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Genetic Association Study Principles: Andrew C. Heath UNUSUAL EXAMPLE: Asian Studies of Japanese Alcoholics and Community Controls Work by Higuchi, Murumatsu and colleagues is documenting ways in which genes that influence alcohol metabolism may be associated with differences in alcohol dependence risk or alcohol consumption levels. (Higuchi et al., 1994, Lancet) (Murumatsu et al., 1996) Case-Control Study • Usually the most powerful design, but need to address possible ‘population stratification’ effects ALCOHOL METABOLISM Alcohol Dehydrogenase (ADH) ALCOHOL Aldehyde Dehydrogenase (ALDH) ACETALDEHYDE ACETATE Higuchi Data -- Japanese Alcoholics and Controls: ALDH2 locus Locus Genotype Controls (N=461) (%) Alcoholics (N=655) (%) ALDH2 *1 / *1 58 88 *1 / *2 35 12 *2 / *2 7 0 p < .001 (Higuchi, 1994) Higuchi -- Changes in ALDH2*1/*2 Frequency in Japanese Alcoholics ALDH2 1979 (N=400) 1986 (N=400) 1992 (N=500) *2 / *2 0.0 0.0 0.0 *1 / *2 2.5 8.0*** *1 / *1 97.5 92.0 13.0** 87.0 i.e. protective effect of a single *2 allele is being diminished (Higuchi, 1994) Higuchi Data -- Japanese Alcoholics and Controls: ADH1B locus (in those who are ALDH2*1/*1 homozygotes) Population Controls Alcoholics ADH1B *2 / *2 58.1% 35.8% *2 / *1 34.7% 33.7% *1 / *1 7.3% 30.4% From Higuchi’s community data, in individuals who are also ALDH2*1/*1 homozygotes, we may estimate the penetrance of the AHD1B*2/*2 genotype (the low risk genotype) as ~0.07, that of the high risk ADH1B*1/*1 genotype as ~0.29. Higuchi Data -- Genetic effects on alcohol consumption levels in a community sample Average monthly alcohol consumption (ml pure alcohol) Genotype MEN WOMEN ALDH2*1/*1 1054.7 104.9 ALDH2*1/*2 390.9 46.6 ALDH2*2/*2 94.1 3.3 From other data, we can estimate that approximately one-third of the variance in alcohol consumption levels in Japanese males is explained by this genetic locus. (Higuchi et al., 1996b) • Conclusion: there are genes with powerful effects on behavioral traits waiting to be discovered! FREQUENCIES OF GENES INFLUENCING ALCOHOL METABOLISM Locus High Risk Allele Japanese Ancestry European Ancestry ALDH2 ALDH2*1 76% 100% ADH1B ADH1B*1 25% 95% ADH1C ADH1C*2 6% 45% NOTE: Predicted magnitude of effects is ALDH2*1 >> ADH1B*1 >> ADH1C*2. Table 2. Lifetime DSM-III-R Alcohol Dependence by ADH1B (“ADH2”) Type: Australian twin panel ADH2*11 ADH2*12 Male affected 36 1 Male unaffected 101 18 Female affected 24 3 Female unaffected 144 7 Whitfield et al., 1998 But how do we know this is THE gene? Population Genetics of ADH gene region • See Kidd paper (Osier et al., Am J Hum Genet 71:84-99, 2002) • ADH1B “2” allele is occurring on different haplotypes: - East Asian (also ADH1C “1” allele); - Middle Eastern, Ethiopian (also ADH1C “1” allele), rare in N. American European Ancestry (< 5% haplotype frequency). Population Genetics of ADH gene region (II) • ADH1B “3” allele is mainly seen in African American, sub-saharan African populations, but at low frequency (6/1000) in N. Americans of European ancestry • ADH1C “2” allele in European ancestry cases occurs on two different haplotypes, the higher frequency haplotype (30%) being rare in East Asians (< 2%), the other occurring at a lower frequency in Europeans (7-15%) except Finns (30%) and seen at slightly higher rate in East Asians (3-10%). POPULATION STRATIFICATION Hypothetical Example SWEDISH ANCESTRY (N=200) NOT ROMAN CATHOLIC 162 NOT A1 allele 18 A1 allele 90% ROMAN CATHOLIC 18 90% 2 10% 10% NO ASSOCIATION IRISH ANCESTRY (N=200) NOT ROMAN ROMAN CATHOLIC CATHOLIC 35 105 70% 15 45 30% 25% 75% NO ASSOCIATION MINGLED IN U.S. POPULATION (N=400) NOT ROMAN CATHOLIC NOT A1 allele 197 A1 allele 33 ROMAN CATHOLIC 123 47 OR = 2.28, 95%CI 1.39 - 3.73 Falsely infer that A1 allele is risk-factor for Roman Catholicism. HOW DO WE HANDLE POPULATION STRATIFICATION? SOLUTION 1: Make comparisons within (full) sibships, i.e. of siblings who share the same biological mother and father ( same ancestry). 5 DZ twin pairs where one twin was ADH2*1/*1 second twin was ADH2*1/*2 In all 5 pairs, *1/*1 had higher consumption (p = .03) (Whitfield et al., 1998) POPULATION STRATIFICATION SOLUTION 2 TRANSMISSION DISEQUILIBRIUM TEST Genetic marker data collected on affected (e.g. alcohol dependent) individuals and both their biologic parents. For heterozygous parents, compare frequency of transmitted allele (i.e. passed from a parent to the affected individual) and nontransmitted allele. TRANSMISSION DISEQUILIBRIUM TEST CONSISTENT WITH PREDICTION AGAINST PREDICTION MOTHER FATHER MOTHER FATHER ADH2*1 / *2 ADH2*1 / *1 ADH2*1 / *2 ADH2*1 / *1 ADH2*1 / *1 ADH2*2 / *1 ALCOHOLIC ALCOHOLIC TRANSMISSION-DISEQUILIBRIUM TEST: A Medical Genetic Example Ataxia-Telangiecstasia (AT) in Costa Rica Transmission Pattern 1 3 4 5 7 Allele 8 10 Transmitted 3 0 22 0 1 0 Not Transmitted 0 4 0 4 3 4 11 20 21 0 0 0 2 1 1 2 9 2 = 92.91, highly significant by permutation test (Lange, 1997) Population stratification: solution 3: Genomic Control methods