Download Position on the labour market of elderly people in Russia and

Position on the labour market of
elderly people in Russia and
Germany
Dajev Vitalij
Kolotova Elena
Khramova Ekaterina
The research puzzle
The population of elderly people in
Russia is growing up
The population of elderly people in
Germany is growing up
Comparison of age pyramides in
Russia and Germany
The research puzzle
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The elderly people (50 - 65) are overrepresented among the long-term
unemployed in both countries
They are the first candidates to dismiss
and the last to employ
Losses of pension system encourage
early exit from the labour market in
Germany
Significance of the study
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No investigation comparing the
situation of elderly people employment
in Russia and Germany
Russia is on the way to market
economy and it needs some experience
of the country with developed market
economy
Tasks
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To study and to compare labour legislation of Russia
and Germany
To trace the employment and unemployment
dynamics of elderly people in Russia and Germany
(East and West).
To determine and to compare the factors affecting
the employment of elderly people in Russia and
East/West Germany.
To trace the role of labour legislation for employment
of elderly people in both countries.
To find out if the factors affecting the employment of
elderly people are different in 1994 and 2006.
Object & Subject
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Object – economically active individuals
of Russia and Germany at the age of 50
- 65 in 1994-2006
Subject – position of elderly people on
the labour market in Russia and
Germany in 1994-2006
Literature review
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Underpaid, “mismatching in age”. – Elena Zhidkova;
http://socnet.narod.ru/Rubez/16-17/Zhidkova.htm#_ftn1
Factor affecting retirement. Book 6. p. 3;
http://www.dwp.gov.uk/asd/asd5/rports2005-2006/ageposfar6.pdf
Anne-Marie Guillemard and Martin Rein. Comparative patterns of retirement:
recent trends in developed societies// Annual Review of Sociology, Vol. 19
(1993), p. 474; http://www.jstor.org/stable/2083397
Source: OECD, 2005c; see: http://epp.eurostat.cec.eu.int/portal
Temporary creative composite authors under the direction of Rzhanicina L. S.
Women employment conception. – Moscow, Institute of Economics of Russian
Academy of Sciences, 1994; http://www.a-z.ru/women/texts/konzepr.htm
Hedge, J. W. The aging workforce
Gender and economy: world experience and expertise of Russian practice/
Compilator and managing editor E. B. Mezenceva.
Russian women and men. 2006. Statistical collection/ Rosstat. – M., 2007
Methods
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content analysis to study labour legislation
FSGS and SBA statistics to trace the employment
and unemployment dynamics of elderly people in
Russia and Germany (East and West).
RLMS and GSOEP, 1994, 2000, 2006 waves,
individuals of Russia and Germany at the age of 50
- 65, who haven’t participated in the survey ever
before.
To sort out the determinants of employment with
binary logistic regression.
To compare the influence of determinants between
East/West Germany and Russia with Structure
Equation Modelling.
Operationalization. Binary
logistic regression.
Dependent – Primary work at present (recoding:
1=currently working, 0=not currently working, dummy)
Independent
Individual variables
Age category (50-54, 55-59,
60-65) - scale
level of health
pensioneer status
level of education (ordinal)
marital status (nominal)
number of children (scale)
nationality (nominal)
Household variables
type of population aggregate
(ordinal)
number of family members
(nominal)
Husband age (scale)
Husband income (scale)
Family income (scale)
Hypotheses
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Age will have a negative impact on the employment of elderly women
and men in Russia and Germany;
Elderly men and women employment in Russia will be positively affected
by the educational level;
Participation of elderly women in the labour force in Germany will be
negatively affected by the higher level of education;
Marital status decreases the participation probability in the labour force
among German women at the age 50 - 65;
Marital status increases the participation in the labour market of elderly
men in Germany;
In Russia having children has a negative impact on the women
employment at the age 50-65;
In Germany having children increases the participation in the labour
force among elderly women who are the head of the family;
The influence of the determinants of elderly people employment won’t
change from 1994 to 2006 in Russia and Germany (East and West).
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