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Genetic identity and Kinship Genetic Identity G1 and G2 are identical by descent (i.b.d) if they are physical copies of the same ancestor, or one of the other. G1 and G2 are identical by state (i.b.s) if they represent the same allele. The kinship between two relatives fij is the probability that random gene from autosomal loci in I and j are i.b.d. The interbreeding coefficient is the probability that his or her two genes from autosomal loci are i.b.d. Mutation occurred once •Every mutation creates a new allele •Identity in state = identity by descent (IBD) A1A1 A1A2 A1A1 A1A2 A1A2 A2A2 The same mutation arises independently A1A1 A1A2 A1A2 A1A1 A1A1 A1A2 A1A2 A2A2 A1A2 A1A2 A2A2 A2 A2 IBD A2 A2 IBD A2 A2 alike in state (AIS) not identical by descent A1A1 Identity by descent A - B C - D | | P Q | X Let fAC be the coancestry of A with C etc., i.e. the probability of 2 gametes taken at random, 1 from A and one from B, being IBD. Probability of taking two gametes, 1 from P and one from Q, as IBD, FX 1 1 1 1 FX f PQ f AD f AC f BC f BD 4 4 4 4 Identity by descent Example, imagine a full-sib mating A - B / \ P - Q | X Indv. X has 2 alleles, what is the probability of IBD? 1 1 1 1 FX f PQ f AD f AC f BC f BD 4 4 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 2 f AB f AA f BB 0 4 4 2 2 4 Identity by descent Example, imagine a half-sib mating A - B - C | | P - Q | X 1 1 1 1 FX fPQ fAD fAC fBC fBD 4 4 4 4 1 1 1 1 2 fAB fAC fBC fBB 0 0 0 4 4 2 8 Kinship and Interbreeding fii=0.5(1+fi) fi=fkl, where k and l are the parents of i. If fi>0 then i is said to be inbred. The question is how to compute kinship, given a pedigree. Let us look for example at brothers and sisters: Pedigree Let us compute the kinship coefficients for all member of this pedigree. We assume that 1 and 2 are not inbred and unrelated, we start counting from the oldest generation. We will develop an algorithm to compute fij for all members of this pedigree. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Kinship coefficient algorithm 1 3 2 4 1 2 1 1/2 0 2 0 1/2 3 5 6 4 5 6 3 4 5 6 Kinship coefficient algorithm II 1 3 2 4 1 2 1 1/2 0 2 0 1/2 3 5 6 4 5 6 3 4 5 6 Kinship coefficient algorithm III 1 3 5 1 2 1 1/2 0 2 0 1/2 2 3 4 4 6 3 4 If i originates 5 from k and l Fii= ½+ Fkl 6 1/2 1/2 5 6 Kinship coefficient algorithm III 1 3 5 1 2 3 4 1 ½ 0 ¼ ¼ 2 0 ½ ¼ ¼ 3 ¼ ¼ ½ ¼ 4 ¼ ¼ ¼ ½ 2 4 6 If i originates from k and l Fij= Fji = ½(Fjk + Fjl) 5 6 5 6 Kinship coefficient algorithm IV 1 3 5 1 2 3 4 1 ½ 0 ¼ ¼ 2 0 ½ ¼ ¼ 3 ¼ ¼ ½ ¼ 4 ¼ ¼ ¼ ½ 2 4 6 One can now reapply the algorithm on the next generation 5 6 5 6 Kinship coefficient algorithm V 1 3 5 The final result is: 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 ½ 0 ¼ ¼ ¼ ¼ 2 0 ½ ¼ ¼ ¼ ¼ 3 ¼ ¼ ½ ¼ 3/8 3/8 4 ¼ ¼ ¼ ½ 3/8 3/8 5 ¼ ¼ 3/8 3/8 5/8 3/8 6 ¼ ¼ 3/8 3/8 3/8 5/8 2 4 6 Identity coefficients: We can now summarize the kinship coefficient of some basic family relations: Relation f Parent-Offspring ¼ Half Sibling 1/8 Full Sibling ¼ First Cousins 1/16 Double First Cousins 1/8 Second Cousins 1/64 Uncle-Nephew 1/8 Detailed Identity States – I Allele 1 I J Allele 2 Detailed Identity States – I I Detailed Identity States – I I I Summary Many of these relations are redundant. If I is not inbred 1,2,3 and 4 will be zero. One can define kinship in a condensed mater, if we can interchange the maternal and paternal genes. Condensed Identity States Condensed Identity States S3=S*2S*2 S5=S*4S*5 S7=S*9S*12 S8=S*10S*11 S*13S*14 Condensed Identity States II D1 ,D2 ,D3 ,D4 are 0, when i is not inbred. D1 ,D2 ,D5 ,D6 are 0, when j is not inbred. D1 ,D3 ,D5 ,D7 and D8 are 0, when i and j are unrelated. Fji=D1+1/2( D3 D5 D7)+1/4 D8 D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 