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Introduction to UK GO data GPRD: General Practice Research Database THIN: Health Improvement Network Some new data too Data sources • Records from GP routine records • GPRD=THIN (almost) • >6% of the UK population • >350 GP practices • >6½ million individual people UK NHS―National Health Service • Largest UK employer―4th largest employer in world • 1.7 million employees • 40,000 GPs • 10,000 GP practices • GPs see 140 patients per week Data content • Diagnoses: GP and some hospital • Biochemistry: HbA1c etc • Risk factors: weight, smoking etc • Family history (some) • Drugs (all prescribed drugs) • Outpatient contacts • Free text • GPRD only….linked data: • Cancer registry data • Hospital inpatient data Quality: representativeness The Population of the United Kingdom (2001) Compared to the Population of THIN 18 16 14 Population in % 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0-4 5-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 Age Groups Years Population of UK Population of THIN 75-84 85+ Quality: completeness THIN Data - Recording Over Time in adults 100 90 80 60 Smoking Height 50 Weight BP 40 30 20 10 0 19 85 19 86 19 87 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 Patients (%) 70 Year Yo rk or th or th Ea st sh i re % death in THIN Geographical region Al l Lo nd on So ut h Ea st So ut h N W or es th t er n Ire la nd W al es Sc ot la nd Ea st W es t & H um Ea be st r M id la W nd es s tM id la nd s N N % death* Quality: completeness 1.200% 1.000% 0.800% 0.600% 0.400% 0.200% 0.000% % death in UK Strengths • Size―over 5% UK population • Nationally representative • Fast―information already collected • Frequent collections • All prescribable drugs • Population based • Study design flexibility • ‘Real Life’ data―collected during normal GP visit • Link to GP and patient for additional information Weaknesses • £cost! • No direct link to secondary care data (THIN) • No direct link of prescriptions to diagnoses temporal implied link • Limited information on OTC medications • Limited data on lifestyles, diet etc • Not dispensed prescriptions • Limited information on hospital prescribing • Some medications only administered by specialists Weaknesses re Ca. • Details of the cancer diagnosis variable • No systematic cancer staging data • Metastatic cancer: have to infer • Hospital cancer treatments not known New data! Survival after incident cancer: diabetes vs. non-diabetes Incident cancers by cancer site All cancers Parameter Patients – n; % Age – years (mean) Sex – % women Smoking – % ever smoked Diabetes duration – years (mean) 2 BMI males – kg/m (mean) 2 BMI females – kg/m (mean) SBP – mmHg (mean) Total cholesterol – mmol/l (mean) HbA1c in year prior – % Prior vascular disease – % Large vessel disease Eye problems (some) Eye problems (severe visual loss/blindness) No renal disease Mild renal disease Moderate/severe renal disease General morbidity: Charlson index, adjusted – mean Charlson index, unadjusted – mean GP contacts in previous year – mean Total observation time – years Breast Prostate Colorectal Lung Bladder Ovary and Endometrium Pancreas Liver NDM 140,141 65.7 53.3 42.4 n/a 26.0 25.8 139.5 5.0 5.8 DM 9,890 71.4 41.0 52.1 10.4 28.6 30.4 139.0 4.4 7.4 NDM 30,901 58.8 99.0 33.1 n/a 25.7 25.7 138.3 5.5 5.9 DM 1,286 70.0 97.7 35.8 11.3 27.8 30.7 141.8 4.8 7.5 NDM 16,872 72.1 n/a 44.3 n/a 26.1 n/a 141.4 4.9 5.8 DM 1,475 73.6 n/a 52.1 11.0 28.3 n/a 140.0 4.3 7.3 NDM 15,617 69.6 46.9 39.2 n/a 26.3 25.8 139.3 4.9 5.8 DM 1,363 72.1 39.0 49.1 11.2 29.0 29.5 137.4 4.3 7.3 NDM 12,666 70.1 38.6 68.5 n/a 25.1 24.9 138.3 4.8 6.2 DM 891 72.1 36.1 78.0 8.6 28.4 29.2 135.3 4.2 7.5 NDM 7,076 70.7 27.7 52.2 n/a 26.1 25.8 142.3 4.9 6.1 DM 716 72.4 18.8 62.7 11.4 28.7 28.7 140.9 4.5 7.5 NDM 5,625 63.6 100.0 27.6 n/a n/a 27.3 140.6 5.5 5.8 DM 424 67.5 100.0 31.0 10.4 n/a 32.7 141.1 4.7 7.4 NDM 2,125 70.8 53.8 41.4 n/a 25.8 25.5 140.1 5.1 6.2 DM 375 71.2 44.5 56.0 5.6 28.2 28.3 135.3 4.4 8.5 NDM 1,334 68.8 47.9 43.6 n/a 26.5 26.2 137.9 5.0 5.7 DM 252 69.8 29.8 60.7 9.0 29.4 31.0 136.2 4.3 7.3 13.9 1.3 30.7 14.4 6.1 0.9 23.3 13.8 19.9 1.5 34.3 14.5 15.4 1.6 30.4 16.3 21.5 1.5 40.3 14.0 19.9 1.7 34.6 12.4 8.2 1.0 20.0 12.0 16.2 1.8 25.9 11.2 17.6 1.7 32.9 20.2 1.8 99.1 0.0 0.9 3.3 92.9 4.6 2.5 1.1 99.7 0.0 0.3 3.1 95.6 2.8 1.5 1.9 98.6 0.0 1.4 3.0 91.1 5.7 3.2 2.2 99.2 0.0 0.7 3.4 93.1 4.2 2.7 2.4 99.1 0.0 0.9 4.0 91.0 7.0 2.0 2.2 98.4 0.0 1.6 2.1 92.2 5.3 2.5 1.4 99.4 0.0 0.6 3.3 94.8 3.5 1.6 2.6 99.1 0.0 0.9 2.4 95.2 3.0 1.8 2.6 99.1 0.1 0.8 3.2 94.8 2.8 2.4 4.7 2.5 6.5 610,856 6.9 4.2 10.9 28,722 3.8 2.2 4.9 198,581 6.5 3.9 9.2 5,211 5.3 2.5 6.9 65,183 7.0 4.1 10.3 4,972 5.0 2.4 6.6 61,308 6.9 4.2 10.6 4,178 5.3 2.8 8.7 13,171 7.2 4.5 12.4 940 5.2 2.5 7.0 32,675 6.8 4.0 10.2 2,685 4.3 2.3 7.0 25,343 6.2 3.9 9.9 1,451 5.2 2.5 9.0 1,484 6.6 3.9 13.7 255 5.1 2.7 8.8 1,502 7.3 4.7 14.0 272 Incident cancers by DM treatment Diabetes by treatment in the first three months following cancer diagnosis All non-diabetes Patients – n; % 140,141 All type 2 diabetes 9,890 71.4 9.7 Sulf mono Insulin mono Met + Sulf Met + Insulin 1,635 16.5 1,844 18.6 753 7.6 1,295 13.1 320 3.2 70.2 9.8 73.6 9.3 70.2 9.3 71.7 9.0 67.4 9.0 Age – years (mean; sd) 65.7 Sex – % women 53.3 41.0 44.1 40.3 