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Limit Theorems.
Set 4. Due Oct 24, 2002.
Q1. Let X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn , . . . be a sequence of independent and identically distributed
random variables taking the values ±1, each with probability 21 . For a > 0, show that the
probability
X1 + · · · + Xn
pn (a) = P [
≥ a]
n
goes to 0 geometrically and calculate
1
ρ(a) = lim [pn (a)] n
n→∞
as a function of a.
Q2. More generally if the common distribution α of X1 , X2 . . . has the properties
Z
M (λ) = eλx dα(x) < ∞
for all λ ≥ 0, and
P [X ≥ x] > 0
for every x ∈ R, then show that for any a > E[X]
ρ(a) = lim [pn (a)]
n→∞
1
n
n1
X1 + · · · + Xn
≥ a]
= inf e−aλ M (λ)
= lim P [
n→∞
λ>0
n
1
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