Download THE NON OBSERVED THE NON-OBSERVED ECONOMY (NOE): Current Practice in Mongolia

7/22/2014
Sub-Regional Training Workshop on Changes in SNA 2008
affecting GDP Compilation
THE NON-OBSERVED
NON OBSERVED
ECONOMY (NOE):
Current Practice in Mongolia
M Oyunjargal
M.
O
j
l
Macro economic statistics department, NSO
30 JUNE-4 JULY 2014, ASTANA, KAZAKHSTAN
I.
Background
II.
The framework and production boundary
III. Result of NOE
IV. Future activities
V.
Problem
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I. Background
IS estimation in Mongolia:
• Informal
I f
l sector
t survey, 2000,
2000 /by
/b Bill Bikales/,
Bik l / USAID;
USAID
• Labor force survey, 2002-2003, ADB;
• ISS on transportation and trade sector, 2004, NSO;
• Enterprises’ Census, 2005, NSO;
• Survey
S
on HUEMs,
HUEM 2007-2008
2007 2008 , the
th UNESCAP.
UNESCAP
• Complex survey and estimations for NOE, 2012
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I. Background
Methodologies applied:
• Handbook for Measurement of the Non observed Economy,
2002, ILO, IMF, UNSD, WB
• SNA2008
• Handbook for Non observed economy in National
Accounts, 2008 (includes
(
the UN and EU countries
practices)
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II. The framework and production boundary
The NOE refers to all activities that may not be covered in NA.
Classification of NOE
Framework
1. Underground
production
p
N6- Producers deliberately
misreporting
p
g
2. Illegal production
(drugs, prostitution )
N2 -Producers deliberately not
registering – illegal-
3. Informal sector
production
4. Household production
for own final use
5. Other missed
productive activities
Data source
Administrative data
Administrative data,
social statistics
survey
N1 - Producers deliberately not
registering – underground
HUEM, Artisanal
(small scale
miners’) survey
N5 - Registered entrepreneurs
not surveyed
HUEM survey
N3 - Producers not required to
register
N4 - Legal units not
surveyed
HUEM survey
ES, 2011
N7 - Other statistical
deficiencies
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III. Results of NOE
• By survey, in 2010, 13.2 percent of GDP comes from NOE.
• In GDP by the production approach:
— Result was distributed to the related sectors
• In GDP by the expenditure approach:
— Integrated into HH expenditure of final consumption
— Part of HHs own final use was integrated as GCF
(construction)
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IV. Future activities
• The NUEMs will be conducted every 5 years. The VA of
informal sector of the intermediate years can be
calculated based on the previous surveys
surveys’ results
and number of units identified by LFS; (N1, N3, N5)
• Illegal and underground production will be estimated
every year based on administrative data (N2, N6)
• Estimation will made if will found differences between
administrative
d i i t ti and
d NSO data
d t (N4)
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V. Problems
• HUEM survey result for quarterly allocation is not always
representative. (LFS doesn’t focused to select HUEM)
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Thank you
The Government Building III
Baga Toiruu-44
Ulaanbaatar-20а, Мongolia
Tel: (976)-11-329125
Fax: (976)-11-324518
E-mail:
E
mail: [email protected]
www.nso.mn
www.1212.mn
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