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Chapter 23 Aggregate Demand and Supply Analysis Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Aggregate Demand • The relationship between the quantity of aggregate output demanded and the price level when all other variables are held constant. • Aggregate demand is made up of four component parts Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-2 Aggregate Demand (cont’d) Y ad C I G NX The aggregate demand curve is downward sloping because P M / P i I Y ad and P M / P i E NX Y ad Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-3 FIGURE 1 Shifts in the Aggregate Demand Curve Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-4 Aggregate Demand (cont’d) • The fact that the aggregate demand curve is downward sloping can also be derived from the quantity theory of money analysis. • If velocity stays constant, a constant money supply implies constant nominal aggregate spending, and a decrease in the price level is matched with an increase in aggregate demand. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-5 Factors that Shift Aggregate Demand • An increase in the money supply shifts AD to the right: holding velocity constant, an increase in the money supply increases the quantity of aggregate demand at each price level • An increase in spending from any of the components C, I, G, NX, will also shift AD to the right Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-6 Summary Table 1 Factors That Shift the Aggregate Demand Curve Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-7 Aggregate Supply • Long-run aggregate supply curve – Determined by amount of capital and labor and the available technology – Vertical at the natural rate of output generated by the natural rate of unemployment • Short-run aggregate supply curve – Wages and prices are sticky – Generates an upward sloping SRAS as firms attempt to take advantage of short-run profitability when price level rises Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-8 FIGURE 2 Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-9 FIGURE 3 Aggregate Supply Curve in the Short Run Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-10 Factors that Shift SRAS • Costs of production – – – – Tightness of the labor market Expected price level Wage push Change in production costs unrelated to wages (supply shocks) Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-11 Summary Table 2 Factors That Shift the Short-Run Aggregate Supply Curve Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-12 FIGURE 4 Equilibrium in the Short Run Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-13 FIGURE 5 Adjustment to Long-Run Equilibrium in Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-14 Self-Correcting Mechanism • Regardless of where output is initially, it returns eventually to the natural rate • Slow – Wages are inflexible, particularly downward – Need for active government policy • Rapid – Wages and prices are flexible – Less need for government intervention Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-15 FIGURE 6 Response of Output and the Price Level to a Shift in the Aggregate Demand Curve Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-16 FIGURE 7 Response of Output and the Price Level to a Shift in Short-Run Aggregate Supply Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-17 Shifts in Long-Run Aggregate Supply • Economic growth • Real business cycle theory – Real supply shocks drive short-run fluctuations in the natural rate of output (shifts of LRAS) – No need for government intervention • Hysteresis – Departure from full employment levels as a result of past high unemployment – Natural rate of unemployment shifts upward and natural rate of output falls below full employment – Expansionary policy needed to shift aggregate demand Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-18 Conclusions • Shift in aggregate demand affects output only in the short run and has no effect in the long run • Shifts in aggregate demand affects only price level in the long run • Shift in short run aggregate supply affects output and price only in the short run and has no effect in the long run (holding the aggregate demand constant) • The economy has a self-correcting mechanism Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-19 Table 3 Unemployment and Inflation During the Vietnam War Buildup, 1964–1970 Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-20 Table 4 Unemployment and Inflation During the Negative Supply Shocks Periods, 1973–1975 and 1978–1980 Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-21 Table 5 Unemployment and Inflation During the Favorable Supply Shocks Period, 1995–1999 Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-22 Table 6 Unemployment and Inflation During the Negative Demand Shocks Period, 2000–2004 Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-23 Table 7 Unemployment and Inflation During the Perfect Storm of 2007–2008 Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 23-24