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‘methane & climate change’ or ‘atom counting reveals secrets of Earth’ past climate’ Dr Andrew Smith Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation Climate change: reflecting back, looking forward 10 days of science National Science Week, 15th -23rd August 2009 Cosmogenic radionuclides Next is an AIRES simulation of what happens when a proton with 1Tev (=1012 electron volts energy) hits the atmosphere about 20km above the ground. The shower is in a 20km x 5km x 5km box superimposed on a scale map of Chicago's lakefront. Different kinds of particles are coloured differently: electrons and positrons are green, muons are red, and gamma rays are cyan. Cosmic rays (discovered 1912) • Cosmic rays are energetic particles from outer space that impinge on Earth's atmosphere. • ‘Ray’ a misnomer: cosmic particles arrive individually, not as a ray or beam of particles. • ~ 90% are protons, ~ 10% are helium nuclei (alpha particles), < 1% heavier elements and electrons. • Energies > 1020 eV, far higher than < 1013 eV man-made particle accelerators can produce. • Cosmic rays incessantly bombard Earth, smashing atoms and molecules high in the atmosphere, producing cascades of secondary particles that reach the surface. The origin of cosmic rays • energetic processes on the Sun • Supernova • unknown events in the farthest reaches of the visible universe. Supernova RXJ1713.7-3946 [Suzaku X-ray observatory] • This supernova remnant is the gaseous remnant of a massive star that exploded about 1,600 years ago • The contour lines show where gamma-ray intensity is highest Credit: JAXA/ Takaaki Tanaka/HESS Production rate modulation • Cosmic ray flux • Terrestrial magnetic field • Heliosphere magnetic field Cosmogenic radionuclides radioisotope half-life (years) 'cosmogenic' 10 1.51 106 Be 14 5,730 C 26 Al 7.3 105 36 Cl 3.01 105 129 15.9 106 'primordial' 235 7.04 108 U I 236 2.342 107 U 'anthopogenic' 239 2.410 104 Pu 240 Pu 242 Pu (as 'spike') 6.56 103 3.75 105 radionuclide nomenclature atomic mass, A ionised charge state (6 protons + 6 neutrons in nucleus) (Z - number of electrons) 12 6 atomic number, Z (number of protons in nucleus) 4+ C element symbol How do we measure cosmo-isotopes? ►By Accelerator Mass Spectrometry or ‘AMS’. Example: ‘radiocarbon’ or 14C: • Stable carbon isotopes: 12C (98.90%) and 13C (1.10%). • Only 7.5kg of cosmogenic 14C produced globally in the entire atmosphere per year: in equilibrium. • Natural abundance: 14C/12C ~ 1.2 × 10-12: one in a trillion! • 14C oxidised to 14CO2: radiocarbon dioxide • Photosynthesis: living organisms in equilibrium with atmosphere. • Radiocarbon dating: the clock starts on death: limit 10-16 (50ka). • Carbon from sample chemically prepared as graphite. Radiocarbon dating • black square is carbon, mostly 12C (99%) and 13C (1%). • yellow dots are 14C atoms, initially 104 atoms. • 14C atoms are radioactive and disintegrate with a half-life of 5,730 years. • When? It cannot be predicted for a given atom. • Dating old samples is difficult: few 14C atoms remain. • Modern natural carbon contains ~ 50 million per mg. credit: M. Blaauw 2007, chrono.qub.ac.uk/blaauw The technique of accelerator mass spectrometry ANSTO’s STAR accelerator: 2MV Accelerator Mass Spectrometry at ANTARES Australian National Tandem for Applied RESearch. 10MV advantages of tandem AMS over mass spectrometry: negative ions: elimination of 14N isobar charge exchange: destruction of 12CH2 & 13CH in terminal ionisation detector: E,M,Z atom counting features: ultra-small samples ~ 0.1 mg rapid measurement ~ 20 min sensitivity: 1 in 1015 accuracy ~ 0.5%, background ~ 50 ka Isotopes and climate science Stable and radioactive isotopes: • Isotopes of atoms provide valuable information about past climates. and factors which have forced climate change. • Natural radioisotopes provide additional, and often unique, data. Archives for cosmogenic radionuclides: • tree rings, rocks, coral, speliothems, sediments, ice cores… Applications include: • Past atmospheric composition. • Timing of past climate change. • Atmospheric circulation & transport. climate signals recorded in polar ice sheets Snowfall traps traces of atmospheric gas and impurities... J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J JJ J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J JJ JJ J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J JJ J JJ J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J JJ JJ J J J J JJJ J JJJJJJJJJJJJJJJ J J J J J J J JJJJJJJJJJJJ J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J JJJJJJJJJJJJ J J J J J J JJ JJ JJ JJ JJ J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J JJ J J J J J J JJJJJJJJJJJJ JJJJJJJJJJJJ J J JJJJJJJJJJJJ J J J J J J J J J J J JJ J J JJJ J J JJJ J J JJJ J J JJJ J J JJJ J J J J J JJJJJJJJJJJJ J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J J JJJJJJJJJJJJ JJJJJJJJJJJJJ J J JJJ J J JJ J When the firn depth reaches 50-100 m, the pockets of air close off into bubbles and flow with the ice Law Dome W20k 97/98 Law Dome firn air sampling Law Dome DSS0506 thermal drilling Gaseous components of the atmosphere. The atmosphere is composed mostly of nitrogen, oxygen and argon. Together, the remaining trace gases account for only about 0.1% of the air. nitrogen [78.1%] oxygen [20.9%] argon [0.9%] carbon dioxide [330 ppm] neon [18 ppm] helium [5 ppm] methane [2 ppm] krypton [1 ppm] nitrogen oxide [0.5 ppm] hydrogen [0.5 ppm] xenon [87 ppb] Global warming in the anthropocene From ~1700 AD to 2005 AD, CO2 has risen 36% from 280 ppm to 379 ppm, CH4 has risen 153% from 700 ppb to 1,774 [IPCC4] quantity of air & ice needed for 14C AMS [assuming 300 ppm CO2, 2 ppm CH4 and 50 ppb CO and 100 mL of air per kg ice] CO2 CH4 CO kilograms of ice for 100 micrograms of carbon 6.2 930 37,000 litres of firn air for 100 micrograms of carbon 0.6 93 3700 helping to determine the anthropogenic & natural sources of the important greenhouse gas - methane A new highly interactive exhibition exploring the complex world of nuclear science, medicine and nuclear power. On display in the Museum’s Experimentations gallery where different areas of science are explained, Nuclear matters aims to provide a greater public understanding of what nuclear science is and how it plays a big part in our everyday lives.