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Welcome to ECON 2301 Macroeconomics Dr. Jacobson Mr. Stuckey Today • Start Chapter 7 Measuring a Nation’s Income MacroeconomicsIs the Study of the Economy as a Whole. This Includes the Factors of Inflation, Unemployment, and Economic Growth. One Way to Measure or to Evaluate What is Going on Within a Nation’s Economy is Through its Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Gross Domestic Product (GDP)- Measures the Total Income of a Nation. The Market Value of All Final Goods and Services Produced Within a Country in a Given Period of Time Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Measures The Total Income of Everyone in the Economy and the Total Expenditures On the Economy’s Output of Goods and Services. For Any Economy as a Whole, Income Must Equal Expenditure. Therefore, They Are the Same as For Every Buyer There is a Seller and What is an Expenditure For One is Income For the Other. Important Note: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a Measure of Only What Goes On Within a Nations Borders. Circular-Flow Diagram Revenue (=GDP) Goods and Markets For Goods and Services Spending (= GDP) Goods and Services Sold Services Bought Firms = Flow of Inputs and Outputs = Flow of Dollars Factors of Production Wages, Rent and Profit (=GDP) Households Land, Labor And Capital Markets For Factors of Production Income (=GDP) The Measurement of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Breaking Down the Definition of Gross Domestic Product (GDP)The Market Value of All Final Goods and Services Produced Within a Country In a Given Period of Time. GDP is the Market ValueThis Means the Market Price Someone is Willing to Pay For Those Goods or Services. It is Measured By the Currency of the Country. i.e. U.S. $ Where $2 For an Apple is Twice the GDP of $1 For an Orange. “Of ALL” This Includes All the Items (Goods and Services) Produced and Sold Legally in Markets Within the Economy (Country) “Of All” ExcludesMost Items Produced and Sold Illicitly. Items of Barter. Items Produced and Consumed At Home. “Final” Final Goods and Services Are Distinguished From Intermediate Goods As They Are the Final Product Purchased and Consumed By the Purchaser. “Goods and Services” The GDP Includes Both Tangible Goods (Food, Clothing, Cars) and Intangible Services (Haircuts, Housecleaning, Doctor Visits). “Produced” GDP Includes All Goods and Services Currently Produced. It Does Not Include Transactions Involving Items Produced In the Past or Previously Counted. i.e. a Used Car. “Within A Country” The GDP Only Measures The Value of Production Within the Geographic Confines of a Country. i.e. A German Working in the U.S. His Production is Counted as Part of the U.S. GDP. “In a Given Period of Time.” GDP Measures the Value of Production That Takes Place Within a Specific Interval of Time. Usually, That Interval is a (Calendar) Year or Quarter. “In a Given Period of Time” When the Government Reports Quarterly GDP It Modifies the Results by a Statistical Procedure Called “A Seasonal Adjustment.” Other Measures of Income Gross National Product (GNP) is the Total Income Earned By the Nation’s Permanent Residents (and Companies). Other Measures of Income Net National Product (NNP) is the Total Income of a Nation’s Residents (GNP) Minus Losses From Depreciation. Other Measures of Income National Income is the Total Income earned By a Nation’s Residents in the Production of Goods and Services. It Differs From Net National Income By Excluding Indirect Business Taxes (Such as Sales Tax). Other Measures of Income Personal Income is the Income That Households and Noncorporate Businesses Receive. Unlike National Income, It Excludes Such Items As Retained Earnings, Corporate Income Taxes and Social Security Taxes. Other Measures of Income Disposable Income is the Income That Households and Noncorporate Businesses Have Left After Satisfying All Their Obligations to the Government. The Components of GDP: Consumption Investment Government Purchases and Net Exports Consumption Consumption is Spending By Households On Goods and Services, With the Exception of Purchases of New Homes. Education is Also Included in the Consumption of Services. Investment Investment is the Purchase of Goods That Will Be Used in the Future to Produce More Goods and Services. It is the Sum of Purchases of Capital Equipment, Inventories, and Structures. It Also Includes the Purchase of a New Home. Government Purchases