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HIV/AIDS in Michigan January 1, 2009 Michigan Department of Community Health HIV/STD/VH/TB Epidemiology Section Division of Communicable Diseases Bureau of Epidemiology Thanks go to Jada Koushik of the Section staff for creating this slide set. 1 Quarterly HIV/AIDS Report, Michigan January 2009 This presentation was created as a companion to the Quarterly HIV/AIDS Report for January 1, 2009. Please refer to the quarterly report for further details, definitions and technical notes. 2 Section 1 Data on Prevalent Cases 3 Estimate of HIV Prevalence The prevalence estimate is based on, and includes, the number of persons with HIV/AIDS reported by name but also contains: • Persons who have not yet been tested • Persons tested but not yet reported to MDCH • Persons tested but reported anonymously These slides present both estimated prevalence as well as reported prevalence. This slide defines these terms while the next one illustrates the HIV prevalence estimates for Michigan. HIV prevalence estimates in this report are based on adding the following three components and rounding: 1) the number of cases living with HIV/AIDS, 2) the number of known HIV+ cases not yet reported by name, estimated at 10 percent of the reported living HIV/AIDS cases, and 3) the number of HIV+ cases that have not yet been tested, estimated at 21 percent of the total cases living with HIV/AIDS (identical to the CDC estimate). 44 # Persons est. or reported living with HIV/AIDS Persons living in MI with HIV/AIDS by Sex 18000 18200 16000 14000 13878 12000 14030 Estimate of HIV Prevalence 10696 10000 8000 6000 4170 4000 Reported Living with HIV/AIDS 3182 2000 0 Total Male Female The yellow bars display MDCHs estimate and includes unreported and untested persons. The blue bars represent the total number of persons reported with HIV/AIDS in the categories displayed at the bottom of the bars. 5 10000 Estimate of HIV Prevalence 8000 Reported Living with HIV/AIDS 6000 4000 Multi, Unk & Other Asian & Am Indian Hispanic 0 Black 2000 White # Persons est. or reported living with HIV/AIDS Persons living in MI with HIV/AIDS by Race & Ethnicity To put these data in perspective, 59% of infected people are black while the State of Michigan’s population is approximately 14% black. The yellow bars display MDCHs estimate and includes unreported and untested persons. The blue bars represent the total number of persons reported with HIV/AIDS in the categories displayed at the bottom of the bars. 6 7000 Estimate of HIV Prevalence 6000 5000 4000 Reported Living with HIV/AIDS 3000 2000 Unk 60+ 50-59 40-49 30-39 25-29 20-24 0 13-19 1000 0-12 # Persons est. or reported living with HIV/AIDS Persons living in MI with HIV/AIDS by Age at Diagnosis, Ages 0-60+ The yellow bars display MDCHs estimate and includes unreported and untested persons. The blue bars represent the total number of persons reported with HIV/AIDS in the categories displayed at the bottom of the bars. 7 Reported Prevalence Reported Living with HIV/not AIDS: All living persons confidentially reported with HIV infection, excluding those with AIDS. Reported Living with AIDS: All living persons confidentially reported who meet the AIDS case definition. Reported Living with HIV/AIDS: All living persons confidentially reported with HIV infection, including those with AIDS. Reported prevalence includes persons who were living in Michigan at the time of their initial HIV diagnosis, regardless of current residence. This follows CDC policy on assigning residence. 84 Reported Persons Living with HIV/AIDS in MI by Sex & Race (n=13,878) 5814 4341 5000 4000 2353 3000 2000 125 Hispanic females 435 Hispanic males Black females White males 0 White females 632 1000 Black males Reported Prevalence 6000 *These categories are arranged by number of cases from high to low. Reported Prevalence by SEX & RACE (n=13,878) All Males 10,696 White Males 4,241 Black Males 5,814 Hispanic Males 435 Other Males 206 All Females 3,182 White Females 632 Black Females 2,353 Hispanic Females 125 Other Females 72 9 861 900 750 600 450 313 208 109 150 Hispanic males White females Black females White males 0 67 16 Hispanic females 300 Black males Rates Per 100,000 Population Prevalence Rates of Reported Persons Living with HIV/AIDS in MI by Sex & Race Prevalence Rates Per 100,000 Population by SEX & RACE All Males 215 White Males 109 Black Males 861 Hispanic Males 208 Other Males 97 All Females 62 White Females 16 Black Females 313 Hispanic Females 67 Other Females 34 10 Reported Persons Living with HIV/AIDS in MI by Race (n=13,878) 8167 8000 6000 4873 5000 4000 3000 Asian/PI Hispanic White 0 66 44 168 Multi, Unk & Other 560 1000 Am Indian/AN 2000 Black Reported Prevalence 7000 Reported Prevalence by RACE Black 8,167 White 4,873 Hispanic 560 Asian/PI 66 Am Indian/AN 44 Multi/Unk/Other 168 11 573 NOTE: Rates are not available for “Multi, Unk & Other” category. 