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BIOMARKER STUDIES IN CLINICAL TRIALS Vicki Seyfert-Margolis, PhD CLINICAL DATA (Ontologies) MECHANISM DISCOVERY • Flow Cytometry • Autoantibody • ELISPOT • Cytokine Measures • Gene Expression • SNP/Haplotype • Proteomics ITN Transplant Trial Model ONE YEAR DAY 0 Start of Study SERIES OF DAYS Baseline Screening Drug Administration • Drug Levels • Drug Effects • Serum Cytokines • Cell Populations • Gene Expressions Transplant • Graft Assessment • Time 0 Biopsy and Gene Expression • Drug Levels • Drug Effects 2-5 YEARS ONE YEAR WEANING PERIOD IS Withdrawal • Immune Response • Cell Populations - Flow • T Cell Function - IS Effects • Rejection- Gene Expression Immediate Post Withdrawal • Rejection - Gene Expression • Cell Populations - Flow • T Cell Function End of Study Follow Up: 2-5 years • Tolerance Marker ID • Gene Expression • Regulatory Cells - Flow Cytometry • Th1/Th2 Shift • Serum Profiles • Other Assays Integration of domain-specific information Antigen Expression Cytokine Secretion Gene Expression Flow Cytometry EliSPOT Microarray High Level Analysis Plan Original Biopsy Designation Counts by visit Classification On left column AR = Acute Rejection HEP = Mild HEP-MOD = Moderate To Severe Gene Expression Statistical Framework Design Comparisons of interest Biological replicates Pre-processing Normalization Quality Assurance Inference Mechanism of Action Statistic that incorporates variability Fold Change (FC) and p-value cutoff False Discovery Rate (FDR) estimation to handle multiple testing comparisons Gene class testing, enrichment analysis to facilitate interpretation Validation Follow-up study Alternate assay (SI) (CAN) (TOL) (HC) Classification Biomarker Supervised and supervised approaches Support Vector Machines (SVM), K-means, Random Forests Issues with with over fitting data Using test set, training set approaches Hierarchical Clustering (All Samples, V0, V6) Hierarchical Clustering (Pearson correlation) All visits Transcripts filtered for those differentially expressed between V6 and Baseline (V0) at FC >2 and FDR correction 4, 041 transcripts Blue = baseline Yellow = V6 Red = FCLB Baseline = 27 FCLB = 21 V6 = 12 Hierarchical Clustering (V6 vs. FCLB) Hierarchical Clustering (Pearson correlation) V6 vs. FCLB Transcripts filtered for those differentially expressed between FCLB and V6 at FC >1.5 and NO FDR correction 629 transcripts Blue = V6 Red = FCLB FCLB = 21 V6 = 12 Hierarchical Clustering – AR and Non AR FCLB Hierarchical Clustering (Pearson correlation) FCLB No AR vs. FCLB with AR Transcripts filtered for those differentially expressed between FCLB NO AR and FCLB with AR at FC >1.5 and NO FDR correction 580 transcripts Blue = FCLB No AR Red = FCLB with AR FCLB = 21 V6 = 12 ITN Standard Flow Panel Cell type/function FITC DCs CD11c DCs/costimulation CD11c PerCP PECy7 APC dump* HLA-Dr CD123 CD80 dump* HLA-Dr CD123 CD11c CD86 dump* HLA-Dr CD123 CD11c IFN alpha dump* HLA-Dr CD123 Antigen presentation, activation and costimulation CD14 CD4 CD19 CD3 HLA-Dr monocytes, B cells CD14 CD80 CD19 CD3 CD86 T cells/activation/naïve vs memory CD45RA CD45RO CD8 CD4 CD62L T cells/activation CD8 CD69 CD4 CD3 CD122 CD8 IL-12R CD4 CD3 HLA-Dr CD8 CD25 CD4 CD3 CD62L Th1/Th2 profiles IFNgamma IL-4 CD8 CD3 CD4 Cytotoxic T cells perforin granzyme B CD8 Th1 cells CD4 CXCR3 CD8 CD3 CCR5 Th2 cells CD4 CCR3 CD8 CD3 CCR4 Precursors,germinal center, plasma CD38 IgD CD138 CD19 CD10 B cells, immature/mature, naïve CD27 or CD1d IgD CD38 or CD20 CD19 IgM B cells, mature, naïve CD44 IgD CD38 CD19 CD10 B cells, mature, naïve CD23 IgD CD38 CD19 CD77 B1 cells CD1d CD21 CD5 CD19 CD23 Apoptosis Annexin V CD95 CD20 CD19 CD27 mature, costimulation, Ag. presn. CD27 CD80 HLA-DR CD19 CD86 NK cells CD57 CD56, CD16 CD14 CD3 CD8 T regulatory cells PE Cytokines/chemokines CD3 B cells Thistlethwaite – Activated CD3CD4 T Cells (CD62L) Regulatory T cells Associations across assays and trials Operationally Tolerant Individuals Microarray CD19 IgG1 CD79A CD79B IgJ genes Urine RT - PCR CD20 B cells- CD19 Naïve B cells- CD27 IgD+ IgMlo Flow Cytometry Data Flow Raw Data Data Center - Validated Raw Data Analysis Pipeline TADA - Participant Annotation - Assay review, annotation - Quality Assurance - Normalization Biostatistical Repository TADA - R or SAS scripting - Analysis Reports - Experimental design, Hypothesis, statistical modeling - Exploratory analyses Curated ‘Results’ (Published) Communications & TADA - Camera ready figures - Analysis revised or directed for manuscript, presentation, abstract etc. Funded by: National Institute of Allergy & Infectious Diseases Juvenile Diabetes Research Foundation National Institute of Diabetes & Digestive & Kidney Diseases