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PROPHYLAXIS AND CERVICAL SCREENING IN BULGARIA- PAST, PROBLEMS AND FUTURE Dr. Petya Kostova, PhD Gynecology Clinic, National Oncology Hospital, Sofia; Bulgaria Assoc. Prof. Dr V. Zlatkov, PhD Gynecology Clinic, National Transport Hospital “King Boris III”, Sofia, Bulgaria Significance of the problem (1) Cervical cancer is one of the most common malignant diseases in the world with annual occurrence of 500 000 cases. It is placed 5th with its share of 7.3% of the total number of localizations in both sexes. According to the WHO, 15% of all cancers in women belong to cervical cancer, about 20% of which are found in the developed countries and 80% in the developing countries. Significance of the problem (2) Cancer Bulgaria Registry total 2002 of them cervical, of them women еndometrial, ovarian cancer patients number % number % Cancer patients 216 881 127 227 58.7 32 242 25.3 New cases 29 435 14 051 47.7 3 001 21.4 Dead 15 785 6 595 41.8 895 13.8 Structure of cancer incidence in female Bulgaria (2001) % 30 24.6 24.3 25 20 9.7 7.7 15 7.5 7.1 5.4 5.1 10 4.7 3.9 5 0 ea br st sk in c vi er x d en e om um tri lo co n ar ov Sites y re um ct st om h ac ng lu he ot r Primary prophylaxis It requires control and elimination etiopathogenesis of the disease. There are no effective methods for sexual behavior regulation. Over the past years, the effectiveness of preventive vaccines against HPV infections has been discussed: Cervarix® (GlaxoSmithKline) Gardasil® (Merck) of the Secondary prophylaxis Its aim is to detect and eliminate precancer states or early malignancies It is performed on women with complaints and without clinical symptoms (screening). Types of screening • population based & selective • organized & opportunistic • multi-phase & one-procedure The principles of secondary prophylaxis The disease, object of screening, should be a medico-social problem (with high incidence and mortality); Its clinical course should be well known, with a preclinical phase corresponding to a biologically less aggressive period of development; The screening test should be simple to use, safe, cheap, with high sensitivity, specificity and predictive value; The treatment of the patients, diagnosed during the screening, to be effective and to reduce mortality. Preventive effect of cervical screening Frequency of screening Reduction of cumulative risk Number of tests 1 year 93.3 % 30 2 years 92.5 % 15 3 years 91.4 % 10 5 years 83.9 % 6 10 years 64.2 % 3 Possible results When organized screening cover 70% of the target population, it is possible to achieve the following results: • 30% of cancer cases to be actively detected • 30% of the advanced cancer cases can be decreased • >15% of mortality at screening localizations can be reduced History of the screening in Bulgaria Since 1956, prophylactic gynecological examinations have been conducted in Bulgaria . K.Tsanev and D.Nikolova (1970) - introduced cytological screening as a routine test. CERVICAL SCREENING NOC-Sofia Past scheme in Bulgaria Regional DOZ District Ob/Gyn Women over 30 years Women under 30 years Examination PAP smear (-) test Cytological laboratry (+) test Colposcopy Normal finding Precancer Cancer General principles The screening program involves all women over 30 years of age, both married and single, and is performed once every two years. It is conducted by district gynecologists and nurses. Diagnostic cytological tests are performed in 14 laboratories based at the district oncological centers and the National Oncological Center. According to the screening program, 1.5 mill. women are subject to examination. Incidence of cervical cancer in Bulgaria (1970-2002) 5 30 25 20 Crude 15 10 Standardized 5 20 02 20 00 19 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 86 19 84 19 82 19 80 19 78 19 76 19 74 19 72 0 19 70 10 Year An increase in the crude incidence was observed (12.7 to 26.9 %ооо). The same tendency was observed for the standardized incidence from 10.0 to 19.4 %ооо women. Incidence according to age, residence and districts Incidence (1970-1996) arise in all age groups (р<0.05), especially at 30-49 years. Incidence (1981-1996) is higher at towns than in villages (р<0.05) Standardized cervical cancer incidence (1991-1996 г.) varies according to districts from 6.1%ооо tо 23.1%ооо women. Incidence of cervical cancer worldwide Incidence Low Medium High Very high Levels from 3 to 9 x 10 5 Countries/regions Scandinavian,USA,Canada, England, Israel Registries (x 10 5) Finland (3.62), USA (4.05) from 10 to 20 x 10 5 Parts of EC, Central Europe, Japan, Australia and some in Asia from 21 to 30 x 10 5 South-East Europe, Russia Bulgaria- (26.9) Australia (12.5) Japan (16.0) Slovenia (18.5) Poland (23.8) Russia (28.6) Over 30 x 10 5 Zimbabwe (67.21) Brazil (64.78) South America, Africa Effect of screening on incidence (Scandinavian countries) M.Hakama, K.Louhivuori (1988) 40.0 per 10 5 35.0 30.0 Denmark 25.0 Norway 20.0 Iceland 15.0 Sweden 10.0 Finland 5.0 0.0 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 Years Mortality of cervical cancer in Bulgaria (1970-2002) 12 5 10 10 8 6 Crude 4 Standardized 2 02 20 00 20 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 86 19 84 19 82 19 80 19 78 19 76 19 74 19 72 19 19 70 0 Year An increase in the crude mortality was observed, reaching from 3.2 tо 9.8 %ооо. The same was tendency for the standardized index-from 3.1 to 6.2 %ооо women. Mortality of cervical cancer worldwide COUNTRIES Stand. mortality (%ооо) Israel 1.42 Japan 1.98 USA 2.70 Finland 3.00 Germany 3.51 Bulgaria 6.2 Poland 8.23 Romania 10.01 Venezuela 10.51 Chile 14.87 Screening results