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Demand and Supply: How Markets Work Lecture 1 – academic year 2014/15 Introduction to Economics Fabio Landini Today’s Plan: • The market: what is it? • Demand: what changes the quantities demanded? • Supply: what changes the quantities supplied? • How do we explain changes in prices as a result of shifts in demand and supply? 2 Market Definition: “A market consists of a group of buyers and sellers of a given good or service” – Buyers determine the demand. – Sellers determine the supply. During the first part of the course we will focus mainly on markets for goods. However, the same reasoning hold also for factors of production (e.g. labour, capital). 3 Typologies of Markets Perfect competition • Many sellers and many buyers, each of them with no influence on market prices • Goods are perfect substitute Fruits market in Panajii - India 4 Typologies of Markets Monopoly • Only one seller that fix the price 5 Typologies of Markets Oligopoly • Few sellers, not always in competition with each other (cartels) 6 Typologies of Markets Monopolistic competition • Many sellers, tough competition, and product differentiation … 7 The Demand The quantity demanded is the quantity that buyers want and can buy 8 Demand Table and Curve The demand table contains information on the relationship between the price of a good and the quantity demanded. The demand curve is a graph that shows the relationship between the price of a good and the quantity demanded. 9 Example: Demand of Ice-cream Price 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 Quantity 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Price of ice-cream 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Quantity of ice-cream 10 Example: Demand of Ice-cream Price 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 Quantity 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Price of ice-cream 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Quantity of ice-cream 11 Example: Demand of Ice-cream Price 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 Quantity 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Price of ice-cream 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Quantity of ice-cream 12 Law of the Demand Price of ice-cream 3.00 Law of the Demand There exist an inverse relationship between price and quantity demanded 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Quantity of ice-cream 13 The Determinants of Demand What determines the quantity of ice-cream that is demanded ? • • • • • Market price. Consumer’s income. Price of other goods. Consumer’s preferences. Consumer’s expectations. 14 Why does the quantity demanded vary? The quantity demanded can vary for two reasons • Movements along the demand curve: caused by a Δ in market prices; • Shifts of the demand curve: caused by a Δ of the other determinants of demand (income, price of other goods, preferences, expectations). 15 Why does the quantity demanded vary? Variables that affect the quantity demanded A change of this variable induces… Price Movement along the demand curve Income Shift of the demand curve Price of other goods Shift of the demand curve Preferences Shift of the demand curve Expectations Shift of the demand curve Number of consumers Shift of the demand curve 16 Changes of the quantity demanded 17 Changes of the quantity demanded Price of cigarettes (a packet in euro) 4.00 2.00 D1 0 12 20 Number of cigarettes smoked in a day 18 Changes of the quantity demanded A tax on the production of tobacco increases the price of cigarettes. Therefore, it induces a movement along the demand curve. Price of cigarettes (a packet in euro) 4.00 2.00 D1 0 12 20 Number of cigarettes smoked in a day 19 Changes of the quantity demanded Price of cigarettes (a packet in euro) C 4.00 A tax on the production of tobacco increases the price of cigarettes. Therefore, it induces a movement along the demand curve. A 2.00 D1 0 12 20 Number of cigarettes smoked in a day 20 Changes of the quantity demanded Price of cigarettes (a packet in euro) C 4.00 A tax on the production of tobacco increases the price of cigarettes. Therefore, it induces a movement along the demand curve. A 2.00 D1 0 12 20 Number of cigarettes smoked in a day 21 Shift of the Demand Curve 22 Shift of the Demand Curve Price of cigarettes (a packet in euro) 4.00 2.00 D1 0 10 20 Number of cigarettes smoked in a day 23 Shift of the Demand Curve Price of cigarettes (a packet in euro) A public provision aimed at discouraging smoking induces a leftward shift in the demand curve. 