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The Course - Content Science and environmental issues Not an environmentalist activist perspective Evaluation of environmental issues Careers in environmental science The Course - the “process” First year college course Content - The College Board AP Program Lab and field study based learning Less lecture - more independent responsibility Emphasis on current events Goals Goals: Prepare for APES AP test Critical Thinking: Evaluating issues and “coming to judgement” Demonstrate and apply sound science and scientific method Understand environmental issues as interdiscinplinary: Science, Technology, Society (STS) Environmental Science vs. Ecology Ecology - branch of biology Environmental science Uses natural sciences and social sciences to: assess how earth works evaluate how were are affecting earth’s life-support systems evaluate best ways to to deal with environmental problems, and hopefully reach sustainability Unifying Themes Sustainability and Sustainability Development What is sustainability? Are our current social/economic systems sustainable? If not, can the global society become sustainable? Ecological Principle: Everything is connected there is no such thing as a free lunch Four Dimensions to Sustainable Development Environmental Social Political Economic Sustainability – text definition “An environmental sustainable society satisfies the basic needs of it people for food, clean water clean air and shelter in the indefinite future without depleting or degrading the earth’s natural resources” (pare 4) In addition to helping sustain the earth’s life support systems, sustainable development leads to greater economic security, healthier life-styles, and worldwide improvement in the human condition (15) Sustainability – Protect your Capital Can all of earth’s population live at or near the consumption levels of the developed countries? Can human societies: Living off of interest, thus not using up capital Can technology solve the problems? What are some examples? Read and analyze: “Natural Capital” by Paul Hawken (pate 17) Ecological Footprint Definition: amount of land needed to produce resources needed for a person(or average person) in a country Compare: developed and developing Compare: Netherlands and U.S. Calculate your footprint Can Exponential Growth Continue? Constant Rate but not constant number “A quantity increases by a fixed percentage of the whole in a given time” Examples: Essentially, compound interest Growth at a given rate Doubling time is calculated if rate remains same Number organisms added per unit time increases Folding paper Bacteria in a bottle Read: Current Exponential Growth of the Human Population (5) DO NOT POST TO INTERNET 16 15 ? 14 13 12 ? 10 9 8 ? 7 6 5 4 Exponential Growth 3 2 Black Death–the Plague 2-5 million 8000 years Hunting and gathering 6000 4000 2000 Time Agricultural revolution 1 2000 B.C. 0 2100 A.D. Industrial revolution Billions of people 11 Human Population Growth Doubling time - rule of 70 Growth rate is decreasing 70/ % growth rate = doubling time 1963: 2.1% 2002: 1.28% BUT, demands for resources growing exponentially Pollution growing exponentially World Population Reached 1 billion in 1804 2 billion in 1927 (123 years later) 3 billion in 1960 (33 years later) 4 billion in 1974 (14 years later) 5 billion in 1987 (13 years later) 6 billion in 1999 (12 years later) World Population May Reach 7 billion in 2013 (14 years later) 8 billion in 2028 (15 years later) 9 billion in 2050 (22 years later) 12 11 Population (billions) 10 World total 9 8 Developing countries 7 6 5 4 3 Developed countries 2 1 1950 2000 Figure 1-4 Page 6 2050 Year 2100 Economic development Improvement of living standards by economic growth How to measure “living standards”? Probably best measure: Per Capita GNI PPP Page 4 Developed countries Developing countries World Night Lights NA night lights Per capita GNI PPP, 2001 Low income (Under $2,700) Middle income ($2,701–$10,750) High income (Above $10,750) Environmental Impact of Human Population Simplified model (13) population consumption (measured by affluence) technologic impact of unit of consumption Resources Definition Perpetual resources Renewable resources Sustainable yield How can renewable resources become nonsustainable? Nonrenewable resources economic depletion vs actual depletion Extending “life” of non-renewables Reduce Reusing Recycling What non-renewables cannot be recycled or reused? Pollution Definition Natural or anthropogenic Point vs. nonpoint Effects of pollutants (11) Solutions: Elimination of the waste Prevent from reaching environment Five R’s: refuse to use, replace, reduce, reuse. Recycle Is dilution a solution to pollution? Maybe sometimes? Maybe not?? Pollution Cleanup (output control) (11) Cleanup after produced Problems Temporary bandage – as long as population continues to grow Removes from one location, but puts pollutant into another (eg, scrubbers) Dispersal – low concentrations, almost impossible to cleanup Tragedy of the Commons Global Issues Awareness began in 1980’s Acid precipitation Ozone depletion Global climate change Ocean pollution and depletion of fish resources Global Atmospheric Changes Globalization World becoming more integrated Economic 1970-2002: 7,000 to 60,000 transnational corporations Communication and information Pollutants Acid precipitation, climate change, ozone depletion, depletion of ocean resources What are the key environmental problems? (12) Diagram page 12 Causes of environmental problems (12) Rapid population growth Unsustainable resource use Poverty Cost of economic goods excludes costs of pollution Not enough knowledge about complex natural systems Think of the “Precautionary Principle” Optimism or pessimism Experts disagree Political viewpoint Economics World views How serious is an environmental problem? What can be done? What is economic impact of reducing pollution or resource use? Are technologies available? Who gains and who losses? Good news Global food production outpaced global population growth since 1970 Pollution growth rate is reduced worldwide Infant mortality decreased worldwide In developed countries: cleaner water and air Much more interest and concern about environmental issues Bad News Pollution in developing countries increased – clean water a big problem Exponential increase in use of most natural resources Population still increasing in developing countries Global climate change Gulf between rich/poor widening Global decrease in biodiversity Economic systems do not incorporate pollution costs Globalization Natural Capital – Gary Hardin (16-17) “..cyclic industrial systems work better than linear ones.” Relate to throughput page 60 Contrast to natural ecosystems Discuss: “Markets are not giving us correct information about how much our suburbs, cars, and plastic drinking water bottles truly