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Modification 500 slides for Workgroup Malcolm Montgomery Matthew Hatch Session 1 – Primary Processes Auction Overview Process Overview Joint Booking Platform Available Firm Capacity Ascending Clock Auctions Uniform Price Auctions 2 Content – Further Sessions Secondary Processes CMP Surrender CMP LT UIOLI Transfers Scale backs Buy backs Unbundling Voluntary Bundling Supporting Processes Tariffs & Charging Methodology Transitional Arrangements Contingency User PRISMA Registration Credit / Invoice / Over-run / Neutrality / Termination / Voluntary Discontinuance PRISMA 3 CAM/CMP high level auction overview Other TSO TSO informed of bundled/unbundled split Compile auction data CAM calendar SHIPPER PRISMA GEMINI NG LT UIOLI, Oversubscription, +Prices Surrender cut-off Post auction processing Calculate bundle Surrenders On going Compile auction data Auction Invite(s) Run Auctions View auction Submit bids TSO informed of bundled/unbundled split NG & Shipper inventory Publish results Receive outcomes View info Receive invoices TO BE DEFINED BY OTHER TSO 4 Interconnector Capacity & Auctions Auction Capacity Annual Yearly Interconnector Capacity Auction Annual NTS Interconnector Capacity Annual Quarterly Interconnector Capacity Auction Quarterly NTS Interconnector Capacity Rolling Monthly Interconnector Capacity Auction Monthly NTS Interconnector Capacity Rolling Day Ahead Interconnector Capacity Auction Daily NTS Interconnector Capacity Interruptible Rolling Day Ahead Interconnector Capacity Auction Interruptible NTS Interconnector Capacity Within Day Interconnector Capacity Auction Daily NTS Interconnector Capacity 5 CAM Standard capacity products - auction calendar Product Capacity Commencing Start of the auction Invitation publication Firm Y1 to Y15 annual strips 1st October 1st Monday of March 1 month before auction starts Annual Quarterly Firm Q1 to Q4 1st October 1st January 1st April 1st of July 1st Monday of June 2 weeks before auction starts Rolling Monthly Firm monthly tranche 1st day of each month 3rd Monday of the month 1 week before auction starts Start of the gas day Firm 15:30* Interrupt’ [16:30] Auction Frequency Annual Yearly annually Rolling Day ahead Within Day monthly daily hourly Firm & Interruptible D+1 Firm D * All times are GMT for winter and BST for summer Hour bar +3.5 from end of bid window D-1 [18:00] At the start of the auction After closure of the day ahead auction Allocation Auction algorithm next business day (after the closing bid window) Ascending clock 30 minutes after the bidding round closes 30 minutes after the bidding round closes Uniform price 6 PRISMA CAM Regulation requires that TSOs offer capacity via a joint web based booking platform. NG launched open letter consultation on PRISMA. NG is now signed up as a shareholder of PRISMA along with other TSOs in (NW) Europe. Users will need to complete Registration on PRISMA before using PRISMA functionalities. Relevant User data will be exchanged between NGG and PRISMA for the purposes of completing processes within modification 500. 7 NG / PRISMA Processes Overview PRISMA Processes User Registration Credit Limit User Credit Registration Sanction Grid Point Data Surrender Maintenance Request Add Location Surrender Process Run Auction Set up Auction Process Results Secondary Transactions Transfers NG Processes Assignment Scalebacks Oversubscription Tariffs Recall Buybacks LT UIOLI Invoicing 8 Available Firm Capacity Unsold Technical Surrender LT UIOLI NG Available Capacity PRISMA Oversubscription NG Technical Capacity = Licence Baseline Adjacent TSO Available Capacity Available Bundled Available Unbundled 9 Technical Capacity Set Aside for shorter term auctions Relevant for Annual Yearly Interconnector Auctions only Y+6 to Y+15 - 20% of Technical Capacity Y+1 to Y+5 - 10% of Technical Capacity In the event that technical capacity has sold out to more than 80/90% for a relevant gas year then all remaining unsold technical capacity will be set aside for shorter term auctions. 