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Climate change abatement
- can profitable solutions in the building
industry help unthaw political inertia in
the midst of a financial crisis?
Kim Carstensen
Leader, WWF Global
Climate Initiative
December 2009
© WWF-Canon / www.martinbeaulieu.ca
The Arctic is warming...
Air temperatures rising
Sea ice melting
Ocean surface warming
Snow cover declining
Permafrost warming
Glacier retreat accelerating
Greenland Ice Sheet melting
Ice sheet melt will be the primary
contributor to future sea-level rise
Coastal Settlements
Most at Risk
Fossil fuel emissions track IPCC’s worst case
scenario
1990-1999: 1.5 ppm / yr
2000-2007: 2.0 ppm / yr
2007:
2.2 ppm / yr
(Global Carbon Project, 2008)
Economic Mitigation Potential by Sector
Source: IPCC, 4th Assessment Report
Technologies are available
Key mitigation technologies and practices currently commercially available
Source: IPCC, 4th Assessment Report
Emerging Economies:
The Growth Challenge
• Rapid urban growth in China:
• • 193 cities in 1978 of which 13 mega-cities and 27 large
cities
• • 661 cities in 2005, of which 54 mega-cities and 84 large
cities
Annual migration of appr. 10 million people from
rural to urban areas:
• 17 billion m2 of buildings in China's urban areas
• 1 billion m2 added each year
Low-Carbon Cities in China
• Shanghai and Baoding became the first cities joining a
new WWF initiative
• Explore ways for low carbon development in China’s
urban areas
• Focus on energy efficiency in buildings, renewable energy
and manufacturing of efficiency products
• Show how rapid economic growth and energy
consumption can be decoupled
• Reduce environmental impacts from carbon dioxide (CO2)
emissions and the growing energy consumption
•
Developed Economies:
The Renovation Challenge
• Germany’s “efficiency in buildings” programme came first
in this ranking
• Integrated package of building standards, subsidies, loans,
grants and retrofit programmes
• Reduces emissions substantially in the short and in the
long term
• Creates jobs in the building market
• Can easily be implemented in most countries
Scorecards on best and worst policies
0
5
10
15
20
Efficiency in buildings
Feed-in tariff
Bus rapid transit
Weatherization
Tax incentive for renewables
Reducing emissions from deforestation
Solar Thermal Obligation
Top Runner standards
CNG fuel obligation
Energy Efficiency Commitment
EU Emission Trading System
1000 Enterprise Program
Figure 1 - 1 Overview of ‘best policy’ measures
Green effects
Economic effects
Outreach
Questions?
The fight against climate
change starts at home...
Thank you!
Eelco van Heel
Jens Laustsen
Kim Carstensen
Board member, European
Insulation Manufacturers’
Association (EURIMA)
CEO, the Rockwool Group
Senior energy policy
analyst (buildings),
the International Energy
Agency (IEA)
Leader,WWF’s
Global Climate Initiative