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Lewis-Clark State College Econ 300, PSYC 300, SS 300.03 : Statistical Methods Spring 2016 Instructor: Luther Maddy, Ph.D. Instructor Info: Ph.D. – Organizational learning and leadership – University of Idaho MBA – Management - Golden Gate University I have many years of experience as a small business owner. I owned a small vocational training school for 17 years. I have been teaching adults for many years. My research interests are career development and intervention. Contact Info: 208-792-2702 Email: [email protected] Office Hours: Room 222 TJH Monday: 9:00 – 11:30, 1:30 – 2:30 Wednesday: 9:00 – 11:30 Other days/times by appointment Course Overview & Description: This course is designed to give you a good working knowledge of basic statistics for Business and Social Sciences. You will learn to use descriptive and inferential statistical concepts, commonly used in business and social science research. Concepts will be reinforced through testing and application. Topics covered include: measures of central tendency, measures of variability, correlation methods, hypothesis testing and simple analysis of variance, multiple regression models. Your learning will be assessed through a midterm and final examination as well as a written report. Required Text: Lind, Marchal, Wathen: Basic Statistics for Business and Economics, 8e. Publisher: McGraw/Hill Irwin. ISBN-13: 978-0-07-352147-3 Required Technology/Software: Students will need to access Blackboard for weekly quizzes and assignment submission. Students will also need to have access to Excel 2010 or 2013 on a Windows based computer. Students with Excel on Apple computers may need to find access to a Windows based computer for some exercises. . Prerequisites: Courses: MATH 130 or higher. Skills: Students must be able to utilize MS-Office Suite applications including WORD, EXCEL; have good oral & written communication skills; be able to communicate via email including submitting course work via email attachments; and be able to do research on the Internet. lcmail.lcsc.edu: All students are required to assure that they have access to lcmail.lcsc.edu, and that they understand how to access and use the academic/course features of the system. All email to students from the instructor will be sent to this email account. The portal is available at www.lcsc.edu. IMPORTANT NOTE: If you need course adaptations or accommodations because of a disability, if you have emergency information to share with me, or if you need special arrangements in case the building must be evacuated, please make an appointment to talk with me as soon as possible. BUS 271: Business Statistics Syllabus Page |1 Grading: Grading will be based on the following course requirements and examinations: # 15 15 1 1 1 3 1 Item Points ea. Total PTs % of grade Chapter Quizzes 5 75 13% 5 75 13% Homework Problem assisgnments Mid Term 100 100 18% Final Exam 100 100 18% Attendance/Participation 70 70 12% In class worksheets 15 45 8% Final Project/Report 100 100 18% Total Points possible 565 Accumulated points will be divided by the total available and a grade will be determined using the following percentage scale: % Range 92% to 100% 90% to 91% 88% to 89% 82% to 87% 80% to 82% 78% to 79% Grade A AB+ B BC+ % Range 70% to 77% 68% to 69% 60% to 67% 0% to 59% See catalog Grade C D+ D F I Due Dates: All quizzes and assignments to be turned in must be submitted before the start of class on the day it is due unless otherwise specified in the course assignment outline at the end of this syllabus. Late work policy: All work MUST be completed on time (before midnight Pacific Time of date due). If anything is time stamped after the 11 p.m. on the due date no points will be given. In extenuating circumstances only, an extension with reduced point totals may be granted at the discretion of the instructor; however, the student must notify instructor PRIOR to due date/time. Quizzes: There will be a quiz for each assigned module, covering all reading and homework assignments in that module, for a total of 15 quizzes. Quizzes are multiple choice and worth 5 points each. These quizzes will reinforce the readings and cover definitions and concepts in each chapter and will include computations. Quizzes are open book and will be taken in Blackboard. Quizzes must be completed before the start of the that will cover the next chapter, or as otherwise specified in the course assignment outline at the end of this syllabus. There will be a time limit for each quiz and the quizzes will be shut down in Blackboard after they are due. Quizzes cannot be made up and will not be reopened in Blackboard. Homework Problems: Problems from each chapter are assigned as homework. Working through these problems will help you understand the principles outlined in the chapters. Each set of problems is worth a total of 5 points. Students can review the online lectures, PowerPoints and tutorials for extra assistance if needed. You will submit your