Government Purchases Include Spending on Goods and Services By Local, state and Federal Governments. Transfer Payments Transfer Payments Are Government Payments Made to Persons or Companies For Which No Good or Service is Produced. i.e. Social Security or Welfare Payments. Net Exports Net Exports Equal the Purchases of Domestically Produced Goods by Foreigners (Exports) Minus the Domestic Purchases of Foreign Goods (Imports). Net Exports The Net in “Net Exports” Refers to the Fact That Imports Are Subtracted From Exports. It is Important to Note That This Has Usually Been a Negative Component Due to The U.S. Importing More Then it Exports. U.S. GDP 2004 = $12 Trillion $12,000,000,000,000 U.S. GDP 2013 = $15.5 Trillion $15,500,000,000,000 Macroeconomic Quantities Fluctuate Together. When Real GDP Falls in a Recession So Does Personal Income, Corporate Profits, Consumer Spending, Investment Spending, Production, Home Sales, Auto Sales and Other Items. 2004 GDP Total Per Person Percent Billions (in Dollars) of Total Total GDP $11,728 $39,904 100% Consumption $8,232 Investment $1,922 Government $2,184 Net Exports - $609 $28,009 $6,539 $7,431 - $2,072 70% 16% 19% -5% Real Versus Nominal GDP Real GDP- The Production of Goods and Services Valued At Constant Prices Nominal GDP- The Production of Goods and Services Valued at Current Prices. Real Versus Nominal GDP If Total Spending Rises From One Year to the Next, One of Two Things Must Be True. 1. The Economy is Producing a Larger Output of Goods and Services, or 2. Goods and Services Are Being Sold At Higher Prices. Economists Want to Separate These Two Items and Their Impact For Obvious Reasons. In Short Economists Want to Measure the Total Goods and Services the Economy is Producing That is Not Affected By Changes in the Prices of These Goods and Services. Real GDP Real GDP is What the Value of the Goods and Services Would Be If We Valued These Goods and Services at the Prices That Prevailed in Some Specific Year in the Past. By Evaluating Current Production Using Prices That Are Fixed at Past Levels, Real GDP Shows How the Economy’s Overall Production of Goods and Services Changes Over Time. How is This Calculated? First A Base Year is Established (This Can Be Any Year From the Past). However, Base Year Should Always Be the Earliest Year. Next the Nominal GDP for the Base Year and the Year (or Years) You Wish to Compare it to Are Computed. To Calculate This, the Price of Each Item is Multiplied by the Quantity of That Item Sold During The Year(s). This is Then Added to Product of Any Other Items Sold During That Year. This is Done for Both the Base Year and The Year We Are Going to Compare it to. Nominal GDP Example: Base Year Item A (Price X Quantity Sold) + Item B (Price X Quantity Sold) + Item C (Price X Quantity Sold) + …. Year (X) Item A (Price X Quantity Sold) + Item B (Price X Quantity Sold) + Item C (Price X Quantity Sold) + …. We Now Have the Nominal GDP For Each Year. To Calculate the Real GDP for Those Same Years We Multiply the Price of the Items From the Base Year Times the Quantity Sold During the Year(s) That We Are Comparing it Against. Real GDP Example: Base Year (Will Be Same As Nominal GDP) Year(s) (X) *** Item A (Base Year Price X Quantity For Year (X)) + Item B (Base Year Price X Quantity For Year (X)) + Item C (Base Year Price X Quantity For Year (X)) + …….. *** Additional Years Would Be Same This Then Allows Us to Make the Calculation of What is Called the GDP Deflator. The GDP Deflator The GDP Deflator is a Measure of the Price Level Calculated As the Ratio of Nominal GDP to Real GDP Times 100. Nominal GDP GDP Deflator = ---------------------- X 100 Real GDP The GDP Deflator Allows Us to Measure the Percentage Increase (Decrease) In The Price Level Between the Two Years. This is Also Called the Rate of Inflation. Billions $10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1965 1970 1975 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Is the GDP A Good Measure of the Economic Well-Being of a Society or Nation? Items Left Out: Leisure (Quality of Life) Environment Items Done for Ourselves Education Health Foreign Work Distribution of Income In All the GDP is a Good Economic Measure For What it Does. It is Extremely Difficult to Have a Consistent Measurement in a Dynamic Society. Questions ? Quick Write Defense Spending Is A Major Portion of Government Purchases. Do You think That it Should Be Eliminated From Government Purchases in Calculating GDP? Why?