4.00 2.00 D1 0 10 20 Number of cigarettes smoked in a day 24 Shift of the Demand Curve Price of cigarettes (a packet in euro) A public provision aimed at discouraging smoking induces a leftward shift in the demand curve. 4.00 2.00 D2 0 10 20 D1 Number of cigarettes smoked in a day 25 Shift of the Demand Curve Price of cigarettes (a packet in euro) A public provision aimed at discouraging smoking induces a leftward shift in the demand curve. 4.00 B 2.00 A D2 0 10 20 D1 Number of cigarettes smoked in a day 26 What about a change in income? Price of cigarettes (a packet in euro) 4.00 2.00 D1 0 10 20 30 Number of cigarettes smoked in a day 27 What about a change in income? Price of cigarettes (a packet in euro) 4.00 2.00 D1 0 10 20 D2 30 Number of cigarettes smoked in a day 28 What about a change in income? Price of cigarettes (a packet in euro) 4.00 2.00 D1 0 10 20 D2 30 Number of cigarettes smoked in a day 29 What about a change in income? Price of Ice-ream (a cone in euro) 4.00 2.00 D2 D1 0 1 2 3 Number of cigarettes smoked in a day 30 What about a change in income? Price of Ice-ream (a cone in euro) For a normal good, an increase in income increases the quantity demanded 4.00 2.00 D2 D1 0 1 2 3 Number of cigarettes smoked in a day 31 Price of other goods When a decrease in the price of one good causes a decrease in the quantity demanded of another good, the two goods are called substitute (e.g. tea and coffee). 32 Price of other goods When a decrease in the price of one good causes an increase in the quantity demanded of another good, the two goods are called complementary(e.g. PCs and High-speed Internet access). 33 Example: what shifts the demand of a Toshiba PC? How does the demand of a Toshiba personal computer (PC) shift if: • Consumers’ income decrease; • The price of a Compaq PC decreases; • The price of high-speed Internet connection reduces; • The use of Internet across households increases; 34 From Individual Demand… Caterina’s demand Nicola’s Demand Price of Price of ice-cream ice-cream 3.00 3.00 2.50 2.50 2.00 2.00 1.50 1.50 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1112 Quantity of Ice-cream 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1112 Quantity of Ice-cream 35 …. To Market Demand Price of ice-cream 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 ( 7 = 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 4 + 3) Quantity of Ice-cream 36 Supply The quantity supplied is the quantity that sellers want and can sell 37 The Determinants of Supply • • • • Market prices Cost of factors of production Technology Expectations 38 Law of the Supply Law of the Supply: the quantity supplied of a given good increases with the price. Why? Because, for given costs of production and commercialization, an increase in price generates greater revenues (all costs being equal) and thus it induces sellers to increase production. 39 Supply Table and Curve The supply table is a table that contains information on the relationship between the price of a good and the quantity supplied The supply curve is a graph that shows the relationship between the price of a good and the quantity supplied 40 Supply Curve Price of ice-cream Price 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 Quantity 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Quantity 41 of ice-cream Supply Curve Price of ice-cream Price 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 Quantity 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Quantity 42 of ice-cream Supply Curve Price of ice-cream Price 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 Quantity 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Quantity 43 of ice-cream Why does the quantity supplied vary? The quantity supplied can vary for two reasons: • Movements along the supply curve, caused by a Δ in market prices; • Shifts of the supply curve, caused by a Δ of the other determinants of supply (technology, cost of factors of production, expectations) 44 Why does the quantity supplied vary? Variables that affect the quantity supplied A change of this variable induces… Market price Movements along the supply curve Price of the factors of production Shifts of the supply curve Technology Shifts of the supply curve Expectations Shifts of the supply curve Number of sellers Shifts of the supply curve 45 Increase of Supply 46 Increase of Supply Price of ice-cream S1 0 Quantity 47 of ice-cream Increase of Supply Price of ice-cream S1 S2 