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Transcript
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
End Show
6-1
6
Measuring
Domestic Output
and National
Income
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
Chapter Objectives
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
End Show
6-2
• How GDP is Defined and
Measured
• Relationships Between GDP,
Net Domestic Product, National
Income, Personal Income, and
Disposable Income
• The Nature and Function of a
GDP Price Index
• The Difference Between
Nominal GDP and Real GDP
• Some Limitations of the GDP
Measure
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
Assessing Economy’s Performance
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
• National Income Accounting
• Bureau of Economic Analysis
• Gross Domestic Product
(GDP)
– A Monetary Measure
– Avoid Multiple Counting
• Intermediate Goods
• Final Goods
• Value Added
– Exclude Nonproduction
Transactions
Key Terms
End Show
6-3
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
Assessing Economy’s Performance
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
• Financial Transactions
Excluded
–Public Transfer
Payments
–Private Transfer
Payments
–Stock (and Bond) Market
Transactions
• Second Hand Sales
End Show
6-4
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
Two Approaches to GDP
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
End Show
6-5
• Income Approach
–Wages
–Rental Incomes
–Interest Incomes
–Profits
• Expenditure Approach
–Final-Product or ValueAdded
–The Sum of the Money
Spent to Buy the Output
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
Two Approaches to GDP
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
Expenditure
Approach
Income
Approach
Consumption by
Households
Wages
Investment by
Businesses
Rents
+
+
Government
Purchases
+
Expenditures
By Foreigners
End Show
6-6
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
G
= D=
P
+
+
+
+
Interest
Profits
Statistical
Adjustments
Expenditure Approach
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
Personal Consumption Expenditures C
• Durable Consumer Goods
• Nondurable Consumer Goods
• Consumer Expenditures for
Services
Gross Private Domestic Investment Ig
• Machinery, Equipment, and Tools
• All Construction
• Changes in Inventories
• Noninvestment Transactions
End Show
6-7
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
Expenditure Approach
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Gross Investment
Depreciation
= Net Investment
-
Gross
Investment
Net
Investment
Depreciation
Increased
Stock of
Capital
Consumption
& Government
Spending
Stock of
Capital
January 1
Year’s GDP
December 31
Key Terms
End Show
6-8
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
Expenditure Approach
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
End Show
6-9
G
Government Purchases
• Expenditures for Goods and
Services
• Expenditures for Social
Capital
Net Exports
Xn
Xn = Exports (X) – Imports (M)
Putting It All Together:
GDP = C + I + G + Xn
GDP= $8,746 + 2,105 + 2,363 - 727 = $12,487
in 2005
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
GDP Approaches Compared
Accounting Statement for the U.S. Economy, 2005
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
in Billions
Receipts
Expenditures Approach
Allocations
Income Approach
Personal Consumption (C) $ 8746 Compensation
Gross Private Domestic
Rents
$ 7125
73
Investment (Ig)
2105 Interest
498
Government Purchases (G)
2363 Proprietor’s Income
939
Net Exports (Xn)
-727 Corporate Profits
Taxes on Production and
1352
917
Imports
National Income
Net Foreign Factor Income
Statistical Discrepancy
$10,904
-34
43
Consumption of Fixed
Key Terms
Capital
End Show
Gross Domestic Product $ 12,487 Gross Domestic Product
6-10
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
1574
$ 12,487
Comparative GDPs
GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
End Show
Select Nations GDPs - 2005
GDP in Trillions of Dollars
0
United States
Japan
Germany
China
United Kingdom
France
Italy
Spain
Canada
Brazil
Korea, Rep.
India
Mexico
Russian Fed.
