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Warm – Up Round to 3 decimal places • • • • • • • 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 0.699 Log(5) = 5 Log(105) = LOG and 10x are Inverse Functions Log(5) 5 10 1.609 ln(5) = 148.413 e5 = 5 ln(e5) = LN and e are Inverse Functions ln(5) 5 e = Solving for Solve each equation for ŷ 1. yˆ = 1.82 + 0.4 x x 2. yˆ = 1.82 ×(0.4) 4. yˆ 1.82 yˆ = 3.82 ˆy = 3.822 0.4 x . when x = 5. Linear Model: Exponential Model: 3. yˆ = 1.82 x + 0.4 x + 3 2 ŷ Power Model: Power Model: y = 14.5924 y = 3.82 y = 0.0186 y = 50.5 Solve each equation for 1 5. yˆ 1.82 0.4 x 1 yˆ = 1.82 + .4 (5) 6. Log yˆ ŷ 1.82 when x = 5. Reciprocal Model: (Flip both sides.) 0.4 x Log yˆ = 1.82 + 0.4(5) Log yˆ = 3.82 Log yˆ 3.82 ˆ 10 = y = 10 y = 6606.9345 y = 0.2618 Exponential Model: (Perform the Inverse Log function of raising both sides as the exponent of base 10.) Solve each equation for 7. ln yˆ 1.82 0.4 x ln yˆ = 1.82 + 0.4(5) ln yˆ = 3.82 ln yˆ 3.82 e = yˆ = e y = 45.604 ŷ when x = 5. Exponential Model: (Perform the Inverse Natural Log function of raising both sides as the exponent of base ‘e’ .) Chapter 10 Straightening Relationships • We cannot use a Linear model unless the relationship between the two variables is linear. Often we can re-express or straighten bent relationships so that we can fit and then use a simple linear model. • There are 3 ways to re-express data, taking: Reciprocals, Roots, or Logarithms. Choosing a Model - Part 1 x y 1 25 2 18 3 14 5 10 10 6 15 4 20 3 Choosing a Model - Part 1 For Data that produces a curve and has a response variable that is a ratio of two units, such as mpg, mph, GDP, use the Reciprocal Model x yˆ y L1 L2 L3 = 1/y 1 LinReg(L1, L2) 25 R2 = 76.1 1 25 .04 2 18 2 18 .05556 3 14 3 14 .07143 5 10 5 10 .1 10 6 10 6 .16667 15 4 15 4 .25 20 3 20 3 .33333 Look at the Residuals 0.0234 0.0152 x 1 1 ŷ LinReg(L1, L3) R2 = 99.8 LinReg(x, 1/y) 0.0234 0.0152x Choosing a Model - Part 2 • For Exponential Models take the LOG(y) and then perform a LinReg (x, LOG(y)). Use this model if there exist a common ratio from successive y-values. Log yˆ = a + bx • For Power Models take the LOG(x) and LOG(y) and then perform a LinReg (LOG(x), LOG(y)). Use this model if no common ratio exist from successive y-values. Log yˆ = a + b ×Log x Choosing a Model Reciprocal: – A ratio of two variables exists for y Exponential or Power: -Perform a Stat, Calc #0=ExpReg and a Stat, Calc #A=PwrReg. Which ever model has the highest R2 will be the model you choose. PAGE 238 #1,2,3,10 PAGE 238 #1,2,3,10 Examples A Minutes Bacteria Population 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 15 34 77 173 389 876 1971 B Minutes Bacteria Population 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 33 104 226 418 690 1055 1521 A Minutes Bacteria Population 2 15 3 34 4 77 5 173 6 389 7 876 8 1971 EXPONENTIAL FUNCTION 2.27 2.26 So, Take the LOG of only the y variable and perform a Regression LinReg (L1=x , L3=LOG(y)). Log (yˆ )= 0.4725 + 0.3529x 10 2.25 Log yˆ yˆ 10 100.47250.3529 x 0.4725183069 10 0.3529034054 x yˆ = 2.9684 ×2.2537 x B Minutes POWER FUNCTION Bacteria Population 2 33 3 104 4 226 5 418 6 690 7 1055 8 1521 3.15 2.17 So, Take the LOG of Both the x and y variables and perform a Regression LinReg (L3=LOG(x) , L4=LOG(y)). Log (yˆ )= 0.6941+ 2.7568Log (x) 10 1.44 Log yˆ 0.69412.7568 Log x 10 0.6940722249 2.756812639 Log x yˆ 10 ˆy 100.6940722249 102.756812639Log x 0.6940722249 Log x 2.756812639 yˆ 10 10 ˆy = 4.9439 ×x 2.7568