Kinship and identity coefficients Relation Parent-Offspring Half Sibling Full Sibling First Cousins Double First Cousins Second Cousins Uncle-Nephew D7 D8 D9 0 1 0 0 ½ ½ 1/4 ½ ¼ 0 ¼ ¾ 1/16 6/16 9/16 0 1/16 15/16 0 ½ ½ f ¼ 1/8 ¼ 1/16 1/8 1/64 1/8 Genotype prediction. What is the probability that i has a given genotype, given the genotype of j ? For example, If my uncle has a genetic disease, what is the probability that I will also have it? What are the probabilities of brothers from inbred parents to be homozygous for a disease causing gene? …… Genotype prediction. If I is heterozygous, with an inbreeding coefficient fi 9 Pr( j m / n | i k / l ) Pr( j m / n | S r , i k / l ) r 1 * Pr( S r | i k / l ) 0 r4 Pr( S r , i k / l ) D 2 p p Pr( S r | i k / l ) r k l r4 Pr(i k / l ) (1 f i )2 pk pl r4 0 Dr r4 (1 f i ) Genotype prediction II If I is homozygous, with an inbreeding coefficient fi D r pk Pr( S r , i k / k ) f i pk (1 f i ) pk2 Pr( S r | i k / k ) 2 D p Pr(i k / k ) r k f i pk (1 f i ) pk2 Dr r4 f (1 f ) p i k i 2 D r pk r4 f i (1 f i ) pk r4 r4 Genotype prediction III Pr( j m / n | S r , i k / l ) j i S 1,7 S 2,4,6,9 j is independen t of i j shares one gene with i S 3,8 S 5 j is either k/k or l/l When j is independent of i, it only follows the H,W equilibrium. When j is equivalent to i, the probability is one if m/n=k/l and zero otherwise. When j shares one allele with I, m/n and k/l must overlap with one allele and the other one has H.W distribution. Example What is the blood type of non-inbred siblings? 1 Pr( j A / B | i A / B) Pr( j A / B | S 7 , i A / B) 4 1 1 Pr( j A / B | S8 , i A / B) Pr( j A / B | S9 , i A / B) 2 4 1 1 1 1 1 *1 ( p A pB ) 2 p A pB 4 2 2 2 4 Example I What is the blood type of non-inbred siblings? Pr( j A | i O / O) Pr( j A / O | i O / O) Pr( j A / A | i O / O) 1 Pr( j A / O | S 7 , i O / O) 4 1 1 Pr( j A / O | S8 , i O / O) Pr( j A / O | S 9 , i O / O ) 2 4 ....................... 1 1 1 2 1 1 * 0 * 0 2 p A p A 2 p A po 4 2 4 2 4 Risk Ratios and Genetic Model Discrimination. Let us assume that each person in the population is assigned a factor of X=1 if he/she is affected by a condition and X=0 otherwise. The Prevalence of the condition is K=E(X). Given two non-inbred relatives i and j and given that i is affected, what is the probability that J is affected? KR=P(Xj=1|Xi=1( P(Xj=1,Xi=1) = P(Xj=1|Xi=1(P(Xi=1) = KRK = E(XiXj) Risk Ratios and Genetic Model Discrimination. P(Xj=1|Xi=1) = E(XiXj)/K = (cov(Xi,Xj)+K2)/K = cov(Xi,Xj)/K+K This result simply represents the fact that the extra risk for j results from the covariance of X between i and j. The risk ratio can thus be defined as: lR= cov(Xi,Xj)/K2 Let us compute this covariance, and following it the risk ratio. Covariance In a more general way, let us assume that i and j are non-inbred relatives. The covariance between their genes is defined only by condensed identity states 7,8 and 9 D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 Covariance Let us assume that a given property is defined by a single gene with multiple alleles. E ( X ) kl pk pl k l For the sake of simplicity let us normalize E(x)=0, and divide: kl k l kl ; k pk 0 k k kl pk 0 Covariance E ( X i X j ) mn kl p (m, n | k , l ) pk pl k l m n D 7 ij ( k l kl ) 2 pk pl D 8ij ( k l kl )( k m km ) pk pl pm k l k l k l m D 9ij ( k l kl )( m n mn ) pk pl pm pn m n 2 2 2 D 7 ij 2 k pk kl pk pl D 8ij 2 k pk l k k k 1 1 2 2 2 D 7 ij D 8ij 2 k pk D 7 ij kl pk pl 4 k 2 l k 2fij a2 D 7 ij d2 Risk Ratio R Relative Type Risk Ratio M Identical Twin a2/K2 +d2/K2 S Sibling a2/2K2 +d2/4K2 1 First Degree a2/2K2 2 Second Degree a2/4K2 3 Third Degree a2/8K2 Summary Concepts Kinship coefficient. Inbreeding coefficient Identity states Condensed identity states Identity coefficients Genotype prediction