homework in blackboard homework before the next class meeting. Late homework will not be accepted. Specific homework problems may be discussed after submission. The use of Excel is required in solving many homework problems and the use of Excel will often be shown in the online lectures and demonstrations in class. If homework problems are done in Excel, be sure to submit the Excel file as your homework. Full Credit: correct methodology and correct answer ¾ credit: correct methodology and incorrect answer Half Credit: incorrect methodology and incorrect answer, with apparent effort BUS 271: Business Statistics Syllabus Page |2 ¼ Credit: incorrect methodology, but achieving correct answer (note some most problems have the answer in the back of the book so you can work backwards if necessary) ¼ Credit: writing out the formula and getting started on the problem 0 Credit: not trying to solve the problems Midterm and Final: The midterm and final will cover several chapters. These will be completed in class and will include terminology and problems. Prior of each of these there will be a review session in class to assist you in preparing for these. However, the best preparation is to complete the quizzes and homework problems, ensuring you understand the concepts covered in each chapter. The final and midterm will also be open book, but not open note. Both the midterm and final will be proctored exams for online students. Proctored exams should be scheduled as soon as possible to meet the deadlines detailed in the course schedule. Proctor requirements and other information can be obtained at: http://www.lcsc.edu/e-learning/students/. Final Project: Your final, written project will consist of a two sample test of hypothesis. You will be comparing the means, or proportions of two samples of at least six observations each. You can choose to find your own data set or use one of those suggested by your instructor with links on Blackboard. The "deliverable" of your final project will consist of two files submitted in Blackboard. The first file will be your written report submitted as a Word document. You will also submit an Excel file that shows your data and your analysis. Your report (Word document) should include the following sections clearly identified with headings: A. Cover page: Include required elements for APA formatting. B. Introduction. Explain what you studied and why you choose this topic? This section will also include a brief description of what you are trying to test with this data. C. Data. Explain the data used. Where did you locate it? What was the source? How current is this data? Describe the purpose of the study that produced the data. List and describe the variables you included form this data in your study. What are the values of these variables and what do these values signify? If you did not use all the data available, what sampling method did you use to select the observations you analyzed? D. Descriptive statistics: Your initial analysis of your variable(s). Summarize these and include a table with a brief discussion of these statistics. Descriptive statistics include computations such as; sum, mean, median, mode, variance, range, and standard deviation. E. Hypothesis testing: Detail all five steps in the hypothesis testing process you used in narrative form. Be sure to choose the correct critical value and test statistic (z, t, f). Summarize your results in table format. F. Conclusion. Conclude your report in a concise paragraph or two. This should be a clear statement of what you learned from your hypothesis test. Your completed report will consist of at least 4 – 5 pages including charts, graphs and tables. It should be well written and typo free. It should also be written in APA style. G. Excel File: Remember to also submit an Excel file that shows the data and your analysis. BUS 271: Business Statistics Syllabus Page |3 Final Project Grading Rubric Element Points Possible Points Earned Required Sections developed: Cover Page Introduction Data Descriptive Statistics Hypothesis Testing – five steps Conclusion Excel File 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 Content Analysis correctly detailed and explained. Hypotheses correctly stated. 30 Grammar Typo and grammatical error free Total Points 10 100 Class Participation and Attendance: Your attendance and/or participation is an important component of your learning. Not only will your attendance and participation prepare you to complete the assignments, it is also part of your grade. There are also three graded worksheets completed in class. These cannot be made up if you miss the day they are due. Missing class: If you are going to miss class for any reason, please contact me in advance. Quizzes and examinations cannot be made up. If you miss class without prior approval during a quiz or test day, you will take a score of zero on the quiz or test that was missed. No exceptions and no excuses. Test and quizzes can only be taken before the test or quiz date. Students missing