600 500 400 300 141 200 81 62 Asian/PI Hispanic White 0 Am Indian/AN 28 100 Black Rates Per 100,000 Population Prevalence Rates of Reported Persons Living with HIV/AIDS in MI by Race *Please note that rates are not available for Multi, Unk, & Other category. Prevalence Rates Per 100,000 Population by RACE Black 573 White 62 Hispanic 141 Asian/PI 28 Am Indian/AN 81 No rate is shown for the multi/unk/other category because the population size needed for the denominator is unknown 12 Risk Transmission Categories •Risk transmission categories are the hierarchical risk categories that have been used for displaying HIV transmission risk in Michigan and national HIV/AIDS statistics since the 1980’s. •The order from top to bottom is meant to represent the most likely route through which HIV is transmitted, and thus implies that some modes of transmission are more efficient than others. Risk Transmission Categories Risk transmission categories are the hierarchical risk categories that have been used for displaying HIV transmission risk in the Michigan and national HIV/AIDS statistics since the 1980’s. When the transmission categories were created, the order from top to bottom was meant to represent the most likely route through which HIV was transmitted, and thus implies that some modes of transmission are more efficient than others. The hierarchy was established based on what was known at the beginning of the epidemic about how HIV was transmitted, when almost all cases were among men and there was little documented heterosexual transmission. Since then, the hierarchy has not changed appreciably even though our understanding of the most efficient HIV transmission routes has changed. 1335 Persons Living with HIV/AIDS by Risk (n=13,878) MSM 47% IDU 12% MSM/IDU 4% Blood 1% Undetermined 17% Perinatal 1% Heterosexual 18% Heterosexual category includes: HRH (High Risk Heterosexuals) Males and females whose sexual partners are known to be HIV-infected or at high risk for HIV. The partners meet one of the following criteria: a history of sexual contact with bi-sexual males (for females), IDU, hemophiliacs, HIV+ transfusion recipients, or other HIV+ persons of unknown risk. PH (Presumed Heterosexual)-Female Females whose only reported risk is heterosexual contact, and their male partners' risk and HIV status is unknown. IDU (Injection Drug User) Persons who have a history of injecting drugs. Perinatal HIV transmission from mother to child during birth or through breastfeeding. MSM (Men who have sex with men) Males who have a history of sexual contact with other men or with both men and women. MSM/IDU MSM who also have a history of injecting drugs. Undetermined category includes: PH (Presumed Heterosexual)-Male Males whose only reported risk is heterosexual contact, and their female partners' risk and HIV status is unknown. PH male is a subcategory of undetermined instead of heterosexual (like the PH female cases) because of the likelihood that a 1419 Black Males Living with HIV/AIDS by Risk (n =5,814) IDU 13% MSM 53% MSM/IDU 6% Blood 0% Undetermined 21% Perinatal 1% Heterosexual 6% Heterosexual category includes: HRH (High Risk Heterosexuals) Males whose sexual partners are known to be HIV-infected or at high risk for HIV. The partners meet one of the following criteria: IDU, hemophiliacs, HIV+ transfusion recipients, or other HIV+ persons of unknown risk. IDU (Injection Drug User) Persons who have a history of injecting drugs. Perinatal HIV transmission from mother to child during birth or through breastfeeding. MSM (Men who have sex with men) Males who have a history of sexual contact with other men or with both men and women. MSM/IDU MSM who also have a history of injecting drugs. Undetermined category includes: PH (Presumed Heterosexual)-Male Males whose only reported risk is heterosexual contact, and their female partners' risk and HIV status is unknown. PH male is a subcategory of undetermined instead of heterosexual (like the PH female cases) because of the likelihood that a proportion of these cases are likely MSM Unknown Males with no identified risk. 1523 White Males Living with HIV/AIDS by Risk (n =4,241) IDU 4% MSM 75% MSM/IDU 6% Undetermined 11% Blood 2% Perinatal 0% Heterosexual 2% Heterosexual category includes: HRH (High Risk Heterosexuals) Males whose sexual partners are known to be HIV-infected or at high risk for HIV. The partners meet one of the following criteria: IDU, hemophiliacs, HIV+ transfusion recipients, or other HIV+ persons of unknown risk. IDU (Injection Drug