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Journal Club Alcohol, Other Drugs, and Health: Current Evidence January–February 2015 www.aodhealth.org 1 Featured Article Association of opioid agonist therapy with lower incidence of hepatitis C virus infection in young adult injection drug users Tsui JI, et al. JAMA Intern Med. 2014;174:1974–1981. www.aodhealth.org 2 Study Objective • To determine whether opioid agonist therapy (OAT) was associated with a lower incidence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection among a population of young people (<30 years) with injection drug use (IDU). www.aodhealth.org 3 Study Design • Observational cohort study of 552 young people with IDU and without HCV infection at baseline, 2000-2013. – Quarterly interviews and blood sampling. www.aodhealth.org 4 Assessing Validity of an Article about Prognosis • Are the results valid? • What are the results? • How can I apply the results to patient care? www.aodhealth.org 5 Are the Results Valid? • Was the sample representative? • Were the subjects sufficiently homogeneous with respect to prognostic risk? • Was follow-up sufficiently complete? • Were objective and unbiased outcome criteria used? www.aodhealth.org 6 Was the sample representative? All subjects in this study were… • under 30 years of age • had IDU • were negative for anti-HCV antibody and/or HCV RNA at baseline • Exposures: “Substance use treatment within the past 3 months, including non-opioid agonist forms of treatment, opioid agonist (methadone hydrochloride or buprenorphine hydrochloride) detoxification or maintenance therapy, or no treatment.” www.aodhealth.org 7 Were the subjects sufficiently homogeneous with respect to prognostic risk? • Yes. – Participants were under 30 years of age and had IDU in the past month – 33% had daily IDU in the past month – 4% had HIV at baseline – 78% had used needle exchange in the past month – 82% had never had any kind of treatment for drug use www.aodhealth.org 8 Was follow-up sufficiently complete? • The study was conducted over 13 years for a total of 690 person-years. www.aodhealth.org 9 Were objective and unbiased outcome criteria used? • Yes – Primary outcome was incident HCV infection – All subjects were tested quarterly www.aodhealth.org 10 What Are the Results? • How likely are the outcomes over time? • How precise are the estimates of likelihood? www.aodhealth.org 11 How likely are the outcomes over time? • Over the course of the study, 171 incident cases of HCV infection occurred (incidence rate, 25.1 [95% CI, 21.6-29.2] per 100 person-years). • After adjustment, opioid agonist therapy was associated with lower relative hazards for acquiring HCV infection over time (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.39 [95% CI, 0.18-0.87]; P = .02). www.aodhealth.org 12 How precise are the estimates of likelihood? • The confidence intervals were narrow. – AHR for incident HCV infection among people who had OAT: 0.39 (0.18-0.87, 95% CI), P = 0.02 www.aodhealth.org 13 How Can I Apply the Results to Patient Care? • Were the study patients and their management similar to those in my practice? • Was follow-up sufficiently long? • Can I use the results in the management of patients in my practice? www.aodhealth.org 14 Were the study patients similar to those in my practice? • The inclusion criteria were broad, although restricted to young individuals with injection drug use. www.aodhealth.org 15 Was follow-up sufficiently long? • Yes. The study period was 13 years. www.aodhealth.org 16 Can I use the results in the management of patients in my practice? • Yes. This study shows that HCV is still a common hazard for people with IDU and confirms prior observations that OAT reduces the risk of acquiring this infection. www.aodhealth.org 17