41.3 39.1 Smoking – % ever smoked 42.4 52.1 53.8 47.8 54.2 51.5 Diabetes duration – years (mean; median) 15.0 Met mono 43.7 58.1 n/a n/a 10.4 8.9 8.1 6.8 9.9 8.7 15.3 14.3 12.2 10.8 15.5 14.4 26.0 3.7 28.6 4.3 29.8 4.3 27.3 3.9 28.2 4.4 28.7 4.3 30.2 4.2 25.8 4.8 30.4 5.9 32.1 5.6 28.3 5.3 29.9 5.9 30.6 5.6 33.6 5.9 139.5 20.2 139.0 19.5 137.7 18.2 141.4 21.4 139.6 19.9 139.5 18.2 138 17.9 Total cholesterol – mmol/l (mean; sd) 5.0 1.2 4.4 1.1 4.3 1.1 4.5 1.2 4.3 1.1 4.3 1.1 4.1 1.0 HbA1c in year prior – % (mean; sd) 5.8 0.9 7.4 1.5 7.1 1.3 7.4 1.6 8.3 1.6 7.7 1.5 8.3 1.5 2 BMI males – kg/m (mean; sd) 2 BMI females – kg/m (mean; sd) Systolic blood pressure – mmHg (mean; sd) Prior vascular disease – % Large vessel disease 13.9 30.7 27.4 32.7 39.6 31.0 35.9 Eye problems (some) 1.3 14.4 10.9 11.0 30.5 16.7 25.6 Eye problems (severe visual loss/blindness) 1.8 3.3 2.0 4.2 4.9 3.0 5.6 No renal disease 99.1 92.9 94.4 92.6 88.4 93.9 91.6 Mild renal disease 0.0 4.6 4.8 4.0 6.2 4.9 7.5 Moderate/severe renal disease 0.9 2.5 0.8 3.4 5.3 1.2 0.9 General morbidity: Charlson index,adjusted (mean; sd) 4.7 1.8 Charlson index, unadjusted (mean; sd) 2.5 GP contacts in previous year (mean; median) 6.5 Total observation time – years 6.9 1.8 0.9 4.2 5 10.9 610,856 6.5 1.7 1.4 3.9 9 10.6 28,722 7.1 1.9 1.2 4.2 9 10.2 4,564 7.4 2.0 1.5 4.9 8 13.4 5,754 6.9 1.7 1.7 4.2 10 10.7 2,054 6.8 1.8 1.3 4.5 1.5 9 13.4 11 3,950 690 Cancers – n; % Breast 30,901 22.0 1,286 13.0 276 16.9 233 12.6 87 11.6 184 14.2 51 15.9 Prostate 16,872 12.0 1,475 14.9 274 16.7 259 14.0 89 11.8 234 18.1 48 15.0 Colorectal 15,617 11.1 1,363 13.8 213 13.0 249 13.5 97 12.9 181 14.0 43 13.4 All cancers Breast Ovarian & Endometrium Colorectal Bladder Prostate Liver Lung Type 2 diabetes 3.3 3.2 2.6 2.6 Non-diabetes Type 2 diabetes Non-diabetes 5 Type 2 diabetes 7.9 Non-diabetes 7.7 Type 2 diabetes 11.0 Non-diabetes 8.8 Type 2 diabetes 14.2 Non-diabetes 7.5 Type 2 diabetes 15 Non-diabetes 17.4 Type 2 diabetes 20 Non-diabetes Type 2 diabetes Non-diabetes 10 Type 2 diabetes Non-diabetes Mean survival by Ca. site (years) 30 26.9 25 18.2 13.6 10.5 8.4 1.7 1.4 0 Pancreas Δ mean survival by Ca. site (years) 18 15.9 16 14 12 10 9.9 9.4 8 6.4 6 5.7 4 2.1 2 0 All cancers Breast Ovarian & Colorectal Endometrium Bladder Prostate 0.1 0.1 0.3 Liver Lung Pancreas Cumulative mortality (crude) DM Non-DM Cumulative mortality (adjusted) DM Non-DM Adjusted: age, sex, smoking, morbidity HR DM vs-N-DM (Cox) Model # Model specification HR Model 1 Age at Ca. diagnosis 1.067 1.024 1.113 0.00229 Model 2 Model 1, plus sex 1.040 0.997 1.084 0.06579 Model 3 Model 2, plus smoking status 1.129 1.082 1.176 0.00000 Model 4 Model 3, plus baseline morbidity* 0.969 0.928 1.011 0.14448 Model 5 Model 4, plus cancer site 0.904 0.860 0.951 0.00009 Model 6 Model 5, plus year of Ca. Diagnosis** 0.890 0.843 0.939 0.00002 Model 7 Model 6, plus no post-Ca. exposure to metformin 1.167 1.076 1.266 0.00018 Key: *, number of GP contacts in the year prior; **, after 1994 only 95% CI p-value adjHR: DM vs N-DM (=1) by treatment 1.15 1.12 1.10 1.10 1.05 1.00 0.95 Sulfonylurea Insulin Met+Insulin Met+Sulf Metfromin monotherapy monotherpy combination combination monotherapy 0.94 0.90 0.85 0.87 0.80 0.79 0.75 Cum-mortality: ± metformin (adjusted) Met- MetMet+ Exposed anytime aft Ca. diag HR=0.72; 0.68-0.76; p<0.00001 Met+ Exposed in first 3 months HR=0.83; 0.78-0.89; p<0.00001 Cancer site Cases Events HR 95% CI p-value Cases Met+ vs Met- (<3 mths) Model A All cancers Events HR 95% CI p-value Met+ vs Met- (<3 mths) Model B 130,270 51,468 0.975 0.918 1.037 0.42163 127,869 50,328 0.835 0.784 Breast 31,720 6,459 1.125 0.918 1.379 0.25766 31,365 6,378 0.997 0.809 1.229 0.97808 Prostate 17,762 5,943 1.147 0.978 1.345 0.09195 17,426 5,834 1.034 0.877 1.218 0.69206 Colorectal 16,368 6,905 0.900 0.761 1.065 0.22008 16,043 6,766 0.783 0.659 0.931 0.00564 Lung 13,083 9,798 0.695 0.597 0.808 0.00000 12,697 9,499 0.626 0.537 Bladder 7,497 2,893 1.107 0.876 0.39296 7,356 2,823 0.958 0.756 Ovarian and Endomeytrial 5,882 2,165 0.585 0.419 0.817 0.00168 5,747 2,103 0.550 0.390 0.777 0.00069 Pancreas 2,314 1,788 0.712 0.550 0.923 0.01022 2,250 1,737 0.655 0.503 0.853 0.00169 Liver 1,452 1,010 0.705 0.503 0.987 0.04184 1,411 978 0.673 0.475 0.955 0.02636 1.399 Met+ vs Met- (>3 mths) Model A 0.888 0.00000 0.730 0.00000 1.216 0.72644 Met+ vs Met- (>3 mths) Model B 130,270 51,468 0.834 0.787 127,869 50,328 0.717 0.675 Breast 31,720 6,459 1.063 0.891 1.268 0.49931 31,365 6,378 0.927 0.773 1.112 0.41267 Prostate 17,762 5,943 1.061 0.920 1.225 0.41555 17,426 5,834 0.960 0.829 1.112 0.58756 Colorectal 16,368 6,905 0.804 0.688 0.940 0.00611 16,043 6,766 0.709 0.604 0.831 0.00002 Lung 13,083 9,798 0.626 0.533 0.735 0.00000 12,697 9,499 0.562 0.477 0.663 0.00000 Bladder 7,497 2,893 0.929 0.748 0.50314 7,356 2,823 0.818 0.655 Ovarian and Endomeytrial 5,882 2,165 0.607 0.453 0.813 0.00083 5,747 2,103 0.579 0.429 0.781 0.00035 Pancreas 2,314 1,788 0.626 0.466 0.840 0.00180 2,250 1,737 0.582 0.432 0.785 0.00038 Liver 1,452 1,010 0.569 0.398 0.813 0.00195 1,411 978 0.557 0.385 0.807 0.00198 All cancers 0.885 0.00000 1.153 Model A = age + sex + smoking + metformin parameter; Model B = age + sex + smoking + baseline morbidity + metformin parameter 0.761 0.00000 1.020 0.07486