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Short-Run Equilibrium for an Open Economy: Putting the DD and AA Schedules Together Figure 16-9: How the Economy Reaches Its Short-Run Equilibrium Exchange Rate, E DD E2 E3 2 3 1 E1 AA Y1 Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Output, Y Slide 16-1 學習經濟模型五步驟 模型目的。 內生變數:決定模型兩軸。 行為法則:畫出模型曲線。 均衡:決定均衡之內生變數。 外生衝擊 • 判斷是否為外生變數改變? • 判斷此外生變數之改變將影響哪些行為法則? • 判斷此外生變數之改變造成行為法則何種影響? Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 16-2 Temporary Changes in Monetary and Fiscal Policy Two types of government policy: • Monetary policy – It works through changes in the money supply. • Fiscal policy – It works through changes in government spending or taxes. • Temporary policy shifts are those that the public expects to be reversed in the near future and do not affect the long-run expected exchange rate. • Assume that policy shifts do not influence the foreign interest rate and the foreign price level. Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 16-3 Temporary Changes in Monetary and Fiscal Policy Figure 16-10: Effects of a Temporary Increase in the Money Supply Exchange Rate, E DD 3 說明 E3 2 E2 1 E1 AA2 AA1 Y1 Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Y2 Output, Y Slide 16-4 Temporary Changes in Monetary and Fiscal Policy Figure 16-10: Effects of a Temporary Increase in the Money Supply Exchange Rate, E DD 3 說明 E3 2 E2 1 E1 AA2 AA1 Y1 Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Y2 Output, Y Slide 16-6 Temporary Changes in Monetary and Fiscal Policy Monetary Policy • An increase in money supply (i.e., expansionary monetary policy) raises the economy’s output. – The increase in money supply creates an excess supply of money, which lowers the home interest rate. – As a result, the domestic currency must depreciate (i.e., home products become cheaper relative to foreign products) and aggregate demand increases. Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 16-7 Temporary Changes in Monetary and Fiscal Policy Figure 16-11: Effects of a Temporary Fiscal Expansion Exchange Rate, E DD1 DD2 1 3 E1 說明 2 E2 AA Y1 Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Y2 Output, Y Slide 16-8 Temporary Changes in Monetary and Fiscal Policy Figure 16-11: Effects of a Temporary Fiscal Expansion Exchange Rate, E DD1 DD2 1 3 E1 說明 2 E2 AA Y1 Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Y2 Output, Y Slide 16-10 Temporary Changes in Monetary and Fiscal Policy Fiscal Policy • An increase in government spending, a cut in taxes, or some combination of the two (i.e, expansionary fiscal policy) raises output. – The increase in output raises the transactions demand for real money holdings, which in turn increases the home interest rate. – As a result, the domestic currency must appreciate. Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 16-11 Temporary Changes in Monetary and Fiscal Policy Policies to Maintain Full Employment • Temporary disturbances that lead to recession can be offset through expansionary monetary or fiscal policies. – Temporary disturbances that lead to overemployment can be offset through contractionary monetary or fiscal policies. Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 16-12 Temporary Changes in Monetary and Fiscal Policy Figure 16-12: Maintaining Full Employment After a Temporary Fall in World Demand for Domestic Products Exchange Rate, E DD2 G (T ) DD1 2 E2 1 E1 AA1 Y2 Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Yf Output, Y Slide 16-13 Temporary Changes in Monetary and Fiscal Policy Figure 16-12: Maintaining Full Employment After a Temporary Fall in World Demand for Domestic Products Exchange Rate, E DD2 DD1 E3 3 2 E2 AA2 1 E1 MS AA1 Y2 Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Yf Output, Y Slide 16-14 Temporary Changes in Monetary and Fiscal Policy Figure 16-13: Policies to Maintain Full Employment After a Money-Demand Increase Exchange Rate, E DD1 E1 1 2 E2 AA1 MS AA2 Y2 Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Yf Output, Y Slide 16-15 Temporary Changes in Monetary and Fiscal Policy Figure 16-13: Policies to Maintain Full Employment After a Money-Demand Increase Exchange Rate, E DD1 DD2 G (T ) E1 1 2 E2 AA1 3 E3 AA2 Y2 Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Yf Output, Y Slide 16-16