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Seismic coupling, down-dip limit of the seismogenic zone, and dehydration of the slab Tetsuzo Seno (Earthquake Res Inst, Univ of Tokyo) Along-arc variation of Seismic coupling & Down-dip limit of the seismogenic zone near Japan in relation to Dehydration from the subducted crust (Low-frequency tremor) Seismic coupling along the Nankai - Sagami Troughs N Okhotsk plate 13 Japan Sea Northern Honshu Eurasian plate A 80 C Kanto Tokai 35° Shikoku Pacific plate Pacifiic Plate D Sagami B Trough 79 Kii Pen. Seno et al. (1996) 27 42 Hyuganada 59 49 Seno et al. (1993) 500 km Philippine SeaPlate plate Philippine Sea 30° 130° E 135° 140° 145° Fig. 1 Occurrence of smaller earthquakes in Hyuganada Yagi (2002) Recurrence intervals of great earthquakes Central Honshu 1923 Taisho Tokai, 1707, 1854 Kanto ~1500 ∞ ~400 ~150 yrs Izu 1703 Genroku ~1500 ∞ Seismic coupling coefficient (Seismic slip/plate motion) Nankai Trough Sagami Trough ~100 % ~50% Taisho Kanto ・Vc = 4 - 6 cm/yr ・Vc = 3 cm/yr ・U = 4 - 6 m ・U = 6 m ・T = 90 - 150 yrs ・T = ~400 yrs Down-dip limit of the seismogenic zone Oleskevich et al. (1999) Miyagi-oki, n. Honshu 1978 Miyagi-oki earthquake (M7.5) 50 km Seno & Pongsawat (1982), Seno et al. (1980) Northern Honshu: three types of events Thrust Down-dip compression Down-dip tension Kawakatsu & Seno (1983) Whole section: three types of events Thrust Down-dip compression Down-dip tension Kawakatsu & Seno (1983) N 13 Japan Sea Northern Honshu A 80 C Kanto Tokai 35° Shikoku Pacifiic Plate D Sagami B Trough 79 Kii Pen. 27 42 Hyuganada 59 49 500 km Philippine Sea Plate 30° 130° E 135° 140° 145° Fig. 1 Philippine Sea slab beneath Kanto Hori (1997) S. Kyushu P-axes ● ● ● ●● ● ● thrust Goto (2001) Seismic coupling Down-dip limit of the seismogenic zone in relation to Dehydration from the subducted crust (Low-frequency tremor) Basic assumptions Fault strength Tectonic stress 100 MPa 1 GPA Lithostatic pressure 3 km 30 km Weakening Depth Weakening mechanisms Interplate earthquakes Elevated pore fluid pressure Slab earthquakes (intermediate-depth) Dehydration instability Dehydration instability: Serpentinite Raleigh & Paterson (1965) Dehydration loci for slab seismicity (a) Cold slab type (b) Hot slab type Dehydration from crust Dehydration from crust Dehydration from serpentine Dehydration from serpentine Yamasaki & Seno (2003) Low-frequency Tremor in the upper plate wedge Obara (2002) Subduction of Normal oceanic crust Island-arc crust subd Hot slab type: Nankai Trough Freq. great earthquakes Low freq. tremor No great earthq No low freq. tr Upper plate Crust No dehydration Dehydration from crust No d N. of Izu Tokai district: easternmost Nankai Trough Piosson’s ratio (Kamiya & Kobayashi, in prep.) Low frequency tremor (Obara, 2002) 350°C Seismicity: Matsumura (1997) Dehydration From crust Temperature: Seno & Yamasaki , in prep. Low-frequency earthquakes & tremor: Upper plate 震源 Obara(2002) Low-frequency tremor ~ Moho depth (Obara, 2002) No tremor region Kanto E. Shikoku S.Kyushu Okino et al. (1999) Kinan seamount chain Okino et al. (1994) Hypothesis: Subducted continental or island-arc crust is mainly composed of granite, then does not involve dehydration. No low-frequency tremor No earthquake within the subducted crust Discrimination of crustal events b) Event in the mantle a) Event in the oceanic crust Serpentine dehydration loci Later crustal phase Serpenine dehydration loci No later crustal phase Generally along the Nankai Trough PHS slab beneath Kanto (no tremor) No later phase (Hori, 1990) Hori (1997) E. Shikoku (no tremor) Kurashimo et al. (2002) S. Kyushu (no tremor) DDC DDT 110 km aa 200 km DDT, i.e., lower plane seismicity in the mantle Hayashimoto et al. (2001) S. Kyushu thrust mantle Goto et al. (2001) DDT Thrust Areas without earthquakes within the subducted crust Kanto E. Shikoku S. Kyushu(?) Areas without low-frequency tremor High Vp Kanto Slab Izu Obara (2002) Top of slab seismicity Noguchi & Sekiguchi (2001) Mature collision zones: Zagros and Himalaya Ni & Barazangi (1986) Normal oceanic crust subduction Freq. great earthquakes Low freq. tremor Island-arc crust or continental crust subduction No great earthquakes No low freq. tremor Upper plate Crust No dehydration Dehydration from crust NankaiTrough No dehydration N. of Izu, Zagros, Himalaya Areas with island-arc or continental crust subducted Kanto, E. Shikoku, S. Kyushu Infrequent large interplate earthquakes vs. N. Izu, Zagros, Himalaya No or very rare large interplate earthquakes Philippine Sea slab beneath Kanto Hori (1997) Origin of the double seismic zone in Kanto Izu-Bonin Arc Shikoku Basin V. F. Serpentine stable Trench Axis Seno et al. (2001); Seno & Yamasaki, in prep. Kanto Infreq. great earthquakes & deep thrusts No low freq. tremor Dehydration from serpentine No dehydration from crust Northern Honshu: three types of events Thrust Down-dip compression Down-dip tension Kawakatsu & Seno (1983) Larger events 1994 aftershocks (Hino et al., 2000) Kawakatsu & Seno (1983) Epicenter Asperity Yamanaka et al. (2001)) Vp in northen part of n. Honshu (a) W E Depth = 40 km (a) (b) (b) S. Ito et al. (2000) Cold mantle wedge Fractured zone Ductile shear zone + hydrofracturing Anisotropic permeability Serpentine No serpentine 350°C 350°C Repeated earthquakes N. Honshu, Kanto, S. Kyushu Plastic flow Iwate-oki, Bonin, Tonga Hot mantle wedge Ductile shear zone + hydrofracturing Serpentine 350°C Plastic flow Nankai, Ryukyu, Cascadia, Mexico Collision zone Noserpentine serpentine No Stable sliding with very high shear stress or delamination N. Izu, Himalaya, Zagros Conclusions ・Sudbduction of island-arc or continental crust does not involve dehydration of subducted crust, then does not induce lowfrequency tremor in the wedge, or large interplate earthquake. ・If sudbduction of island-arc crust accompanies dehydration of the serpentinized mantle, it produces large interplate earthquakes infrequently. ・Thrust zone in the manle part may evolve into either of the two branches: earthquake-no serpentinized wedge or no earthquake-serpentinized wedge. This determines the down-dip limit of the seismogenic zone. ・Earthquake occurrence in Kanto may be a result of no earthquake occurrence in Bonin; if Bonin generated great earthquakes, Kanto would have turned into a mountain belt.