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Finland: A European Model of Successful Innovation Robert Werner MBA/MIA ‘04 © 2003 by The Trustees of Columbia University in the City of New York. All rights reserved. CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS FALL 2003 www.gsb.columbia.edu/chazenjournal 1. Introduction Over the course of the 1990s, Finland underwent an economic transformation on par with that of any Western European state in the post-World War II era. The country began the decade in the mire of a severe economic depression, marked its middle by joining the European Union, and celebrated its end as one of the most competitive economies not only in Europe but in the world. This dramatic transformation was largely due to the country’s ability to re-orient its trade toward partners and sectors that offered higher growth potential—in this manner, Finland has clearly illustrated the benefits to be gleaned from the process of “globalization.” Its success in this new global framework was the result, partly, of lucky timing, but more importantly, of deliberate government policies aimed at fostering economic growth through innovation. It is not the purpose of this paper to calculate precisely how much of the country’s growth can be attributed to such government policies, versus how much was a result of pure luck or exogenous factors such as “globalization.” What it does offer is a discussion of why Helsinki’s policy choices have served Finland so well in the past decade, and how they must adapt in order to ensure continued growth and competitive success well into the future. The paper begins with an overview of Finland’s economic performance in the 1990s, highlighting its recent rise to the top of the list of international economic competitiveness. It then provides some insights into one of the factors that was crucial in achieving this high level of competitiveness: namely, investment in research and development. A discussion of the Finnish government’s innovation policies is then provided, along with a brief case study of the information and communication technology (ICT) sector—arguably the single largest Finnish success story of the last decade. Finally, the paper highlights some of the challenges that Finnish policy will have to address in the future, and concludes with a discussion of Finland’s emerging role in the expanding European Union. 2. Finland in the 1990s: From Bust to Boom Finland’s post-War industrial growth was driven by heavy, export-oriented industries, such as paper and pulp, basic metals, and chemicals—a strategy that helped the country reach the GDP level of the world’s wealthiest countries by the end of the 1980s (Schienstock and Hamalainen 2001, 33). The start of the new decade, however, signaled the beginning of a different chapter in the country’s economic history. In the autumn of 1990, the country plunged into what would turn out to be the most severe depression of its independent history (ibid., 34). FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 1 Figure 1: Real GDP Growth in Finland and the Euro Zone, 1990-2001 130 125 Real GDP (1990 = 100) 120 115 110 105 Finland 100 Euro Area 95 90 85 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: Author's calculations, based on Economist Intelligence Unit, 2002. Figure 1, above, illustrates the dramatic downturn that occurred in the Finnish economy over the first half of the 1990s. In real terms, Finnish GDP did not recover to its 1990 level until 1996. This stands in stark contrast to the experience of the Euro area as a whole, which experienced a steady upward trend over the course of the decade (except for a slight drop-off in 1993). The explanations for such an extreme and lengthy downswing in Finland have been well-documented and researched, and range from pure external shocks (the collapse of the USSR, a leading trade partner) to poorly designed financial deregulation and even mistaken reactions to the beginning of the depression itself (Honkapohja and Koskela 1999, 400). What is unmistakable is the fact that Finland entered the 1990s with completely different future prospects than it had even a few years previously. By 1994, its unemployment level had reached 20 percent, up from 3 percent a mere four years earlier (ibid., 401). The rest of the decade would, however, bring much more positive economic news. First, in 1995, Finland joined the European Union—a factor which did not, in and of itself, bring immediate economic relief, but which certainly brought the Finns greater peace of mind and enhanced their belief in prospects for longer-term recovery and stability. As Figure 1 shows, Finland’s GDP performance in the latter half of the decade was stellar. And as is illustrated in Figure 2, below, this impressive GDP FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 2 growth was surpassed by an even more impressive growth in the country’s exports. This illustrates two important facts about