cost based on the environmental harm they cause” You are Gary Hardin. If you were in charge of the worlds economy, what are the three most important things you would do? How can governments reduce pollution Incentives: subsidies and tax write-offs Regulations, fines, taxes Research funds Education Developed world provide model for developing Reduce or eliminate loans for developed countries Interactions: nature and humans Conventional vs. Ecological Economists Conventional Economic systems independent of natural systems Human technology/ingenuity will deal with shortages and destruction of biodiversity Ecological economics Economic system subsystem of environment Natural capital supplies and maintains economic systems Environmentally sustainable economic development Economic system “mimics” natural systems Recycling Not depleting earth’s net primary productivity Living off ecological income Environmental Accounting Subtract from GNI things that lead to a lower quality of life and resource depletion Add thing that enhance environmental quality and human well-being Problem: how to determine the value of such environmental indicators External Costs Costs not incorporated in the final consumer cost of product Costs passed on to public and maybe future generations Some quantifiable, some difficult to quantify What segments “pay” more of these hidden costs? Internalizing External Costs Consumer pays FULL cost of production of a product. Preventing pollution more profitable than cleaning it up Methods Taxes for pollution Regulations requiring pollution controls and of mitigation damaged environments Eliminate subsidies for resource extraction Problem: direct cost of many services and products would rise Problem: Law of diminishing returns (graph 26.10) Environmental Worldviews Based on person’s beliefs and values “Facts” interpreted, conclusions reached based on worldview Two basic worldviews: Planetary management Environmental wisdom worldview` Environmentally Sustainable Economic Development Waste disposal Biodiversity - protecting species Resource Use (energy use) Population growth How Stewardship Is Demonstrated Recognition that a trust has been given. Responsible care for something not owned. Desire to pass something on to future generations. The next 50 years What is each individuals role? “Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world. Indeed,it the only thing that ever has.” Margaret Mead How To Prevent a Global Version of the Easter Island Disaster Understand how the natural world works Understand how human and natural systems interact Accurately assess the status and trends of crucial natural ecosystems Establish long-term sustainable relationships with the natural world The Global Environmental Picture Rapid human population growth and increasing consumption per person Decline of vital life-support ecosystems Global atmospheric changes Loss of biodiversity Monitoring progress GNI & GDP hide harmful environmental and social effects Do not incorporate value that is not received from money spent (eg, energy inefficiency) No inclusion loss of natural resources and natural capital Chapter 2 Environmental philosophies Conservationism Preservationism (Read: “How should …Conservationists” on 32) Stewardship “Modern” environmentalism Globalism Conservationism Pragmatic or utilitarian resource conservation George Perkins Marsh Man and Nature, 1864 Warned of the ecological and economic consequences of “frontier” mentality Conservationism and forest preserves Roosevelt and Pinchot Forests should be saved “not because they are beautiful or because the shelter wild creatures of the wilderness, but only to provide homes and jobs for people” Turning point: Forest Reserve Act of 1871 National Forest Service and Soil Conservation Service (in Dept. of Agr.) Multiple use Sustainable yield Preservationism John Muir Fundamental right of other organisms to exist “The world, we are told, was made for man…Nature’s object in making animals and plants might possibly be first of the happiness of each one of them…Why ought man to value himself as more than an infinitely small unit of one great unit of creation?” Preservationism and National Parks National Park Service 1916 (Dept of Interior) Yellowstone National Park – 1872 – American Forestry Association Protection of all organisms, with humans “onlookers” – no multiple use Soil Conservation Dust bowls and Grapes of Wrath Soil Conservation Service - 1935 Stewardship Modern ecology, with philosophical “underpinning” “That land is a community is the basic concept of ecology, but that land is to be loved and respected is an extension of ethics.” ..Aldo Leopold A Sand County Almanac – A Land Ethic The land ethic simply enlarges the boundaries of the community to include soils, waters, plants, and animals, or collectively: the land. The land ethic changes the role of Homo sapiens from conqueror of the land-community to plain member and citizen of it. We abuse land because we regard it as a commodity belonging to us. When we see land as a community to which we belong, we may begin to use with love and respect. Anything is right when it tends to preserve the integrity , stability, and beauty of the biotic community. It is wrong it tends otherwise Leopold, Aldo: A Sand County Almanac, and Sketches Here and There, 1948, Oxford University Press, New York, 1987, pg. 204. Environmentalism Rachel Carson: Silent Spring 1962 Effect of DDT in the food chain Earthday- 1970 Environmentalism (30) Relationships between populatin growth, resource use, and pollution 1969 – photograph from space – “Spaceship Earth” Many laws, agencies, environmental organizations established between ‘68 and mid-’70s Global Environmentalism Acid precipitation Nuclear accidents – TMI and Chernobyl Ozone depletion “International Convention ofn Biological Diversity” – 1991 Kyoto agreement – 1997 Today – globalization of world markets – can countries control their own destinies? Successes of the Environmental Movement Environmental protection agency Environmental laws Pollution abatement Species saved from extinction Habitat protection Environmental education Assumptions of the Process of Science We perceive reality with our five basic senses Objective reality functions according to certain basic principles and laws What role will science play? True or False Concerning the Process of Science Science is incapable of providing absolute proof for any theory. The process of science can be used to test value judgments. Some observed phenomena may not lend themselves to controlled experiments. Science is capable of predicting the future. Does science provide a framework for understanding complex ecological systems and potential impacts on those systems? Junk Science Presentations of selective results Public distortions of scientific works Publication in quasi-scientific journals Funding of “biased” science