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4 Conducting Marketing Research and Forecasting Demand Marketing Management, 13th ed Chapter Questions • What constitutes good marketing research? • What are good metrics for measuring marketing productivity? • How can marketers assess their return on investment of marketing expenditures? • How can companies more accurately measure and forecast demand? Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-2 The Marketing Research Process Define the problem Develop research plan Collect information Analyze information Make decision Present findings Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-3 Step 2: Develop the Research Plan Data Sources Research Approach Research Instruments Sampling Plan Contact Methods Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-4 Research Approaches Observation Ethnographic Focus Group Survey Behavioral Data Experimentation Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-5 Questionnaire Do’s and Don’ts • Ensure questions are free of bias • Make questions simple • Make questions specific • Avoid jargon • Avoid sophisticated words • Avoid ambiguous words • Avoid negatives • Avoid hypotheticals • Avoid words that could be misheard • Use response bands • Use mutually exclusive categories • Allow for “other” in fixed response questions Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-6 Qualitative Measures Word Association Projective Techniques Visualization Brand Personification Laddering Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-7 Sampling Plan • Sampling unit: Who is to be surveyed? • Sample size: How many people should be surveyed? • Sampling procedure: How should the respondents be chosen? Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-8 Table 4.2 Types of Samples Probability Samples • Simple random • Stratified random • Cluster Nonprobability Samples • Convenience • Judgment • Quota Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-9 Contact Methods Mail Questionnaire Telephone Interview Personal Interview Online Interview Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-10 Table 4.3 Characteristics of Good Marketing Research Scientific method Research creativity Multiple methods Interdependence Value and cost of information Healthy skepticism Ethical marketing Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-11 Table 4.4 Marketing Metrics External Internal • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Awareness Market share Relative price Number of complaints Customer satisfaction Distribution Total number of customers • Loyalty Awareness of goals Commitment to goals Active support Resource adequacy Staffing levels Desire to learn Willingness to change Freedom to fail Autonomy Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-12 Common Measurement Paths Customer Metrics Pathway Unit Metrics Pathway Cash-flow Metrics Pathway Brand Metrics Pathway Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-13 Figure 4.2 Marketing Measurement Pathways Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-14 Figure 4.3 Example of a Marketing Dashboard Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-15 The Measures of Market Demand Potential Market Available Market Target Market Penetrated Market Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-16 Figure 4.4 Ninety Types of Demand Measurement Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-17 Figure 4.5 Market Demand Functions Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-18 Figure 4.5 Market Demand Functions Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-19 Table 4.6 Calculating Brand Development Index Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 4-20