the Finnish economy in the latter half of the 1990s: that its recovery was driven largely by the growth of export industries, and that Finland’s competitiveness on the world stage increased dramatically during this period (a necessary condition for such dramatic and sustained export growth). Real level (1990 = 100) Figure 2: Finland’s Real GDP and Export Growth, 1990-2001 250 240 230 220 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 GDP Exports 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: Author's calculations, based on Economist Intelligence Unit, 2002. This intuitive sense of the country’s increased competitiveness has been repeatedly confirmed in leading international surveys. One of these, the International Institute for Management Development’s (IMD) World Competitiveness Yearbook, ranked Finland the second most competitive economy in the world in 2002, behind the United States. Furthermore, as illustrated in Table 1, it has shown Finland consistently increasing its competitive position in the world over the past five years. Its rankings attempt to capture “the ability of nations to provide an environment that sustains the competitiveness of an enterprise,” and are based on statistical calculations taking into account economic performance, government and business efficiency and infrastructure, as well as executive opinions (IMD, 2002). According to the Yearbook, Finland’s strengths include a government that can be trusted to respond quickly to changes in the economy as well as very highly credible managers and corporate boards (ibid.). FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 3 Table 1: World Competitiveness Scoreboard Rankings, 1998-2002 USA Finland Luxembourg Netherlands Singapore 1998 1 6 3 4 2 1999 1 5 3 4 2 2000 1 4 6 3 2 2001 1 3 4 5 2 2002 1 2 3 4 5 Source: International Institute for Management and Development, 2002. In recent years, Finland has also been among the top performers in the World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness Report. In 2002, Finland ranked second (again, behind the United States) in both of the Report’s main rankings: • The Growth Competitiveness Index, which “is based on three broad categories of variables that are found to drive economic growth in the medium- and longterm: technology, public institutions, and the macroeconomic environment”(Cornelius 2002, 3). Finland has performed especially well in the area of public institutions, receiving the number 1 ranking for two years running (Cornelius, Blanke, and Paua 2002, 12). • The Microeconomic Competitiveness Index (MCI), which “examines the underlying conditions defining the sustainable level of productivity” by focusing on company sophistication and the quality of the national business environment (Cornelius 2002, 7). Michael Porter, current custodian of the MCI and one of the most well-respected international business economists, notes that, in order to remain competitive, “a nation’s companies must shift from competing on comparative advantages (low-cost labor or natural resources) to competing on competitive advantages arising from unique products and services” (Porter 2002, 3). As will be discussed shortly, this was precisely the route taken by Finland in the 1990s. Both the IMD and World Economic Forum rankings illustrate that, a decade after its most severe depression, Finland finds itself among the most competitive countries in the world. How did it manage to turn its situation around so quickly? This is the topic to which we turn our attention next. 3. Innovation: Finland’s Turnaround Catalyst “In the course of one decade, Finland has undergone a fundamental structural shift from a resource-based to a knowledge-based economy” (Wagner and Vocke 2001, 3). This quote, from a recent International Monetary Fund report, nicely summarizes the transformation that the Finnish economy underwent in the 1990s. Table 2, below, partially illustrates this trend, showing that the FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 4 electrical equipment sector (which includes such knowledge-intensive industries as information and communication technology) more than tripled in size over the second half of the 1990s and ended up constituting one quarter of all industrial value added. On the other hand, sectors such as wood and paper and metal, in which the country has a resource-based comparative advantage, grew little, and lost significant ground in terms of their overall share of industrial value added. It is little surprise then, given Michael Porter’s previously mentioned observation about the source of national competitiveness, that Finland has been viewed as such an international success story. Table 2: Value Added Growth of Selected Leading Finnish Industrial Sectors (all figures in million €) 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Wood and Paper Industry % of total 5,461.5 23.8% 5,297.3 22.3% 6,070.6 23.6% 6,317.0 22.5% 6,542.9 22.0% 6,844.0 20.7% 6,351.2 19.4% Electrical Equipment % of total 2,566.9 11.2% 2,892.7 12.2% 3,353.6 13.1% 4,744.4 16.9% 5,849.0 19.7% 7,947.0 24.0% 8,105.9 24.8% Metal Industry % of total 2,585.7 11.3% 2,678.9 11.3% 2,865.5 11.2% 2,965.2 10.6% 2,933.0 9.9% 3,216.0 9.7% 3,177.9 9.7% Total Industry industrial growth rate 22,941.6 23,701.9 25,685.3 28,032.3 29,685.2 33,057.0 32,726.4 3.3% 8.4% 9.1% 5.9% 11.4% -1.0% Source: Author’s calculations based on Statistics Finland 2002, Industrial Statistics; Volume Index of Industrial Output. Of course, a great deal of investment in innovation—both in terms of technology and product development and the creation of competitive enterprises—has been required to bring such knowledge- and technology-intensive industries to the forefront of the Finnish economy. Table 3 illustrates just how much of the country’s overall research and development (R&D) spending has gone to the electronics industry, showing it to be more than 50 percent in the late 1990s. Aside from leading the drive to a knowledge- and technology-based economy, R&D spending has played an important role in reducing unemployment across the economy. Firms with high levels of R&D, in both the manufacturing and service sectors, have been the most successful in sustaining employment growth post-recession (Asplund 2002, 11). Thus, increases in R&D spending have helped Finland to both restructure its economy from an industrial point of view and to tackle the high levels of unemployment that arose during the early 1990s. FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 5 Table 3: Business Enterprise R&D Expenditure by Industry in 1999 and 2000 1999 million € Business Enterprise Total Manufacturing Total Food Industry Textile, Clothing & Leather Wood Processing Chemicals Metal & Mechanical Electronics Other Manufacturing Utilities Construction Wholesale & Retail Trade Transport, Storage, Communication Computer Services R&D Other Industries 2643.9 2000 million € % 100% 3135.9 % 100% 2,161.9 53.8 12.6 76.3 222.5 338.7 1,421.1 36.8 81.8% 2.0% 0.5% 2.9% 8.4% 12.8% 53.8% 1.4% 2,538.9 62.7 13.3 87.2 256.8 350.1 1,725.0 43.7 81.0% 2.0% 0.4% 2.8% 8.2% 11.2% 55.0% 1.4% 28.0 24.7 42.1 110.6 94.0 111.1 71.5 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 4.2% 3.6% 4.2% 2.7% 19.8 31.7 57.5 107.0 123.2 135.8 122.1 0.6% 1.0% 1.8% 3.4% 3.9% 4.3% 3.9% Source: Statistics Finland 2002, Business Enterprise R&D Expenditure by Industry in 1999 and 2000. R&D expenditure, measured as a percentage of overall GDP, has increased dramatically in Finland over the course of the 1990s, as shown in Exhibit 6. Finnish R&D growth over the course of the decade outpaced that of all OECD countries except Iceland, and by the end of the decade Finland was by far the biggest R&D spender (relative to GDP) of all OECD countries. FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 6 Table 4: GDP Share of R&D Expenditure in Selected OECD Countries in 1993-2000 Country 1993 1995 1997 1998 1999 2000 Austria Belgium Canada Czech Republic Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Iceland Italy Japan Netherlands Norway South Korea Spain Sweden United Kingdom United States OECD Total 1.49 1.71 1.71 1.21 1.74 2.17 2.4 2.35 0.98 1.33 1.13 2.88 2 1.73 2.22 0.91 3.27 2.12 2.52 2.15 1.55 1.72 1.74 1.01 1.84 2.3 2.31 2.26 0.73 1.54 1 2.89 1.99 1.71 2.5 0.81 3.46 1.98 2.5 2.11 1.68 1.87 1.72 1.16 1.94 2.72 2.22 2.29 0.72 1.84 0.99 2.83 2.04 1.66 2.69 0.82 3.67 1.83 2.57 2.16 1.79 1.9 1.82 1.24 2.04 2.89 2.17 2.31 0.68 2.04 0.98 2.94 1.95 1.8 1.98 1.83 1.25 2.06 3.19 2.19 2.44 0.69 2.32 1.03 2.93 2.05 1.7 2.47 0.89 3.8 1.87 2.65 2.21 1.8 2.55 0.9 1.83 2.6 2.18 1.94 1.35 3.37 2.15 2.46 0.82 0.9 2.76 % change, 1993-99 20.8% 15.8% 7.0% 3.3% 18.4% 47.0% -8.8% 3.8% -29.6% 74.4% -8.8% 1.7% 2.5% -1.7% 11.3% -2.2% 16.2% -11.8% 5.2% 2.8% Source: Statistics Finland 2002, GDP Share of R&D Expenditure. But what have been the sources of this R&D spending? In the early 1990s, as a result of the country’s depression, the Finnish government undertook massive cuts in public spending (Schienstock and Hamalainen 2001, 36). As a result, one might think that public funding of R&D decreased over the course of the decade. However, the data presented in Table 5 illustrate that this has indeed not been the case. Annual public sector R&D expenditures increased steadily in absolute terms between 1991 and 2000, and the only reason why their relative share of overall R&D spending declined was because of the even more dramatic increase in private (business enterprise) spending on these activities. FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 7 Table 5: R&D Expenditure by Sector in 1991-2000 (all figures in million €) 1991 1993 1995 1997 1998 1999 2000 Business Enterprises % of total 975.1 57.0% 1,048.5 58.4% 1,373.4 63.2% 1,916.7 66.0% 2,252.8 67.2% 2,643.9 68.2% 3,135.9 70.9% Public Sector % of total 357.5 20.9% 379.7 21.1% 374.4 17.2% 408.6 14.1% 443.9 13.2% 470.1 12.1% 497.4 11.2% University