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Government Budget Do Deficits & Debt Matter? Federal Gov’t Taxes • Federal Income Tax – Progressive Tax: tax rate increases as income increases • Social Security Tax– 6.2% of salary on first $110,000 income – Why: Gov’t pension starting at 65 (or older) • Medicare Tax – 1.45% of entire salary – Why: Gov’t health insurance starting at 65 Federal Income Tax • Progressive Income Tax As income Federal Marginal Tax Rate Single Person 10% $0 – $8,925 15% $8,926 – $36,250 25% $36,251 – $87,850 28% $87,851 – $183,250 33% $183,251 – $398,350 35% $398,351 – $400,000 39.6% % Tax Rate $400,001+ 2013 TAX BRACKETS The Government Budget Government Revenue Taxes Government Spending All Gov’t Expenses 2014 Budget Summary • Spending: $3.651 Trillion dollars • Revenue $3,002Trillion (from taxes) • Deficit: $649 Billion • Debt: $17.9 Trillion Government Spending • • • • • • • • • Social Security Medicare Medicaid Interest on Debt Defense Spending Homeland Security Education Other Total 22.0% 14.0% 7.0% 6.0% 18.0% 1.0% 2.0% 26.0 100.0% 43% of Budget 24% of Budget THANK YOU! US Demographics • America’s population is aging – smaller young (echoboomer) generation – Babyboomers beginning to retire – By 2040 1 in 4 Americans will be over 65 • Average life span has risen – 77 years men, 81 years women – why: advances in medical technology, nutrition, etc… • This FACT ensures that entitlement spending will increase a rapidly growing rate Entitlement Spending • Includes- Social Security, Medicare & Medicaid – Citizens are “entitled” to benefits at 65 years of age • Largest part of Government budget – Consumes approximately 40% of budget in 2011! • Projected to 60%-70% by 2040! Not Enough Workers? • The ratio of workers to retirees is falling – This means less money coming in => more going out Wake-Up Call Video http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/03/01/60minutes/main2528226.shtml Deficit & Debt relative to GDP • Current Deficit = $649 Billion • Current Debt = $17.9 Trillion • Current GDP = $17.0 Trillion • Deficit as % of GDP = 3.8% of GDP – Highest since World War II – Recent high (1983) 6% of GDP • Debt as % of GDP =105.0% of GDP – Highest ever (1946) was 120% of GDP (2014 numbers) NATIONAL DEBT AS % OF GDP Debt: 17.9 Trillion . GDP 17.0 Trillion 105 % GDP Growth of Entitlements 1964 . 27% 30% 33% . 1984 2004* 20% 33% 46% 21% 7% 13% 14% 21% 9% Defense Social Security Net interest All other spending *Current services estimate. Source: Budget of the United States Government, FY 2005, Office of Management and Budget. 7% 19% Medicare & Medicaid Entitlement Reform? . Balancing the Budget? “The only real question” is whether adjustments to taxes and spending will come from a “careful and deliberative process” or from a “rapid and painful response to a looming or actual fiscal crisis,” Ben Bernanke 2010 Changing Entitlements Social Security, Medicare & Medicaid Social Security Medicare $470 Billion spent per year $50 Billion stolen? Medicare Fraud Video U.S. Debt in Comparison • Japan: 190% of GDP (1970: 10% of GDP) – $56,000 per person • France 80% of GDP – Deficit 7.5% of GDP • Italy 115% of GDP – Deficit 8.0% of GDP • European Union (EU) debt limit of 60% – Deficit limit: 3.0% of GDP Debt as a % of GDP .