Effect on mortality in Europe 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1970 1975 1980 1985 Bulgaria United Kingdom EUROPE 1990 1995 2000 EU average Nordic average 2005 Ratio between the patients with CIS and cervical cancer in Bulgaria (1975-2002) 30 10 5 25 20 15 10 CIS 5 Ca 2001 1999 1997 1993 1991 1989 1995 Years 1987 1985 1983 1981 1979 1977 1975 0 Ratio between the cancer in situ and invasive cancer for the studied period shows bigger frequency of invasive forms and the arisal of this ratio during the study period . Ratio CIS / Ca (1) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% CIS Ca 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% ЕС Bulgaria Most important is the comparison to EC countries. The ratio between CIS and invasive cancer is 3/1 in favour of in situ forms in EC. In Bulgaria, is the opposite. It is 5/1 due to the higher level of invasive cancer. Ratio CIS / Ca (2) Pe r ye ar USA Deaths - 3800 Cancer - 10300 AGC- 180 000 HSIL LSIL–2 ASCUS 300 000 mill. women – 3 mill. women In the USA 55-60 mill. Pap tests are completed every year, the cost for them being $ 6 bln. Stage distribution of cervical cancer in Bulgaria (1970-2002) Number 800 700 600 stages I+II 500 400 300 stages III+IV 200 without stage 100 20 00 19 90 19 80 0 Year For the whole studied period we cannot observe any improvement of level of early diagnostics with stable high level of advanced cases. Screening coverage About 1.5 mill women were screened annually until 1989, after which there was a progressive drop and only 205 081 screening tests were reported in 1996. 120 100 mean for the period 80 % 60 1980 40 20 1995 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Oncological dispensaries Legend: 1-Blagoevgrad; 2-Burgas; 3-Varna; 4-V. Тarnovо; 5-Vratsa; 6-Pleven; 7-Plovdiv; 8-Russe; 9-Sofia-city.; 10-Sofia-reg.;11-St. Zagora; 12-Shumen; 13-Haskovo; 14-Bulgaria Share of women with biopsy The share of biopsies among the signalized women is low about 1/3, except 3 centers where it is more than 50%. This means that many women do not pass the step of precise diagnostics. Number 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 signalized with biopsy 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Oncological dispensaries 12 13 14 Legend: 1-Blagoevgrad; 2-Burgas; 3-Varna; 4-V. Тarnovо; 5-Vratsa; 6-Pleven; 7-Plovdiv; 8-Russe; 9-Sofia-city.; 10-Sofia-reg.;11-St. Zagora; 12-Shumen; 13-Haskovo; 14-Bulgaria Faults of past screening activity Faults in organization Faults in test Faults in interpretation Problems of organization They are connected with the following : No team for programme No screening registry Lack of call and recall system No unified system for diagnostics of signalized women No quality control on all screening levels. management of the Problems of test Monitoring quality of cervical smears Adequate preparation and storage of smears at laboratories Timely cytological answer to clinicians Registration of results in screening registry Problems of interpretation 1 4 The need of unified cytological classification The introduction of internal and external quality control at cytological laboratories The continuous training and education of staff 2 3 What’s happened over the last 10 years? Attempts at change Over the past 10 years, different teams of the Ministry of Health have initiated the development of new cervical screening programme. One of these teams, under the guidance of prof. Chernozemski and with our participation, created “The National Strategy for Prophylactic Oncological Screening in Bulgaria for the period 2001-2006” for the three main screening localizations - breast, uterine cervix and prostate. It was accepted by a decree of the Council of Ministers № 880 / 22.12.2000, but it could not be realized in practice. Recent situation Secondary prophylaxis ? Selective opportunistic screening Opportunistic screening Gynecologist Cash Payment (? Women) Gynecologist Health Insurance system Population screening GP / Gynecologist Health Insurance system 80 000 women Necessary changes Restoration of the organized population cervical screening as a component of the health system. Building a structure for management and screening registry. Introduction of unified terminological system. Establishment of quality control at cytological laboratories. System for continuous education. The basic components of the future cervical screening programme Management Qualification Education Cervical screening Efficiency & effectiveness Quality control Target and interval Recommended target population is 1.8 mill. women (25-60 years) The screening interval should be 3 years. Potential prices of cervical screening According to world standards the mean value of one conventional screening examination is 10 €. In our country this price is lower, around 10 leva (5 €), because of lack of realistic assessment of human labor, overheads, and equipment value. Prices of cervical cancer treatment according to stage for one year Prices according to EU data Cervical cancer Number of cases in Stages Bulgaria (2001) (Andrae Bengt - 2004) Per item Total St. III – IV 347 30 000 € 10 410 000 € St. I – II 670 9 000 € 6 030 000 € CIS 275 300 € 83 500 € Total 1292 - 16 522 500 € Which price is better ? If the target population (25 - 60 years) is 1.8 mill, its full coverage will cost 9 mill €. If screening interval is 3 years, it will cost 3 mill € yearly. Treatment of cancer cases for one year – about 16 mill €. Finally, we would like to recall the aphorism used by J. Bokhman ( 1989 ) : "... If a woman dies of uterine cancer, there is someone else beside the cancer itself, who is to be blamed for her death...".