Sector % of total 378.0 22.1% 367.5 20.5% 424.6 19.5% 579.5 19.9% 657.8 19.6% 764.8 19.7% 789.3 17.8% 1,710.6 2.04% 1,795.7 2.17% 2,172.4 2.30% 2,904.8 2.72% 3,354.5 2.89% 3,878.8 3.22% 4,422.6 3.37% Total share of GDP Source: Statistics Finland 2002, R&D Expenditure by Sector in 1991-2000. One caveat that must be added to this analysis of sources of R&D spending is the fact that, over the course of the 1990s, Finland has fallen behind the United States as well as the EU and OECD averages when it comes to the public sector’s share of total R&D expenditures (Ali-Yrkko and Hermans 2002, 3). Does this imply that the Finnish government has been less focused upon supporting R&D spending than its counterparts around the world in recent years? As the subsequent section will illustrate, this has hardly been the case. The Finnish government has been among the most focused in actively supporting R&D, but has proven that it is not the relative amount of public R&D spending that matters in determining a country’s competitive edge, but the manner in which it is employed. 4. Finnish Innovation Policy and R&D Effectiveness In order to better understand how Finland has been able to simultaneously boost its international competitiveness (in terms of both current situation and future prospects) and decrease the public sector’s relative contribution to national R&D expenditures, we must consider the goals, institutions, and strategies governing the R&D portion of Finnish innovation policy. These dimensions are discussed below, and an illustration of how they have been used to effectively achieve national innovation goals is provided through a discussion of the information and communications technology (ICT) sector. 4.1 Public R&D Goals The overall goal of an efficient publicly funded R&D program should be to ensure that projects with positive social profitability are undertaken. Viewed in this context, public R&D spending can be understood as a correction of a market failure. A private financier is only concerned with investing in projects that will provide an adequate rate of private return. However, most projects also provide positive social returns, in the form of productivity and knowledge spillovers to other FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 8 firms in the investment target’s value chain or the development of new markets. In fact, it has been estimated that, on average, the social rate of return on an R&D project is over 1.5 times the private rate of return in industries with vertical or horizontal firm linkages (Luukkainen 2001, 279). However, unless they are stakeholders in some of the other firms in the given value chain, private investors will solely be interested in the private rate of return. Thus, if investment decisions are left solely up to private investors, projects with substantial social-profit potential may not be undertaken, for their private rates of return may not be attractive to private investors. Governments can correct this market failure by funding R&D projects that have a high social rate of return, yet do not provide an attractive risk-return profile for the private investor (ibid., 278). The government need not cover the entire project expense in these cases; it need only provide enough funding to minimize the risk and improve the returns for the private investor, thereby compelling him or her to fund the remainder of the project. 4.2 Public Innovation Institutions Finland’s system of public innovation institutions has evolved with the goal of correcting this precise market failure. The structural overview of the system provided in Figure 3 illustrates that it aims to do so through a collaboration between government bodies, academic institutions, and the private sector. The three component institutions profiled below illustrate the extent of the country’s commitment to innovation as well as its single-mindedness in using national innovation policy, not as a mere subsidizing scheme, but as a true corrective mechanism aimed at maximizing social profitability. Figure 3: Public Innovation Institutions in Finland Source: Cordis, Innovation in Finland. FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 9 The Science and Technology Policy Council (STPC) is the lead actor in designing the country’s innovation policy: it makes recommendations as to how all public funding of R&D should be allocated among industries and sectors, but leaves individual ministries and agencies responsible for the actual implementation of this plan (Romanainen 2001, 380). The STPC’s membership includes several government ministers, academics, and business leaders, and it is chaired by the Finnish Prime Minister (Blomstrom, Kokko, and Sjoholm 2002, 22). Thus, Finland’s commitment to innovation policy begins at the highest levels of its government and strives to include the perspectives of all relevant R&D stakeholders in its most elite decisionmaking processes. Tekes, the National Technology Agency, is