class are responsible to get any lecture notes from other students in the class. Course assignments such as homework or papers are always due on the assigned due date. My commitment to you: I will provide prompt feedback on your submitted assignments and tests. You should expect me to respond within 2 business days. I will make myself available as needed if you have questions. I will do my best to ensure that students have the resources needed to learn the topics covered in this course. Econ 300: Business Statistics IACBE Accreditation BUS 271: Business Statistics Syllabus Page |4 Component Hours A. Accounting (ACT) 0 B. Marketing (MKT) 0 C. Finance (FIN) 0 D. Management 1. Management Principles (MGT) 0 2. Organizational Behavior (OB) 0 3. Human Resource Management (HRM) 0 4. Operations Management (OM) 0 Total Management E. 0 Economic/Social/Legal Environment 1. Legal Environment of Business (LAW) 0 2. Economics (ECN) 0 3. Business Ethics (ETH) 1 Total Economic/Social/Legal Environment F. 1 Decision-Support Tools 1. Information Systems (IS) 2. Quantitative Methods/Statistics (QM) 4 45 49 Total Decision-Support Tools G. Global Dimensions of Business (GLOB) 0 H. Integrative Experience (INT) 0 Total Contact Hours 50 CONSUMER INFORMATION In 2008, the federal government required all post-secondary institutions offering federal financial aid programs to provide key data to both prospective and current students. To comply with this requirement, Lewis-Clark State College has developed a consumer information page. DISABILITY ACCOMMODATIONS Students requiring special accommodations or course adaptations due to a disability and/or a health-related issue should consult their course instructors and the LCSC Student Counseling Center immediately (RCH 111, 792-2211). Official documentation may be required in order to provide an accommodation and/or adaptation. STUDENT RIGHTS AND RESPONSIBILITIES Students have the responsibility for knowing their program requirements, course requirements, and other information associated with their enrollment at LCSC. Students should review the LCSC General Catalog and the LCSC Student Handbook for more information. ACCIDENTS/STUDENT INSURANCE Students participating in LCSC classes normally must look to their personal health insurance policy (Student Health Insurance Plan or comparable private coverage) should an accident occur. In the event of an accident, please seek medical help, if necessary, and report the incident to LCSC Security (792-2226). Fieldtrips or other special student activities may also require students to submit a signed participation waiver (forms can be obtained from the supporting Division Office). ENROLLMENT VERIFICATION/ATTENDANCE BUS 271: Business Statistics Syllabus Page |5 Students who are not actively pursuing their classes may have to repay part or all of their financial aid awards depending upon the circumstances. ACADEMIC DISHONESTY Academic dishonesty, which includes cheating and plagiarism, is not tolerated at LCSC. Individual faculty members may impose their own policies and sanctions regarding academic dishonesty after offering the student an opportunity to explain his or her actions. Sanctions imposed by the faculty member are limited to grades on the assignment(s) in question and/or on the course grade. On matters of academic dishonesty, faculty members do not have the authority to dismiss a student from class indefinitely nor to disenroll a student from a program without corroboration from a Division Chair (or program ethics committee where applicable), the appropriate instructional dean, and the Vice President for Student Affairs. Students who are accused of being academically dishonest may be referred to the VP for Student Affairs for official disciplinary action. ILLEGAL FILE SHARING Students using LCSC’s computers and/or computer network must comply with the college’s appropriate use policies and are prohibited from illegally downloading or sharing data files of any kind. Specific information about the college’s technology policies and its protocols for combating illegal file sharing may be found on the VP for Student Affairs’ Code of Conduct web page. DIVERSITY VISION STATEMENT Regardless of race, color, age, sex, religion, national origin, disability, veteran status, or sexual orientation, you will be treated and respected as a human being. DISCLOSURES During this course, if you elect to discuss information with me which you consider to be sensitive or personal in nature and not to be shared with others, please state this clearly. Your confidentiality in these circumstances will be respected unless upholding that confidentiality could reasonably put you, other students, other members of the campus community, or me in danger. In those cases or when I am bound by law to report what you have told me, such as incidents involving sexual assault or other violent acts, I will submit a report to appropriate campus authorities. STUDENT FEEDBACK Students shall be provided the opportunity to formally