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The University of Chicago
Department of Statistics
Master’s Seminar
MINGJUN WANG
Department of Statistics
The University of Chicago
Cream, Sugar or Black?
Comparison of Several Statistical Classification Methods
in a Target Marketing Application
Thursday, April 27, 2006 at 3:00 PM
110 Eckhart Hall, 5734 S. University Avenue
ABSTRACT
Target or database marketing has emerged as a major modern business activity in marketing place due to increasing competitions. Target customer is a specific group of customers
that a company in a business aims to capture and identified as a potential group to buy the
products or service. Database marketing is the use of customer profiles contained in a company database to target those most prospective customers. The benefit of target marketing is
its ability to target the marketing efforts. Business units will focus their marketing spending
on customers that are most likely to buy. The result is an increased return on the marketing
investment.
This paper applied several widely used statistical methods on the same set of marketing
dataset. They are classification tree, logistic regression and neural network. Also ensemble
methods including Bagging and Boosting are acted upon tree. Random Forest as a rather new
ensemble technique is deployed with tree also. The results from each model are compared.
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