the main financing agency for the provision of public R&D to Finnish industry. Over the course of the 1990s, Tekes provided 75-80 percent of the total public R&D to the manufacturing sector (Asplund 2002, 5). Its investment criteria are in line with the goals of public innovation discussed above. Tekes requires its beneficiary firms to provide 50 percent project co-financing, on average, and also strives to maximize economic spillovers and knowledge-sharing by requiring all the large companies whose projects it cofinances to cooperate with either small companies or research institutes (Schienstock and Hamalainen 2001, 193). Besides ensuring such positive spillovers, Tekes has also been successful in increasing the private productivity of the firms in which it invests. The average productivity level and growth rate of firms receiving Tekes funding has been found to be significantly higher than that of firms that rely solely upon private R&D funding (Asplund 2000, 8). Sitra, an independent public fund that is responsible to the Finnish Parliament, is the largest venture capital provider in the country (Anderson Wright Associates 1999, 2.2). Its investment goals are largely the same as those of Tekes—namely, to encourage the development of projects with positive social profitability and spillovers—but it typically invests in later stages of the project lifecycle. Thus, while Sitra collaborates with Tekes on a small percentage of projects, it is primarily focused on helping to commercialize technologies that have already been developed (Vihko et al. 2002, 32). Aside from providing public R&D financing, the Finnish government has also played a key role in stimulating an increase in the supply of private financing for R&D activities. Its reform of the investment rules of pension funds in the early 1990s is cited as being central to the growth of the Finnish venture capital market (Finnish Ministry of Trade and Industry 2001, 37). Indeed, the annual amount of venture capital funding grew more than tenfold between 1995 and 2000, reaching a level of over €400 million (Wagner and Vocke 2001, 11). As the above discussion illustrates, Finland has in place a comprehensive system of institutions to ensure that innovation policy is a top government priority and that it is aimed at projects that will maximize social profits, whether they are in the technical or commercial phases FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 10 of development. Similarly, through reforms of financial regulations, its government has ensured that more private money is available for investment in R&D projects. 4.3 National Innovation Strategy But these goals and institutions alone do not fully explain the Finns’ ability to maximize the efficiency of their public innovation initiatives. In order to understand their success in this arena, we need to examine where these institutions have been investing their funds in order to attain the national innovation goals. And in order to answer the “where” question, we must look not among individual industries, but among industrial clusters, which most often consist of one or two core industrial sectors, as well as their various service and input suppliers and customers. Michael Porter was the first economist to explicitly cite clusters as the key determinants of national competitive advantage in his 1990 article, “The Competitive Advantage of Nations.” It was there that he first argued that “a nation’s competitiveness depends on the capacity of its industry to innovate and upgrade” and that companies gain advantage by being subjected to an environment of “pressure and challenge”(Porter 2002, 73). Industrial clusters were a way of fostering this type of advantage, for they offered a high degree of competition among rival buyers and suppliers, resulting in an increased drive by individual firms in the cluster to innovate and stay ahead of their competitors. Over the past decade, Finland’s policymakers have fully embraced Porter’s line of reasoning, adopting a cluster-based approach to national innovation policy. In addition to Porter’s arguments regarding international competitiveness, however, these policymakers have also justified their cluster-based approach by noting that, because of the high level of interactions between firms in a cluster, investing in one company in a cluster will create extensive spillovers (of technology, know-how, and productivity) to other firms (Luukainen 2001, 273). This multiplier effect ensures that the social rate of return for investments in a cluster is significant, and therefore provides the most cost-effective way for public R&D spending to maximize social profitability. Finland’s cluster-based strategy was first outlined in the Ministry of Industry and Trade’s National Industrial Strategy of 1993 (Paija 2001, 32). Prior to that time, Finnish public R&D policy had been focused primarily upon individual enterprises, and did not give much consideration to their