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MYTH
• We can’t meet our future targets
without a massive wind power
programme
FALSE
TYNDALL CENTRE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
Impact of integrating renewables & CHP into the UK transmission network
by Wu, Jenkins and Strbach, 2002
TECHNOLOGY
CAPACITY
NEEDED (GW)
ELECTRICITY
GWh
% OF
NEED
Energy crops
271
1,900
5
Off-shore wind
1662
4,950
13
On-shore wind
3044
8,000
20.5
Small hydro
130
400
1
Waste burning
800
6,100
16
Other biomass
271
1,900
5
Landfill gas
819
6,100
16
Other
943
1,900
5
Existing
1972
7,600
19.5
TOTAL
9.9
38,850
100
DTI Renewables Innovations Review – February 2004
SOURCE
Offshore wave
Near-shore wave
Tidal energy
Tidal stream
Small hydro
TOTAL
CURRENT
TWh/yr
PROJECTION
2020 to 2030
0
0
50
20
0
0
0.61
0.61
31
50
10
161
TARGET = 80-88TWh, POSSIBLE = 161TWh/yr or twice
what is needed
Overall conclusions (1)
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Our wind resource is poor despite being better than
other EU countries
Wind pattern does not fit the power profile of wind
turbines
Wind can’t work without back-up or our economy will
collapse
The more wind built the more back up we need
Building 7,000 w/ts and the extra back –up will cost
>£200 billion at today's prices
Wind can’t replace base load generation
Wind saves very little, if any, CO2
There are alternatives for generation and CO2 saving
OVERALL CONCLUSIONS (2)
• Renewable electricity targets should be scrapped as a
means of reducing CO2
• They could be replaced by Regional targets for CO2
abatement
• This would open up opportunities such as efficiency
schemes, local incentives, alternative renewables
which would engender a sense of local
participation and ownership
• This would remove the need for the divisive,
pointless, and widespread plunder of our
countryside
This may be the right place for turbines
– but Moudy Mea is certainly not
so GO for it – and win
Low Wood weir on the River Leven
Low Wood leat on the River Leven
Low Wood leat on the River Leven
Low Wood turbine housing
Low Wood turbine (1 of 3) on River Leven
Backbarrow weir on the River Leven
Backbarrow leat on the River Leven
Three modern turbines at Backbarrow, River Leven
DEFINING THE PROBLEM
•
•
•
•
•
•
Aging generating plant
Dwindling UK oil & gas reserves
Rising electricity demand
No central authority
Climate change
Inadequate current renewables programme
IF YOU REALLY
BELIEVE
WINDFARMS
CAN SOLVE OUR
PROBLEMS…….
……YOU PROBABLY ALSO
BELIEVE IN FAIRIES!