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Chapter 2 The measure of aggregate output in the national income accounts is called the GDP. GDP has three equivalent definitions: 1. From the production side, GDP is the value of final goods and services produced in the economy during a given period, 2. From the production side, GDP is the sum of value added during a given period. The value added by a firm is the value of its production minus the value of the intermediate goods used in the production. 3. From the income side, GDP is the sum of labor and capital income and indirect taxes. Indirect taxes are the revenues paied to the government in the form of sales taxes. 2-2 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. Steel Company (Firm 1) Revenues from sales $100 Expenses $80 Wages $80 Profit $20 Car Company (Firm 1) Revenues from sales $200 Expenses $170 Wages $70 Steel purchases $100 Profit 2-3 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. $30 Nominal GDP is the sum of the quantities of final goods multiplied by their current prices. Nominal GDP increases over time because ◦ The production of most goods increase over time ◦ The prices of most goods increase over time 2-4 Real GDP is constructed as the sum of the quantities of the final goods by constant prices. © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-5 Year Quantity of Cars Price of Cars Nominal GDP Real GDP (in 2000 dollars) 1999 10 $20,000 $200,000 $240,000 2000 12 $24,000 $288,000 $288,000 2001 13 $26,000 $338,000 $338,000 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-6 GDP per capita is the ratio of real GDP to the population of the country. It shows average standard of living. The growth rate of real (nominal) GDP is the rate of change of real (nominal) GDP. Periods of positive GDP growth are called expansions; periods of negative growth, recessions. © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. Three limitations on GDP as a welfare measure. 1. GDP values goods and services at market prices. However, some valuable things are not sold on markets such as government services and owner-occupied housing. 2. Some goods and services not traded in markets such as the value of leisure and the value of services performed in the household are not included in GDP 3. Depletion of natural and environmental resources is omitted. 2-7 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 7 2-8 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-9 Those persons of working age who do not have a job and are not looking for one are classified as out of the labor force. The participation rate is the ratio of the labor force to the size of the working age population. When unemployment is high, some of the unemployed give up looking for a job and no longer counted as unemployed. These are discouraged workers. © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-10 First, unemployed suffer financially and psychologically. Ethnic minorities, the young, and the less skilled tend to be more susceptible to unemployment and to remain unemployed much longer than average. Second, the unemployment rate helps policymakers assess how well the economy is utilizing its resources. A high rate of unemployment rate means that labor resources are idle. © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-11 Inflation is a sustained increase in the general level of prices. The inflation rate is the growth rate of the aggregate price level. Macroeconomists use two measures of the pricel level, two prices indexes: 1. The GDP deflator 2. The consumer price index © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-12 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-13 The CPI measures the price of representative basket of private consumption. Inflation calculated from the CPI provides a measure of the percentage change in the price of the domestic consumption basket. Domestic consumption includes goods imported from abroad, and domestic production includes final goods used for purposes other than domestic consumption. © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-14 A faster but proportional increase in all prices and wages is called pure inflation. There is no such thing as pure inflation. İnflation affects income distribution as not all prices and wages rise proportionately. Inflation leads to variations in relative prices and produce uncertanity. Deflation would create many of the same problems as high inflation. Moreover, deflation limits the ability of monetary policy to affect output. Best rate of inflation is between 0% and 3%. © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 14 2-15 . In the short run (a time frame of a few years), output is determined primarily by demand. In the medium run (a time frame of a decade or so), output is determined by the level of technology and the size of capital stock, both of which are more or less fixed. In the long run (a time frame of a half century or more), output is determined by technological progress and capital accumulation. © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 15 2-16 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Nominal GDP 2-17 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Real GDP (billions of 1998 TLs) 17 2-18 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 Percent 4.0 2.0 0.0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 -2.0 -4.0 -6.0 -8.0 2-19 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 19 2-20 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 16.0 14.0 12.0 Percent 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2-21 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 21 2-22 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-23 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 Percent 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 23 Figure 2-5 Changes in the unemployment rate versus output growth in the United States, 1960– 2010 2-24 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. Figure 2-6 Changes in the inflation rate versus the unemployment rate in the United States, 1960–2010 2-25 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. Figure 2-7 The organization of the book 2-26 © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved.