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Binomial Experiments Section 4-3 & Section 4-4 M A R I O F. T R I O L A Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman Addison Wesley Longman 1 Example Experiment Flip a coin 10 times. Let x = # of times that the coin lands on its head Then we call the experiment a binomial experiment x is called a binomial random variable Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 2 Definitions Binomial Experiment 1. The experiment must have a fixed number of trials. 2. The trials must be independent. (The outcome of any individual trial doesn’t affect the probabilities in the other trials.) 3. Each trial must have all outcomes classified into two categories. 4. The probabilities must remain constant for each trial. Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 3 Notation for Binomial Distributions S represents ‘success’ F represents ‘failure’ n = fixed number of trials x = p= q= P(x) = specific number of successes probability of success in one trial probability of failure in one trial probability of getting exactly x success among n trials Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 4 Method 1 Binomial Probability Formula Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 5 Method 1 Binomial Probability Formula P(x) n! = (n – x )! x! • Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman px • qn–x 6 Method 1 Binomial Probability Formula P(x) = n! • (n – x )! x! P(x) = nCx • px • px • qn–x qn–x for calculators with nCr key, where r = x Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 7 Method 2 Table A-1 in Appendix A Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 8 Binomial Probability Distribution for n = 15 and p = 0.10 p n x 15 0. . . 1. . . 2. . . 3. . . 4. . . 5. . . 6. . . 7. . . 8. . . 9. . . 10. . . 11. . . 12. . . 13. . . 14. . . 15. . . 0.10 206 343 267 129 043 010 002 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 9 Binomial Probability Distribution for n = 15 and p = 0.10 p n x 15 0. . . 1. . . 2. . . 3. . . 4. . . 5. . . 6. . . 7. . . 8. . . 9. . . 10. . . 11. . . 12. . . 13. . . 14. . . 15. . . 0.10 x 206 343 267 129 043 010 002 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman P(x) 0.206 0.343 0.267 0.129 0.043 0.010 0.002 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 10 Method 3 Use Computer Software or the TI-83 Calculator STATDISK Minitab TI-83 Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 11 Binomial Probability Formula P(x) n! = (n – x )! x! • px • qn–x Probability for one arrangement Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 12 Binomial Probability Formula P(x) n! = (n – x )! x! • Number of arrangements px • qn–x Probability for one arrangement Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 13 Recall: For Any Probability Distribution: = Sx • P(x) Formula 4-1 µ Formula 4-3 s 2 = [Sx • P(x) ] – µ 2 Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 2 14 Recall: For Any Probability Distribution: = Sx • P(x) Formula 4-1 µ Formula 4-3 s Formula 4-4 s 2 = [Sx • P(x) ] – µ 2 = 2 [Sx • P(x) ] – µ Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 2 2 15 For a Binomial Distribution: • Formula 4-7 • Formula 4-8 µ =n•p s =n•p•q 2 Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman 16 For a Binomial Distribution: • Formula 4-7 • Formula 4-8 µ =n•p s =n•p•q 2 Formula 4-9 s = Copyright © 1998, Triola, Elementary Statistics Addison Wesley Longman n•p•q 17