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Decision-making and Demand and Supply Analysis Thinking Economically: Marginal Analysis • Optimization Assumption: an assumption that suggests that the person in question is trying to maximize some objective • Marginal Benefit: the increase in the benefit that results from an action • Marginal Cost: the increase in the cost that results from an action • Total Net Benefits: the difference between all benefits and all costs Maximizing Total Net Benefits • Total Way – select the level of the activity that maximizes the difference between total benefits and total costs • Marginal Way – set the marginal benefit of to the marginal cost of an extra unit • Economist prefer the later because many decisions are not all or nothing. Most times people are deciding to increase or decrease the amount of something that they are doing. Marginal Way in Action • The example of the boxes • If the marginal benefit of an extra unity of the activity is greater than its marginal cost, increasing the activity will increase total net benefits. • If the marginal cost of an extra unit of the activity is greater than its marginal cost, increasing the activity will decrease total net benefits. • Therefore, to maximize total net benefits the level of an activity that maximizes total net benefits is where the marginal benefit equals the marginal cost of an extra unit of the activity. Boxes • If an extra unit of the activity (trades) results in getting more boxes (MB) than are being given up (MC) the stack of boxes grows (TNB). • If an extra unit of the activity (trades) results in getting less boxes (MB) than are being given up (MC) the stack of boxes shrinks (TNB). • If an extra unit of the activity (trades) results in getting the same amount of boxes (MB) that are being given up (MC) the stack of boxes is at its tallest ( maximum TNB). Activity 1 2 3 4 5 MB MC 5 4 3 2 1 TB 1 2 3 4 5 TC 5 9 12 14 15 TNB 1 3 6 10 15 4 6 6 4 0 Markets: The power of Demand and Supply • Competitive Markets – – – – identical or homogeneous goods many sellers and buyers perfect Information free entry and exit • Non-Competitive Markets – Monopoly – one seller – Oligopoly – few sellers – Monopolistically Competitive – differentiated products Demand • The demand curve – Price and the quantity demanded • Rational behavior – Utility maximization (MB=MC all over again) • Law of diminishing marginal utility – Jelly bean example – MB fall as activity level increases • Income and substitution effects – Demand schedule – Individual demand curve – Market demand curve Catherine’s Demand Schedule Figure 1 Catherine’s Demand Schedule and Demand Curve Price of Ice-Cream Cone $3.00 2.50 1. A decrease in price ... 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones 2. ... increases quantity of cones demanded. Copyright © 2004 South-Western • The demand function – Income – Price of related goods • Complements • Substitutes – Tastes – Expectations – Number of Buyers • Movement along and shifts of the demand curve – Curve versus function – Schedules – Graphs Figure 3 Shifts in the Demand Curve Price of Ice-Cream Cone Increase in demand Decrease in demand Demand curve, D2 Demand curve, D1 Demand curve, D3 0 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Supply • Price and the quantity supplied – Rational behavior an the profit motive – Law of diminishing returns • The production example • MC rise as production increases in the short-run • Supply schedule • Individual supply curve • Market supply curve Ben’s Supply Schedule Figure 5 Ben’s Supply Schedule and Supply Curve Price of Ice-Cream Cone $3.00 1. An increase in price ... 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones 2. ... increases quantity of cones supplied. Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning • The supply function – – – – Input prices technology expectations number of sellers Figure 7 Shifts in the Supply Curve Price of Ice-Cream Cone Supply curve, S3 Decrease in supply Supply curve, S1 Supply curve, S2 Increase in supply 0 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Market Equilibrium • Equilibrium price and quantity = market clearing price and quantity • Disequilibrium prices and quantities – Shortage – Excess Demand – Surplus – Excess Supply • Comparative static analysis: changes in equilibrium prices and quantities • Shifts in curves versus movement along revisited • Changes in demand and supply Figure 8 The Equilibrium of Supply and Demand Price of Ice-Cream Cone Supply Equilibrium Equilibrium price $2.00 Equilibrium quantity 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Demand 9 10 11 12 13 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Figure 9 Markets Not in Equilibrium (a) Excess Supply Price of Ice-Cream Cone Supply Surplus $2.50 2.00 Demand 0 4 Quantity demanded 7 10 Quantity supplied Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Figure 8 The Equilibrium of Supply and Demand Price of Ice-Cream Cone Supply Equilibrium Equilibrium price $2.00 Equilibrium quantity 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Demand 9 10 11 12 13 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Figure 9 Markets Not in Equilibrium (a) Excess Supply Price of Ice-Cream Cone Supply Surplus $2.50 2.00 Demand 0 4 Quantity demanded 7 10 Quantity supplied Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Figure 9 Markets Not in Equilibrium (b) Excess Demand Price of Ice-Cream Cone Supply $2.00 1.50 Shortage Demand 0 4 Quantity supplied 7 10 Quantity of Quantity Ice-Cream demanded Cones Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Figure 10 How an Increase in Demand Affects the Equilibrium Price of Ice-Cream Cone 1. Hot weather increases the demand for ice cream . . . Supply New equilibrium $2.50 2.00 2. . . . resulting in a higher price . . . Initial equilibrium D D 0 7 3. . . . and a higher quantity sold. 10 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Figure 11 How a Decrease in Supply Affects the Equilibrium Price of Ice-Cream Cone S2 1. An increase in the price of sugar reduces the supply of ice cream. . . S1 New equilibrium $2.50 Initial equilibrium 2.00 2. . . . resulting in a higher price of ice cream . . . Demand 0 4 7 3. . . . and a lower quantity sold. Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning The Invisible Hand • Economic Agents are motivated by self-interest – consumers by utility maximization – Producers by profit maximization • Market prices as signals for resource allocation and coordinate consumer and producer behavior • Market or the Price System and Efficiency