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Aggregate Supply & Demand Model Macroeconomic Analysis 4-Types of Unemployment • Structural – Skills do not match demand for labor • Cyclical – Companies firing workers because of low demand for products • Frictional – Temporarily between Jobs • Seasonal – Out of work based on time of year Old School: The Classical Economists Adam Smith (1776), Thomas Malthus, David Ricardo, etc. – Markets are naturally self regulating – No government intervention necessary – Recessions are temporary You Cannot Be Serious.mp3 “New” School: Keynesian Economics • The Great Depression challenged Classical View • John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946) refuted the classical theory of Adam Smith • Argued investment by Government can moderate the “ups & downs” of business cycle John Maynard Keynes AD Curve Aggregate-demand curve (AD)= the demand curve for the entire economy – demand for ALL products and services from ALL households, businesses, & government at each price (inflation) level AS Curve • Aggregate-supply curve (AS)= the supply curve for the entire economy – the supply of ALL goods and services produced by ALL businesses at each price level Aggregate Demand (AD) Inflation AD1 Real GDP Reminder: “Full” Employment • Between 4 and 5% unemployment – allows for people temporarily out of work (frictional) and people who have skills who do not match jobs available (structural) • Levels below 4.0% unemployment run the risk of rising inflation 3 Phases of AS Curve (1) Flat: occurs during recessions Unemployment is high, GDP is low Inflation AS 3 1 2 (3) Vertical Section: Economy is growing too fast. Unemployment is below Full Employment (under 4%); inflation becomes a problem The economy has a SPEED LIMIT (2) Sloping Section: no recession, Unemployment is at the Full Employment level (4--5%) ; this is the “sweet spot” Real GDP Current Economic Situation AS1 Inflation Unemployment is at 6.7% GDP is +2.4% In which phase is the AD curve crossing the AS curve? AD1 Real GDP AS/AD Model review sheet • See what you understand