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Bio-economics of Climate Change Payments for Carbon Sequestration in Michigan This poster shows how strategies to mitigate global warming can also help Michigan farmers earn more money from their conservation practices. Carbon sequestration credits: Potential gains for Michigan landowners The growth in Michigan’s forests raises the state’s carbon sequestration potential. Michigan farmers can earn income by selling carbon credits from post-1990 forest plantations and post-1999 grass plantings and no-tillage practices. The estimated value of carbon credits from Michigan is $9.3 million/annum. As CO2 emissions rise, there will be a higher demand for these carbon credits. This produces the ‘the greenhouse effect’. CO2 absorbs more heat in the atmosphere, leading to global warming, thereby increasing temperature, changing weather patterns, melting glaciers and polar ice, and raising sea level. Continued global warming may have adverse impact on national and international economies. Carbon Sequestration – a solution Possible solutions to combat global warming include reducing CO2 emissions (e.g. by burning less fossil fuels) and carbon sequestration – removing excess CO2 from the atmosphere and storing it as other forms of carbon. Plants and trees absorb CO2 from the atmosphere and convert it into biomass and soil organic matter through photosynthesis. Forestry, conservation tillage, and grass plantings are viable carbon sequestration activities. France Australia 1990 2002 UK Germany Japan USA 6400 19200 6200 6000 5800 18400 5600 18000 5400 17600 5200 1992 1997 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 Million Tons of CO2e 19600 18800 1000 Realizing this value will require: • ‘aggregator’: an organization that helps individual farmers link up and sell carbon credits on CCX. • ways to reduce costs for monitoring and measuring carbon sequestration on farmers’ fields. Researchers are working on computer based models that can use satellite images to monitor and measure carbon sequestration on farmers’ fields. 2002 Years Forest Area Total Carbon Stock Potential Income for Michigan Landowners from Carbon Sequestration The Kyoto Protocol enacted in 2005, requires member countries to reduce carbon emissions by 5.2% below 1990 levels by 2008-12. Countries can achieve these targets by trading in carbon credits, which are units of carbon emissions reduced at source (measured in tons of CO2 equivalent – tCO2e). These efforts have led to growth in carbon markets such as the European Union Emission Trading Scheme. In 2006, more than 760 million tCO2e were traded in this market, valued at $18.9 billion. Another market for carbon credits is the US based Chicago Climate Exchange. Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX) and Carbon Payments Farmers can make money by selling carbon sequestration credits from forestry, conservation tillage, and grass plantings. In 2005, Iowa farmers sold 20,000 tons of carbon credits on the CCX from no-till farmland and grasslands. The University of Iowa, a CCX member, bought all these credits. As the map shows, Michigan can also earn CCX carbon payments for conservation tillage, grass planting, and forestry. Italy Forest Carbon Stock in Michigan is Increasing 1987 Markets for carbon credits CCX is a voluntary emission reduction and trading program whose members reduce their carbon emissions by 1% per year. Members include Ford, DuPont, IBM, Motorola, New Mexico, Chicago, and Universities of Minnesota and Iowa. Members that cannot reduce their own emissions can buy credits from other members that exceed their reduction targets and from farmers engaged in carbon sequestration. Since its 2003 inception, CCX has traded more than 15 million tons of carbon credits. The present price of carbon on CCX is $4/ton. Michigan 0 Total Carbon Stock (million tons CO2e) Life on earth exists due to presence of gases like carbon dioxide (CO2) that keep the earth’s surface warm by absorbing sun’s radiation reflected by it. The global carbon cycle keeps the optimum concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere. Human activities – burning of fossil fuels and large-scale deforestation – have disrupted this natural cycle by sharply increasing the atmospheric CO2 concentration. Forest Area (thousand acres) Threat of Global Warming Global Carbon Emissions Are Increasing US Central Region for CCX Soil Offsets 325,682 Sequestration (tons of CO2/acre) 2.4 Land under Christmas Trees 60,520 Land under woody crops Land Use Post-1990 Timberland Acres Total Sequestration (tons of CO2) At CCX price ($4/ton CO2) 781,637 3,126,548 2.4 145,248 580,992 10,966 2.4 26,318 105,272 Land under Conservation Tillage 296,666 0.5 148,333 593,332 Idle land for cover crops Woodland 607,936 0.5 303,968 1,215,872 1,224,237 0.75 918,178 3,672,712 Total 2,526,007 2,323,682 9,294,728 *Calculations based on conservative sequestration estimate of 6 ton CO2 / acre for post-1990 timberland. CCX estimates of 0.50 ton CO2 / acre for both land under conservation reserve and for cover crops, and 0.75 ton CO2 / acre for woodlands. In November 2006, MSU joined the CCX as part of its commitment to promote ‘green’ technologies and reduce its own emissions of about 520,000 tons CO2e/year. As CCX prices continue to rise, MSU can help Michigan farmers sell additional carbon credits on the exchange, thus setting an example for all the Great Lakes states. Data Sources Chicago Climate Exchange, Department of Natural Resources, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Michigan Land Resource Project, MSU (Office for Campus Sustainability), Natural Resource Conservation Service, United Nations Environment Program, UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, University of Michigan (SNRE), USDA (National Agricultural Statistical Service), US Environment Protection Agency, and USDA (Forest Service). Offsets for no-till or grasses Offsets for grasses only Contributing Authors Rohit Jindal (CARRS), John Kerr (CARRS), Stuart Gage (Entomology), Gene Safir (Plant Pathology), Brent Simpson (Institute of International Agriculture), David Skole (Forestry), and Terry Link (Office for Campus Sustainability).