contexts (Romanainen 2001, 381). However, because of the dire economic consequences of that time, the government recognized that it needed to both foster the international competitiveness of its industries and to do this as inexpensively as possible. A cluster-based policy fit the task perfectly and was seen as the perfect means for “diversifying the economy away from the forestry and metals industries towards new high-technology industries” (ibid., 378). Furthermore, since 75 percent of the country’s value added was produced in five clusters (foodstuffs, information and communication technology, metals, construction, and FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 11 forestry), such a policy could ensure that a few cluster-specific investments had the potential to affect large portions of the country’s industrial base (Luukkainen 2001, 276). 4.4 Maximizing Public R&D Effectiveness: The Case of the Information and Communication Technology Cluster It is this cluster-based innovation strategy that has enabled Finland to reach the heights of international competitiveness; the cluster that has benefited most is the information and communication technology (ICT) cluster. The cluster is largely centered around Nokia, the telecommunications equipment giant, which in 2001 represented 2.8 percent of the country’s GDP and undertook 47 percent of its private sector R&D (Ali-Yrrko and Hermans 2002, 2). However, despite Nokia’s massive private investments, the Finnish government’s innovation strategy is largely responsible for the emergence of both Nokia and the ICT cluster as symbols of modern Finnish success. It was the Finnish Post and Telegraph Office and Tekes that financed the R&D activities in the 1970s and 1980s that were instrumental to the creation of the GSM standard (upon which all non-US mobile telephone networks are presently based [ibid.,13]) Since the early 1990s, when Nokia divested itself from all non-electronics businesses, the majority of its business has been related to devices that utilize the GSM standard (whether consumer items such as telephones or more sophisticated hardware). Thus, while those particular government investments pre-dated the cluster-based approach, they did lay the groundwork for Nokia’s future success as the main pillar of the ICT cluster. After the implementation of the cluster-based national innovation strategy in 1993, the ICT cluster became the most important recipient of public R&D funding. Even Nokia, which enjoyed unrivalled growth and profitability in the second half of the 1990s, continued to receive significant public funding for its R&D projects. Public co-financing of Nokia’s R&D steadily increased from 64 million Finnmarks in 1994 to 108 million Finnmarks in 2000 (ibid., 8). The fact that the government continued to increase its funding of such an immensely profitable company is indeed noteworthy. The explanation for this lies once again in the government’s aim of maximizing spillovers to other companies in the ICT cluster. Throughout the 1990s, Nokia concentrated on outsourcing more and more of its value-added work, thereby expanding its network of suppliers (Paija 2001, 35). By 2000, there were nearly 300 companies in the company’s “first tier” supplier and customer network, employing around 20,000 workers (Ali-Yrrko and Hermans 2002, 15). Given such an extensive network, the potential for spillovers was huge. Another important player has recently emerged in the Finnish ICT cluster—namely, Linux, a user-developed computer operating system that has recently been touted as a potential competitor to Microsoft (Wagner and Vocke 2001, 9). Linus Torvald, Linux’s founder, also recently launched a new venture, Transmeta, which produces microprocessors that aim to compete with those of Intel on the world market. Nokia formed an alliance with Transmeta for the provision of FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 12 microprocessors for some of its devices, further strengthening the possibility of spillovers in the ICT cluster through the closer collaboration of two of its most significant players (Steinbock 2001, 203). Thus, the ICT cluster—the prime example of Finnish cluster-based innovation policy success—enters the new millennium as both a beneficiary of past government investments and an attractive location for further ones. 5. Future Challenges Cluster-based innovation policy has proven to be a successful model for Finland’s development over the past decade. However, as is the case with all models, it must be adapted to meet changing realities presented by both domestic and international factors. In order to continue its reign at the top of the international competitiveness rankings in years to come, Finland will therefore need to adapt its innovation policy to meet a host of new challenges. 