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Some Midterm Stats ● Average score: 77 out of 100 ● 6 (six) maximum scores ● Problems 3 and 4 were most challenging on average ● See the Answer Key published ● Go to recitation to get your MT1 back Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. Last Lecture Clean-up: Tax Policy Analysis Tax Policy Analysis ● Last time we considered the model of supply and demand ● It can be used to demonstrate the effects of taxation on both consumers and producers ● Today we will consider an example of how to measure the tax burden ● Assume a market for cigarettes Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. Tax Policy Analysis ● We assume demand is: P(Q) = 140 – 2Q ● And supply is: P(Q) = 20 + Q ♦ We call these inverse demand and inverse supply since usually think of quantity as function of price ● What is the equilibrium? ● What are CS, PS, TS? Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. Tax Policy Analysis ● Eqm: S = D, or 140 – 2Q = 20 + Q ● Solving for Q gives Q = 40, then P = 60 ● CS = (140 – 60) * 40 * ½ = 1600 ● PS = (60 – 20) * 40 * ½ = 800 ● So TS = 1600 + 1600 = 2400 ● Illustration: Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. FIGURE 1 Supply and Demand for Cigarettes P 140 S E 60 20 40 D Q 0 Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning rightsreserved. reserved. Copyright© 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. AllAll rights Tax Policy Analysis ● Suppose government wants to introduce a tax that induces people not to smoke ● Usually taxes are levied on producers – easier to collect ● So assume there is a tax of 12 per pack ♦ If uncomfortable with such high prices, think of other currency rather than dollars Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. Tax Policy Analysis ● Costs of producers stay the same ● So they translate tax into price one-for-one ♦ Had supply P(Q) = 20 + Q ♦ Now have P(Q) = (20 + Q) + 12 = 32 + Q ● New eqm: S = D, or 140 – 2Q = 32 + Q ● Solving for Q gives Q = 36, then P = 68 ● What changes in the picture? Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 2 Supply and Demand for Cigarettes, After Tax FIGURE P 140 S’ S E’ 68 E 60 32 20 36 40 D Q 0 Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning rightsreserved. reserved. Copyright© 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. AllAll rights Tax Policy Analysis ● We compute new CS and PS: ● CS = ½ * (140 – 68) * 36 = 1296 ● PS = ½ * (68 – 32) * 36 = 648 ● Now CS + PS ≠ TS, also have tax revenue of government ● Where is it on the picture? Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. FIGURE 6 Demand Curve for Milk P 140 Consumer tax burden S’ S E’ 68 E 60 56 32 Producer tax burden 36 40 20 D Q 0 Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning rightsreserved. reserved. Copyright© 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. AllAll rights Tax Policy Analysis ● Notice that both consumers and producers pay tax, what are the burdens? ● Total tax collected = 12 * 36 = 432 ♦ Consumers pay = (68 – 60) * 36 = 288 ♦ Producers pay = (60 – 56) * 36 = 144 ● Had CS = 1296, PS = 648 ● TS now is CS + PS + Tax Revenue = 1296 + 648 + 432 = 2376 Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. Tax Policy Analysis ● Before had TS = 2400 ● Now have TS = 2376 ● Difference is DWL of taxation ● Can compute it to check ourselves: ♦ DWL = (68 – 56 ) * (40 – 36) * ½ = 24 ♦ Note that 2400 – 2376 = 24, which confirms our calculations are correct Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. FIGURE 6 Demand Curve for Milk P 140 Consumer tax burden S’ S E’ 68 E 60 56 Dead Weight Loss 32 Producer tax burden 36 40 20 D Q 0 Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning rightsreserved. reserved. Copyright© 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. AllAll rights Tax Policy Analysis: Results ● By introducing taxes, government creates inefficiency (positive DWL) ● So for efficient outcomes it is best not to have any taxes at all ♦ But this is rarely possible in practice ● Some current research in economics tries to design taxes that minimize inefficiency ♦ That’s what our professor got Nobel Prize for! Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. The Firm and the Industry Under Perfect Competition Contents ● Perfect Competition Defined ● The Competitive Firm ● The Competitive Industry ● Perfect Competition and Economic Efficiency Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Perfect Competition Defined ● Four Principal Market Types ♦ Perfect competition ♦ Monopolistic competition ♦ Oligopoly ♦ Pure monopoly Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. Perfect Competition Defined ● Perfect competition ♦ Many small firms and customers ♦ Homogeneous product ♦ Free entry and exit ♦ Well-informed producers and consumers Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. The Competitive Firm ● Perfect competition ♦ Firm is a price taker. ♦ Price is set in the market. ♦ Firm is too small to affect the market. Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. The Competitive Firm ● The Firm’s Demand Curve under Perfect Competition ♦ Horizontal ♦ Can sell as much as it wants at the market price. Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 1: Demand Curve for a Firm under Perfect Competition FIGURE Price per Bushel in Chicago D A B C Industry supply curve E $3 $3 S Industry demand curve Jasmine’s demand curve S D 0 1 2 3 4 0 100 200 300 400 Truckloads of Corn Sold by Farmer Jasmine per Year Total Sales in Chicago in Thousands of Truckloads per Year (a) (b) Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. The Competitive Firm ● Short-Run Equilibrium for the Perfectly Competitive Firm ♦ Marginal revenue = price ♦ Profit-maximizing level of output we derived before: MR = MC Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 1: Revenues, Costs, and Profits of a Competitive Firm TABLE Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. The Competitive Firm ● D = MR = AR = P at all levels of output ♦ Since P isEquilibrium constant, AR = TR / Q = Short-Run =P*Q/Q=P ♦ MR = TR(Q+1) – TR(Q) = P (Q+1) – P Q = P ● D = MR = AR = P = MC at the equilibrium level of output Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. Computing Profit: An Equivalent Approach ● For single firm, D = AR = MR = P ● Short-Run Recall thatEquilibrium ATC(Q) = TC(Q) / Q ● Also recall that Profit = TR − TC ♦ Since TC(Q) = ATC(Q) * Q ♦ And since TR = P * Q ● Can write Profit = (P – ATC) * Q ● Will use this one a lot Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 2: Short-Run Equilibrium of the Perfectly Competitive Firm Revenue and Cost per Bushel FIGURE MC AC B $3.00 2.25 D = MR = AR A 1.50 0 50,000 Bushels of Corn per Year Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Short-Run Profit: Graphic Representation ● The MC = P condition does not show if the firm is making a profit or incurring a loss. ● Compare price (average revenue) with average cost to calculate profit or loss per unit. ● The profit-maximizing output may lead to a loss, but if so it is the minimum possible loss. Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 3: S-R Equilibrium of Competitive Firm w/Lower Price MC per Bushel Revenue and Cost FIGURE AC A $2.25 1.50 0 B D = MR = P 30,000 Bushels of Corn per Year Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Shutdown and Break-Even Analysis ● Rule 1: The firm will make a profit if total revenue (TR) > total cost (TC) ● Should not plan to shut down in either the short run or the long run. Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Shutdown and Breakeven Analysis ● Rule 2: Even if TR < TC, the firm should continue to operate in the short run as long as TR > TVC. ● If TR > TVC, the firm can at least pay some of its fixed costs. ● The firm should close in the long run if TR < TC. Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 2: The Shutdown Decision TABLE Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Shutdown and Breakeven Analysis ● The competitive firm will produce nothing unless price lies above the minimum point on the AVC curve. Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. FIGURE 4: Shutdown Analysis MC Price P3 P2 B A AC AVC P3 P2 P1 P1 0 Quantity Supplied Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. The Competitive Firm’s Short-run Supply Curve ● Horizontal individual supply curves market supply curve ● Since assume firms are identical – just replicate the individual supplies as many times as there are firms in the industry Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 5: Derivation of the Industry Supply Curve FIGURE e $3.00 c 2.25 s S Price per Bushel Price per Bushel s E $3.00 C 2.25 S 45 50 45 50 Quantity Supplied in Thousands of Bushels Quantity Supplied in Millions of Bushels (a) (b) Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. The Competitive Industry ● The Competitive Industry’s Short-Run Supply Curve ♦ A competitive industry has a stable equilibrium at the output where supply equals demand. ♦ The competitive industry (unlike the competitive firm) faces a downward sloping demand curve. Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 6: Supply-Demand Eqm. of a Competitive Industry FIGURE S Price per Bushel D $3.75 E 3.00 C 2.25 A D S 0 45 50 72 Quantity of Corn in Millions of Bushels Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. The Competitive Industry ● Industry Equilibrium in the Short Run ♦ Economic costs include opportunity costs, so zero economic profit means that firms are earning the normal, economy-wide rate of profit. ♦ Freedom of entry and exit guarantee this result in the long run under perfect competition. Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. The Competitive Industry ● Industry and Firm Equilibrium in the Long Run ♦ In the long run, firms enter or exit the industry in response to profits or losses. ♦ This shifts the supply curve and the price until profits are zero. ♦ In long-run, competitive equilibrium, P = MC = AC. Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 7: A Shift in the Industry Supply Curve FIGURE Price per Bushel (1,000 firms) S0 D E (1,600 firms) S1 F $3.00 A 2.25 S0 D S1 50 72 80 Quantity of Corn in Millions of Bushels Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 8: The Competitive Firm and the Competitive Industry FIGURE Firm Industry MC (1,000 firms) S0 e $3.00 2.25 a D0 D1 b 40 45 50 Quantity of Corn in Thousands of Bushels (a) Price per Bushel Price per Bushel AC D E $3.00 (1,600 firms) S1 A 2.25 S0 D S1 50 72 Quantity of Corn in Millions of Bushels (b) Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 9: L-R Equilibrium of the Competitive Firm and Industry FIGURE Firm Industry AC m $1.87 D2 Price per Bushel Price per Bushel MC D (2,075 firms) S2 M $1.87 S2 83 40 Quantity of Corn in Thousands of Bushels (a) D Quantity of Corn in Millions of Bushels (b) Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Perfect Competition and Economic Efficiency ● In the long run, competitive firms are driven to produce at the minimum point of their average cost curves. ● In this case, output is produced at the lowest possible cost to society. Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 3: Avg. Cost for the Firm and Total Cost for the Industry TABLE Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. ? Which is Better to Cut Pollution: Carrot or Stick? ● The analysis of perfect competition can be used to show that, if firms are offered a subsidy to reduce their polluting emissions, the industry is likely to increase its emissions, because of free entry. Copyright© 2006 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 11: Taxes vs. Subsidies as Incentives to Cut Pollution FIGURE T Price, Average Cost D X B E A S T D X S 0 Qb Qe Qa Output Copyright © 2006 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.