10 Uneven sold profile over Year Y Technical Capacity Unsold ‘b’ Unsold ‘a’ Sold Q1 (80/90% level) Unsold ‘c’ Unsold ‘d’ Sold Q2 Sold Q3 Sold Q4 Technical Capacity made available for the year above in an Annual Yearly Auction = ‘b’ 11 CAM Cross border bundling - unsold capacity Bundled Capacity Consists of corresponding entry and exit capacity on both sides of the IP Cross border bundling of unsold capacity has to be given priority Unbundled Capacity Where more available firm capacity exists on one side of an IP, this can be offered as an unbundled product up to 1 year ahead except for matching up to the sold level Available Capacity Where more available firm capacity exists on UK side – NGG may offer excess as unbundled product Adjacent TSO(s) NG Unbundled Available Capacity Available to ‘bundle’ 12 Restriction in sale of unbundled capacity (>Y+1) 13 Available Interruptible Capacity In line with existing UNC provisions. Entry Release (as per UNC Section B 2.5.10): Exit Release (as per UNC Section B 3.6.2): Reverse Flow An amount equal to the forward flow technical capacity. 14 Ascending Clock Auctions Ascending Clock Auctions – overview Allow Users to place volume bids for capacity in bidding rounds at pre-defined prices (starting with the reserve price) The price increases in each round (by the Large Price Step) until the demand for capacity has reduced such that the bids can be allocated in full But if a First Time Undersell happens (when aggregate demand is first less than the offered capacity) a further bidding round will be undertaken with the price equal to the previous round’s price plus the Small Price Step Users can submit more than 1 bid per round Total volume of bids in any round from the same User must be less than or equal to the capacity offered in the auction Bids can be modified or withdrawn up to the close of the relevant bid window Once the bidding round closes, no changes can be made 16 Auction Invitation 17 Ascending Clock Bid windows Bid Window 18 Ascending Clock Auctions – Algorithm (1-to-1) 1st round of auction Capacity offered at Reserve price (P0) Are aggregate bids <= Offered capacity? Auction Closes YES Allocate in full at the Reserve price NO 2nd and subsequent rounds Capacity offered at Previous Round’s price + Large Price Step Auction Closes Are aggregate bids = Offered capacity? YES Allocate in full at the Offered price (Previous Round’s price + LPS) NO Are aggregate bids < Offered capacity? YES First Time Undersell NO 19 Ascending Clock Auctions – First Time Undersell (1-to-1) First Time Undersell (FTU) Capacity offered at Previous completed round Price + Small Price Step Auction Closes Are aggregate bids <= Offered capacity? YES Allocate in full at the Offered price (Previous completed round’s price + SPS) NO 2nd and subsequent rounds Capacity offered at Previous FTU price + Small Price Step Auction Closes Are aggregate bids <= Offered capacity? YES Allocate in full at the Offered price (Previous FTU price + SPS) NO Iterate round until Offered price is equal to price which led to FTU occurring - SPS Auction will then close at this point, with capacity allocated at price which led to FTU occuring 20 Auction in Progress example screen - 1 21 Auction In Progress example screen - 2 22 Ascending Clock example (1) The available quantity is 200. Applicable Price for round 1 is equal to the reserve price Shipper bids are as follows Shipper Qty A 100 B 90 C 50 The bid demanded in round 1 is 240 This is greater than the available, so the auction progresses to the next round and the price increments by 1 large price step. 23 Ascending Clock example (2) Applicable Price for round 2 is equal to the reserve price + 1 Large Price Step. Shipper bids are as follows. Shipper Rd 1 Rd 2 A 100 90 B 90 85 C 50 45 Note: Rd 2 quantities must be less than or equal to the Rd 1 quantity The bid demanded in round 