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The BIG Picture GDP : Gross Domestic Product Textbook – pages 216-228 What is GDP? Total market value of a nation’s final output of goods and services Why do we use GDP? It helps measure the wellbeing of a country’s economy What length of time is GDP calculated? 1 Year – 4 business quarters 1st quarter – January to March 2nd quarter – April to June 3rd quarter – July to September 4th quarter – October to December Calculating GDP Expenditure Approach – Total spending for new goods and services produced in a year. – Four categories for spending Consumer Spending Business Investments Government Spending Net Foreign Spending (difference between exports and imports) Consumer Spending Total spending on all durable goods, nondurable goods, and services Toothpicks to Homes – Nondurable = do not last a long time, consumed as soon as purchased, ex: food – Durable = last for a long time, used over again, ex: cars, homes, appliances Biggest part of GDP; takes up about 2/3 Business Investments The physical investment in capital (imputs) to make business better – Buying a new factory or office building – Buying new technologies to improve research and development – Buying new tools/machines for production Government Spending GUNS vs. BUTTER – Guns = military spending – Butter = social policy spending War on Terror Net Foreign Exports The difference between exports and imports Trade Deficits occur when you import more than you export – This will give you a negative number for Net Exports US Balance of Trade 1970-2006 GDP is not perfect …problems with the calculation Double Counting Underground Economy Inflation Double Counting Occurs when the value of a contributor is counted more then once into GDP Buying a used car – the value of that car should not be added to GDP because the value of its production was already counted Underground Economy Unpaid house work Barter Black market Inflation Inflation – A rate of increase in the general price level of all goods and services Makes figures appear higher than they really are Nominal vs. Real (constant dollar) GDP – Nominal does not consider inflation – Real adjusts for inflation Historical look at US inflation For the past 20 years, inflation in the US has been less than 5%, typically falling between 2-3%. The Business Cycle Draw the phases of the business cycle in your notes (pg. 226) Describe the phases of the cycle – Expansion – Peak – Contraction – Trough Expansion Economic recovery People begin spending money and opening businesses Demand brings more production Employment rises People begin to invest Peak A period of prosperity People are spending money on both elastic and inelastic goods Economy is very productive Unemployment is relatively low People are investing Contraction Prosperity begins to wear off – economy begins to shrink Production begins to slow People aren’t buying as much as they normally do Unemployment is on the rise If contractions last long enough they can be considered recessions and potentially become depressions Recession Any period of at least 6 months (2 business quarters) in which the economy does not grow Characterized by slowing business, consumption, and investment Depression A severe and prolonged decline in the level of economic activity Characterized by falling prices, business failures, surpluses, and high unemployment Trough Extreme slowing of the economy People are not typically spending money on elastic goods; demand in general is down Productivity is at its lowest Unemployment is higher than normal