5.1 Moving Beyond Clusters Many observers contend that there are further spillover benefits to be gained from pursuing a policy that targets, not merely clusters, but networks of firms that operate across two or more clusters. Targeting such networks would increase the possibility and extent of positive externalities that can be created by public R&D funding (Pentikainen 2001, 314). While such a policy has not yet been adopted in Finland (or in most other countries), it represents a significant future opportunity for policymakers to enhance the country’s competitiveness (Schienstock and Hamalainen 2001, 190). 5.2 Diversification The ICT cluster, which has been the primary driver of the country’s growth over the past several years, is very highly export-oriented. The Finnish Ministry of Trade and Industry itself has publicly admitted that a downturn in global markets for this industry’s products would therefore have a disproportionately negative effect upon the country’s economy (Ministry of Trade and Industry 2001, 29.) The prospect of such an event occurring is becoming increasingly realistic, as the mobile phone—Nokia’s main product—threatens to become an increasingly commoditized product. To date, the company’s management has dismissed such a scenario, stressing its ability to grow its share to over 35 percent of the world market in the past few years and emphasizing the opportunities that will arise as a result of the adoption of third generation (3G) mobile telephone technology in the next few years (Brown-Humes, Budden, and Gowers 2002, 13). Nonetheless, it is far from assured that Nokia will continue to enjoy high levels of demand and international competitiveness. As a result, the Finnish government would be well advised to pursue policies aimed at diversifying its portfolio of successful industries and products. It has already begun a diversification initiative within the ICT cluster through the Content Finland FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 13 Programme, which strives to promote the country’s competitiveness in the provision of electronic content/software (Paija 2001, 31). This is certainly a step in the right direction, but it would be wise to develop the country’s competencies in high-value-added products and services outside of the ICT cluster as well. 5.3 Retaining Talent Finland’s often-punishing Nordic climate is enough to drive many natives to move to more temperate climates. However, many of the most talented Finns have also been leaving the country because of its astronomical personal income tax rates, which stand at nearly 60 percent (Times [London] March 2002). A continued brain drain of this sort could serve to severely undermine the country’s competitiveness in the long run, and therefore the government should take steps— perhaps through something as simple as lower tax rates for knowledge workers—to retain its top talent. 5.4 Increasing the Supply of Skilled Labor In addition to stemming the outflow of skilled labor, the Finnish government must increase the overall amount of skilled labor that is available in the country. Nokia, for one, has only been able to grow its home country operations half as quickly as its operations abroad, primarily because of a lack of skilled labor in Finland (Wagner and Vocke 2001, 10). Since the late 1990s, government policy has been focused upon increasing education in the technical and natural sciences; these areas represented around 40 percent of all entrants into higher education in 2001 (Finnish Ministry of Finance 2002, 22). Still, Nokia’s increased recent efforts to influence the direction of Finnish higher education funding indicate that even such concerted government policies will take time to yield results, and in the short term may not be enough to satisfy domestic demand for these skills (Ali-Yrrko and Hermans 2002, 11). Government policies should also strive to ensure that there is an adequate supply of domestic management and marketing expertise. While the country’s strengths in technology and engineering have fueled its success to date, many observers have cited a lack of management and marketing talent in early-stage Finnish companies (Vihko et al. 2002, 14). Public funding for developing such market-oriented (rather than technology-oriented) skills has increased recently, and this effort must be sustained in order to ensure future competitiveness (Paija 2001, 33). Of course, all initiatives aimed at increasing the supply of skilled labor must also contend with the fact that, as is the case across Europe, Finnish society is aging, and therefore the workforce will be undergoing a natural decline over the next decade or two. 5.5 Increasing Entrepreneurship Entrepreneurial talent and drive are the keys to further innovation and competitiveness of any country’s industry. However, by many accounts, entrepreneurship is currently not viewed as a FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 14 “desirable quality” in Finnish society (Vihko et al. 2002, 14). The government has recently implemented a number of initiatives aimed at streamlining the process of registering and managing small enterprises; while they are an important step, such initiatives are not enough to reverse an aversion to entrepreneurship (Finnish Ministry of Finance 2002, 14). The process of fostering entrepreneurship must begin early in life, through positive reinforcement of creativity and risk-taking in the educational system. This is a project that will pay off mostly in the longterm, but experience suggests that the Finnish government is willing to undertake such long-term investments in order to ensure the future competitiveness of its country. 6. Finland’s Role in an Enlarged European Union The purpose of the above discussion is not to cast a shadow over Finland’s considerable achievements to date, nor to question their continuation into the future. It is merely to outline some of the potential challenges with which the country will need to grapple in order to ensure sustained competitive success. There is no doubt that the country is excellently positioned to leverage its innovation success in its interaction with the rest of the EU member countries. Indeed, Finland has already been taking the lead on innovation issues within the European Union—its European Commissioner, Erkki Liikanen, is in charge of the Enterprise and Information Society Directorates General. Aside from applying its expertise in innovation in this formal bureaucratic capacity, Finland will also play several important roles in the enlarged European Union. 6.1 Role Model for New Members The eight former Communist economies that are set to join the European Union in 2004 are all at a level of economic development that is significantly lower than the current EU average. As a result, they will have a considerable amount of “catching up” to do in the coming years and decades. While mere membership in the European Union will likely provide some degree of stimulus for growth through full integration into the EU economy, these countries will need to engineer much of their growth effort on their own, through a pursuit of policies that ensure sustained productivity growth and international competitiveness. Finland’s experiences with innovation policy over the past decade could serve as a valuable role model for these countries in designing their national growth strategies. While not all of them may be able to apply the Finnish model in its entirety, or be as successful as Finland has been, Finland’s experience will surely provide some valuable insights into how a government can effectively engineer its national growth strategy. 6.2 Source of Foreign Direct Investment for New Members Apart from beneficial demonstration effects, Finnish enterprises can provide direct assistance to the new EU member states by serving as a source of funding for their domestic enterprises. The incoming member countries do not have considerable domestic capital bases, yet most have highly FALL 2003 CHAZEN WEB JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS 15 skilled labor forces with an entrepreneurial spirit that was formed out of necessity during their economic transformations of the 1990s. Given these circumstances, all of these countries would benefit from the funding and management expertise that Finnish firms could offer. To date, Finnish investors have seemed quite willing to undertake such partnerships, investing, most notably, in the computer industry of neighboring Estonia (Meier). With the passage of time, they may increase their involvement in such ventures throughout Central and Eastern Europe. 6.3 Test Market for Cutting-Edge Technology One result of the ICT cluster’s success has been the development of a sophisticated consumer base in Finland. The country’s citizens are among the most technologically advanced in the world, and Nokia has repeatedly used them as a test market for its new devices. Given this fact, as well as the relatively small size of the country’s population, Finland has great potential as a test market for all types of cutting-edge consumer technology. European firms choosing to undertake such activities in Finland will be able to reap the benefit of a true test of their products’ future market viability in a location that is culturally and geographically close to home, and therefore representative of the greater European market in most cases. 7. Ensuring Future Success at Home and Across the Continent Through the well-planned application of a thorough national innovation policy, Finland has been able to reverse its fortunes from depression to international success over the course of less than a decade. Moving forward, its experiences in this arena will be extremely useful in the context of the European Union, especially for its new member states. Of course, on the home front, the Finnish government will need to actively manage the country’s innovation initiatives in order to anticipate and overcome future challenges and continue the country’s success story. 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