2 is 220 This is greater than the available, so the auction progresses to the next round and the price increments by 1 large price step. 24 Ascending Clock example (3) Applicable Price for round 3 is equal to the reserve price + 2 Large Price Step. Shipper bids are as follows Shipper Rd 1 Rd 2 Rd 3 A 100 90 80 B 90 85 75 C 50 45 35 Note: Rd 3 quantities must be less than or equal to the Rd 2 quantity The bid demanded in round 3 is 190 This is less than the available for the first time so the auction progresses to the next round and the price decrements by 1 large price step and increments by 1 small price step. 25 Ascending Clock example (4) Applicable Price for round 4 is equal to the reserve price + 1 Large Price Step + 1 small price step. Shipper bids are as follows Shipper Rd 1 Rd 2 Rd 3 Rd 4 A 100 90 80 86 B 90 85 75 81 C 50 45 35 41 Note: Rd 4 quantities must be between Rd 2 and Rd 3 quantities The bid demanded in round 4 is 208 This is greater than the available so the auction progresses to the next round by 1 small price step. 26 Ascending Clock example (5) Applicable Price for round 5 is equal to the reserve price + 1 Large Price Step + 2 small price steps. Shipper bids are as follows Shipper Rd 1 Rd 2 Rd 3 Rd 4 Rd 5 A 100 90 80 86 83 B 90 85 75 81 77 C 50 45 35 41 36 Note: Rd 5 quantities must be between Rd 3 and Rd 4 quantities. The bid demanded in round 5 is 196 This is less than the available, but not for the first time, so the bids for round 5 are allocated in full. 4 units of capacity remain unsold. 27 Ascending Clock Auctions – Prices paid The User pays the cleared price for the capacity as determined through the auction algorithm Set at the reserve price plus the relevant auction premium (multiples of the LPS and/or SPS as relevant) If the auction is for unbundled capacity, National Grid NTS invoices the User for the cleared price obtained in the auction If the auction is for bundled capacity, National Grid NTS invoices the User for its share of the cleared price obtained in the auction [Determined by the reserve price plus the relevant multiples of the LPS/SPS] 28 Uniform Price Auctions Uniform Price Auctions – overview There is a single bidding round in which Users bid a price as well as a quantity Users can submit up to 10 bids Multiple bids from the same User are treated independently Total volume of bids from the same User must be less than or equal to the capacity offered in the auction Bids can be modified or withdrawn up to the close of the relevant bid window Once the bidding round closes, no changes can be made Only Daily or Within-Daily Capacity is offered 30 Daily Auction Bid Windows 31 Uniform Price Auction Invitation (unbundled) 32 Uniform Price Auction Invitation (bundled) 33 Uniform Price Auctions – Algorithm (1-to-1) Uniform Price Auction Capacity offered Users bid quantity and price Are aggregate bids <= Offered capacity? YES Auction Closes Allocate in full Users pay clearing price Bids are ranked in price order, highest first All users pay the clearing price, set as follows: NO •if demand is less than offered capacity, the clearing price is the reserve price or Allocate capacity to highest priced bids first up to available capacity • if demand is above offered capacity, the clearing price is the price of the lowest successful bid YES Are all the bids allocated in full? Auction Closes Allocate in full Users pay clearing price NO * Providing the pro-rated amount is above the Users’ minimum quantity submitted Allocate remaining available capacity pro-rated to remaining bids* Auction Closes Some users have been allocated in full, some pro-rated Users pay clearing price 34 Uniform Price Example (1) Available quantity for auction is 400. 3 Shippers enter 6 bids. At the end of the auction then all bids are sorted by price. Bids at the same price create a bid price group Shipper Qty Min Qty Price A 100 100 4 B 50 20 4 A 70 1 3 C 80 5 2 B 150 10 2 C 150 1 1 35 Uniform Price example (2) Shipper Qty Min Qty Price Provisional allocation Remaining capacity Group < supply? 