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Bogus Psychology: - found in bookstores, radio shows, TV talk shows - full of well-meaning but intuitive advice Real Psychology: - found in labs and scientific journals - full of empirically verified information (1) Experiment Method – carefully controlled ◦ Hypothesis ◦ Independent / dependent variables ◦ Confounding variables ◦ Control / Experimental groups ◦ Operational Definition ◦ Controls (next slide) ◦ Advantages/Disadvantages (follow up slide) Example Hypothesis: Anxiety reduces social distance. How do you operationalize anxiety??? Anxiety = accelerated heart rate, fast breathing rate, sweating, etc. Social distance = # of friends, # of activities with more than 1 person Controls ◦ Random assignment ◦ Placebo ◦ Single blind study ◦ Double blind study ◦ Avoid experimental bias ◦ Avoid sample bias Advantages ◦ experiment can be repeated and create generalization of theory ◦ Identify cause and effect relationship ◦ Controls some bias Disadvantages ◦ Artificial lab conditions ◦ Raises ethical concerns Hindsight Bias ◦ tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that one would have foreseen it ◦ the “I-knew-it-all-along” phenomenon Overconfidence ◦ we tend to think we know more than we do. It’s why we think we study enough and then do poorly 1 Frame your hypothesis 2 Prepare Experiment 3 Perform Experiment 4 Analyze your data (usually statistically) 5 Publish, criticize, Repeat! Repeat as needed… Seriously, it could happen ※ Naturalistic observation – watching in real social setting ※ Surveys – questionnaires ※ Case Study – in depth description and examination of an individual longitudinal – individuals over time cross-sectional – same time but varied age cohorts Recognition of effect on one variable to another, measurement of change Only descriptive research methods No manipulation of variables Possibility of cause/effect ONLY Correlation coefficient-numerical value calculated into (-1.0 to +1.0) Positive Correlation – same direction (increase to increase) Negative Correlation – variables in different direction (increase of one, decrease in another) Zero correlation means no relationship Closer to +/- 1.0 the stronger the relationship ◦ a graphed cluster of dots, each of which represents the values of two variables ◦ the slope of the points suggests the direction of the relationship ◦ the amount of scatter suggests the strength of the correlation little scatter indicates high correlation ◦ also called a scattergram or scatter diagram Perfect positive correlation (+1.00) No relationship (0.00) Perfect negative correlation (-1.00) Mean=sum Median=# at ½ way Mode=average Range=high# -low# Standard deviation=how far do scores spread out from the mean Normal = bell curve Positive skewed distribution = distributed heavy at low scores; looks like a p lying down; mean is higher than median Negative skewed distribution= heavy at high scores; mean is lower than median Probability Value – how much of our result is from luck versus accurate evidence