User) Persons who have a history of injecting drugs. Perinatal HIV transmission from mother to child during birth or through breastfeeding. MSM (Men who have sex with men) Males who have a history of sexual contact with other men or with both men and women. MSM/IDU MSM who also have a history of injecting drugs. Undetermined category includes: PH (Presumed Heterosexual)-Male Males whose only reported risk is heterosexual contact, and their female partners' risk and HIV status is unknown. PH male is a subcategory of undetermined instead of heterosexual (like the PH female cases) because of the likelihood that a proportion of these cases are likely MSM Unknown Males with no identified risk. 1624 Black Females Living with HIV/AIDS by Risk (n =2,353) Heterosexual 59% Perinatal 2% Blood 0% IDU 21% Undetermined 17% Heterosexual category includes: HRH (High Risk Heterosexuals) Females whose sexual partners are known to be HIV-infected or at high risk for HIV. The partners meet one of the following criteria: a history of sexual contact with bi-sexual males, IDU, hemophiliacs, HIV+ transfusion recipients, or other HIV+ persons of unknown risk. PH (Presumed Heterosexual)-Female Females whose only reported risk is heterosexual contact, and their male partners' risk and HIV status is unknown. IDU (Injection Drug User) Persons who have a history of injecting drugs. Perinatal HIV transmission from mother to child during birth or through breastfeeding. Undetermined category includes: Unknown Females with no identified risk. 1722 White Females Living with HIV/AIDS by Risk (n =632) Perinatal 2% Undetermined 11% IDU 18% Heterosexual 67% Blood 1% Heterosexual category includes: HRH (High Risk Heterosexuals) Females whose sexual partners are known to be HIV-infected or at high risk for HIV. The partners meet one of the following criteria: a history of sexual contact with bi-sexual males, IDU, hemophiliacs, HIV+ transfusion recipients, or other HIV+ persons of unknown risk. PH (Presumed Heterosexual)-Female Females whose only reported risk is heterosexual contact, and their male partners' risk and HIV status is unknown. IDU (Injection Drug User) Persons who have a history of injecting drugs. Perinatal HIV transmission from mother to child during birth or through breastfeeding. Undetermined category includes: Unknown Females with no identified risk. 1825 Exposure Categories •Exposure categories convey all risks that a person is documented to have engaged in that could have exposed him or her to HIV. •Like the traditional risk hierarchy categories, the exposure categories are mutually exclusive, meaning that each person is only included in one category. •Michigan is unique in that it is the first state to display mode of transmission using exposure categories. Exposure Categories The ‘Exposure Categories’ convey all risks that a person is documented to have engaged in that could have exposed him or her to HIV. Like the traditional risk hierarchy categories, the Exposure Categories are mutually exclusive, meaning that each person is only included in one category. However, the categories, as presented, allow readers to see all the ways in which a person may have been infected with HIV and, with the exception of undetermined risk, are displayed in decreasing order of frequency. 1935 Exposure Categories for Prevalent HIV/AIDS Cases (n=13,878) MSM-44% Any IDU 16% Any MSM 52% MSM & HRH-4% MSM & IDU-3% MSM, IDU & HRH-1% MSM & Blood Products-0% Heterosexual-18% HRH & IDU-5% IDU-6% IDU & Blood Products-0% Perinatal Exp-1% Any Heterosexual 42% Blood Products-1% Undetermined-17% NOTE: The “Any” percentages on this slide overlap Exposure Categories are mutually exclusive: Each case is only represented in one category. However, the “Any” summary percentages on this slide are not mutually exclusive, that is, a case can be counted in more than one category. For example, an MSM/IDU is counted in both the Any MSM % and the Any IDU %. 20 Exposure Categories for Prevalent HIV/AIDS Cases, Males Only (n=10,696) MSM-57% Any IDU 15% Any MSM 67% MSM & HRH-5% MSM & IDU-4% MSM, IDU & HRH-2% MSM & Blood Products-0% Heterosexual-5% HRH & IDU-4% IDU-6% IDU & Blood Products-0% Perinatal Exp-1% Blood Products-1% Any Heterosexual 33% Undetermined-17% NOTE: The “Any” percentages on this slide overlap Exposure Categories are mutually exclusive: Each case is only represented in one category. However, the “Any” summary percentages on this slide are not mutually exclusive, that is, a case can be counted in more than one category. For example an MSM/IDU is counted in both the Any MSM % and the Any IDU %. 