400 70 250 2 80 180 x 10 2 150 1 1 0 0 n/a A 100 100 4 100 B 50 20 4 50 A 70 1 3 C 80 5 B 150 C 150 Pro-rate 3rd bid group to reduce bid group quantity (230) down to the remaining available capacity for that group (180) 36 Uniform Price example (3) So after pro-ration the bid for 80 is reduced to 62.6 and the bid for 150 is reduced to 118.4 Shipper Qty Min Qty Price Provisional allocation Min < prorated qty? A 100 100 4 100 B 50 20 4 50 A 70 1 3 70 C 80 5 2 62.6 B 150 10 2 118.4 C 150 1 1 0 n/a If pro-rated bids > min requested quantity then allocation is complete. 37 Uniform Price example (4) If pro-rated bids < min requested quantity then bid is ‘killed’. Shipper Qty Min Qty Price Provisional allocation Min < prorated qty? A 100 100 4 100 B 50 20 4 50 A 70 1 3 70 C 80 5 2 62.6 B 150 150 2 118.4 x C 150 1 1 0 n/a 38 Uniform Price example (5) Bid stack is re-evaluated with any ‘killed’ bid(s) reduced to zero. Shipper Qty Min Qty Price Provisional allocation Remaining capacity Group < supply? Min < prorated qty? Final allocation 400 100 A 100 100 4 100 B 50 20 4 50 A 70 1 3 70 250 70 C 80 5 2 80 180 80 B 150 50 2 0 x C 150 1 1 150 100 50 0 x 100 39 Uniform Price Auctions – Prices paid The User pays the cleared price for the capacity as determined through the auction algorithm If the auction is for unbundled capacity, National Grid NTS invoices the User for the cleared price obtained in the auction If the auction is for bundled capacity, National Grid NTS invoices the User for its share of the cleared price obtained in the auction Determined from the National Grid NTS applicable reserve price plus a [50%] share of the auction premium 40 Post Auction Post Auction Reporting Aggregate auction results will be published on the Joint Booking Platform. Individual auction results will be sent directly from the Joint Booking Platform to Users. In addition to this: Auction information will be viewable on Gemini; Net entitlements will be updated and viewable on Gemini. 42 View Aggregate Uniform Price Details - 1 43 View Aggregate Uniform Price Details - 2 44 Additional Info in case of competition - 1 45 Additional Info in case of competition - 2 46 View Aggregate Ascending Clock Details - 1 47 View Aggregate Ascending Clock Details - 2 48 Individual Auction Result Info from PRISMA TSO Type of gas Auction ID Regulated Tariff Deal ID Surcharge Product Total (clearing) price Network Point Name Split factor (uniform price) Network Point ID User details (i.e. User who placed bid) Direction of gas flow Market Area Category (bundled/unbundled) Quantity Capacity Period 49 Post Auction processing by National Grid Auction results come back from PRISMA. - Bundled bid demand - Unbundled bid demand Allocate bundled results first: Unsold > Surrenders > LT UIOLI > Oversubscription Then allocate unbundled results: Remaining unsold > remaining surrenders > remaining LT UIOLI > remaining oversubscription This way all unsold must be used before re-allocating surrenders; all surrenders before LT UIOLI; and all LT UIOLI before non-ob. unsold Surrender LT UIOLI Non-Ob U S L O 50 Next Steps Next steps Date for next Workgroup Content for future Workgroup sessions Feedback from this session AOB 52 National Grid UNC Mod (CAM & CMP adaptations) Initial Estimated Timescales Modification raised at UNC Panel Jun 14 Ofgem Decision Feb EU Workgroup Jan 15 Feb 15 Jul 14 Sep 14 Oct 14 Nov 14 18 DEC 6 NOV 2 Oct 4 Sep 7 Aug Aug14 Consultation Dec 14 Implementation Date 1st Nov* May 14 UNC Panel to review WG report and issue to consultation Modification WG Development Modification WG development 3 Jul Modification WG development 5 Jun EU Workgroup 1 May 15 May Draft CAM Mod shared with EU WG Modification WG Development UNC Panel Vote on FMR and submission to Ofgem 20 NOV Modification WG development Finalise WG Report and submit to Panel *W.E.F 1st November 2015 Nov 15 53