Increase of supply 0 Quantity 48 of ice-cream Increase of Supply Price of ice-cream S1 0 Quantity 49 of ice-cream Increase of Supply Price of ice-cream S3 S1 Decrease of supply 0 Quantity 50 of ice-cream Example: what shifts the supply of a Toshiba PC How does the supply of a Toshiba personal computer (PC) shift if: • The price of semi-conductors increases; • Toshiba re-organize her production lines to improve efficiency; • Toshiba’s managers expects a decrease in the price of semi-conductors in the future; 51 Summary Until Now • Every market has two sides: demand and supply • The main determinants of demand are the price of the good, consumer’s income, the price of other goods, consumer’s preferences and expectations • The main determinants of supply are the price of the good, costs of production, technology and expectations 52 Equilibrium of Demand and Supply Equilibrium Price Is the price for which demand equals supply. Graphically, it is the price for which the demand curve and the supply curve intersect. 53 Equilibrium of Demand and Supply Equilibrium Quantity Is the quantity for which demand equals supply. Graphically, it is the quantity for which the demand curve and the supply curve intersect. 54 Equilibrium of Demand and Supply Price of ice-cream Supply 2.00 Demand 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Quantity of Ice-cream 55 Equilibrium of Demand and Supply Price of ice-cream Supply Equilibrium 2.00 Demand 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Quantity of Ice-cream 56 Equilibrium of Demand and Supply Price of ice-cream Supply Equilibrium Equilibrium price 2.00 Demand Equilibrium quantity 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Quantity of Ice-cream 57 Market out of equilibrium Excess supply • Price is greater then its equilibrium level • Sellers cannot sell the quantity they want at that price Excess demand • Price is lower then its equilibrium level • Buyers cannot buy the quantity they want at that price 58 Excess Supply Price of ice-cream Excess Supply Supply 2.50 2.00 Demand 0 4 Quantity demanded 7 10 Quantity supplied Quantity of Ice-cream 59 Excess Supply Price of ice-cream Supply 2.00 1.50 Excess Demand 0 4 Quantity supplied 7 10 Quantity demanded Demand Quantity of Ice-cream 60 What happens if… External events alter the market equilibrium. How do we study the determination of the new equilibrium? We have three things to do: • To understand if the external event causes shifts in the demand curve and/or the supply curve • To understand in which direction the demand shift. • To understand if the shift affects the equilibrium prices and quantities, and how the new equilibrium is achieved. 61 Equilibrium effects of an increase in demand Price of ice-cream S1 2.00 Initial Equilibrium D1 0 7 Quantity of Ice-cream 62 Equilibrium effects of an increase in demand Price of ice-cream 1. Nice weather causes an increase in the demand of ice-cream S1 2.00 Initial Equilibrium D1 0 7 Quantity of Ice-cream 63 Equilibrium effects of an increase in demand Price of ice-cream 1. Nice weather causes an increase in the demand of ice-cream S1 New Equilibrium 2.50 2.00 Initial Equilibrium D2 D1 0 7 10 Quantity of Ice-cream 64 Equilibrium effects of an increase in demand Price of ice-cream 1. Nice weather causes an increase in the demand of ice-cream S1 New Equilibrium 2.50 2.00 Initial Equilibrium 2….that causes an increase in prices… D2 D1 0 7 10 3….and an increase in the quantity that is sold… Quantity of Ice-cream 65 How do we move from the old to the new equilibrium? We saw that nice weather causes a shift in the equilibrium. We haven’t yet explained how this happens. To do so, we use the concept of excess demand. If the demand increases, the quantity demanded is greater than the quantity supplied at the initial price. Market prices will tend to increase. 66 How do we move from the old to the new equilibrium? When the price increases, two things happen: • The quantity supplied increases (Law of the Supply) • The quantity demanded reduces (Law of Demand) Results: the initial excess demand reduces gradually, until in the new equilibrium it is equal zero. 67 Conclusion The combination of demand and supply determines the price of the goods (and services) available in the market. Prices are the signals (information) that address the allocation of (scarce) resources and ensure the achievement of the market equilibrium. 68 Next week We will start to look at some properties of demand and supply…. In particular, elasticity… 69