21 Exposure Categories for Prevalent HIV/AIDS Cases, Females Only (n=3,182) Heterosexual-62% Any IDU 16% HRH & IDU-11% IDU-9% IDU & Blood Products-0% Perinatal Exp-2% Blood Products-0% Any Heterosexual 73% Undetermined-16% NOTE: The “Any” percentages on this slide overlap Exposure Categories are mutually exclusive: Each case is only represented in one category. However, the “Any” summary percentages on this slide are not mutually exclusive, that is, a case can be counted in more than one category. For example a woman who is HRH and IDU is counted in both the Any Heterosexual % and the Any IDU %. 22 Section 2 New Diagnoses, Deaths, Prevalence 23 New Diagnoses, Deaths, and Prevalence of HIV/AIDS by Year NOTE: New diagnoses are not adjusted for reporting delay so the decrease is due to reporting lag and not a true decrease The increase in HIV prevalence shows that the number of persons diagnosed, while stable for the last several years, is greater than the number of deaths each year. This directly contributes to the increase in prevalence. The current reported prevalence of HIV/AIDS in Michigan is 13,878. The prevalence of AIDS, which is a subset of HIV/AIDS prevalence, is 7,410. 24 HIV/AIDS Deaths in MI by Race & Sex NOTE: Deaths occurring in 2007 and 2008 are not complete at this time This figure shows the number of HIV-infected Michigan residents who have been reported as deceased by a local health department, the department of vital records via a data match or death certificate, or an alternate source. The number of deaths increased in all race/sex groups from the beginning of the epidemic through approximately 1994-1995. The number of deaths decreased markedly between 1995 and 1998 and then were relatively stable until 2001. It should be noted that the percent decrease in deaths among white males (73%) between 1995 and 2001 was more pronounced than the percent decrease among black males (57%), and the percent decrease among white females (55%) was larger than the percent decrease among black females (38%). Encouragingly, the number of deaths in black males has fallen substantially from 2001 to 2005 (40%), even in comparison to white males (24%), black females (25%), and white females (11%), but the number of deaths among black males still exceeds that of any other race/sex group. 25 Black Males White Males Black Females 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1987 Number of Deaths HIV Related Deaths in MI by Race & Sex 1987-2006 (All Ages) White Females Year of Death In 2006 for the first time the number of HIV deaths among black women exceeded those among white men. 26 Leading Causes of Death Among Black Men in MI, 1990-2006 (Ages 25-44) 1. Homicide 300 2. Heart Disease 250 3. Accidents 200 4. Cancer 150 5. HIV/AIDS 100 6. Suicide 50 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 Number of Deaths 350 Year of Death 27 Leading Causes of Death Among White Men in MI, 1990-2006 (Ages 25-44) 600 1. Accidents 2. Heart Disease 400 3. Suicide 300 4. Cancer 200 5. Cirrhosis 13. HIV/AIDS 100 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 Number of Deaths 500 Year of Death 28 Leading Causes of Death Among Black Women in MI, 1990-2006 (Ages 25-44) 120 1. Cancer 2. Heart Disease 3. Homicide 80 4. Accidents 60 5. Stroke 40 5. HIV/AIDS 20 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 Number of Deaths 100 Year of Death 29 Leading Causes of Death Among White Women in MI, 1990-2006 (Ages 25-44) 400 1. Cancer 2. Accidents 300 3. Heart Disease 4. Suicide 250 200 5. Cirrhosis 150 14. HIV/AIDS 100 50 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 Number of Deaths 350 Year of Death 30 Section 3 Geographic Distribution of HIV/AIDS 31 Reported HIV Prevalence and Prevalence Rates by Residence at Diagnosis *To mitigate the effect of small numbers of cases, reported HIV prevalence rates and case numbers for multi-county health departments are listed for the health department as a whole and not the individual counties. 32 Section 4 Information on Perinatally HIV Exposed Infants 33 Infection Status of Perinatal HIV Exposures, 2001-2008 Number of Infants 75 60 45 19 28 41 38 31 30 34 15 0 36 28 17 4 2002 17 Unknown Not Infected HIV or AIDS 32 17 19 2 1 2 1 3 6 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Since 1994, the CDC and other organizations involved in perinatal HIV transmission have recommended that HIV-positive pregnant women receive doses of zidovudine (ZDV or AZT) prenatally and at labor and delivery and that children born to these women receive ZDV neonatally. Despite these recommendations, only 57% of births to HIV-positive women are documented by MDCH to have received all three arms of therapy. For more information, please see the annual Missed Opportunity report, which can be found at: http://www.michigan.gov/mdch/0,1607,7-132-2940_2955_2982_46000_46003166892--,00.html 34