, M. J., and J. A. Bastin (1972), Infrared observations of the moon and their interpretation, Earth, Moon, and Planets, Vol.5, No.1-2,16-30. Racca, G. D. (1995), Moon surface thermal characteristics for moon orbiting spacecraft, Planet. Space Sci., Vol. 43, No. 6, pp. 835-842. 28 Rossow, W.B., and A.A. Lacis (1990), Global, seasonal cloud variations from satellite radiance measurements. II: cloud properties and radiative effects, Journal of Climate, Vol. 3, pp.1204-1253. Rougier, G. (1933), Photometrie photoelectrique globale de la lune, Annales de l'Observatoire de Strasbourg, Orleans : Impr. Henri Tessier, pp. 203-339. Saari, J.M. (1964), The surface temperature of the antisolar point of the Moon, Icarus, Vol. 3, Issue 2, pp. 161-163. Salisbury, J. W., A. Basu, and E. M. Fischer (1997), Thermal Infrared Spectra of Lunar Soils, Icarus, Vol. 130, Issue 1, pp. 125-139. Sinton, W.M. (1962), Temperatures on the lunar surface, Physics and astronomy of the Moon. Academic Press, New York, USA, pp. 407-428. Stephens, G. L., G. G. Campbell, and T. H. Vonder Haar (1981), Earth radiation budgets, Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol.86, No.C10, pp.9739-9760. Stimpson, L. D., and J. W. Lucas (1969), Revised Lunar Surface Thermal Characteristics Obtained from the Surveyor V Spacecraft, AIAA paper 69-594, AIAA Fourth Thermophysics Conference, San Francisco, USA Waston, K. Vasavada, A. R., D. A. Paige, and S. E. Wood (1999), Near-surface temperatures on Mercury and the Moon and the stability of polar ice, Icarus 141, 179-193. Vitkus, G., J. E. Conel, R. R. Garipay, W. A .Hagemeyer, J. W. Lucas , C. B. Jones, J. M. Saari, and J. T. Wang (1968a), Surveyor 3 Results: Lunar Temperatures and Thermal Characteristics, Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 73, No. 12, pp. 4095-4113. Vitkus, G., R. R. Garipay, W. A. Hagemeyer, J. W. Lucas, J. W. Smith, and J. M. Saari 29 (1968b), Lunar Surface Temperatures and Thermal Characteristics: Surveyor 5 Science Results, Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 73, No. 22, pp. 7209-7219. Wesselink, A. F. (1948), Heat conductivity and nature of the lunar surface material, Bulletin of the Astronomical institutes of the Netherlands, 10: 351. Wildey, R. L. (1977), A digital file of the lunar normal albedo, The Moon 16, 231-277. Willson, R. C., and A.V. Mordvinov (2003), Secular total solar irradiance trend during solar cycles 21-23, Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 30, No.5, 1199. Zou, Y. L., J. Z. Liu, J. J. Liu, and T. Xu (2004), Reflectance Spectral Characteristics of Lunar Surface Materials, Chinese Journal of Astronomy and Astrophysics, Vol.4, No. 97-104. 30