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Download AGA’s programme on Livestock in climate change - COP-PPLD
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AGA’s Programme on Livestock in Climate Change December 1st, 2009 Pierre Gerber Livestock Policy Officer, AGAL Outline • Livestock’s Long Shadow • • • why? • main results • aftermath Current programme of work on climate • overview • ongoing activities Conclusions Livestock’s Long Shadow • Land use • Climate change • Water • Biodiversity • • Rangeland represents about 26% of emerged land Feed crops use about 33% of arable land • • 18% of GHG emissions related to livestock food chains C storage potential • Livestock sector represents 8% of all entropic water use, 90% of which for feed production • • IUCN identifies livestock as one of the threats to 1699 endangered species (red list) Can also have positive effects on biodiversity conservation Technical options for mitigation are largely available but conducive policy frameworks and institutions are missing. The aftermath of LLS • Raised awareness • • • • academia, general public, policy debate over simplification and distortion/selection of messages focus on climate change basic results stood the test • Many studies relying on food chain / live cycle approach: available results and databases but fragmented • Expectations to move on to an action plan Aim of current activities on climate change • Provide specific policy and technology options to mitigate Greenhouse Gas emissions of livestock production • identify ”low hanging fruit” • enteric methane • manure management • restoration of degraded pastures in the Neotropics Provide scientific underpinning to climate negotiations • • • improve the quantification calculations quantify economic and trade implications associated with policy recommendations identify technology packages adapted to farming systems and agroecological zones Overview of current activities Programme on the reduction of GHG emissions from animal food chains Quantification of emissions Economic modeling Pilot project Policy analysis LCA analysis Technical recommendations Policy recommendations Life cycle analysis – dairy product Range of GHG for commodities in OECD-countries kg CO2 eq/kg animal protein 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Pig Poultry Beef Milk Eggs Source: DeVries & DeBoer (2009) kg CO2 eq/kg animal protein Range of GHG emissions within one production system: landless pig production 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Standard methodology Best Practice Worst practice Best technology Source: Backus (2009) Attributing emissions Percentage of total GHG emissions 100 90 Meat Manure 80 70 60 Traction Savings Insurance 50 40 Meat 30 20 10 Milk Milk Sub Saharan Africa Netherlands 0 Overview of current activities Programme on the reduction of GHG emissions from animal food chains Quantification of emissions Economic modeling Pilot project Policy analysis LCA analysis Technical recommendations Policy recommendations Livestock sector purchases permits from other sectors Emissions permit revenue (mil. USD), 2013 Cap = 100% of 2008 emissions 500 0 World Permit Sale (+), Purchases (-), million USD -500 -1,000 -1,500 -2,000 -2,500 -3,000 -3,500 North America Latin America Europe Africa Asia and Pacific Oceania “High-cap” for non-Annex 1 countries Emissions permit revenue (mil. USD), 2013 Cap = Annex 1: 84.5% of 2013 emissions Non-Annex 1: 100% 2013 emissions 1500 Permit sales (+), purchases (-), million USD 1000 500 0 World -500 -1000 -1500 North America Latin America Europe Africa Asia and Pacific Oceania Overview of current activities Programme on the reduction of GHG emissions from animal food chains Quantification of emissions Economic modeling Pilot project Policy analysis LCA analysis Technical recommendations Policy recommendations Overview of current activities Programme on the reduction of GHG emissions from animal food chains Quantification of emissions Economic modeling Pilot project Policy analysis LCA analysis Technical recommendations Policy recommendations Conclusions • Livestock’s Long Shadow provided an overview of • • • livestock’s impact on major global environmental issues Since then the work of AGAL has mostly focused on climate change Analytical work aimed at underpinning the selection of technologies (AGAP) and policy options (AGAL) No strong collaboration with NGOs so far Contact: [email protected]