evaluate each course in which they are enrolled. Notification of student feedback opportunity and timelines will be made through the official LCSC student email (currently LCMail) or online course learning management (currently Blackboard Learn) systems. BUS 271: Business Statistics Syllabus Page |6 Class Schedule Week Week #1 Week of (Jan 17) Class Session Topic Syllabus/ Course Overview Homework & Assignments Due Read: Chapter 1 Chapter 1: Data and Statistics Problems 9 - 13 (p. 17) Tuesday Thursday Chapter #1 Quiz (before start of next class) Tuesday Week#2 (Jan 24) Chapter 2: Frequency Distribution and Graphic Presentation Chapter #2 Quiz Problems 7 - 9 (p. 35) 21 - 22 (p. 45) (before start of next class) Chapter 3a: Mean, Median & Mode Thursday Problems 1 - 4 (p. 64) 23 - 24 (p. 70) 25 – 26 (p.73) (complete before start of next class but submit all chapter problems as one assignment in Blackboard) Tuesday Week #3 (Jan 31) Thursday Chapter 3b: Standard Deviation Dispersion Chapter #3 Quiz Chapter 4: Displaying and exploring data Chapter #4 Quiz Problems 27 - 30 (p. 78) 33 - 34 (p.82) 39 - 44 (p.84 - 85) (before start of next class) Problems 3 - 4 (p. 104) 11 - 14 (p.112) (before start of next class) Chapter 5a: Probability concepts Problems Tuesday Chapter 5b: Probability concepts Chapter #5 Quiz Thursday Week #4 (Feb 7) (before start of next class) 23 – 27 (p. 148) (before start of next class) BUS 271: Business Statistics Syllabus Page |7 Tuesday Week #5 (Feb 14) Thursday Chapter 6a: Random Variables Discrete Probability Binomial Probability Chapter 6b: Binomial Probability Poisson Probability (complete before start of next class but submit all chapter problems as one assignment in Blackboard) Chapter #6 Quiz 9 - 12 (p. 180) 25 - 29 (p.188) (before start of next class) Tuesday Chapter 7a: Uniform Probability Normal Probability Problems 1 - 3 (p. 200) 7 - 11 (p. 207) (complete before start of next class but submit all chapter problems as one assignment in Blackboard) Thursday Chapter 7b: Normal Probability contd. Probability Distribution Worksheet Chapter #7 Quiz Week #6 (Feb 21) 13 - 16 (p. 210 - 211) 17 – 19 (p. 213) 23 – 25 (p. 215) (before start of next class) Tuesday Chapter 8a: Selecting a sample Sampling errors Problems 1 - 2 (p. 230 - 231) 5 - 9 (p. 236 -237) (complete before start of next class but submit all chapter problems as one assignment in Blackboard) Chapter 8b: Central Limit Theorem Sampling distribution Chapter #8 Quiz Thursday Tuesday Midterm Review Thursday Midterm (Chapters 1 – 8) Tuesday Chapter 9: Estimation and confidence intervals Week #7 (Feb 28) Week #8 (Mar 6) Problems 1 - 5 (p. 173) Week #9 (Mar 13) 15 - 18 (p. 247) 31 - 32 (p. 251) (before start of next class) Chapter #9 Quiz Problems due next class 1 – 3 (p. 265) 9 - 11 (p. 273) 15 – 17 (p. 277) 19 - 22 (p. 281) (before start of next class Thursday Chapter 10: One sample hypothesis testing Chapter # 10 Quiz Problems 1 – 4 (p. 303 - 304) 9 – 11 (p. 309) 15 – 17 (p. 312) 21 - 22 (p. 316) (before start of next class) BUS 271: Business Statistics Syllabus Page |8 Tuesday Chapter 11a: Two sample tests Problems 1 – 3 (p. 331) 7 – 8 (p. 335 - 336) (before start of next class) Chapter 11a: Two sample tests Chapter # 11 Quiz Thursday Week #10 (Mar 20) Problems 13 - 15 (p. 341) 19 – 21 (p. 349) (before start of next class) Spring Break Week #11 (Apr 3) Hypothesis Testing Worksheet Chapter #12 Quiz Chapter 12: Problems 1 – 3 (p. 366) 7 – 8 (p. 375) Tuesday Analysis of Variance (before start of next class) Week #12 (Apr 10) Thursday Chapter 13a: Correlation & Linear Regression Problems due next class 1 – 2 (p. 400) 7 – 8 (p. 404) 13 – 14 (p. 410 - 411) (complete before start of next class but submit all chapter problems as one assignment in Blackboard) Chapter 13b: Correlation & Linear Regression Chapter #13 Quiz Tuesday Problems 25 - 26 (p. 417) 29 – 30 (p. 419) (before start of next class) Thursday Week #12 (Apr 17) Tuesday Chapter 14a: Multiple Regression Problems 1 - 3 (p. 449) 7 - 8 (p. 461 - 462) (complete before start of next class but submit all chapter problems as one assignment in Blackboard) Chapter 14b: Multiple Regression Regression Analysis Worksheet Chapter #14 Quiz Chapter 15: Nonparametric Methods Chapter #15 Quiz Problems 1 - 3 (p. 449) 7 - 8 (p. 461 - 462) 9 - 10 (p. 474) (before start of next class) Thursday Problems due next class 1 - 3 (p. 503) 17 - 18 (p. 520) (before start of next class) BUS 271: Business Statistics Syllabus Page |9 Week #13 (Apr 24) Work on final project Tuesday Work on final project Thursday Week #14 (May 1) Review for final exam Final Project Due Tuesday Review for final exam Thursday Week #15 (May 8) Final Exam (Chapters 9 - 15) As scheduled by LCSC NOTE: This syllabus is subject to change. Additional lecture topics may be added, minor changes to the schedule of topics, and changes to course policies may be required as the course progresses, and as deemed appropriate by the instructor. BUS 271: Business Statistics Syllabus P a g e | 10