Australia
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
12
$12.4
$4.5
$2.8
$2.2
$2.2
$2.1
$1.7
$1.1
$1.1
$.79
$.79
$.78
$.77
$.76
$.70
Source: World Bank
6-11
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
The Income Approach
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
End Show
6-12
•
•
•
•
•
Compensation of Employees
Rents
Interest
Proprietor’s Income
Corporate Profits
– Corporate Income Taxes
– Dividends
– Undistributed Corporate Profits
– Taxes on Production and
Imports
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
The Income Approach
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
End Show
6-13
• From National Income to GDP
– Net Foreign Factor Income
– Statistical Discrepancy
– Consumption of Fixed Capital
• Other National Accounts
– Net Domestic Product (NDP)
– National Income (NI)
– Personal Income (PI)
– Disposable Income (DI)
DI = C + S
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
W 6.1
The Income Approach
Income Relationships – United States, 2005
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
End Show
6-14
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Consumption of Fixed Capital
Net Domestic Profit (NDP)
Statistical Discrepancy
Net Foreign Factor Income
National Income (NI)
Taxes on Production and Imports
Social Security Contributions
Corporate Income Taxes
Undistributed Corporate Profits
Transfer Payments
Personal Income (PI)
Personal Taxes
Disposable Income (DI)
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
$ 12,487
-1,574
$ 10,913
-43
34
$ 10,904
-917
-871
-378
-460
+1,970
$ 10,248
-1,210
$ 9,038
Circular Flow Revisited
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
U.S. Domestic Output and the
Flows of Expenditure and Income
Key Terms
End Show
6-15
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
Nominal Versus Real GDP
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
• Nominal GDP
• Real GDP
• Price Index
• GDP Price Index
Price
Index
In Given
Year
Real
GDP
Key Terms
End Show
6-16
=
Price of Market Basket
In Specific Year
Price of Same Basket
In Base Year
=
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
W 6.2
O 6.1
x 100
Nominal GDP
Price Index (in hundredths)
Shortcomings of GDP
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
End Show
6-17
•
•
•
•
•
•
Nonmarket Activities
Leisure
Improved Product Quality
The Underground Economy
GDP and the Environment
Composition and Distribution
of the Output
• Noneconomic Sources of
Well-Being
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
Shortcomings of GDP
GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
End Show
6-18
Underground Economy as a Percentage
of GDP - Select Nations
Percentage of GDP
0
Greece
Italy
Spain
Portugal
Belgium
Sweden
Germany
France
Holland
United Kingdom
Japan
United States
Switzerland
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
5
10
15
20
25
30
Source: Journal of Economic Literature
Magical Mystery Tour
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
End Show
6-19
BEA Sources of Data for Analysis
• Consumption
– Census Bureau’s Retail Trade Survey
– Census Bureau’s Survey of Manufacturers
– Census Bureau’s Service Survey
• Investment
–
–
–
–
–
All Consumption Data Sources
Survey of Manufacturers
Service Survey
Industry Sources
Census Bureau’s Housing Starts Survey
and Housing Sales Survey
– Retail Trade Survey
– Wholesale Trade Survey
– Survey of Manufacturing
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
Magical Mystery Tour
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
• Government Purchases
– Office of Personnel Management
– Construction Surveys
– Census Bureau’s Survey of
Government Finance
• Net Exports
– U.S. Customs Service
– BEA Surveys and Analysis
Key Terms
End Show
6-20
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
Key Terms
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Key Terms
End Show
6-21
• national income
accounting
• gross domestic
product
• intermediate goods
• final goods
• multiple counting
• value added
• expenditures approach
• income approach
• personal consumption
expenditures (C)
• gross private domestic
investment (Ig)
• net private domestic
investment
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies
• government purchases
• net exports (Xn)
• taxes on production
and imports
• national income
• consumption of fixed
capital
• net domestic product
(NDP)
• personal income (PI)
• disposable income (DI)
• nominal GDP
• real GDP
• price index
Next Chapter Preview…
Assessing the
Economy’s
Performance
Two
Approaches to
GDP
Expenditure
Approach
GDP
Approaches
Compared
Income
Approach
Nominal vs.
Real GDP
Shortcomings
of GDP
Last Word
Introduction to
Economic Growth,
Unemployment,
and Inflation
Key Terms
End Show
6-22
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies