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Microeconomics Valuation & Appraisal Adam Smith “A dwelling house, as such, contributes nothing to the revenue of its inhabitant. If it is lett (sic) to a tenant for rent, as the house itself can produce nothing, the tenant must always pay the rent out of some other revenue ... The revenue of the whole body of people can never be in the smallest degree increased by it.” Valuing property developments 1. Why does land have value? 2. Development valuations differ markedly from other areas of valuation, why? 3. What does the value of a piece of land depend on? 4. Why is it difficult to rely solely on the comparison method to value development land? 3 1. Short-run supply of and demand for real estate • A property has value because it has utility and is scarce • Economics; the science of choice, the allocation of scarce resources amongst welfare maximising consumers • Demand, measured by opportunity cost, is limited by budget constraint - a reflection of the distribution of resource-buying capacity throughout an economy • The market is the distribution mechanism • So value will be determined by utility, scarcity, opportunity cost and budget constraint and is reflected in the basic economic principle of supply and demand 4 Payment for use of land (rent) 1. Short-run supply of and demand for property Supply (S) P* Demand (D) Q* Quantity of land Figure 1 5 a) Land rent Rent MRP (downwardsloping because the law of diminishing returns means MP decreases as quantity of land increases, assume MR is constant S (supply of all land) Price is determined solely by demand P1 More economic rent... P E D1 Economic rent O D Q Increase in price of commodity produced from land or increase in land’s productivity Quantity of land Figure 2 9 b) Land use rents Price or rent S P* Economic rent Transfer earnings (opportunity cost) D Q* Quantity of land Figure 3 10 b) Land use rents (over space) City centre Rent S (inelastic) Large increase in rent Economic rent D2 Transfer earnings O Figure 4 D1 Quantity of land 11 b) Land use rents (over space) City fringe Rent S (elastic) Small increase in rent Economic rent D2 Transfer earnings O D1 Quantity of land Figure 5 12 Rent (£) b) Land use rents (over time) S S1 r1 r2 r* D1 D O Office floor-space (m2) Figure 6 13 c) Land use intensity • The quantity of land that a user demands depends not only on its price and the price of the final product but also on its productivity • Productivity of land can usually be increased by using it more intensively through the addition of capital (e.g. more floor-space) • If land is cheap it will not take much building before it will pay to acquire more land to provide more accommodation whereas, if land is expensive, a large amount of building may take place before building costs increase to a level where it pays to acquire more land to provide extra accommodation • The process is subject to the principle of diminishing returns 15 3. Location and land use • To understand commercial rent we are not only concerned about supply and demand of land as a whole, of land for particular uses and the intensity of use but also where the land is • Land close to a market or a supply of labour will yield the same output as land that is further away but would incur lower labour and capital costs due to accessibility advantages • Assuming the price of the output remains the same regardless of where it was produced, the utility value of the prime site is greater and this value is reflected in the rent 19 Cost s 3. Location and land use Difference between revenue and cost (surplus profit) Total cost (including transport) Total revenue R Costs (exclg transport) 0 (market location) Y Distance from market Figure 9 20 Revenue / costs (£) 3. Location and land use Total cost for use A Total cost for use B Revenue from both uses R B A 0 X Y Distance from market Figure 10 21 Rent-earning capacity 3. Location and land use A M B C D N X AY Figure 11 BZ C D Distance from market 22 Rent 3. Location and land use Bid-rent curves Increasing profit Market rent O (CBD) X Figure 12 Distance from CBD 23 Rent 3. Location and land use OR Distance from CBD O I Figure 13 24 Summary • Supply, demand and markets – Scarcity, choice, opportunity cost, budget constraint – Allocation of scarce resources to satisfy the competing needs – Demand for real estate largely a derived demand • Competitive market with distinguishing characteristics – Competitive: profit-maximising behaviour, supply allocated to most profitable demand (in terms of use and intensity, subject to regulation) – Characteristics: decentralised, fewer transactions, heterogeneous, physically immobile, durable product , in finite supply • Price mechanism – Real estate rent is a surplus from the MRP generated after having deducted the unit costs of optimally employed factors of production involved in using land in its most profitable manner – Paid to landowner by user 25 Summary 1. Ricardian land rent theory – MRP theory and law of diminishing returns – Elastic demand and inelastic supply 2. Neo-classical land use rent theory – Elastic demand and elastic supply – Optimum land use allocation due to competition – Transfer earnings and economic rent 3. Marshallian land use intensity and rent theory – Margin of building – Land use intensity: to maximise revenue from a site capital must be added to point where MRP=MC – Land use rent: When MRP=MC surplus revenue (rent) is also maximised, the highest bidder is therefore also the most intensive user of the land 4. Urban location theory – Bid-rent theory – accessibility