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Carbon capture and geological storage for Scotland Stuart Haszeldine University of Edinburgh • CCS explained School of GeoSciences • Ready - ness • Impact Scotland • Challenges Scotland [email protected] Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 1 Explained + -- Enables transition, Partial cleanup, Costs more (than now), ONLY direct reduction Needs big companies, Large impact, Requires more fuel. Scotland advantage. [email protected] of CO2, Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 2 CO2 capture and storage 10,000yr remedy: bury CO2 in aquifers or oilfields [email protected] Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 3 North Sea Saline Aquifer CO2 [email protected] Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 4 Impact and Ready-ness [email protected] Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 5 Scottish CO2 EITHER Stop coal and gas use OR Capture CO2 IF …….. by 2020, Scotland has 50% electricity from “renewables”. How is the other 50% made? [email protected] Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 6 Scottish liability CO2 tonnage Longannet 10 Mt/yr coal SP New coal Cockenzie 8 Mt/yr coal ?? 4.1 Mt/yr coal SP Peterhead 1.5 Mt/yr gas SSE Replace [email protected] Refit Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 New 7 UK competition CCS 2008 0.4 GW, soon after 2014 Longannet 10 Mt CO2 /yr coal Scottish Power Hunterston 1.6 GW 8 Mt CO2 BP Alternative Energy Withdrawn Kingsnorth 1.6 GW, 8Mt CO2 E.ON Scotland MAY be UK leader. But what is Plan B if it loses? [email protected] Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 8 Sources and options: Scottish Region Storage 14 companies Feb 2009 3) EOR import UK + EU? AIMS Sources Timings Routes Stores Costs 2) “Aquifer” Capacity UK 20yr or 1) “Export” 1,000yr ? [email protected] Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 9 Europe: 12 CCS projects • 500 M tons Emission Allowances for new plant ==> 10 x 400 MW coal plant 2013 - 2020 • 500 g CO2 /kW hr electricity emissions standard • EU Council of Ministers anti EU-A ==> may fund ? [email protected] Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 10 Challenges [email protected] Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 11 Capture Ready coal Building new coal supercritical power plant - with future ability to capture CO2, but NOT capturing now Capture-Ready Emissions Standard Power plant fitted (800g), 350g (170g) CO2/kwh Ramps down No specified route or storage site Intended future date Simple administration No date for operation Complex detailed designs Risk with Government (us!) [email protected] Risk with operator Risks: Illusions of progress Too much regulatory complexity Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 12 Capture -ready V deployment New coal? 32Mt capture ready Clear CCS mandateUnclear ==> deployment Deployment After 2020 Market 2 Market 1 EU-ETS auctions £ 3,000 M per year From Jan 2013 [email protected] DECC competition Create a second market route to fund Scottish (UK) CCS projects by EU-ETS Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 13 EU CO2 emissions map [email protected] Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 14 2020 ? North Sea transport and store Mongstad 2014 Karsto 2016 ? 50% of EU CO2 export via Rotterdam ? 2014 Longannet Largest storage is in Norwegian and Scottish offshore Hunterston 2015 How to get a transport network to come north? 2012 Kingsnorth [email protected] ROTTERDAM Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 15 Scotland: To Do • Action on Capture Ready or Emission Standard • Positioning on EU pipeline network • Create CCS capacity, and fund storage research • Enabling CCS in Scotland > UK Money : EU-ETS, Auction, ROC, Price • CCS: Largest single CO2 reduction Over-promised and under-delivered [email protected] Climate Change Sust Dev Comm 6 Nov 2008 16